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Greenvale Mining Ltd. (AU:GRV)
ASX:GRV
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Greenvale Mining (GRV) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:GRV

Greenvale Mining

(Sydney:GRV)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.04
â–¼(-7.50% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/16/26
The score is primarily held back by ongoing losses (negative profitability and ROE), despite a stronger balance sheet (zero debt) and a notable FY2025 improvement in operating/free cash flow. Technicals add modest support in the near term, while valuation remains pressured due to the negative P/E and lack of a dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Zero net debt and solid equity base
The balance sheet shows zero debt and roughly AU$9.9M equity versus ~AU$10.2M assets in FY2025, materially reducing refinancing risk and providing durable financial flexibility. This stronger capital structure supports funding exploration/operations and cushions shocks over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Persisting net losses and weak margins
Despite revenue and cash flow improvements, FY2025 net income remains deeply negative with extreme negative margins, showing the cost base far exceeds current sales. Structural margin deficits mean profit recovery requires sustained revenue growth or material cost restructuring, a multi‑quarter challenge.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Zero net debt and solid equity base
The balance sheet shows zero debt and roughly AU$9.9M equity versus ~AU$10.2M assets in FY2025, materially reducing refinancing risk and providing durable financial flexibility. This stronger capital structure supports funding exploration/operations and cushions shocks over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Greenvale Mining (GRV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Greenvale Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Greenvale Energy Ltd engages in the development and exploration of mineral properties in Australia. It explores for hydrocarbons, copper, gold, and uranium, as well as other minerals, such as silver, bismuth, molybdenum, cobalt, and rare earth ele...
How the Company Makes Money
null...

Greenvale Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the company is still loss-making with negative EBIT/net income and very weak margins despite FY2025 revenue returning. Offsetting this, the balance sheet improved to zero debt with a solid equity base, and FY2025 cash flow turned positive (operating and free cash flow), though sustainability is not yet proven given prior years’ cash burn.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.00449.55K0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-14.01K449.55K-93.51K-57.49K-48.00K0.00
EBITDA-1.84M-953.49K-3.21M-3.36M-7.25M-2.19M
Net Income-1.84M-1.37M-2.98M-3.77M-7.25M-2.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.34M10.16M11.49M14.58M13.61M13.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.78M2.12M1.52M5.16M4.34M9.85M
Total Debt0.000.002.63M3.83M101.95K0.00
Total Liabilities281.21K266.59K3.21M4.17M884.71K308.91K
Stockholders Equity11.06M9.89M8.28M10.41M12.73M13.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow248.19K888.88K-3.66M-4.56M-6.40M-3.03M
Operating Cash Flow248.19K912.00K-634.97K-1.14M-1.25M-1.32M
Investing Cash Flow-2.56M-117.32K-3.00M-3.47M-5.25M11.95K
Financing Cash Flow3.65M-200.00K0.005.43M992.12K11.07M

Greenvale Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.04
Positive
100DMA
0.04
Negative
200DMA
0.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
49.61
Neutral
STOCH
26.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GRV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, above the 50-day MA of 0.04, and below the 200-day MA of 0.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:GRV.

Greenvale Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
57
Neutral
AU$16.68M-10.67-5.33%―-10.58%―
53
Neutral
AU$21.34M-6.33-17.60%――14.29%
46
Neutral
AU$31.94M-0.20-50.55%――-62.06%
46
Neutral
AU$13.92M-0.63-37.28%―-100.00%9.93%
43
Neutral
AU$9.27M-0.59-141.31%――-110.94%
42
Neutral
AU$32.69M-0.96-117.05%―-42.73%54.10%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:GRV
Greenvale Mining
0.04
>-0.01
-18.60%
AU:BNL
Blue Star Helium
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:88E
88 Energy
0.02
>-0.01
-7.69%
AU:XST
Xstate Resources Limited
0.03
<0.01
45.00%
AU:HPR
High Peak Royalties Limited
0.08
0.03
73.91%
AU:QEM
QEM Limited
0.03
-0.02
-37.04%

Greenvale Mining Corporate Events

Greenvale flags risks and limits on reliance in clean energy exploration update
May 5, 2026
Greenvale Energy has released an investor presentation outlining an update on its exploration and project development activities in clean energy and critical infrastructure, including the Alpha Torbanite mineral resource and uranium exploration pr...
Greenvale Energy Performance Rights Lapse Clarifies Capital Structure
May 5, 2026
Greenvale Energy Ltd has notified the market of the cessation of 1,500,000 performance rights, which expired unexercised on 1 May 2026. The lapse of these equity-linked securities slightly reduces the company&#8217;s potential future share dilutio...
Greenvale Energy Names New CFO and Company Secretary, Relocates Registered Office
May 1, 2026
Greenvale Energy Limited, an ASX-listed exploration group, is expanding a portfolio of critical materials and energy-transition assets, including a significant landholding in the Northern Territory&#8217;s Pine Creek region and the high-grade Oasi...
Greenvale advances uranium and clean energy projects despite weather delays
Apr 24, 2026
Greenvale Energy reported progress across its clean energy project portfolio in the March 2026 quarter, despite severe weather temporarily limiting site access in northern Queensland and the Northern Territory. The company continued to build its u...
Greenvale Energy admits late director interest filings, moves to tighten compliance
Apr 22, 2026
Greenvale Energy has disclosed the lodgement of two Appendix 3Y notices relating to options issued to directors under its share purchase plan, and a correction to a previous director interest notice that contained a typographical error. The compan...
Greenvale Advances Alpha Bitumen Test Program as Supply Tightens
Apr 7, 2026
Greenvale Energy has completed Milestone 3 of Test Program 7 at its Alpha Torbanite Project, marking the end of pressure leach liquefaction bulk sample production under a contract with Monash University. Product samples have now been sent to New Z...
Greenvale Energy Director John Barr Steps Down, Discloses Indirect Shareholding
Mar 26, 2026
Greenvale Energy Limited has announced that director John Barr has ceased to be a director of the company as of 26 March 2026. A final director&#8217;s interest notice lodged with the ASX shows that Barr held no shares directly, but had an indirec...
Greenvale Energy performance rights lapse trims potential equity dilution
Mar 26, 2026
Greenvale Energy has advised the market that 1,500,000 performance rights, trading under the ASX code GRVAU, have lapsed unexercised as of 26 March 2026. The cessation of these rights reduces the company&#8217;s pool of potential equity dilution f...
Greenvale Energy Appoints New Director With Performance-Linked Equity Interests
Mar 26, 2026
Greenvale Energy Limited has appointed Alex Cheeseman as a director effective 26 March 2026, formalising his initial disclosure of interests in the company&#8217;s securities. While Cheeseman holds no shares or options in his own name, his relevan...
Greenvale Energy Elevates CEO to Managing Director Amid Board Reshuffle
Mar 25, 2026
Greenvale Energy has elevated its chief executive, Alex Cheeseman, to the role of managing director, formalising his leadership over both operational and corporate functions as the company advances its uranium and torbanite projects. The move cons...
Greenvale maps new step-out drill targets at Oasis uranium project
Mar 15, 2026
Greenvale Energy has identified new step-out drill targets at its Oasis Uranium Project in Queensland after receiving full assay results from a 2025 trenching program, which outlined three key anomalous zones aligned with and adjacent to the main ...
Greenvale Energy Files Interim Half-Year Financial Report
Mar 13, 2026
Greenvale Energy Limited has released its interim financial report for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, providing shareholders with a condensed view of its financial performance and position. The report includes the directors&#8217; review of...
Greenvale advances Alpha Project bulk sample program toward product certification
Mar 6, 2026
Greenvale Energy has updated the market on progress at its Alpha Project, confirming that Test Program 7 Milestone 3, focused on bulk sample production, is advancing as planned with six of nine contracted pressure leach runs completed. The program...
Greenvale Energy Director Updates Holdings After Exercising Performance Rights
Feb 27, 2026
Greenvale Energy has disclosed a change in director Elias (Leo) Khouri&#8217;s interests following the exercise of vested performance rights. Khouri exercised 1,500,000 Class 7 performance rights to a nominee under the company&#8217;s Performance ...
Greenvale Energy Issues 4.5 Million Shares on Exercise of Performance Rights
Feb 27, 2026
Greenvale Energy has issued 4.5 million fully paid ordinary shares following the exercise of vested performance rights, expanding its share capital base. The company confirmed the shares were issued without a prospectus under the Corporations Act ...
Greenvale expands Douglas River uranium footprint with new licence and targets
Feb 26, 2026
Greenvale Energy has secured a six-year exploration licence, EL34157, for its Douglas River Uranium Project in the Northern Territory, adjoining its existing tenure in a region hosting known uranium resources. The project sits within the polymetal...
Greenvale Energy Seeks ASX Quotation for 4.5 Million New Shares
Feb 24, 2026
Greenvale Energy Ltd has applied for quotation on the ASX of 4,500,000 new ordinary fully paid shares, to be traded under its existing ticker GRV. The securities, issued on 24 February 2026 through the exercise or conversion of existing options or...
Greenvale Advances Alpha Torbanite Test Program With Bulk Sample Production on Track
Feb 22, 2026
Greenvale Energy reports steady progress on Test Program 7 at its Alpha Torbanite Project, where the key objective is to produce a bituminous product suitable for independent certification to C-170 commercial standards. The company has completed s...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 16, 2026