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Megaport Ltd. (AU:MP1)
:MP1
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Megaport (MP1) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Megaport

(OTC:MP1)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
AU$15.00
▲(2.53%Upside)
Megaport Ltd. is on a positive financial trajectory with strong revenue and cash flow performance. Technical indicators show bullish momentum, but caution is needed due to overbought signals. The high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which tempers the overall score.

Megaport (MP1) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Megaport Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMegaport Limited provides elastic interconnection services to the enterprises and service providers in Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, North America, and Europe. It operates a platform that enables customers to connect their network to other services, as well as creates agile network that connects in multiple regions. The company also offers Megaport Virtual Edge, an on-demand and vendor-neutral Network Function Virtualization service that enables branch-to-cloud connectivity on Megaport's global software-defined network; internet exchange services; and Megaport Marketplace, an online hub the interconnects service providers and enterprise customers. In addition, it provides cloud connectivity solutions; and virtual routing for cloud networking. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Fortitude Valley, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMegaport makes money primarily through its subscription-based model where businesses pay for access to its Software Defined Network (SDN) services. The company's revenue streams are driven by monthly recurring charges for its core connectivity products, including Virtual Cross Connects, Internet Exchange services, and Cloud Routing solutions. Megaport's partnerships with major cloud service providers like AWS, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure enhance its value proposition, making it easier for customers to establish direct and secure connections to these platforms. Additionally, Megaport benefits from its extensive partner ecosystem, which includes data centers and service providers, further expanding its service offerings and customer base.

Megaport Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: 53.35%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted substantial revenue and EBITDA growth, successful product launches, and improved financial health. However, challenges with KPI metrics and increased expenditures were noted. Overall, the positive achievements significantly outweighed the challenges.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue reached $48.6 million, a 31% increase year-on-year, marking an $11.6 million rise.
EBITDA Surge
EBITDA increased by 529% to $15.1 million, reflecting a significant $12.7 million year-on-year growth.
Cash Flow Improvement
Total cash flow was $7.3 million, up $19.2 million year-on-year, showcasing a significant turnaround.
Strong Financial Position
Cash at bank was $62.5 million, up $7.3 million quarter-on-quarter, indicating a healthy fiscal status.
Global WAN Success
The launch of Global WAN resulted in the largest deal in company history, with $1.4 million in annual recurring revenue contracted over three years.
Product Innovation and Expansion
Launched several new products including Megaport Internet, 100-gig VXCs, and a 400-gig U.S. backbone upgrade is underway.
Cost Management and Efficiency
Operating cash flow increased to $15.2 million, up $15 million year-on-year, due to ongoing cost control and revenue growth.
Negative Updates
Challenges with KPI Metrics
Historically reported KPIs presented challenges due to cloud port consolidation and inappropriate signals, leading to a shift to revenue-generating metrics.
Increased Expenditure
Incremental costs for sales and marketing and customer success staff impacted EBITDA quarter-on-quarter, reflecting reinvestment in the go-to-market engine.
Delayed Headcount Cost Impact
New hires landed towards the end of Q2, meaning the full cost impact will be seen in Q3.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for MP1.AX, CEO Michael Reid provided detailed guidance on multiple financial and operational metrics, highlighting a significant turnaround and growth trajectory for the company. The company reported a revenue of $48.6 million for the second quarter of FY '24, marking a 31% increase year-on-year, alongside an EBITDA of $15.1 million, reflecting a substantial 529% rise. The net cash flow improved by $6.9 million year-on-year, while operating cash flow surged to $15.2 million. The company maintained its revenue guidance for FY '24 at $190 million to $195 million and EBITDA between $51 million and $57 million, despite revising CapEx expectations down to $20 million-$22 million. The shift in focus to revenue-generating KPIs was emphasized, with total services reported at 748, and customer numbers and ports also seeing increases. With a strong emphasis on go-to-market strategies and hiring, particularly in North America, the company is poised to continue its growth momentum. The call also pointed to the success of the newly launched Global WAN product, which resulted in the largest deal in Megaport's history, valued at $1.4 million in annual recurring revenue.

Megaport Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Megaport Ltd. shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability with a positive net profit margin. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage and high equity, while cash flow metrics have significantly improved, indicating effective financial management. Historical volatility in profits and equity fluctuations remain concerns.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Megaport Ltd. has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 27.54% increase in the most recent year, along with improved profitability metrics. The gross profit margin improved significantly, reaching 20.7% from 4.0% the previous year. The net profit margin also turned positive at 4.9%, indicating a positive shift in operational efficiency and cost management. However, historical volatility in profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid balance sheet characterized by a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The equity ratio is strong at 71.8%, demonstrating the company's reliance on equity financing. However, past fluctuations in stockholders' equity and liabilities warrant cautious monitoring.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Megaport Ltd. has shown exceptional improvement in cash flow management. The free cash flow turned positive to AUD 30.3 million from a negative position, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 5.22, highlighting efficient cash conversion. This positive trajectory in cash flow metrics supports financial stability and future growth opportunities.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue195.27M153.08M109.73M78.28M58.04M
Gross Profit158.86M6.10M-20.42M-22.77M-23.93M
EBITDA40.39M28.79M-6.32M-36.69M-30.67M
Net Income9.61M-9.77M-48.49M-55.00M-48.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets214.70M202.23M220.38M220.56M247.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.43M48.45M82.55M136.31M166.88M
Total Debt15.79M19.96M27.27M15.76M21.24M
Total Liabilities60.62M74.30M78.14M40.15M36.13M
Stockholders Equity154.08M127.93M142.25M180.41M210.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow30.32M-24.57M-49.71M-30.79M-48.55M
Operating Cash Flow50.17M8.23M-9.83M-8.29M-20.36M
Investing Cash Flow-19.85M-32.73M-50.26M-22.44M-27.57M
Financing Cash Flow-7.43M-10.40M5.87M4.87M142.83M

Megaport Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.63
Price Trends
50DMA
13.39
Positive
100DMA
11.93
Positive
200DMA
9.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
66.96
Neutral
STOCH
96.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MP1, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.63, above the 50-day MA of 13.39, and above the 200-day MA of 9.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:MP1.

Megaport Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUTYR
76
Outperform
AU$523.37M16.8415.36%7.50%204.66%
AUMP1
72
Outperform
AU$2.35B386.023.84%3.02%55.33%
AUB4P
64
Neutral
AU$78.66M17.3613.68%10.59%
57
Neutral
HK$14.24B5.26-5.75%5.39%9.34%-42.23%
AUFCT
49
Neutral
AU$30.84M-54.77%-14.50%-77.33%
AUSEN
41
Neutral
AU$33.12M-31.58%22.29%64.62%
AUNNG
35
Underperform
AU$4.05M
-50.39%-74.68%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MP1
Megaport
14.63
3.66
33.36%
AU:FCT
FirstWave Cloud Technology
0.02
0.00
0.00%
AU:SEN
Senetas Corporation Limited
0.02
0.01
100.00%
AU:NNG
Nexion Group Ltd.
0.02
0.00
0.00%
AU:B4P
Beforepay Group Limited
1.63
1.08
196.36%
AU:TYR
Tyro Payments Ltd.
0.99
0.07
7.61%

Megaport Corporate Events

Megaport to Release FY25 Results and Host Investor Briefing
Jul 11, 2025

Megaport Limited has announced that its FY25 Appendix 4E and Annual Report will be released on 21 August 2025, with a presentation of the FY25 results by CEO Michael Reid and CFO Leticia Dorman via a webcast. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, reinforcing its position in the industry as a leader in network connectivity solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Hold with a A$9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

Yarra Capital Management Ceases Substantial Holding in Megaport
Jun 30, 2025

Megaport Limited has announced that Yarra Capital Management Limited and its associated entities have ceased to be substantial holders of the company’s shares as of June 26, 2025. This change involved both acquisition and disposal of shares, with the entities selling more shares than they acquired, which may affect the company’s shareholder composition and influence in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Hold with a A$9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

Megaport Limited Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Jun 4, 2025

Megaport Limited has announced the quotation of 191,849 ordinary fully paid securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of June 4, 2025. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its financial flexibility and market presence, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Buy with a A$16.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Ceases Substantial Holding in Megaport Ltd
May 14, 2025

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have ceased to be substantial holders in Megaport Ltd as of May 12, 2025. This change in holdings involves the sale and purchase of securities by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. and J.P. Morgan Securities Australia Limited, impacting their voting securities in the company. The announcement signifies a shift in the financial positioning of Megaport’s stakeholders, potentially affecting investor confidence and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Buy with a A$16.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

JPMorgan Acquires Substantial Stake in Megaport
May 13, 2025

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have become a substantial holder in Megaport Ltd, acquiring a 5.20% voting power through various securities transactions. This development indicates a significant investment by JPMorgan in Megaport, potentially influencing the company’s strategic direction and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Buy with a A$16.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

ECP Asset Management and EC Pohl & Co Cease Substantial Holding in Megaport
May 13, 2025

Megaport Limited has announced that ECP Asset Management Pty Ltd and EC Pohl & Co Pty Ltd have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of May 9, 2025. This change in substantial holding may impact the company’s shareholder structure and could influence its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:MP1) stock is a Buy with a A$16.05 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Megaport stock, see the AU:MP1 Stock Forecast page.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Ceases Substantial Holding in Megaport Ltd
May 6, 2025

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its affiliates have ceased to be substantial holders in Megaport Ltd, a company involved in providing network services. This change reflects various transactions involving securities lending and proprietary trading, impacting the company’s shareholder structure. The cessation of substantial holding may influence Megaport’s market perception and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2025