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Nextdc Limited (AU:NXT)
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Nextdc Limited (NXT) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Nextdc Limited

(Sydney:NXT)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
AU$14.50
▲(1.97%Upside)
Nextdc Limited's stock score reflects robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, offset by negative profitability metrics and a challenging valuation. Technical analysis suggests mixed momentum, with potential undervaluation signals. The absence of a dividend yield and negative P/E ratio weigh down the overall score.
Positive Factors
Analyst Recommendation
Buy recommendation for NEXTDC Ltd (NXT.AX) suggests confidence in the company's future prospects.
Expansion
NEXTDC is undertaking a capital raise to fund the acquisition of new data center development sites in Asia, signaling expansion into new markets.
Performance
NEXTDC reported a strong FY24 result with underlying Sales and EBITDA surpassing expectations, indicating robust financial performance.
Negative Factors
Capital Expenditure
Significant capex guidance for FY25, combined with lower EBITDA, is limiting potential improvements in NEXTDC's financial profile.
FY25 Guidance
FY25 guidance for NEXTDC is below expectations on net revenue and EBITDA, reflecting a slower ramp in the order book.
Revenue Outlook
Slower than expected net-revenue outlook and delayed ramp profile contribute to meaningful EBITDA downgrades for NEXTDC.

Nextdc Limited (NXT) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Nextdc Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNextdc Limited (NXT) is a leading provider of data center services in Australia, specializing in the design, construction, and operation of premium data centers. The company focuses on delivering reliable and scalable infrastructure solutions to support a diverse range of industries, including information technology, telecommunications, and financial services. With a network of strategically located facilities across major Australian cities, Nextdc ensures optimal connectivity and security for businesses requiring high-performance data environments.
How the Company Makes MoneyNextdc Limited generates revenue primarily through the leasing of data center space and the provision of associated services. The company's revenue model is built on offering colocation services, where clients rent space for their servers and IT infrastructure within Nextdc's facilities. In addition to colocation, Nextdc provides ancillary services such as connectivity solutions, managed services, and power provisioning. Key revenue streams include monthly recurring charges for space and power usage, as well as fees for additional services like cross-connects and remote hands support. The company benefits from partnerships with major telecommunications carriers and cloud service providers, which enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base. Factors such as increasing demand for cloud computing, data storage, and digital transformation initiatives contribute significantly to Nextdc's earnings growth.

Nextdc Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nextdc Limited shows robust revenue growth and strong operational efficiency, as reflected in its EBITDA margin. However, the company faces profitability challenges with negative net income, affecting return on equity. The balance sheet is solid with a high equity ratio and manageable leverage, yet negative free cash flow indicates substantial capital investment requirements. Strategic capital management will be crucial for future financial stability.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Nextdc Limited experienced a solid revenue growth of 11.58% from 2023 to 2024. However, the net profit margin is negative due to consistent net losses, indicating challenges in achieving profitability. The company's EBITDA margin of 53.86% for 2024 is strong, suggesting effective operational management, yet the gross profit margin has decreased to 15.05%, showing increased cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a healthy equity ratio of 68.37%, indicating a strong equity base relative to total assets. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.41 is manageable, suggesting moderate leverage. However, the negative return on equity of -1.24% reflects the impact of net losses on shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Nextdc's operating cash flow to net income ratio is not meaningful due to negative net income, though operating cash flow remains positive. Free cash flow is significantly negative, reflecting high capital expenditures that could be strategic but strain cash resources. The lack of free cash flow growth highlights ongoing liquidity challenges.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue404.34M362.37M291.04M246.06M200.78M
Gross Profit307.90M75.92M79.37M54.19M48.57M
EBITDA229.95M174.07M156.34M136.98M97.74M
Net Income-44.15M-25.64M9.14M-23.63M-45.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.22B3.85B2.98B2.64B2.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.24B765.84M456.56M652.33M892.94M
Total Debt1.46B1.44B1.14B860.45M875.07M
Total Liabilities1.65B1.57B1.28B980.69M976.10M
Stockholders Equity3.57B2.28B1.70B1.66B1.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-809.66M-579.21M-459.80M-191.10M-349.99M
Operating Cash Flow128.79M126.79M122.04M127.39M54.71M
Investing Cash Flow-950.91M-710.02M-599.93M-318.50M-404.70M
Financing Cash Flow1.29B893.06M286.98M-55.33M844.93M

Nextdc Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.22
Price Trends
50DMA
13.73
Positive
100DMA
13.01
Positive
200DMA
14.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Positive
RSI
59.31
Neutral
STOCH
81.64
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:NXT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.04, above the 50-day MA of 13.73, and below the 200-day MA of 14.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:NXT.

Nextdc Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUOCL
74
Outperform
AU$1.76B54.8436.92%0.49%7.00%19.41%
AUSRV
74
Outperform
AU$570.86M10.5225.52%4.69%6.85%237.34%
AUBVS
66
Neutral
AU$986.38M13.7657.04%0.73%18.63%
AUDTL
66
Neutral
AU$1.23B27.8958.96%3.26%-59.05%6.76%
63
Neutral
$34.60B5.43-11.64%2.14%5.30%-18.55%
AUNXL
62
Neutral
AU$833.45M308.39-0.19%17.64%96.99%
AUNXT
58
Neutral
$9.12B-2.06%-2.69%-17.50%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:NXT
Nextdc Limited
14.22
-2.79
-16.40%
AU:BVS
Bravura Solutions Limited
2.15
1.17
119.39%
AU:SRV
Servcorp Limited
5.76
1.76
44.00%
AU:DTL
Data#3 Limited.
7.72
-0.54
-6.54%
AU:OCL
Objective Corporation Limited
18.18
5.98
49.02%
AU:NXL
Nuix Ltd.
2.42
-0.98
-28.82%

Nextdc Limited Corporate Events

NEXTDC Limited Issues New Securities to Bolster Growth
Jul 8, 2025

NEXTDC Limited has announced the issuance of 130,902 ordinary fully paid securities as part of its latest financial maneuver. This move signifies the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its capital structure, potentially strengthening its market position and providing additional resources for strategic growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

Nextdc Limited Issues New Performance Rights to Employees
Jun 19, 2025

Nextdc Limited has announced the issuance of 377,903 performance rights under an employee incentive scheme, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX. This move reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to incentivize its workforce and align employee interests with corporate goals, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

NEXTDC Secures A$2.2 Billion in New Debt Facilities
Jun 18, 2025

NEXTDC Limited has secured new senior debt facilities totaling A$2.2 billion, increasing its total available senior debt facilities to A$5.1 billion. These new facilities, underwritten by a syndicate of leading banks, will primarily support capital expenditure for recent customer contract wins and ongoing data center developments, positioning NEXTDC for continued growth and expansion in the data center industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

Nextdc Limited Director Adjusts Shareholding
Jun 12, 2025

Nextdc Limited announced a change in the director’s interest notice, detailing that Gregory J Clark, a director, has disposed of 15,000 ordinary shares at $13.88 per share, reducing his holding to 61,039 shares. This transaction, conducted on-market, reflects a minor adjustment in the director’s shareholding and is unlikely to significantly impact the company’s operations or market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:NXT) stock is a Buy with a A$19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nextdc Limited stock, see the AU:NXT Stock Forecast page.

NEXTDC Announces Record Growth in Contracted Utilisation and Forward Orders
May 5, 2025

NEXTDC Limited has announced a significant increase in its contracted utilisation, rising by 52MW to 228MW as of March 31, 2025, following recent customer contract wins. This growth is largely driven by increased demand in the Victorian data centre ecosystem, particularly from AI deployments. The company’s forward order book has also reached a record 127MW, marking a 54% increase. To accommodate this growth, NEXTDC has raised its FY25 capital expenditure guidance by A$100 million and plans to secure new senior debt facilities to fund these expansions. The expansion is expected to impact revenue from FY27 onwards, reflecting the company’s strategic positioning in the rapidly evolving data centre industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 16, 2025