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Nextdc Limited (AU:NXT)
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Nextdc Limited (NXT) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:NXT

Nextdc Limited

(Sydney:NXT)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
AU$16.00
▲(18.43% Upside)
Nextdc Limited's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance and technical analysis. While the company shows strong revenue growth and a solid balance sheet, significant profitability issues and negative cash flow trends are concerning. The technical indicators suggest a bearish market sentiment, further weighing down the score. The valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand for Nextdc's services, supporting long-term business expansion and stability.
Balance Sheet Health
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility, enabling Nextdc to invest in growth opportunities.
Gross Profit Margin
High gross margins reflect efficient operations and pricing power, contributing to potential profitability improvements over time.
Negative Factors
Profitability Issues
Persistent profitability challenges can hinder Nextdc's ability to reinvest in growth and may affect long-term financial health.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, limiting Nextdc's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative ROE highlights challenges in value creation for shareholders, which may impact investor confidence and capital raising ability.

Nextdc Limited (NXT) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Nextdc Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNEXTDC Limited, a technology company, provides data center outsourcing solutions, connectivity services, and infrastructure management software in Australia. The company offers connectivity solutions, such as interconnection and intercapital services, data centre interconnect, and cross connect; data center-as-a-service solutions; cloud solutions; and industry solutions. It also provides technical assistance on-the-ground; and professional services for the infrastructure life cycle, including planning, project management, and migration stages. In addition, the company provides data center colocation solutions comprising rack packages for single or multiple racks; Rack Blocks to share the total power allocation across various racks; and Quarter Racks for smaller footprints. Further, it offers security systems and protocols that include multi-layered access systems with biometric fingerprint technology and ID access cards. Additionally, the company provides ONEDC, a data center infrastructure management tool, which delivers real-time intelligence across entire NEXTDC data center footprint to manage infrastructure; disaster recovery solutions; and AXON interconnectivity platform. NEXTDC Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyNextdc generates revenue primarily through its colocation services, where customers pay for space, power, and connectivity within its data centers. This includes both wholesale and retail colocation offerings, catering to a range of clients from small businesses to large enterprises. The company also earns revenue from interconnection services, allowing clients to connect with various networks and service providers within the data center ecosystem. Additionally, managed services and ancillary services contribute to its revenue streams. Strategic partnerships with major cloud providers and telecommunications companies enhance its offerings and attract more customers, thereby bolstering its earnings. The increasing demand for data storage and processing capabilities, driven by trends such as cloud computing and digital transformation, further supports Nextdc's revenue growth.

Nextdc Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nextdc Limited shows strong revenue growth and a solid balance sheet with low leverage. However, profitability remains a significant concern, with negative net income and EBIT margins. Cash flow challenges, particularly negative free cash flow, further underscore the need for strategic improvements to enhance financial performance and sustainability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Nextdc Limited has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with an 11.19% increase in the latest year. However, the company faces challenges with profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -14.17% and a negative EBIT margin. The gross profit margin is strong at 81.97%, suggesting efficient cost management. Despite these strengths, the negative net income and EBIT margins highlight ongoing profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29, indicating a conservative leverage position. The equity ratio is robust, reflecting strong asset backing. However, the return on equity is negative, suggesting inefficiencies in generating profits from shareholders' equity. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but highlights the need for improved profitability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a concerning trend with negative free cash flow growth and a high free cash flow to net income ratio of -6.17. Operating cash flow is positive, covering net income adequately, but the negative free cash flow indicates significant capital expenditures or operational challenges. This poses a risk to financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue427.21M427.21M404.34M362.37M291.04M246.06M
Gross Profit33.78M350.20M307.90M75.92M79.37M54.19M
EBITDA235.34M227.71M217.77M185.61M161.58M136.98M
Net Income-60.54M-60.54M-44.15M-25.64M9.14M-23.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.69B5.69B5.22B3.85B2.98B2.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments243.69M243.69M1.24B765.84M456.56M652.33M
Total Debt1.21B1.21B1.46B1.44B1.14B860.45M
Total Liabilities1.54B1.54B1.65B1.57B1.28B980.69M
Stockholders Equity4.15B4.15B3.57B2.28B1.70B1.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.36B-1.37B-809.66M-579.21M-459.80M-191.10M
Operating Cash Flow212.86M222.64M128.79M126.79M122.04M127.39M
Investing Cash Flow-1.59B-1.59B-950.91M-710.02M-599.93M-318.50M
Financing Cash Flow372.08M372.08M1.29B893.06M286.98M-55.33M

Nextdc Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.51
Price Trends
50DMA
16.11
Negative
100DMA
15.45
Negative
200DMA
14.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.70
Positive
RSI
31.23
Neutral
STOCH
12.84
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NXT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.05, below the 50-day MA of 16.11, and below the 200-day MA of 14.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.84 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:NXT.

Nextdc Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
AU$1.40B28.9860.59%3.19%5.82%11.11%
71
Outperform
AU$743.50M13.8524.81%3.84%11.19%34.96%
66
Neutral
AU$1.30B17.5165.33%10.57%25.67%744.90%
65
Neutral
AU$1.77B49.8535.71%1.31%5.11%12.91%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
49
Neutral
$8.66B-1.55%5.66%-16.43%
43
Neutral
AU$773.06M-82.50-3.19%0.40%-280.65%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NXT
Nextdc Limited
13.51
-2.52
-15.72%
AU:BVS
Bravura Solutions Limited
2.52
1.20
90.91%
AU:SRV
Servcorp Limited
7.30
2.83
63.31%
AU:DTL
Data#3 Limited.
8.82
1.23
16.21%
AU:OCL
Objective Corporation Limited
16.75
-0.55
-3.18%
AU:NXL
Nuix Ltd.
1.76
-4.49
-71.84%

Nextdc Limited Corporate Events

Nextdc Limited Announces Departure of Director Jennifer M Lambert
Nov 13, 2025

Nextdc Limited announced that Jennifer M Lambert has ceased to be a director as of November 13, 2025. Lambert held an indirect interest in 34,763 fully paid ordinary shares through the Evans Family Superannuation Fund, where she is a beneficiary. This change in the board may impact the company’s governance and strategic direction, potentially influencing stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$18.35 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

Nextdc Limited AGM: Key Resolutions and Leadership Votes
Nov 13, 2025

Nextdc Limited held its Annual General Meeting where several key resolutions were voted on. The remuneration report was not carried, with a significant majority voting against it. However, the re-election and election of directors, including Mr. Stephen M Smith, Mrs. Deborah Page, and Mr. Jamaludin Ibrahim, were successfully carried, indicating strong support for the company’s leadership. Additionally, the approval of performance rights for Mr. Craig Scroggie under the FY26 Long Term Incentive Plan was also carried, reflecting confidence in the company’s strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$18.35 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

Nextdc Limited Reports Strong FY25 Growth and Strategic Expansion Plans
Nov 13, 2025

Nextdc Limited reported strong financial growth for FY25, with a 14% increase in net revenue and a 6% rise in underlying EBITDA. The company is strategically positioned to capitalize on the growing AI and data center infrastructure market, with significant expansions planned across Australia and internationally, including new developments in Kuala Lumpur and Tokyo. The company has strengthened its financial capacity with a $3.5 billion increase in debt facilities, providing a total of $6.4 billion in capacity to support future growth. This expansion aligns with the anticipated global investment in AI infrastructure, positioning Nextdc as a key player in the digital economy’s transformation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$18.35 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

NEXTDC Expands Board and Reports Record Growth Amidst Strategic Global Expansion
Nov 13, 2025

NEXTDC Limited’s 15th Annual General Meeting highlighted significant developments including the appointment of two new board members, Mrs. Deborah Page and Mr. Jamaludin Ibrahim, bringing extensive experience in finance, governance, and technology. The company reported a record-setting fiscal year with 42% growth in contracted utilization and increased funding to $6.4 billion. NEXTDC is adapting to evolving digital infrastructure demands by expanding its operations and engaging with stakeholders across the Asia-Pacific region. The introduction of a Growth Incentive Plan aims to retain top talent in a competitive market, aligning rewards with long-term shareholder value. The company continues to focus on operational efficiency, sustainability, and strong governance to support its growth and meet emerging global standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$18.35 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

Nextdc Limited Announces FY25 Annual General Meeting
Nov 13, 2025

Nextdc Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting for the fiscal year 2025, scheduled to take place on Thursday, 13 November 2025. The meeting will be held at 11:00am AEDT and will involve discussions led by the company’s board of directors, including CEO and Managing Director Craig Scroggie. This event is a significant opportunity for stakeholders to engage with the company’s leadership and gain insights into its strategic direction and operational performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$18.35 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

Nextdc Limited Appoints New Director to Strengthen Leadership
Nov 3, 2025

Nextdc Limited has announced the appointment of Mr. Jamaludin Ibrahim as a director, effective November 1, 2025. Mr. Ibrahim holds 15,000 ordinary shares through a discretionary trust operated by Swiss Life (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. This appointment is part of the company’s strategic efforts to strengthen its leadership team, which may positively impact its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Hold with a A$16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

Nextdc Limited Appoints New Director, Discloses Securities Interests
Nov 3, 2025

Nextdc Limited has announced the appointment of Mrs. Deborah Page as a new director, effective November 1, 2025. The announcement details Mrs. Page’s initial interest in the company’s securities, which includes 3,000 ordinary shares as a registered holder and an additional 1,500 ordinary shares held through Mattenjac Investments Pty Limited as the trustee for the Page Superannuation Fund. This appointment and disclosure of interests are part of the company’s compliance with ASX listing rules, reflecting transparency in governance and potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Hold with a A$16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

NEXTDC Limited Announces Hybrid AGM for November 2025
Oct 9, 2025

NEXTDC Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for November 13, 2025, which will be held as a hybrid meeting allowing both in-person and virtual participation. The AGM will cover voting on the FY25 Remuneration Report, the grant of Performance Rights under the FY26 Long Term Incentive Plan, and the election of new directors, with some current directors retiring by rotation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$20.90 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

NEXTDC Announces Change in Director’s Interest Notice
Oct 1, 2025

NEXTDC Limited announced a change in the director’s interest notice, specifically regarding Craig Ian Scroggie’s holdings. The update reveals that 39,224 Performance Rights previously allocated under the NEXTDC Long Term Incentive Plan lapsed due to unmet vesting conditions, resulting in a decrease in the total number of Performance Rights held. This change reflects the company’s ongoing management of executive incentives and may impact stakeholders’ perceptions of the company’s performance and governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$18.35 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

Nextdc Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities
Oct 1, 2025

Nextdc Limited has announced the quotation of 39,379 ordinary fully paid securities on the ASX, issued under an employee incentive scheme. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to incentivize employees and align their interests with the company’s growth objectives, potentially enhancing its operational efficiency and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$18.35 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

NEXTDC Appoints Jamaludin Ibrahim as Non-Executive Director
Sep 25, 2025

NEXTDC Limited has appointed Mr. Jamaludin Ibrahim as a non-executive director, effective November 1, 2025. Mr. Ibrahim brings over 40 years of executive experience in the IT and telecommunications sectors, having held various leadership roles, including CEO positions. His extensive board experience across multiple industries and countries, particularly in technology and telecommunications, aligns with NEXTDC’s ambitions to expand its business into Asia. The appointment is expected to leverage Mr. Ibrahim’s insights and skills to further enhance NEXTDC’s growth and reputation in the digital economy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Hold with a A$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

NEXTDC Appoints Deborah Page AM to Board Amidst Expansion
Sep 10, 2025

NEXTDC Limited has appointed Deborah Page AM as a non-executive director to its board, effective November 1, 2025. Mrs. Page brings extensive experience in governance, corporate finance, and various industry sectors, enhancing NEXTDC’s strategic growth and expansion efforts amid Australia’s digital transformation and AI infrastructure boom.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Hold with a A$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

Nextdc Limited Issues New Equity Securities
Sep 10, 2025

Nextdc Limited announced the issuance of 69,871 ordinary fully paid securities as part of their unquoted equity securities. This move indicates the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its capital structure and potentially enhance its financial flexibility, which could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Hold with a A$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

NEXTDC Limited: Strategic Growth and AI Infrastructure Expansion
Sep 8, 2025

NEXTDC Limited is an ASX 100-listed company that provides enterprise-grade data center solutions, specializing in hyperscale, colocation, and edge data centers, with a focus on cloud connectivity and digital infrastructure across Australia and the Asia-Pacific region.

Nextdc Limited Releases FY25 Corporate Governance Statement
Aug 28, 2025

Nextdc Limited has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending June 30, 2025, which is available on their website. The statement outlines the company’s adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles and recommendations, highlighting their commitment to transparency and accountability. This disclosure is crucial for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s governance practices and its compliance with industry standards, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$21.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

NEXTDC Advances Sustainability with FY25 Climate and Nature Report
Aug 28, 2025

NEXTDC Limited’s FY25 Climate and Nature Report highlights the company’s efforts to address climate change and nature loss through an integrated sustainability strategy. The report underscores NEXTDC’s alignment with the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and the Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures (TNFD), reflecting its commitment to sustainability and resilience. This initiative is aimed at providing investors and stakeholders with insights into the company’s climate and nature-related risks and opportunities, supporting its transition to the Australian Sustainability Reporting Standards (ASRS).

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$21.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

NEXTDC Releases FY25 ESG Report, Emphasizing Sustainability and Governance
Aug 28, 2025

NEXTDC Limited has released its Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Report for the fiscal year 2025, highlighting its commitment to responsible governance, innovation, and environmental protection. The report outlines the company’s efforts in risk management, data security, and community engagement, with a strong focus on sustainability and ethical business practices. By acknowledging traditional land custodians and emphasizing diversity, equity, and inclusion, NEXTDC aims to strengthen its market position and enhance stakeholder trust.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$21.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

Nextdc Limited Unveils FY25 Corporate Governance Framework
Aug 28, 2025

Nextdc Limited has released its Corporate Governance Statement for the fiscal year 2025, outlining its governance framework and key focus areas for the board. The statement emphasizes management and oversight, effective board structure, lawful and ethical culture, integrity of corporate reports, timely disclosures, investor rights, risk management, and responsible remuneration policy. These principles aim to enhance the company’s operational transparency and accountability, potentially strengthening its position in the industry and building trust with stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$21.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

Nextdc Limited Reports Strong FY25 Results and Positive Outlook for FY26
Aug 28, 2025

Nextdc Limited has announced its full-year results for FY25, highlighting significant achievements in financial performance and business operations. The company reported strong financial results and business performance, with notable advancements in ESG and WHS initiatives. The guidance for FY26 suggests continued growth and strategic focus, which may positively impact the company’s market position and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$21.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

NEXTDC Limited Reports Revenue Growth Amid Increased Losses Due to Debt Refinancing
Aug 28, 2025

NEXTDC Limited reported a 6% increase in revenue for the year ended June 30, 2025, totaling $427.2 million. However, the company experienced a significant increase in its loss after income tax, amounting to $60.5 million, primarily due to entering a new $2.9 billion syndicated debt agreement aimed at refinancing existing debt. This strategic move is expected to provide the company with greater financial flexibility and reduced costs, supporting its long-term growth ambitions. Despite the financial loss, NEXTDC did not declare any dividends for the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$21.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Ceases Substantial Holding in NEXTDC Limited
Aug 25, 2025

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have ceased to be substantial holders in NEXTDC Limited, a company involved in the data center industry. This change involves various transactions and securities lending agreements that affected a significant number of ordinary shares, impacting the voting interests associated with these shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$21.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025