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GWA Group Limited (AU:GWA)
ASX:GWA
Australian Market

GWA Group Limited (GWA) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:GWA

GWA Group Limited

(Sydney:GWA)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
AU$2.50
â–¼(-0.40% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/30/25
GWA Group Limited's strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and solid cash flow, is the primary driver of its stock score. The valuation is attractive with a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest a cautious short-term outlook, which slightly tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
A 25.9% revenue increase signals durable demand and expanding market penetration for branded building products. Sustained top-line growth supports scale economies, funds reinvestment in product development and distribution, and underpins longer-term margin and cash generation resilience.
High Margins
Healthy gross and net margins reflect pricing power from branded products and effective cost control. Margin levels provide a buffer against input cost swings, enable reinvestment in R&D and channel support, and support sustainable profitability across business cycles.
Cash Generation & Balance Sheet
Double-digit FCF growth and near-1 cash conversion show strong ability to convert profits into liquidity. This supports debt servicing and strategic investments; combined with an improved debt/equity stance, it enhances financial flexibility and reduces long-term refinancing risk.
Negative Factors
Cyclicality Exposure
Dependence on new-build and renovation markets makes revenue sensitive to housing starts, commercial construction activity and interest rates. Prolonged downturns in construction can compress volumes and delay projects, putting sustained pressure on sales and investment plans.
Margin & Cash Coverage Pressure
A falling EBITDA margin and softer operating cash flow coverage signal emerging cost or mix pressures. If these trends persist they could erode ability to self-fund growth initiatives and weaken resilience to input cost inflation or competitive pricing dynamics.
Geographic Concentration
Heavy reliance on the Australian market concentrates demand and regulatory risk. Limited international diversification constrains growth optionality and leaves the business more exposed to domestic housing cycles, local policy shifts, and single-country economic shocks.

GWA Group Limited (GWA) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

GWA Group Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGWA Group Limited researches, designs, manufactures, imports, and markets building fixtures and fittings to residential and commercial premises in Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. It offers vitreous China toilet suites, basins, plastic cisterns, taps and showers, baths, kitchen sinks, laundry tubs, smart products, and bathroom accessories, as well as domestic water control valves under the Caroma, Methven, Dorf, and CLARK brands. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Pinkenba, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGWA makes money mainly by selling building products under its owned brands to customers across the construction and renovation value chain. Revenue is generated from (1) wholesale supply to plumbing and bathroom trade merchants and distributors (e.g., products such as toilets, basins, tapware, showers, and bathroom accessories), (2) sales through retail channels (home improvement and specialty retailers) where its branded products are stocked for consumer renovation demand, and (3) commercial/project sales of doors, door hardware, and access solutions into non-residential and institutional construction where specifications and project-based procurement drive volume. The company earns gross margin as the spread between its manufacturing and/or sourced product costs (including import and procurement) and selling prices, supported by brand positioning, product innovation, and distribution reach. Additional earnings drivers typically include mix (higher-margin branded and premium product lines), exposure to new-build and renovation cycles, and operational efficiencies in manufacturing, sourcing, and logistics. Specific material partnerships, customer concentration, or contract terms: null.

GWA Group Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
GWA Group Limited exhibits strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth of 25.9% and healthy profit margins. The balance sheet shows improved leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56, and cash flow metrics indicate robust cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
GWA Group Limited has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 25.9% increase in the latest year, indicating robust demand for its products. The gross profit margin is healthy at 40.5%, and the net profit margin has improved to 10.4%, reflecting effective cost management. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid, suggesting operational efficiency. However, the slight decline in EBITDA margin compared to the previous year warrants attention.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.56, indicating a more balanced capital structure and reduced financial risk. Return on equity is strong at 14.3%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid asset base. Continued focus on debt reduction could further enhance financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
GWA Group's free cash flow growth of 14.54% is a positive indicator of financial health, supporting future investments and debt servicing. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.57, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating strong cash conversion. However, a slight decrease in operating cash flow coverage ratio compared to previous years should be monitored.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue422.68M418.48M413.49M411.84M418.72M405.74M
Gross Profit171.34M169.53M162.35M158.19M161.81M164.08M
EBITDA90.38M80.45M83.42M86.22M78.87M78.15M
Net Income46.56M43.38M38.63M43.16M35.18M35.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets634.00M648.29M659.88M694.53M729.98M693.71M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.28M49.30M42.01M43.44M31.44M42.63M
Total Debt188.17M169.78M182.81M212.56M229.30M212.60M
Total Liabilities337.11M345.31M355.29M388.99M426.15M397.10M
Stockholders Equity296.89M302.97M304.59M305.54M303.83M296.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow60.71M67.91M69.84M70.66M11.58M73.15M
Operating Cash Flow62.01M69.15M72.81M72.88M13.99M78.30M
Investing Cash Flow-2.70M-2.84M-2.98M-2.22M-2.41M-7.98M
Financing Cash Flow-61.64M-58.62M-71.14M-58.35M-22.55M-59.53M

GWA Group Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.51
Price Trends
50DMA
2.47
Negative
100DMA
2.42
Negative
200DMA
2.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
26.74
Positive
STOCH
3.62
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GWA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.35, above the 50-day MA of 2.47, and above the 200-day MA of 2.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.74 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.62 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:GWA.

GWA Group Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
AU$564.89M6.8115.52%6.20%1.21%12.29%
72
Outperform
AU$516.85M5.067.94%7.33%1.58%-4.71%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
AU$423.14M9.3816.86%2.86%1.89%-3.30%
58
Neutral
AU$659.80M5.4322.34%4.70%15.51%-32.98%
54
Neutral
AU$498.02M9.118.54%2.04%8.22%-46.33%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:GWA
GWA Group Limited
2.13
-0.04
-1.93%
AU:AX1
Accent Group Ltd
0.86
-0.85
-49.82%
AU:ASG
Autosports Group Ltd
2.42
0.63
35.20%
AU:UNI
Universal Store Holdings Ltd.
8.60
1.07
14.19%
AU:BLX
Beacon Lighting Group Ltd
1.85
-1.30
-41.39%

GWA Group Limited Corporate Events

GWA Group Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 8, 2026

GWA Group Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. As of the latest daily update dated 9 March 2026, the company has repurchased a cumulative total of 5,303,447 shares prior to the previous day, with an additional 163,166 shares bought back on the previous trading day, indicating active execution of its capital management strategy.

The filing, which amends an earlier buy-back notice first lodged in August 2025 and most recently updated on 6 March 2026, confirms that the buy-back remains in progress and is being reported to the market on a daily basis. The continued execution of the on-market buy-back may support earnings per share over time and signals management’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders while potentially influencing the company’s share liquidity and capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GWA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GWA Group Limited stock, see the AU:GWA Stock Forecast page.

GWA Group Reports Daily Progress on On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 4, 2026

GWA Group Limited, an ASX-listed company trading under the code GWA with ordinary fully paid shares, remains focused on actively managing its listed equity base through on-market transactions. The company’s securities are subject to Australian regulatory and disclosure requirements, reflecting its obligations as a public issuer.

GWA has provided an updated notification of its on-market share buy-back program, reporting that a total of 4,741,447 shares had been repurchased prior to the latest reporting date, with an additional 244,000 shares bought back on the previous trading day. The ongoing daily buy-back activity signals continued execution of the company’s capital management strategy, potentially supporting earnings per share and share price dynamics for existing investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GWA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GWA Group Limited stock, see the AU:GWA Stock Forecast page.

GWA Group lifts on-market buy-back to 4.49 million shares
Mar 3, 2026

GWA Group Limited, listed on the ASX under the code GWA, issues ordinary fully paid shares and is known for its presence in the building products and fixtures sector serving residential and commercial construction markets. The company’s operations and capital structure are closely watched by investors given its role in supplying key components to the property and construction industry.

The company has provided an updated notification of its on-market share buy-back, confirming that 253,232 shares were repurchased on the previous trading day, bringing the total bought back to 4,488,215 shares since the program’s start. This ongoing buy-back, first announced in August 2025 and now updated as of 4 March 2026, signals continued capital management activity that may support earnings per share and reflects management’s confidence in the company’s valuation for existing shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GWA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GWA Group Limited stock, see the AU:GWA Stock Forecast page.

GWA Group Updates ASX on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Mar 2, 2026

GWA Group Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program for its ordinary fully paid shares. The update, dated 3 March 2026, reports that a total of 4,293,215 shares had been repurchased prior to the previous trading day, with a further 195,000 shares bought back on the previous day.

The latest filing is a routine daily buy-back notification, amending an earlier disclosure first lodged in August 2025 and most recently updated on 2 March 2026. The continued execution of the buy-back indicates management’s active approach to capital management and may signal confidence in the company’s valuation while incrementally reducing the number of shares on issue for existing investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GWA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GWA Group Limited stock, see the AU:GWA Stock Forecast page.

GWA Group Continues On-Market Share Buy-Back With Daily Update
Mar 1, 2026

GWA Group Limited has updated the market on its ongoing on-market share buy-back program, confirming that it is repurchasing ordinary fully paid shares under an arrangement first notified in August 2025. The latest daily notification shows that the company has bought back a cumulative 4,144,090 shares prior to the previous trading day, with an additional 149,125 shares repurchased on the previous day, indicating continued execution of its capital management strategy.

The filing, lodged as an Appendix 3C update, underscores that this activity forms part of a previously announced buy-back rather than a new program, with the most recent update dated 26 February 2026 and this notice dated 2 March 2026. The ongoing on-market buy-back signals management’s focus on adjusting the company’s capital structure, which may have implications for share supply, earnings per share, and investor perception of the company’s valuation and financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GWA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GWA Group Limited stock, see the AU:GWA Stock Forecast page.

GWA Group Updates Market on Progress of On-Market Share Buy-Back
Feb 25, 2026

GWA Group Limited has provided an updated notification to the ASX regarding its on-market share buy-back of ordinary fully paid shares. The company first announced this buy-back program in August 2025 and continues to report its progress as part of ongoing disclosure obligations.

As of the latest update dated 26 February 2026, GWA has repurchased a total of 3,919,446 shares before the previous trading day and a further 224,644 shares on the previous day. The continued execution of the buy-back suggests an active capital management strategy that may enhance earnings per share and potentially support the company’s share price over time.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GWA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GWA Group Limited stock, see the AU:GWA Stock Forecast page.

GWA Group Sets Date for FY26 Half-Year Results and Analyst Briefing
Feb 8, 2026

GWA Group Limited has announced it will release its half-year financial results for the period ending 31 December 2025 on 16 February 2026, with an analyst briefing scheduled the same morning at 10:00 a.m. AEDT and accessible via webcast on the company’s website. The timing and format of the announcement signal GWA’s commitment to transparent communication with investors and analysts, providing stakeholders with an opportunity to assess the company’s mid-year performance and outlook in the context of broader conditions in the building and home improvement markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GWA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GWA Group Limited stock, see the AU:GWA Stock Forecast page.

GWA Group Extends Syndicated Bank Facility to 2028 and Trims Commitments
Dec 22, 2025

GWA Group Limited has extended the maturity of its syndicated banking facilities to October 2028 and reduced the total commitments under the facilities from A$180 million to A$165 million, with Citisecurities Limited remaining as facility agent and a lender group including HSBC, Commonwealth Bank of Australia and Citibank. The refinancing and downsizing of the facility strengthen GWA’s funding certainty over the medium term while reflecting a recalibrated borrowing need, underscoring continued confidence and support from its core banking partners and providing stakeholders with greater visibility on the company’s capital structure and liquidity profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GWA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GWA Group Limited stock, see the AU:GWA Stock Forecast page.

GWA Group Updates on Share Buy-Back Program
Dec 18, 2025

GWA Group Limited announced an update regarding its ongoing on-market share buy-back program, highlighting the purchase of 201,445 fully paid ordinary shares on the previous trading day and a cumulative total of 3,718,001 shares repurchased to date. This buy-back initiative reflects the company’s effort to optimize its capital management strategy and potentially enhance shareholder value through reduced share dilution.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GWA) stock is a Buy with a A$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on GWA Group Limited stock, see the AU:GWA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025