Compressed Development ReturnsCurrent development returns are depressed versus through‑cycle targets, meaning project economics are strained by higher construction and legacy cost pressures. If returns remain below target, Mirvac may need price increases, cost cuts or longer hold periods to restore margins, weighing on multi‑year ROIC.
Weakened Cash ConversionA steep decline in free cash flow and weak cash conversion reduces internal funding for development, increases reliance on external capital and heightens exposure to rising financing costs. Over several quarters this can constrain reinvestment, slow pipeline delivery and pressure distribution policy flexibility.
Office Leasing & Disposal Execution RiskIncomplete leasing and ongoing disposals in the office portfolio create execution risk that can depress recurring income and valuation outcomes until resolved. Over the medium term, failure to lease or achieve targeted disposal prices would limit NOI recovery and hinder the intended portfolio repositioning.