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Megaport Ltd. (AU:MP1)
ASX:MP1

Megaport (MP1) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:MP1

Megaport

(Sydney:MP1)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
AU$8.00
▼(-0.99% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
Overall score is driven by mixed financial fundamentals—strong growth and gross margins but weak profitability and softer free-cash-flow conversion—combined with clearly bearish technicals. The earnings call was a notable positive due to improved guidance and strong ARR/retention signals, but valuation support is limited by negative earnings and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Recurring revenue scale and retention
A 49% ARR increase to $338M reflects a durable, subscription-driven revenue base. High ARR growth combined with reported NRR and longer customer lifetimes improves revenue visibility, supports predictable cash flows and enables efficient upsell and capacity planning over the medium term.
High gross margins and scalable model
An 83% gross margin indicates the software-defined connectivity model has low direct costs and strong unit economics. This margin buffer supports investment in sales/innovation while preserving incremental profitability as ARR scales, underpinning long-term margin sustainability if operational leverage is maintained.
Network scale, product innovation and M&A expanding TAM
Strategic acquisitions add compute (Latitude) and regional exchange capacity (India IX), broadening addressable markets into AI/compute plus network. Combined with >1,000 data centers and new products driving 30% of ARR growth, this strengthens differentiation and cross-sell potential over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Negative profitability and ROE
Despite strong top-line growth and gross margins, the company delivers a slightly negative net margin and negative ROE. Persistent bottom-line losses signal that operating costs, investments or amortization are outpacing revenue gains, limiting returns to shareholders until profitability normalizes.
Weakened free cash flow conversion
A >20% decline in free cash flow and FCF-to-net-income below 1 indicate weaker conversion of earnings into spendable cash. With substantial FY26 group CapEx guidance (A$90–100M) and acquisitive growth, constrained FCF reduces financial flexibility and may increase reliance on external funding for expansion.
Integration, supply‑chain and margin pressure risks
Supply‑chain limits for Latitude compute, server/DRAM price inflation, and integration complexity create structural execution risk. These factors delay revenue realization, require incremental CapEx and higher operating costs, and can compress margins during multi-quarter capacity and integration ramps.

Megaport (MP1) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Megaport Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMegaport Limited provides elastic interconnection services to the enterprises and service providers in Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, North America, and Europe. It operates a platform that enables customers to connect their network to other services, as well as creates agile network that connects in multiple regions. The company also offers Megaport Virtual Edge, an on-demand and vendor-neutral Network Function Virtualization service that enables branch-to-cloud connectivity on Megaport's global software-defined network; internet exchange services; and Megaport Marketplace, an online hub the interconnects service providers and enterprise customers. In addition, it provides cloud connectivity solutions; and virtual routing for cloud networking. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Fortitude Valley, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMegaport generates revenue primarily through its subscription-based model, where customers pay for the connectivity services they use, including port fees and data transfer charges. Key revenue streams include monthly fees for virtual cross-connects and network ports, as well as charges for additional bandwidth and on-demand services. The company has established significant partnerships with major cloud providers and data center operators, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base. Additionally, Megaport benefits from the growing demand for flexible and scalable connectivity solutions in the digital transformation landscape, further driving its earnings.

Megaport Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated strong operational momentum: high ARR growth (group +49% YoY), improving NRR (111%), extended customer lifetime, significant product innovation, accelerated US traction and strategic acquisitions (compute and India exchange) that materially expand TAM. Short‑term headwinds include FX volatility, acquisition integration complexity, supply‑chain constraints for Latitude compute capacity and near‑term investment‑driven margin pressure. Management provided revised guidance with sensitivities and emphasized the long‑term strategic fit and sizable AI tailwind. Overall the positives (robust growth metrics, product traction, strategic acquisitions and improved retention) materially outweigh the near‑term challenges.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Group ARR and Scale
Megaport Group ARR of $338M, up 49% year‑on‑year (+$112M). Group composition highlighted as Megaport Network ~$263M ARR, Latitude and Extreme acquisitions adding to group ARR.
Megaport Network ARR Growth (Constant Currency)
Megaport Network ARR $263.4M, up 19% on a constant currency basis (+$36.8M YoY); reported growth 16% due to FX headwinds.
Improving Net Revenue Retention and Customer Lifetime
Net revenue retention (NRR) rose to 111%, up 3 percentage points YoY. Customer lifetime increased from ~10 years to 13 years, driving a 57% increase in total lifetime value to $2.5B.
Strong U.S. Performance and New Logo Momentum
U.S. revenue growth at ~24%; new‑logo additions doubled (100% increase YoY), and the company recorded the largest year‑on‑year ARR increase in its history.
Product Innovation Driving Growth
30% of ARR growth attributed to new products. New platform features rolled out: IPSec, packet filtering, MVE console access, Meraki/Juniper/Anapaya images, 400G ports, and expanded 100G Internet availability (100G provisioning capability deployed widely).
Scale of Global Footprint
Network build: 51 data centers added in the half; global presence crossed 1,000 data centers (1,034 reported). Added 5 Internet Exchange locations and two new Internet markets (Italy, Sweden).
Strategic Acquisitions
Completed two acquisitions: Latitude.sh (compute / GPU and CPU‑as‑a‑service business; reported ARR in presentation ranged but cited $45M ARR as at 31 Dec 2025 and earlier references to ~$68M contribution to group ARR) and an India Internet exchange business (Extreme IX) adding ~40 data centers, ~400 customers and ~$7M ARR.
Guidance and Financial Disclosures
Megaport Network guidance revised upward (original FY '26 revenue range $260–270M; bottom end increased by $4M). Combined group FY '26 guidance provided: revenue $302–317M (assuming AUD:USD 0.70), group CapEx $90–100M. FX sensitivity: a $0.05 AUD:USD movement implies ~ $9M revenue impact.
Profitability, Cash Flow and Margin Signals
Reported H1 EBITDA margin of 26% (includes one month of Latitude); Megaport Network exit EBITDA margin ~21% (in line with guidance). Net operating cash outflow excluding capital raises and acquisitions was under $10M for the half.
Latitude Product Demonstration and Platform Capabilities
Latitude.sh integration demo showed immediate product capabilities: hourly CPU VMs (example $0.07/hr), bare‑metal deployment in seconds (~$3.52/hr example), and private model hosting/inference APIs—demonstrating a combined network+compute product offering aimed at AI and low‑latency workloads.
Negative Updates
FX Headwind and Reporting Impact
Reported growth was lower than constant‑currency growth due to AUD:USD movement (cited moving from ~$0.65 to ~$0.70). Management flagged FX sensitivity: ~$9M revenue impact per $0.05 AUD:USD move, complicating reported results and guidance.
Guidance Complexity and Short‑Term Uncertainty
Guidance became more complex due to two acquisitions and FX volatility; management provided both stand‑alone and combined scenarios, noting sensitivities and ranges rather than a single crisp target.
Latitude Supply‑Chain and Ramp Constraints
Latitude contributed only one month of results in H1; compute capacity availability lagged due to capital constraints and supply chain (server/DRAM shortages and price spikes cited). This delayed revenue ramp — management emphasized infrastructure delivery timing and utilization as key gating factors.
Increased Operating Costs and Near‑Term Margin Pressure
Employee costs and sales & marketing spend increased as part of go‑to‑market hiring and expansion. Management flagged recurring and non‑recurring spending in H2; exit and full‑year margin outlook reflects investment cadence and the combined company mix (some guidance ranges imply lower near‑term margins).
Supply‑Chain Risk and Component Price Inflation
Industry memory and server price inflation noted (DRAM price increases cited materially), creating procurement risk and potential need to pass through costs to customers over time.
Integration and Deployment Work in India
India Internet exchange acquisition brings regulatory/retrofit work to convert 40 data centers to Megaport‑grade infrastructure; this requires incremental CapEx and operational effort before full revenue realization.
Company Guidance
Guidance was updated across the standalone network and the combined group: Megaport Network (constant‑currency at A$0.65:US$1) raised the bottom end of its FY26 revenue range from A$260–270m to A$264–270m (EBITDA margin and CapEx unchanged; Megaport Network ARR A$263.4m and exit EBITDA margin ~21%), Latitude.sh revenue guidance was reaffirmed (Latitude ARR ~A$68m / US$45m at 31 Dec), and the combined‑group FY26 guidance (using A$0.70:US$1) is A$302–317m revenue, 21–24% EBITDA margin, and A$90–100m CapEx (including ~A$3–4m contribution from the India IX acquisition); maintenance CapEx is <2% and management noted FX sensitivity of ~A$9m revenue per A$0.05 AUD:USD move.

Megaport Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid revenue growth (+9.74%) and very strong gross margin (83.05%) are offset by weak profitability (negative net margin and EBIT margin), negative ROE, and declining free cash flow (-20.09%) despite adequate operating cash flow coverage (1.19).
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Megaport has shown a consistent revenue growth trajectory, with a 9.74% increase in the latest year. The gross profit margin is strong at 83.05%, indicating effective cost management. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -0.13% and a negative EBIT margin. The EBITDA margin remains positive at 19.34%, suggesting some operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low at 0.16, indicating a conservative leverage approach. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 68.66%, showing a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow is strong, with a coverage ratio of 1.19, indicating sufficient cash generation to cover net income. However, free cash flow has declined by 20.09%, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, suggesting potential issues in converting earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue255.16M227.06M195.27M153.08M109.73M78.28M
Gross Profit23.28M188.56M158.86M6.10M-20.42M-22.77M
EBITDA48.52M43.92M40.39M28.00M-7.13M-36.69M
Net Income-20.25M-292.00K9.61M-9.77M-48.49M-55.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets935.04M260.20M214.70M202.23M220.38M220.56M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments206.32M102.07M72.43M48.45M82.55M136.31M
Total Debt119.38M28.30M15.79M19.96M27.27M15.76M
Total Liabilities437.11M81.52M60.62M74.30M78.14M40.15M
Stockholders Equity497.93M178.69M154.08M127.93M142.25M180.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow35.02M33.95M30.32M-24.57M-49.71M-30.79M
Operating Cash Flow69.91M68.25M50.17M8.23M-9.83M-8.29M
Investing Cash Flow-158.59M-34.29M-19.85M-32.73M-50.26M-22.44M
Financing Cash Flow208.16M-6.03M-7.43M-10.40M5.87M4.87M

Megaport Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.08
Price Trends
50DMA
11.24
Negative
100DMA
12.84
Negative
200DMA
13.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.01
Positive
RSI
31.81
Neutral
STOCH
16.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MP1, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.78, below the 50-day MA of 11.24, and below the 200-day MA of 13.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:MP1.

Megaport Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
AU$419.51M7.438.20%1.06%-30.96%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
AU$74.70M7.1819.30%13.74%70.80%
55
Neutral
AU$1.44B-28.32-0.15%16.28%-102.98%
48
Neutral
AU$33.15M-17.78-64.51%4.99%-38.38%-275.50%
42
Neutral
AU$8.51M-1.21-54.62%-22.47%39.26%
42
Neutral
AU$4.05M-4.22-50.39%-74.68%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MP1
Megaport
7.68
-3.34
-30.31%
AU:FCT
FirstWave Cloud Technology
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%
AU:SEN
Senetas Corporation Limited
1.98
-0.22
-10.00%
AU:NNG
Nexion Group Ltd.
0.02
0.00
0.00%
AU:B4P
Beforepay Group Limited
1.43
0.11
8.78%
AU:TYR
Tyro Payments Ltd.
0.79
-0.02
-1.86%

Megaport Corporate Events

Megaport Seeks ASX Quotation for 263,213 New Ordinary Shares
Mar 3, 2026

Megaport Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 263,213 new fully paid ordinary shares under the code MP1. The securities, issued on March 3, 2026, arise from the exercise or conversion of existing options or other convertible instruments, modestly increasing the company’s listed share capital.

The additional quotation slightly expands Megaport’s equity base and may marginally enhance liquidity in its stock for existing and prospective investors. While the issuance is relatively small in scale, it reflects ongoing use of equity-based instruments within the company’s capital management framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Buy with a A$14.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

Megaport Issues 943,234 Unquoted Restricted Stock Units Under Employee Plan
Mar 2, 2026

Megaport Limited has notified the market of the issue of 943,234 unquoted restricted stock units under its employee incentive scheme. The new securities, classified as MP1AE restricted stock units and not intended to be quoted on the ASX, were issued on 2 March 2026, underscoring the company’s continued use of equity awards to incentivise and retain employees.

The transaction does not involve a public capital raising but reflects ongoing dilution from staff equity grants, a common practice among growing technology and infrastructure providers. For existing shareholders, the move marginally increases the company’s share-based obligations while aligning employee rewards more closely with Megaport’s long-term performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Buy with a A$14.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

Megaport Director Increases Stake via Incentive Share Vesting
Feb 27, 2026

Megaport disclosed a change in director Michael Reid’s indirect interests following the exercise of performance-related equity awards. Through Aion Perpetual Pty Ltd as trustee for Aion Perpetual Trust, Reid converted 112,739 short-term incentive performance restricted stock units into fully paid ordinary shares at no cash consideration.

Following the transaction, Reid’s indirect holding increased to 335,341 Megaport shares, while his remaining 1,648,669 performance restricted stock units are scheduled to vest in stages between 2026 and 2028. The move reflects the ongoing alignment of executive remuneration with long-term company performance and provides investors with greater transparency on insider equity positions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Buy with a A$9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

Megaport Corrects FX Assumption in H1 FY26 Results Guidance
Feb 19, 2026

Megaport Limited, a specialist in programmable, software-defined connectivity services for enterprise infrastructure, has built a global platform that links businesses, data centres, and cloud providers across over 1,000 locations. Its offering enables customers to deploy secure, scalable network and compute resources closer to users and data, targeting organisations that need flexible, on-demand connectivity.

The company issued a correction to its H1 FY26 half-year results release, clarifying that its financial guidance assumes a foreign exchange outlook of $0.70 AUD:USD for the second half of FY26. The amendment signals the FX rate underpinning Megaport’s forecasts, a key assumption for investors assessing the company’s guidance and potential currency impacts on reported results.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Hold with a A$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

Megaport posts record half-year, accelerates push into compute and AI with acquisitions
Feb 19, 2026

Megaport reported record half-year results to 31 December 2025, with group annual recurring revenue rising 49% year-on-year to $338 million and revenue up 26% to $134.9 million, including contributions from two recent acquisitions. The company delivered EBITDA of $35.3 million, raised $218.2 million in new capital, and reported an underlying net loss of $3.3 million once acquisition costs were excluded.

Excluding acquisitions, Megaport’s core network business posted 19% annual recurring revenue growth in constant currency to $263.4 million, net revenue retention improved to 111%, customer lifetime extended to 13 years, and customer lifetime value rose 57% to $2.5 billion. Management highlighted particularly strong momentum in the Americas and growing demand for higher bandwidth, complex global routes, and longer-term contracts, underscoring Megaport’s increasing strategic role in customers’ infrastructure as it moves deeper into compute and AI markets via the Latitude.sh and Extreme IX deals.

The acquisition of Latitude.sh added USD $45 million of annual recurring revenue and marks a significant push into global compute and GPU-as-a-service, creating a combined software platform where automated networks and compute converge to support cloud, AI, and data centre workloads. The Extreme IX acquisition accelerates Megaport’s entry into India, expanding its addressable market and reinforcing its strategy to integrate network, compute, and AI capabilities on a single global platform.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Hold with a A$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

Megaport Boosts Revenue and Expands via Acquisitions but Swings to Loss
Feb 19, 2026

Megaport reported a strong rise in half-year revenue to $134.9 million, up 26%, with gross profit climbing 31% and EBITDA increasing 28%, but the group swung to a net loss after tax of $19.1 million versus a small profit a year earlier, and no interim dividend was declared. The company’s net tangible asset backing per share fell sharply year on year, while it broadened its infrastructure and geographic reach by acquiring Latitude.sh, a compute platform offering automated access to dedicated servers, and Extreme IX, an Indian internet exchange operator, underscoring a strategic push into higher-value compute and interconnection services that could reshape its competitive position in global cloud networking.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Hold with a A$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

Megaport Cuts Potential Dilution as RSUs Lapse and Options Expire
Jan 6, 2026

Megaport Limited has notified the market of the cessation of certain equity-linked securities, including 27,752 restricted stock units that lapsed after their performance or vesting conditions were not satisfied, and 8,334 options that expired unexercised in November 2025. The changes modestly reduce the company’s pool of potential future equity dilution, clarifying its issued capital structure for investors and potentially affecting the incentives and participation levels of holders whose conditional or option-based awards have now lapsed.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Buy with a A$21.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

Megaport Director Increases Shareholding Through Purchase Plan
Dec 12, 2025

Megaport Limited announced a change in the director’s interest notice, revealing that Director Melinda Snowden has acquired 2,297 fully paid ordinary shares through participation in a Share Purchase Plan. This acquisition increases her total holdings to 22,324 shares, reflecting a continued commitment to the company and potentially signaling confidence in Megaport’s strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Buy with a A$16.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

Megaport Completes Successful Share Purchase Plan
Dec 10, 2025

Megaport Limited has successfully completed its non-underwritten Share Purchase Plan (SPP), raising approximately A$18.2 million with the issuance of around 1.4 million new fully paid ordinary shares to eligible shareholders. The funds from the SPP will be utilized for general corporate and working capital purposes, with trading of the new shares expected to commence on the ASX on 12 December 2025. This financial maneuver follows a previously announced A$200 million fully underwritten institutional placement, highlighting Megaport’s strategic efforts to strengthen its financial position and support its operational growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Buy with a A$16.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026