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Lovisa Holdings Ltd.
(Sydney:LOV)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
AU$26.00
▲(25.85% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:03/13/26
The score is led by strong operating performance and cash generation, partially offset by elevated leverage risk. Technicals are the biggest drag given a clear downtrend and negative momentum, while valuation (reasonable P/E and solid dividend yield) provides some support.
Positive Factors
High gross margin & healthy profitability
Sustained 82% gross margin and double-digit net margin indicate durable product-level pricing power and cost control in fast-fashion jewelry. High margins provide a structural buffer against input-cost shocks, support reinvestment in stores and merchandising, and enable consistent earnings conversion over mid-term cycles.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage on the balance sheet
A debt-to-equity ratio above 6x creates persistent balance-sheet risk: higher interest and refinancing exposure, reduced financial flexibility, and vulnerability to cash-flow variability. Over months this can constrain strategic spending, increase costs if rates rise, and limit ability to navigate retail shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High gross margin & healthy profitability
Sustained 82% gross margin and double-digit net margin indicate durable product-level pricing power and cost control in fast-fashion jewelry. High margins provide a structural buffer against input-cost shocks, support reinvestment in stores and merchandising, and enable consistent earnings conversion over mid-term cycles.
Read all positive factors
Lovisa Holdings Ltd. (LOV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$2.65B
Dividend Yield3.27%
Average Volume (3M)183.68K
Price to Earnings (P/E)29.8
Beta (1Y)1.71
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryAU
Employees8,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustrySpecialty Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.80
Shares Outstanding110,738,495
10 Day Avg. Volume166,603
30 Day Avg. Volume183,682
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio10.15
Price to Book (P/B)44.59
Price to Sales (P/S)4.39
P/FCF Ratio23.85
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$26.84Price Target Upside29.91% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)1.01
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$1.06B
Lovisa Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Lovisa Holdings Limited operates as a global retailer, focusing on fashionable jewelry and accessories. The company manages the entire product lifecycle under its proprietary Lovisa brand, encompassing design, development, sourcing, and merchandis...
How the Company Makes Money
Lovisa primarily makes money by selling fashion jewelry and accessories directly to consumers through its store network, with revenue recognized at the point of sale. Its core revenue stream is retail merchandise sales (high-volume, lower-ticket i...
Lovisa Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 892.86M | 798.13M | 698.66M | 596.46M | 458.71M | 288.03M |
| Gross Profit | 523.36M | 654.67M | 565.79M | 476.71M | 361.83M | 220.96M |
| EBITDA | 236.68M | 176.59M | 221.55M | 180.19M | 142.73M | 97.70M |
| Net Income | 87.79M | 86.33M | 82.41M | 68.16M | 58.39M | 24.83M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 737.93M | 698.43M | 532.80M | 525.31M | 373.52M | 298.26M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 70.48M | 49.11M | 30.52M | 31.65M | 34.15M | 35.55M |
| Total Debt | 816.72M | 499.64M | 359.07M | 372.59M | 228.37M | 200.69M |
| Total Liabilities | 629.89M | 619.88M | 452.51M | 445.32M | 309.20M | 252.55M |
| Stockholders Equity | 108.04M | 78.55M | 80.29M | 79.99M | 64.32M | 45.72M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 165.25M | 146.88M | 148.91M | 64.30M | 93.18M | 69.96M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 245.16M | 207.91M | 187.51M | 141.16M | 130.56M | 85.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -69.74M | -55.17M | -23.27M | -60.72M | -34.60M | 2.26M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -159.03M | -143.06M | -165.16M | -83.61M | -97.47M | -73.08M |
Lovisa Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis
Positive
20.66
Price Trends
22.51
Positive
22.44
Positive
26.56
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.24
Positive
34.40
Neutral
16.54
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:LOV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.63, below the 50-day MA of 22.51, and below the 200-day MA of 26.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:LOV.
Lovisa Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | AU$2.65B | 29.83 | 94.10% | 3.78% | ― | ― | |
63 Neutral | AU$2.24B | 16.90 | 31.92% | 3.52% | -30.67% | -24.10% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | AU$566.20M | 16.27 | 22.34% | 5.90% | 14.44% | 61.48% | |
54 Neutral | AU$128.92M | 16.31 | 4.90% | ― | 1.87% | 650.00% | |
47 Neutral | AU$72.44M | -9.64 | -24.62% | ― | -6.53% | -448.44% | |
42 Neutral | AU$362.83M | -1.19 | -22.14% | 6.38% | 30.31% | -737.99% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
AU:LOV
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23.86
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-27.20%
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.