Autosports Group Ltd (ASG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$588.56M
• Dividend Yield: 2.04%
• Average Volume (3M): 487.76K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.63
• Revenue Growth: 8.22%
• EPS Growth: -46.33%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 1,800
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Auto - Dealerships
• EPS (TTM): 0.11
• Shares Outstanding: 205,791,840
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 458,544
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 487,764
• PEG Ratio: -0.33
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.99
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.17
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.54
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$4.78
• Price Target Upside: 33.84% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.25
• Revenue Forecast (FY): AU$3.30B

• Rating: 54 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$3.00 ▼(-15.97% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/04/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/04/26

The score is held back primarily by weaker financial quality (thin margins, higher leverage, and declining free cash flow) and a bearish technical setup with the stock trading below major moving averages. A moderate valuation and a ~2.6% dividend yield provide some support but are not enough to outweigh the fundamental and trend-related risks.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent top-line growth (7.1%) indicates sustained customer demand and market traction across the dealer network. Over the medium term this supports scale benefits, helps absorb fixed costs, and provides a base to fund reinvestment or margin recovery if cost pressures ease.

Operational Efficiency

An improved EBIT margin (3.65%) shows management can extract operational efficiencies despite gross margin pressures. Sustained EBIT expansion is a durable lever for earnings resilience, improving ability to service debt and fund strategic initiatives over the next several quarters.

Shareholder Returns

A recurring dividend (~2.6% yield) signals cash return discipline and a commitment to shareholders, which can stabilize investor base. Over 2-6 months, a maintained dividend policy supports credibility of management and provides a tangible floor to shareholder expectations.

Negative Factors

Thin Profitability

Very thin net margins and a declining gross margin indicate limited pricing power and tight cost structure. This makes earnings sensitive to cost shocks or volume shortfalls and constrains the firm's ability to build reserves or invest, raising medium-term earnings volatility risk.

High Leverage

Elevated leverage (D/E ~2.2) reduces financial flexibility and raises interest and refinancing risk. High gearing limits capacity for capex or acquisitions, amplifies downside in a cyclical auto retail environment, and increases the chance of covenant pressure if cash flow weakens.

Weak Cash Generation

Falling free cash flow and very low operating cash conversion (0.13) signal earnings are not translating into robust cash. This constrains debt servicing, dividend sustainability and reinvestment capacity, increasing medium-term execution and liquidity risk.

Autosports Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Autosports Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the motor vehicle retailing business in Australia. The company sells new and used motor vehicles, aftermarket products, and spare parts; distributes finance and insurance products; and provides motor vehicle servicing and collision repair services. As of August 1, 2022, it operates 47 franchised dealerships. The company also operates 3 used motor vehicle outlets; 3 franchised motorcycle dealerships; and 7 motor vehicle collision repair facilities. Autosports Group Limited was founded in 2006 and is based in Leichhardt, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

ASG generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, the company earns income from the sale of new and used luxury vehicles, which constitutes a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, ASG offers financing solutions and insurance products, earning commissions and fees from financial services partnerships. The company also profits from its aftersales services, including vehicle servicing, repairs, and parts sales, which provide a steady stream of income. Strategic partnerships with renowned automotive brands enhance ASG's market presence and profitability, while its focus on customer service and retention solidifies ongoing revenue through repeat business.

Autosports Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue grew 7.1%, but profitability is thin (net margin 1.15%) and gross margin slipped (19.45% to 17.98%). Leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity 2.20) with weaker shareholder returns (ROE 6.49%). Cash generation also softened with free cash flow down 23.41% and low operating cash flow to net income (0.13).

Income Statement

Autosports Group Ltd has shown a consistent revenue growth rate, with a notable 7.1% increase in the latest year. However, the gross profit margin has slightly decreased from 19.45% to 17.98%, indicating potential cost pressures. The net profit margin is relatively low at 1.15%, suggesting limited profitability. Despite these challenges, the company has managed to improve its EBIT margin to 3.65%, reflecting better operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 2.20, indicating a high level of leverage which could pose financial risks. Return on equity has decreased to 6.49%, showing reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 26.85%, suggesting a moderate reliance on equity financing.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow has decreased by 23.41%, which is concerning for future investments and debt servicing. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.13, indicating that cash generation from operations is not very strong relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.78, showing that a significant portion of net income is converted into free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Jun 2025	Jun 2024	Jun 2023	Jun 2022	Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	3.01B	2.86B	2.65B	2.37B	1.88B	1.98B
Gross Profit	392.25M	514.97M	514.91M	234.48M	174.69M	149.07M
EBITDA	146.79M	128.73M	204.50M	197.89M	151.54M	129.38M
Net Income	44.13M	32.86M	60.87M	65.43M	53.38M	41.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	2.06B	1.89B	1.73B	1.62B	1.22B	1.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	33.24M	61.53M	36.29M	42.00M	90.82M	96.84M
Total Debt	1.54B	1.12B	991.95M	902.98M	579.15M	610.04M
Total Liabilities	1.53B	1.38B	1.23B	1.14B	775.08M	785.73M
Stockholders Equity	527.39M	506.27M	494.54M	472.48M	444.17M	417.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	19.15M	90.01M	90.35M	32.34M	65.91M	92.20M
Operating Cash Flow	59.44M	115.88M	119.53M	166.00M	135.03M	125.83M
Investing Cash Flow	-72.84M	-83.82M	-29.18M	-250.46M	-88.17M	-36.15M
Financing Cash Flow	20.66M	-24.61M	-96.05M	35.49M	-52.89M	-31.66M

Autosports Group Ltd Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 3.57
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ASG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.37, below the 50-day MA of 3.65, and above the 200-day MA of 3.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.55 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.10 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:ASG.

Autosports Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MTO	69 Neutral	AU$200.91M	5.11	8.86%	4.13%	11.62%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
PWR	57 Neutral	AU$243.39M	10.76	2.34%	3.05%	0.32%	-66.48%
AMA	56 Neutral	AU$303.33M	-101.48	-4.58%	―	13.54%	66.33%
APE	55 Neutral	AU$6.23B	28.28	16.06%	2.90%	16.46%	-20.08%
ASG	54 Neutral	AU$588.56M	9.11	6.57%	2.04%	8.22%	-46.33%
BBN	54 Neutral	AU$266.74M	46.89	8.94%	―	4.72%	465.60%

Autosports Group Ltd Corporate Events

Autosports Group buys Solitaire Automotive to enter South Australian luxury market

Autosports Group has agreed to acquire Adelaide-based Solitaire Automotive Group, one of South Australia’s longest-established luxury dealership groups, for approximately $51 million in goodwill and net tangible assets. The deal covers 15 new vehicle and motorcycle dealerships across 13 sites, representing 10 brands including Aston Martin, Audi, Jaguar Land Rover, Volvo Cars, Polestar, Zeekr, Cupra, Ducati, Maserati and Volkswagen, and introduces Autosports Group to the South Australian market.

Solitaire Automotive Group generates about $300 million in annual revenue and holds sole retailer status in South Australia for most of its brand portfolio, giving Autosports Group meaningful scale and a strong competitive position in the state’s luxury segment. The consideration will be split between cash and new ASG shares funded through internal resources and existing debt facilities, with completion targeted for April 2026 subject to regulatory and manufacturer approvals, and the acquisition is expected to be immediately accretive to earnings.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASG) stock is a Hold with a A$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autosports Group Ltd stock, see the AU:ASG Stock Forecast page.

Autosports Group Brings Forward Start Time for FY26 Half-Year Results Briefing

Autosports Group Limited has confirmed that it will release its financial results for the six months ended 31 December 2025 on Thursday, 19 February 2026, and will host an analyst and media briefing on the same day. The only change to its previously announced plans is a revised commencement time for the briefing, which has been brought forward from 10:00 am AEDT to 9:30 am AEDT, while all other access details and registration requirements for investors, analysts and media remain unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASG) stock is a Hold with a A$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autosports Group Ltd stock, see the AU:ASG Stock Forecast page.

Autosports Group Sets Date for FY26 Half-Year Results and Investor Briefing

Autosports Group has scheduled the release of its financial results for the six months ended 31 December 2025 for Thursday, 19 February 2026, and will host a briefing for investors, analysts and media on the same day, led by Chief Executive Officer Nick Pagent and Chief Financial Officer Aaron Murray. The announcement signals an upcoming update on the group’s trading performance across its prestige and luxury automotive network in Australia and New Zealand, with stakeholders required to register via provided links to access the conference call or audio webcast, underscoring the company’s efforts to maintain transparent engagement with the investment community.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASG) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autosports Group Ltd stock, see the AU:ASG Stock Forecast page.

Autosports Group Issues Shares to Fund Barry Bourke Motors Dealership Acquisition

Autosports Group Limited has issued 3,108,532 fully paid ordinary shares as part of the purchase consideration for its acquisition of the business and assets of ten Barry Bourke Motors dealerships in Victoria, executed through its wholly owned subsidiary, Autosports Castle Hill Pty Ltd. The company confirmed the shares were issued without a prospectus under the Corporations Act’s disclosure exemptions, stated it is compliant with its financial reporting and continuous disclosure obligations, and advised there is no excluded information requiring disclosure, underscoring regulatory compliance as it expands its Victorian dealership footprint and strengthens its position in the prestige and luxury automotive retail market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASG) stock is a Buy with a A$4.85 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autosports Group Ltd stock, see the AU:ASG Stock Forecast page.

Autosports Group Seeks ASX Quotation for Shares Issued in Barry Bourke Dealership Acquisition

Autosports Group Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 3,108,532 new fully paid ordinary shares issued on 29 December 2025 as part of the purchase consideration for its acquisition of the business and assets of ten Barry Bourke Motors dealerships in Victoria by its wholly owned subsidiary, Autosports Castle Hill Pty Ltd. The share issuance, tied directly to the Barry Bourke acquisition, underlines Autosports Group’s strategy of using equity to fund growth and expand its Victorian dealership network, which is expected to deepen its market penetration and potentially enhance scale and competitiveness in the Australian automotive retail market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASG) stock is a Buy with a A$4.85 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autosports Group Ltd stock, see the AU:ASG Stock Forecast page.

Autosports Group Expands Victorian Footprint with $32.8m Barry Bourke Motors Dealership Acquisition

Autosports Group Limited has completed the acquisition of the business and assets of ten Barry Bourke Motors dealerships in Victoria through its wholly owned subsidiary Autosports Castle Hill Pty Ltd, in a deal valued at approximately $32.8 million. The portfolio includes Audi, Volvo Cars, Jaguar Land Rover, Geely, GMSV, LDV, Peugeot, Renault and Suzuki dealerships in Berwick, plus a Jaguar Land Rover dealership in Doncaster, with $14 million of the purchase price satisfied in Autosports Group shares and the remaining cash component funded via existing debt facilities, reinforcing the company’s expansion in the Victorian prestige and mainstream automotive market and further consolidating its position as a major player in Australia’s luxury and prestige automotive retail sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASG) stock is a Buy with a A$4.85 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autosports Group Ltd stock, see the AU:ASG Stock Forecast page.

Autosports Group Director Peter O’Connell Acquires Indirect Stake in Company

Autosports Group Limited has disclosed a change in director Peter O’Connell’s relevant interests, confirming that an entity associated with him, Dunton Pty Limited as trustee for the Hargrave Superannuation Fund, acquired 16,000 fully paid ordinary shares in the company on 17 December 2025 via an on-market trade at $3.90 per share. Following this transaction, O’Connell, who previously held no relevant interest in Autosports Group shares, now has an indirect interest in 16,000 shares, signalling increased personal financial alignment with the company but with no associated changes to contracts or indications of trading during a closed period.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ASG) stock is a Buy with a A$4.85 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Autosports Group Ltd stock, see the AU:ASG Stock Forecast page.