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Xstate Resources Limited (AU:XST)
ASX:XST

Xstate Resources Limited (XST) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:XST

Xstate Resources Limited

(Sydney:XST)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.02
▲(0.00% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (sharp 2024 revenue decline, negative operating profitability, and recurring cash burn), partially offset by a low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals are neutral-to-mixed, and valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / conservative balance sheet
Essentially no debt and very low leverage materially reduces solvency and refinancing risk. This gives management durable flexibility to fund exploration or cover operating shortfalls over months, preserving optionality during commodity or cycle volatility.
Positive equity buffer
Sustained positive equity through 2022–2024 provides a capital buffer that absorbs losses and supports longer-term operations. That balance-sheet headroom supports access to capital and strategic choices without immediate solvency pressure over a 2–6 month horizon.
Demonstrated operating profitability in prior period
The company produced positive operating margins in 2023, showing the business can operate profitably under favorable conditions. This indicates the underlying cost structure and asset base can generate durable operating earnings when volumes or prices recover.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue collapse
An ~85% revenue decline in 2024 undermines scale and recurring cash generation, reducing operating leverage and impairing investment capacity. Such a steep structural drop increases execution risk and makes multi-month planning and recovery dependent on external events or capital raises.
Recurring negative cash flow
Two consecutive years of negative operating and free cash flow indicate persistent cash burn. Reliance on financing or asset transactions to sustain operations raises dilution and execution risk, constraining the company's ability to fund exploration or capex without external support.
Volatile and negative operating profitability
Negative operating margins and historical volatility in earnings reduce predictability and impair long-term return generation. Earnings driven by below-the-line items in some years suggest core operations are unstable, complicating strategic investment and cash-flow forecasting.

Xstate Resources Limited (XST) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Xstate Resources Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXstate Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company holds a 25% working interest (WI) in Red Earth and 35% WI in Alberta Plains located in Canada; 20% WI in Anshof-3 exploration well located in Austria; and 33.33% WI in Borba Natural Gas Prospect Drilling located in California, as well as has various WIs between 10% and 30% in oil and gas leases in Sacramento Basin, California. It also has an 12% interest in the King Brown gold tenement. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Fremantle, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyXstate Resources Limited generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas extracted from its exploration and production activities. The company operates in various oil and gas fields, where it owns and develops reserves. Revenue is earned by selling these hydrocarbons to refineries, utility companies, and other end-users in the energy market. Additionally, Xstate Resources may enter into joint ventures or partnerships with other energy firms to share the costs and profits of large-scale projects, thereby enhancing its revenue potential. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as global oil and gas prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies.

Xstate Resources Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financial quality is weak: revenue fell ~85% YoY in 2024 with negative EBIT/EBITDA margins, and operating/free cash flow have been negative in 2023–2024. The main offset is a conservative balance sheet with minimal debt, which reduces solvency risk but does not fix inconsistent earnings and recurring cash burn.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Results are highly volatile. Revenue collapsed in 2024 (down ~85% YoY) and profitability deteriorated at the operating line (negative EBIT and EBITDA margins), despite a positive net margin driven by below-the-line items. Prior year (2023) showed solid profitability with positive operating margins, but the sharp reversal in 2024 and the history of losses in 2021–2022 point to weak earnings consistency and limited visibility.
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Balance sheet leverage appears very conservative, with essentially no debt across most periods and debt-to-equity near zero, reducing solvency risk. Equity is positive in recent years (2022–2024), supporting financial flexibility. The main weakness is variability in returns on equity (including negative ROE in 2021–2022 and an unusually high/unstable profile across years), suggesting that reported profits are not consistently generated from the core business.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is a key concern: operating cash flow is negative in 2024 and 2023, and free cash flow is negative in both years as well, with further deterioration in 2024. While 2022 showed modest positive operating and free cash flow, the broader pattern is recurring cash burn, implying reliance on funding events or asset movements rather than internally generated cash to sustain operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue317.77K618.38K7.81M19.41M8.42M60.81K
Gross Profit-215.83K65.41K2.01M-2.81M-3.26M80.81K
EBITDA-4.29M-384.18K2.52M773.68K-2.79M-619.33K
Net Income-5.29M1.18M1.40M-3.48M-4.64M-652.43K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.13M4.53M12.73M31.82M40.39M1.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.49M3.56M995.26K814.46K724.39K814.88K
Total Debt0.000.004.89K0.004.92K65.68K
Total Liabilities504.11K1.12M10.54M31.12M36.54M388.73K
Stockholders Equity2.63M3.40M2.20M698.84K3.85M704.30K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.78M-1.59M-923.83K100.94K-4.79M-1.08M
Operating Cash Flow-1.78M-1.59M-78.23K100.94K-3.05M-1.05M
Investing Cash Flow1.98M4.12M279.33K0.00-1.74M-32.40K
Financing Cash Flow-126.92K-4.89K-42.93K-4.92K4.65M1.36M

Xstate Resources Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.02
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Negative
100DMA
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
32.17
Neutral
STOCH
11.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:XST, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, below the 50-day MA of 0.02, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:XST.

Xstate Resources Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
51
Neutral
AU$4.11M-9.49%-16.79%-205.26%
45
Neutral
AU$7.72M-0.49-120.24%-92.71%-220.72%
45
Neutral
AU$3.90M-30.63%-32.65%-66.67%
44
Neutral
AU$3.15M
44
Neutral
AU$5.12M-25.00-7.32%90.70%
37
Underperform
AU$3.14M-26.79%-26.88%24.00%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:XST
Xstate Resources Limited
0.02
>-0.01
-10.00%
AU:AOK
Sacgasco
AU:BUY
Bounty Oil & Gas NL
AU:WEL
Winchester Energy Ltd
AU:SHE
Stonehorse Energy Ltd
AU:IPB
IPB Petroleum Ltd.
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Xstate Resources Limited Corporate Events

Xstate Corrects Director Interest Notice After Reporting Error
Dec 29, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has lodged a corrected Appendix 3Y with the ASX for director Andrew Bald after identifying an error in the previously reported closing balance of his securities. The updated notice confirms an indirect acquisition of 500,000 fully paid ordinary shares on 18 December 2025 for $8,500, clarifying Bald’s actual holdings and underscoring the company’s focus on maintaining accurate disclosure and compliance with director interest reporting requirements.

Xstate Resources Director Andrew Bald Increases Indirect Shareholding
Dec 23, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has reported a change in the indirect holdings of director Andrew Bald, who holds securities through Hera Investments Pty Ltd and Bald Superannuation Pty Ltd. The company notified the market that Bald acquired 500,000 fully paid ordinary shares on 18 December 2025 via an on‑market purchase for $8,500, with no disposals recorded and no trades occurring during a closed period, signalling continued director support and confidence in the company’s equity while maintaining regulatory transparency for shareholders.

Xstate Director Greg Channon Increases Indirect Shareholding
Dec 18, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has reported a change in the indirect shareholding of director Greg Channon through his associated entity Ruby Lloyd Pty Ltd. Channon acquired 280,000 fully paid ordinary shares on-market for $5,040 on 18 December 2025, increasing his indirect holding to 516,993 ordinary shares, while his existing 1,793,722 unlisted options expiring 30 June 2026 remain unchanged. The transaction, conducted outside a closed period and requiring no special clearance, modestly boosts director alignment with shareholders but does not alter the company’s capital structure or indicate any broader strategic shift.

Xstate Director Andrew Childs Increases Direct Shareholding via On-Market Purchase
Dec 18, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has disclosed a change in director Andrew Childs’ holdings, with the director acquiring 666,666 fully paid ordinary shares in an on-market purchase valued at $11,078. Following this transaction, Childs’ direct shareholding increased from 672,646 to 1,339,312 ordinary shares, while his indirect interests, held via Brazell Pty Ltd , remained unchanged at 1,448,431 ordinary shares and 1,793,722 unlisted options exercisable at $0.067 by 30 June 2026, signalling a modest increase in his direct equity exposure to the company without any change to his contractual interests or trading during a closed period.

Xstate issues 68 million unlisted options exercisable at $0.04
Dec 17, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited (ASX: XST) is an Australian-listed resources company engaged in mineral exploration and development. The company has issued 68,046,402 unlisted options exercisable at $0.04 each until 17 December 2029 as part of previously announced transactions; the options are unquoted and, if exercised, would dilute existing shareholders but provide a potential source of future capital and align incentives for option holders and other stakeholders.

Xstate issues 18.85m unlisted options exercisable at $0.04
Dec 17, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited (ASX: XST) is the issuing entity; the release does not disclose the company’s industry, primary products or services, or market focus.
Xstate has issued 18,853,564 unlisted options on 17 December 2025, each exercisable at $0.04 on or before 17 December 2029. The securities are unquoted and were issued as part of previously announced transactions. The issuance expands the company’s potential equity overhang and, if exercised, would raise additional capital while diluting existing shareholders; it is material for stakeholders monitoring changes to the company’s capital structure and regulatory disclosures.

Xstate applies for ASX quotation of 3.5 million ordinary shares
Dec 17, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has applied to quote 3,500,000 fully paid ordinary shares issued on 17 December 2025 as part of a previously announced corporate transaction. The admission of these shares to ASX quotation increases the company’s issued capital, with expected effects on shareholder dilution and the company’s capital structure, while enabling trading of the newly issued securities and improving liquidity for stakeholders; the move signals ongoing corporate activity tied to earlier strategic arrangements.

Xstate Resources Seeks Quotation for 136 Million New Ordinary Shares on ASX
Dec 17, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited (ASX: XST) is an ASX-listed resources company focused on mineral resources and exploration. The company has applied for quotation of 136,092,826 ordinary fully paid shares issued on 17 December 2025, which will be quoted on the ASX under the code XST. This issuance increases the company’s issued capital and public float, may dilute existing shareholders’ percentage holdings, and finalises previously announced corporate transactions; the expanded quoted share base is likely to affect liquidity and investor holdings and reflects progress in the company’s capital management and corporate activities.

Xstate Resources Advances in Taroom Trough Gas Exploration
Dec 17, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has announced significant progress in its gas exploration efforts in the Taroom Trough, with the successful drilling and casing of the Diona-1 well. The well has shown promising results with significant gas shows over a 181-meter interval and a net pay of 23 meters across three zones in the Permian sands. This development positions Xstate as a potential leader in unconventional Basin Centred Gas accumulation, which could enhance its market position and offer substantial benefits to stakeholders.

Xstate Resources Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Dec 12, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has announced a proposed issue of 3,500,000 ordinary fully paid securities, with the issue date set for December 17, 2025. This move is part of a placement or other type of issue, and the company has applied for the quotation of these securities on the ASX, which could potentially enhance its capital base and market presence.

Xstate Resources Limited Announces New Options and Share Offerings
Dec 12, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has announced a prospectus offering new options and shares to raise capital. The company is offering up to 86,899,977 new options to placement participants, 10,000,000 new options to certain contractors, and 1,000 new shares at $0.022 each. This move aims to satisfy financial obligations and potentially strengthen the company’s financial position.

Xstate Resources Completes General Meeting and Transaction
Dec 10, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited announced the successful completion of its General Meeting, with all resolutions passed by a poll. The company also completed the transaction to dispose of its Californian Project, marking a significant step in its strategic realignment. This development is expected to impact the company’s operational focus and may influence its market positioning in the oil and gas industry.

Xstate Resources Divests Californian Projects to Focus on Diona Gas Project
Dec 7, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has announced the disposal of its Californian projects to Australian Oil and Gas Co Limited, allowing Xstate to focus on its Diona project. This strategic move eliminates Xstate’s accrued liabilities and operational costs associated with the Californian projects, enabling the company to concentrate on maximizing the value of its Diona gas project, which is strategically positioned near existing infrastructure for rapid market access.

Xstate Resources Clarifies Seismic Image Use in Presentation
Nov 18, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited issued a clarification regarding a seismic image from a historical survey in their recent presentation. The image, originally from a 1984 survey by Bridge Oil Limited, was included to meet ASX Listing Rule 5.29 requirements, impacting the company’s transparency and compliance with regulatory standards.

Xstate Resources Limited Announces General Meeting and Digital Notice Distribution
Nov 10, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has announced a General Meeting of shareholders scheduled for 10 December 2025, where important decisions affecting shareholders will be discussed. The company has opted for digital distribution of the Notice of Meeting, encouraging shareholders to access documents online, reflecting a move towards more sustainable practices and efficient communication with stakeholders.

Xstate Resources Limited Issues New Securities for ASX Quotation
Nov 10, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has announced the issuance of 37,707,129 ordinary fully paid securities, which are set to be quoted on the ASX. This move is part of a previously announced transaction and is expected to impact the company’s market operations by potentially increasing its capital base and enhancing its liquidity position.

Xstate Resources Limited Issues Cleansing Prospectus to Enhance Share Liquidity
Nov 10, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has issued a cleansing prospectus to offer up to 1,000 new shares at a price of $0.022 per share, aiming to raise $22. This prospectus is primarily intended to remove trading restrictions on previously issued shares, thereby facilitating greater liquidity and flexibility for shareholders. The offering is described as highly speculative, indicating potential risks for investors. The move could potentially impact the company’s market operations by enhancing share tradability and possibly attracting new investors, although it also underscores the speculative nature of the investment.

Xstate Resources Unveils Promising Gas Discovery in Diona Project
Oct 31, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited announced significant developments in its Diona project in Queensland, with the drilling of the Diona-1 well revealing a substantial gas column across multiple formations. This discovery suggests a potential Basin Centred Gas play, leading to an upgraded resource estimate. The company’s shares were re-quoted on the ASX following a successful capital raising, and a new Non-Executive Chairman was appointed. These developments are expected to enhance shareholder value and position the company for future growth.

Xstate Resources Limited Announces Proposed Securities Issue
Oct 31, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has announced a proposed issue of securities, including 68,046,413 unlisted options and 136,092,826 ordinary fully paid shares. The issuance is set for December 9, 2025, and aims to enhance the company’s financial position and operational capabilities, potentially impacting its market presence and stakeholder interests.

Xstate Resources Limited Announces Proposed Securities Issue to Bolster Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has announced a proposed issue of securities, including 18,853,564 unlisted options and 37,707,129 ordinary fully paid shares, scheduled for issuance on November 7, 2025. This strategic move aims to raise capital to support the company’s ongoing operations and growth initiatives, potentially strengthening its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Xstate Resources Secures $3.82 Million for Diona-1 Well Development
Oct 31, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited announced a successful capital raising of $3.82 million through a two-tranche placement of shares, aimed at advancing the appraisal and production testing of its Diona-1 well. This funding will support further exploration activities and enhance the company’s working capital, positioning Xstate advantageously for the next phase of its Diona project. The Diona project, strategically located near existing infrastructure in Queensland’s Surat-Bowen basin, offers potential for a rapid market path, enhancing Xstate’s industry positioning and stakeholder value.

Xstate Resources Initiates Trading Halt for Capital Raising Announcement
Oct 29, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited has requested a trading halt on its securities, effective from 29 October 2025, pending an announcement regarding a capital raising. This move indicates that the company is likely seeking to secure additional funding, which could impact its financial standing and strategic operations. The trading halt will remain in place until the announcement is made or until normal trading resumes on 31 October 2025, whichever comes first.

Xstate Resources Advances Diona-1 Well with Promising Gas Shows
Oct 22, 2025

Xstate Resources Limited announced the successful drilling, casing, and suspension of the Diona-1 well in October 2025, with significant gas shows over a 181-meter gross interval and 23 meters of net pay across three zones in the Permian. The discovery suggests potential for unconventional Basin Centred Gas accumulation, with plans for stimulation and testing underway, potentially impacting the company’s operational capabilities and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026