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Mirvac Group (AU:MGR)
ASX:MGR

Mirvac Group (MGR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Mirvac Group

(Sydney:MGR)

54Neutral
Mirvac Group's overall stock score reflects mixed financial health and technical stability. Strong revenue growth and a solid balance sheet are tempered by significant profitability issues and a negative P/E ratio. While the attractive dividend yield is a positive, it is overshadowed by operational challenges and unprofitability. The stock shows potential for income investors but requires caution due to its financial performance concerns.

Mirvac Group (MGR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Mirvac Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMirvac is an Australian property group with a clearly defined purpose to reimagine urban life. By creating beautiful homes, inspiring workplace precincts and thriving shopping centres, we aim to make a positive contribution to our cities and communities. Mirvac was founded in 1972, which means we've been shaping Australia's urban landscape for almost fifty years. Of course, we've evolved a lot over that time growing from a small joint venture to become a thriving ASX-listed property group that leads the way in innovation, sustainability and placemaking. Renowned for the quality of our products, we've created some of Australia's most iconic places and precincts, from thriving masterplanned communities, to landmark offices including our own headquarters at EY Centre, 200 George Street, Sydney. At the heart of every project there exists a deep commitment to our customers and communities.
How the Company Makes MoneyMirvac Group generates revenue through a diversified business model that combines property development, investment, and management. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of residential properties, such as apartments and houses, and income from leasing office, retail, and industrial properties. Mirvac also earns money through property management services and co-investments in property development projects. Significant partnerships with government bodies and other real estate developers enhance its earnings potential. Additionally, the company benefits from its large portfolio of investment properties, which provides consistent rental income and capital growth opportunities.

Mirvac Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mirvac Group shows a mixed financial performance. Strong revenue growth is overshadowed by significant net losses impacting profitability. The balance sheet is robust with a healthy equity ratio, but operational cash generation needs improvement.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Mirvac Group's income statement shows some concerning trends. While the gross profit margin for 2024 is approximately 30.0%, there is a significant net loss of AUD 805 million, resulting in a negative net profit margin of -26.6%. The revenue has grown by 59.9% from 2023 to 2024, indicating positive sales growth. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 21.2% and 23.7% respectively, reflect operational efficiency issues, compounded by the large net loss.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a strong equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48, suggesting moderate leverage, which is common for REITs. The equity ratio stands at 60.1%, indicating financial stability. However, the decline in stockholders' equity from 2023 to 2024 raises concerns about asset valuation or additional liabilities. The return on equity is negative due to the net loss, which is a significant downside.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Mirvac Group's cash flow statement highlights a recovery in free cash flow, which is AUD 540 million for 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to the net loss, and the free cash flow growth rate is strong compared to the previous year. Nevertheless, the operating cash flow is less than ideal, indicating a need for improved cash generation from operations.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.99B2.95B1.89B2.30B1.80B2.10B
Gross Profit
866.00M833.00M835.00M854.00M753.00M820.00M
EBIT
654.00M641.00M463.00M565.00M507.00M544.00M
EBITDA
641.00M716.00M41.00M648.00M578.00M612.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-603.00M-805.00M-165.00M906.00M901.00M558.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
76.00M335.00M122.00M558.00M117.00M324.00M
Total Assets
15.44B15.56B17.15B17.38B16.15B15.77B
Total Debt
4.70B4.48B4.54B4.29B3.99B4.37B
Net Debt
4.62B4.14B4.42B3.73B3.87B4.05B
Total Liabilities
6.28B6.21B6.59B6.18B5.49B5.63B
Stockholders Equity
9.17B9.35B10.56B11.13B10.59B10.09B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
810.00M540.00M-62.00M888.00M630.00M446.00M
Operating Cash Flow
812.00M542.00M-57.00M896.00M635.00M450.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-213.00M126.00M-315.00M-436.00M-492.00M-443.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-750.00M-455.00M-64.00M-19.00M-350.00M183.00M

Mirvac Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.34
Price Trends
50DMA
2.15
Positive
100DMA
2.05
Positive
200DMA
2.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
72.52
Negative
STOCH
87.41
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:MGR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.34 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.22, above the 50-day MA of 2.15, and above the 200-day MA of 2.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.52 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:MGR.

Mirvac Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$2.81B11.050.20%8508.34%6.12%-16.02%
AUMGR
54
Neutral
$9.23B-6.29%4.40%22.66%-3.80%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:MGR
Mirvac Group
2.34
0.36
18.30%
CNRAF
Vicinity Centres
1.48
0.30
25.42%
CTOUF
Charter Hall Group
12.54
4.87
63.49%
DEXSF
Dexus
4.74
0.30
6.76%
GPTGF
GPT Group
3.01
0.35
13.16%
STGPF
Scentre Group
2.38
0.42
21.43%

Mirvac Group Corporate Events

Mirvac Group Reports Strong 3Q25 Performance and Strategic Progress
Apr 30, 2025

Mirvac Group’s operational update for the third quarter of 2025 highlights continued momentum across its business segments, with strong residential sales growth and significant progress in capital partnerships for major developments. The company maintained high occupancy rates across its investment portfolio and achieved notable leasing success, particularly in the office and industrial sectors. Mirvac’s strategic objectives for FY25 are on track, supported by a strong balance sheet and positive market conditions, positioning the company well for future earnings and growth.

Mirvac Group Announces Change of Registry Address
Apr 14, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced a change in the registry address for its Sydney office of MUFG Corporate Markets (AU) Limited, effective from 14 April 2025. The move to Liberty Place, Level 41, 161 Castlereagh Street, Sydney, NSW 2000, does not affect telephone numbers or postal addresses. This change is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to streamline operations and maintain its strong market position in the real estate sector.

State Street Increases Stake in Mirvac Group
Mar 4, 2025

Mirvac Group has experienced a change in the interests of a substantial holder, with State Street Global Advisors and its subsidiaries now holding a significant number of voting securities. This shift in voting power, from 9.51% to 10.72%, indicates a strategic move by State Street to increase its influence within Mirvac Group. The change in holdings could impact Mirvac’s governance and decision-making processes, potentially affecting stakeholders and the company’s future direction.

Mirvac Group Announces Board Committee Changes
Feb 28, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced changes to its board committee composition with the appointment of Rosemary Hartnett to the Mirvac Board, effective 1 March 2025. She will join the Audit, Risk and Compliance Committee and the Human Resources Committee, which could enhance the company’s governance and strategic oversight, potentially impacting its operations and stakeholder relations positively.

Mirvac Director Acquires 15,000 Stapled Securities
Feb 25, 2025

Mirvac Group announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Rosemary Beryl Hartnett acquiring 15,000 Stapled Securities through an on-market purchase at an average price of $2.16 per security. This acquisition reflects a direct interest in the company, potentially indicating confidence in Mirvac’s market position and future prospects.

Mirvac Group Reports 1H25 Financial Results with Strong Development Pipeline
Feb 13, 2025

Mirvac Group’s financial results for the first half of 2025 show a slight increase in operating revenue to $1,284 million, although operating profit after tax decreased to $236 million from $252 million in the previous year. The company maintains a strong development pipeline valued at $29 billion and continues to focus on high-quality, sustainable real estate projects. Despite challenges, such as a minor decline in statutory profit, Mirvac’s diverse portfolio and strategic focus aim to provide long-term value to its stakeholders.

Mirvac Group Highlights Strategic and Financial Insights for 1H25
Feb 13, 2025

Mirvac Group has provided additional information regarding its operations and financial performance for the first half of 2025. The company emphasizes its unique competitive advantages and deep platform value, alongside a strong focus on sustainability and decarbonization as part of its strategic agenda. This release highlights the company’s financial performance, including income and operating results, and outlines its investment and capital management strategies. Key insights include details on the company’s portfolio across various sectors such as office, industrial, retail, and build-to-rent properties, as well as its ongoing and pipeline projects. These strategic insights are expected to have significant implications for its market positioning and stakeholder engagement.

Mirvac Group Announces 1H25 Results
Feb 13, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced its results for the first half of 2025, providing insights into its financial performance and strategic initiatives. The release highlights the company’s focus on investment, development, and funds management, underscoring its commitment to enhancing shareholder value and maintaining its competitive position in the real estate industry.

Mirvac Property Trust Releases Interim Financial Report for 1H25
Feb 13, 2025

Mirvac Property Trust has released its interim report for the half-year ending December 31, 2024, showcasing the financial position and performance of the consolidated entity. While the report provides a snapshot of the trust’s financial health, stakeholders are encouraged to review it alongside the annual report and any recent public announcements for a comprehensive understanding of its operational and financial context.

Mirvac Group Reports Strong 1H25 Results and Strategic Progress
Feb 13, 2025

Mirvac Group reported a strong interim result for the first half of fiscal year 2025, with an operating profit of $236 million and maintaining a distribution of 4.5 cents per stapled security. The company demonstrated significant progress in its strategic initiatives, including a 51% increase in residential lot sales, completion of new developments, and expansion in the living sector. Mirvac’s robust balance sheet and strategic capital initiatives have positioned it for future growth, with a committed development pipeline expected to deliver substantial operating income and development value. The company maintained high occupancy rates across its portfolios and captured positive rental reversions, despite challenges in asset valuations.

Mirvac Group’s 1H25 Interim Report Highlights Strong Development Pipeline and Strategic Agility
Feb 13, 2025

The Mirvac Group’s Interim Report for the first half of 2025 highlights a consolidated summary of the company’s operational and financial performance. The report, which covers the period from July to December 2024, provides insights into the company’s strategic direction and financial health. Mirvac continues to focus on delivering sustainable real estate solutions and has a significant development pipeline. The report emphasizes the company’s integrated approach, allowing it to influence every project stage and maintain agility in response to market changes. This strategic direction aims to drive long-term value for its stakeholders.

Mirvac Group Confirms Distribution Update for December 2024
Feb 13, 2025

Mirvac Group has announced a distribution of 4.5 cents per Stapled Security from Mirvac Property Trust, with no dividend paid from Mirvac Limited. This update confirms the actual distribution for the period ending December 31, 2024, reflecting the company’s ongoing financial activities and providing clarity to stakeholders on the fiscal outcomes.

Mirvac Group Reports Revenue Growth Despite Profit Decline
Feb 13, 2025

Mirvac Group has reported a 2% increase in total revenue for the first half of 2024, bringing it to $1,284 million compared to $1,261 million in the previous year. However, the company experienced a 6% decline in operating profit after tax, down to $236 million from $252 million. Notably, the profit attributable to stapled security holders saw a significant turnaround, rising from a $201 million loss in 2023 to a $1 million profit in 2024. These results reflect the company’s efforts to stabilize and improve financial performance, which may positively influence its market position and offer cautious optimism for its stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.