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Inghams Group Ltd. (AU:ING)
ASX:ING

Inghams Group Ltd. (ING) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ING

Inghams Group Ltd.

(Sydney:ING)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
AU$2.00
▼(-5.21% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:10/02/25
The overall stock score for Inghams Group Ltd. is primarily influenced by its mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While the company shows strong cash flow management and attractive valuation metrics, the declining revenue, high leverage, and negative market momentum weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Vertically integrated value chain
Control across breeding, feed, grow-out, processing and logistics reduces supply disruptions and biosecurity risk, preserves product quality, and lets the company capture value at multiple stages. This structural integration supports durable margin protection and reliability to customers.
Stable operating margins
Sustained gross and operating margins indicate operational efficiency in processing and value-added products. Stable margins across EBIT/EBITDA show core business resilience, enabling the firm to absorb moderate cost swings while maintaining profitability over the medium term.
Strong cash generation metrics
High conversion of earnings into cash provides financial flexibility for capex, working capital and servicing obligations. Reliable operating cash flow supports dividends and reinvestment even if earnings fluctuate, a durable strength for capital-intensive food processing.
Negative Factors
High financial leverage
Very high leverage amplifies interest and refinancing risk and reduces balance-sheet flexibility. Increases sensitivity to commodity or demand shocks and constrains ability to invest or de-lever without diverting cashflow, a material structural risk over months.
Declining revenue trend
Ongoing revenue decline suggests demand or market-share pressure that can erode scale economics. Persistent top-line contraction raises the risk of margin compression as fixed costs are spread over lower volumes, challenging sustainable profit and investment capacity.
Falling free cash flow
A material drop in free cash flow limits the firm’s ability to reduce leverage, fund growth initiatives, or maintain dividends without external financing. Weaker FCF reduces operational buffer for input-cost spikes or biosecurity events, raising structural liquidity risk.

Inghams Group Ltd. (ING) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Inghams Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInghams Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells chicken and turkey products in Australia and New Zealand. The company provides fresh, fresh with flavor, frozen, gluten free, and ready to cook chicken and turkey products under the Ingham's brand name. It also offers stock feeds for poultry and pig industries. The company was founded in 1918 and is based in North Ryde, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyInghams Group Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of poultry products, which includes whole birds, cuts, and processed items. The company's revenue model is supported by multiple key streams: retail sales through supermarkets and grocery stores, foodservice sales to restaurants and catering businesses, and export sales to international markets. Significant partnerships with major retailers enhance distribution capabilities, while a focus on value-added products allows the company to capture higher margins. Additionally, Inghams invests in operational efficiencies and supply chain improvements to optimize costs and enhance profitability.

Inghams Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Inghams Group Ltd. exhibits a mixed financial performance. While profitability margins are stable, the company faces challenges with declining revenue and high leverage. Cash flow generation remains strong, but the decrease in free cash flow growth is a concern. Overall, the company needs to address its revenue growth and leverage to improve financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Inghams Group Ltd. has shown a decline in revenue growth with a negative growth rate of -2.44% in the latest year. However, the company maintains a reasonable gross profit margin of 18.45% and a net profit margin of 2.85%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also stable at 6.62% and 8.90%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency despite the revenue decline.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.63, which suggests significant leverage and potential financial risk. However, the return on equity is strong at 32.41%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low at 11.72%, highlighting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has decreased by 28.64%, which is a concern for liquidity. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.56 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.36 demonstrate strong cash generation relative to net income, indicating good cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.15B3.15B3.26B3.04B2.71B2.67B
Gross Profit547.10M581.70M620.90M511.30M405.50M486.80M
EBITDA280.00M280.70M232.00M420.90M370.20M447.00M
Net Income56.40M89.80M101.50M60.40M35.10M83.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.26B2.36B2.40B2.57B2.54B2.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments71.30M106.40M110.70M136.30M131.60M158.10M
Total Debt2.28B1.56B1.60B1.90B1.94B1.94B
Total Liabilities2.01B2.09B2.18B2.37B2.38B2.38B
Stockholders Equity255.20M277.00M219.60M201.80M158.20M163.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow148.90M212.00M256.80M259.70M267.60M360.90M
Operating Cash Flow265.40M319.30M418.50M331.60M329.50M427.20M
Investing Cash Flow-112.80M-134.70M-164.10M-68.40M-58.10M-55.60M
Financing Cash Flow-249.30M-189.50M-279.70M-258.70M-309.80M-347.60M

Inghams Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.11
Price Trends
50DMA
2.49
Negative
100DMA
2.48
Negative
200DMA
2.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
22.84
Positive
STOCH
48.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ING, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.45, below the 50-day MA of 2.49, and below the 200-day MA of 2.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.84 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:ING.

Inghams Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
AU$960.28M12.6912.11%4.07%-2.82%12.29%
66
Neutral
AU$53.08M7.6229.12%2.63%
63
Neutral
AU$1.30B32.272.58%6.42%12.27%-35.60%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
AU$905.67M10.1036.84%7.63%-3.36%-11.53%
57
Neutral
AU$1.54B26.305.24%5.16%2.25%-2.41%
49
Neutral
AU$813.39M13.983.47%16.63%66.67%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ING
Inghams Group Ltd.
2.11
-1.13
-34.94%
AU:AAC
Australian Agricultural Company
1.34
-0.11
-7.93%
AU:ELD
Elders Limited
7.27
0.48
7.15%
AU:GNC
Graincorp Limited Class A
5.84
-0.62
-9.63%
AU:FRM
Farm Pride Foods Limited
0.23
0.05
27.78%
AU:SGLLV
Ricegrowers Ltd. Class B
13.71
3.84
38.85%

Inghams Group Ltd. Corporate Events

Inghams adjusts dividend timetable after public holiday clash
Feb 20, 2026

Inghams Group Limited has updated its dividend notification for ordinary fully paid shares, covering the six‑month period ended 27 December 2025. The dividend is tied to this reporting period, with an ex‑dividend date set for 12 March 2026 and a record date of 13 March 2026 for eligible shareholders.

The company revised the previously announced payment timetable because the initial payment date coincided with a public holiday, prompting a formal update through the ASX. The change is administrative in nature but ensures accurate scheduling for investors tracking income and settlement dates tied to Inghams’ interim distribution.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ING) stock is a Hold with a A$2.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inghams Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:ING Stock Forecast page.

Inghams Releases FY26 Interim Financial Results Overview
Feb 19, 2026

Inghams Group Limited has released its FY26 interim financial results presentation dated 20 February 2026, providing a high-level update on the group’s activities and performance. The document emphasises that the information is a summary only, should be read alongside the company’s other ASX disclosures, and is presented largely on an as-reported, post-AASB 16 basis.

The company highlights the use of non-IFRS metrics such as EBITDA and underlying results to reflect business performance, noting these measures are unaudited. It also cautions that any forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties beyond its control, reinforcing that investors should not rely on the presentation as standalone investment advice.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ING) stock is a Sell with a A$2.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inghams Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:ING Stock Forecast page.

Inghams Cuts FY26 Guidance as Cost Pressures Hit First-Half Profit
Feb 19, 2026

Inghams reported first-half FY26 earnings broadly in line with earlier guidance but sharply lower than a year ago, as underlying EBITDA pre AASB 16 fell 35% and net profit dropped nearly 65% amid higher costs tied to excess inventory, supply chain transition and customer on-boarding. While core poultry volumes edged down overall, second-quarter volume growth, stronger wholesale pricing, resilient New Zealand operations and inventory reductions are expected to support a stronger second half, though full-year EBITDA guidance has been cut and leverage has risen above the company’s target range.

Management is implementing an operational reset to restore efficiency, including improved planning, stabilising the supply chain and targeted farming and processing initiatives, with internal feed costs already lower and cash conversion improving due to inventory run-down. The shift of growers to variable performance-based contracts has lifted operating costs but is largely offset by lower depreciation and interest under AASB 16, and Inghams expects earnings momentum to rebuild through the second half and into FY27 despite the reduced FY26 outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ING) stock is a Sell with a A$2.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inghams Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:ING Stock Forecast page.

Inghams Profit Slumps Despite Steady Revenue as Board Maintains Dividends
Feb 19, 2026

Inghams Group Limited reported flat revenue of $1.61 billion for the half year to 27 December 2025, while net profit attributable to members fell 64.9% to $18.1 million compared with the prior corresponding period. The board has determined a fully franked interim dividend of 4.0 cents per share, totalling $14.9 million and payable on 3 April 2026, following the payment of an 8.0 cent fully franked final dividend for FY25 and against a backdrop of modestly higher net tangible asset backing of $0.67 per share.

The group’s investment in pet food palatant maker AFB International remained non-material to its financial performance, and it completed the wind-up of its Bermuda-based captive insurer Ovoid Insurance Limited during the period. The weak profitability despite stable sales underscores margin pressures or higher costs in the business, yet the continued dividend payments and improvement in net tangible asset backing suggest the board’s confidence in the company’s balance sheet resilience and ongoing returns to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ING) stock is a Sell with a A$2.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inghams Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:ING Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Exits Substantial Holder Position in Inghams Group
Jan 27, 2026

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has lodged a notice with the market regulator indicating it has ceased to be a substantial holder in Inghams Group Limited, the Australian poultry producer. The filing details a series of transactions, largely purchases of fully paid ordinary shares executed by an entity controlled by Morgan Stanley, that have altered Mitsubishi UFJ’s relevant interest and voting power below the substantial holding threshold, signalling a change in the company’s institutional shareholder base and potentially affecting the liquidity and ownership structure of Inghams’ stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ING) stock is a Buy with a A$2.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inghams Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:ING Stock Forecast page.

First Sentier Investors Exits Substantial Holder Position in Inghams Group
Jan 23, 2026

First Sentier Investors, together with its related bodies corporate and associates under the broader Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group umbrella, has lodged a notice stating it has ceased to be a substantial shareholder in Inghams Group Ltd as of 21 January 2026. The move indicates a reduction in First Sentier’s collective holding in Inghams below the substantial shareholder threshold, signaling a reallocation of capital by a major institutional investor that may alter Inghams’ register composition and slightly diminish the influence of this global asset management and banking group over the company’s governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ING) stock is a Buy with a A$2.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inghams Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:ING Stock Forecast page.

Inghams Reschedules Half-Year Results Webcast to Avoid Market Clash
Jan 21, 2026

Inghams Group Limited has adjusted the timing of its upcoming 2026 interim financial results webcast, moving the investor briefing to 11:00am AEDT on 20 February 2026. The rescheduling is designed to avoid a clash with another company’s results presentation and is intended to maximise attendance and participation from investors and other stakeholders, underscoring the company’s efforts to facilitate market engagement around its half-year performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ING) stock is a Buy with a A$2.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inghams Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:ING Stock Forecast page.

Inghams Sets Date for 1H26 Results and Investor Webcast
Jan 5, 2026

Inghams Group Limited, a major Australian poultry and food producer listed on the ASX, has announced that it will publish its interim financial results for the first half of the 2026 financial year on Friday, 20 February 2026. The company will host a live webcast investor briefing at 10:00am AEDT on the same day, providing analysts and investors with an opportunity to review and question management on the half-year performance, underscoring Inghams’ ongoing commitment to transparent communication with the market and its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ING) stock is a Buy with a A$2.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inghams Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:ING Stock Forecast page.

Citi Group Entities Cease to Be Substantial Holders in Inghams Group
Dec 29, 2025

Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited and its related Citi group entities have notified Inghams Group Ltd that they have ceased to be a substantial shareholder as of 23 December 2025. The change reflects a series of adjustments in relevant interests held under securities lending arrangements, including decreased positions by Citibank N.A. Sydney Branch and Citigroup Global Markets Limited and a smaller offsetting increase by Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited, collectively reducing Citi’s voting power below the substantial holding threshold and slightly reshaping Inghams’ institutional shareholder base without indicating any direct change to the company’s underlying operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ING) stock is a Buy with a A$2.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inghams Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:ING Stock Forecast page.

Citigroup Entities Fall Below Substantial Holding Threshold in Inghams Group
Dec 23, 2025

Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited and its related Citi group entities have notified Inghams Group Ltd that they have ceased to be a substantial shareholder as of 19 December 2025, reflecting changes in their relevant interests under securities lending arrangements. Within the Citi group, Citibank N.A. Sydney Branch increased its relevant interest in Inghams shares as agent lender, while Citigroup Global Markets Australia Pty Limited and Citigroup Global Markets Limited both reduced their relevant interests, leading to the group’s overall holding falling below the substantial shareholder threshold and signalling a shift in institutional ownership of Inghams stock.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ING) stock is a Buy with a A$2.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inghams Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:ING Stock Forecast page.

S&P Dow Jones Indices Announces Changes to S&P/ASX Indices for December 2025
Dec 5, 2025

S&P Dow Jones Indices announced changes to the S&P/ASX Indices, effective December 22, 2025, following their quarterly review. The S&P/ASX 50 Index will see the addition of Lynas Rare Earths Limited and Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Company Limited, while Amcor PLC and Mirvac Group will be removed. The S&P/ASX 100 Index will include Eagers Automotive Limited and Capricorn Metals Limited, with Reece Limited and Reliance Worldwide Corporation Limited being removed. The S&P/ASX 200 Index will add six companies, including Aussie Broadband Limited and NexGen Energy, while removing six others, including Inghams Group Limited. These changes could impact the market positioning and investment strategies of the affected companies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ING) stock is a Buy with a A$2.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inghams Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:ING Stock Forecast page.

Inghams Group Director’s Interest Update: New Performance Rights Acquired
Dec 1, 2025

Inghams Group Limited has announced a change in the interests of its director, Edward Alexander, with the acquisition of 430,331 Unquoted Performance Rights as part of the company’s long-term incentive plan. This move, approved at the 2025 AGM, aligns with the company’s strategy to incentivize its leadership team, potentially impacting the company’s operational focus and stakeholder interests by strengthening leadership commitment to company goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ING) stock is a Buy with a A$2.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inghams Group Ltd. stock, see the AU:ING Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 02, 2025