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Winchester Energy Ltd (AU:WEL)
ASX:WEL
Australian Market

Winchester Energy Ltd (WEL) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:WEL

Winchester Energy Ltd

(Sydney:WEL)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
Winchester Energy Ltd's overall score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenue, negative profitability, and cash flow issues. Technical analysis is limited due to a lack of data, and valuation measures such as a negative P/E ratio further highlight the company's struggles. The stock requires substantial improvements in its financial health and operational efficiency to enhance its attractiveness to investors.
Positive Factors
Strategic Expansion
The joint venture with Jaguar Exploration for offshore rights in Peru could significantly enhance Winchester's operational footprint and market position, offering potential for increased resource discovery and long-term growth.
Cost Management
By focusing on cost reduction, Winchester Energy aims to improve its financial stability and operational efficiency, which is crucial for sustaining profitability and competitiveness in the long term.
Governance Standards
Adhering to high governance standards can enhance stakeholder confidence and ensure accountability, potentially leading to better strategic decisions and improved investor relations over time.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The sharp decline in revenue indicates challenges in maintaining market share and operational efficiency, which could hinder future growth and profitability if not addressed.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow constrains the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage operational costs, posing a risk to long-term financial health and sustainability.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues highlight operational inefficiencies and market challenges, which could impact the company's ability to generate sustainable profits and shareholder value.

Winchester Energy Ltd (WEL) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Winchester Energy Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWinchester Energy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition and exploration of oil and gas properties in the United States and Australia. It had approximately 17,266 net acres located in the Eastern Shelf of the Permian Basin in Texas. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyWinchester Energy Ltd generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of crude oil. The company operates oil wells, from which it extracts hydrocarbons and subsequently sells them in the market. Key revenue streams include sales of oil, which are influenced by market prices and production volumes. Additionally, WEL may enter into joint ventures and partnerships with other energy companies to share costs and enhance resource development, which can further contribute to its earnings. The company may also engage in hedging activities to manage price volatility, thereby stabilizing revenue streams. Factors such as operational efficiency, cost management, and market demand for oil play significant roles in determining the overall financial performance of Winchester Energy Ltd.

Winchester Energy Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Winchester Energy Ltd faces considerable financial challenges with declining revenue and profitability metrics, negative profit margins, and cash flows. Despite a low debt-to-equity ratio, liquidity concerns and declining equity overshadow this strength. The company requires strategic restructuring to improve financial stability.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Winchester Energy Ltd has experienced significant revenue decline over the recent period, from $5.65M in 2022 to $1.85M in 2024, reflecting a negative growth trajectory. The company has consistently reported negative net income, leading to negative net profit margins. The absence of EBIT and negative EBITDA further highlight profitability challenges, indicating operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a moderately healthy equity position with a stockholders' equity of $5.84M against total assets of $7.11M. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, indicating conservative leverage. However, the declining equity over time and reduced total assets suggest potential liquidity and growth challenges.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Winchester Energy Ltd's cash flow statements reveal significant negative free cash flow, indicating cash outflows surpass inflows, which could constrain future operations and investments. The operating cash flow has also turned negative, reflecting operational struggles. However, the company has managed to secure financing, which may provide short-term relief.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.12M1.85M3.12M5.65M4.15M2.22M
Gross Profit2.12M1.85M2.12M2.60M850.47K-753.55K
EBITDA-1.92M-573.08K-1.92M739.18K-129.29K-2.09M
Net Income-2.56M-1.33M-2.56M-574.62K-1.45M-3.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.02M7.11M8.02M10.19M10.34M8.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments219.21K519.95K219.21K738.99K2.56M1.61M
Total Debt77.00K117.04K77.00K76.84K113.65K64.39K
Total Liabilities1.41M1.27M1.41M1.10M802.33K694.22K
Stockholders Equity6.62M5.84M6.62M9.09M9.54M7.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-489.53K-227.22K-489.53K-6.30M-2.25M-3.70M
Operating Cash Flow366.70K41.79K366.70K3.04M1.02M-280.98K
Investing Cash Flow-846.27K-608.86K-846.27K-4.71M-3.23M-3.42M
Financing Cash Flow-41.00K560.60K-41.00K-37.71K3.19M-116.62K

Winchester Energy Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
44
Neutral
AU$2.73M-26.79%-26.88%24.00%
43
Neutral
€5.28M-0.57-120.24%-92.71%-220.72%
36
Underperform
-30.63%-32.65%-66.67%
23
Underperform
AU$5.63M-1.04
22
Underperform
AU$5.66M-1.72-1481.88%36.96%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:WEL
Winchester Energy Ltd
AU:AOK
Sacgasco
AU:BUY
Bounty Oil & Gas NL
AU:XST
Xstate Resources Limited
0.02
>-0.01
-5.00%
AU:WBE
Whitebark Energy Ltd
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:GLL
Galilee Energy Limited
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Winchester Energy Ltd Corporate Events

Winchester Energy Begins Production at JVU-5 Well in Texas
Nov 14, 2025

Winchester Energy Limited has announced the commencement of production from its JVU-5 well at the Varn Oil Field in Texas. The well, which is the second oil producer in the Varn waterflood project, has achieved an initial production rate of 25 barrels of oil per day. This development is part of a larger plan to enhance production through a series of wells, with the next phase involving the drilling of a water injection well in early 2026, indicating the company’s strategic efforts to boost output and operational capacity.

Winchester Energy Announces Director Departure
Nov 2, 2025

Winchester Energy Ltd announced that Jason Peterson has ceased to be a director of the company as of November 3, 2025. The announcement includes details of Peterson’s interests in securities, noting that he holds no securities as a registered holder but has significant holdings through Sunset Capital Management Pty Ltd, where he is a director and shareholder. This change in directorship could impact the company’s governance and strategic direction, potentially affecting stakeholder confidence and market perception.

Winchester Energy Ltd Appoints New Director
Nov 2, 2025

Winchester Energy Ltd has announced the appointment of Mr. Thomson Naude as a director, effective from November 3, 2025. The announcement indicates that Mr. Naude currently holds no relevant interests in securities or contracts related to the company, suggesting a fresh perspective and potential strategic shifts in the company’s governance.

Winchester Energy Announces Board Changes with New Appointment
Nov 2, 2025

Winchester Energy Limited has announced the appointment of Mr. Thomson Naude as a Non-Executive Director, bringing significant experience from his previous roles in the oil and gas industry, including positions at Carnarvon Energy Limited and Hibiscus Petroleum. Concurrently, Mr. Jason Peterson has resigned from his position as Non-Executive Director but will continue to serve as a Corporate Advisor. These board changes reflect Winchester Energy’s strategic efforts to strengthen its leadership team and potentially enhance its operational capabilities in the energy sector.

Winchester Energy Reports Quarterly Revenue and Strategic Farm-Out Agreement
Oct 31, 2025

Winchester Energy Ltd reported a quarterly net revenue of AUD$458,610, with production averaging 69 barrels of oil equivalent per day, slightly down from the previous quarter. The company completed a farm-out agreement for a 30% interest in the Varn waterflood project with a private US investor group, which includes upfront consideration and a ‘third-for-a-quarter’ promote on planned wells, potentially enhancing future production capabilities.

Winchester Energy Completes JVU-5 Drilling at Varn Project
Oct 22, 2025

Winchester Energy Limited has successfully completed drilling the JVU-5 production well at its Varn waterflood project in Texas, reaching a depth of 4,877 feet. The well, which showed promising oil and gas indicators, is set to proceed to completion and production, marking a significant step in the company’s development plans. The Varn project involves a total of 10 wells, with infrastructure already in place to expedite production. This advancement supports Winchester’s strategic goals and enhances its operational capabilities in the region.

Winchester Energy Begins Drilling at Varn Waterflood Project
Oct 8, 2025

Winchester Energy Limited has commenced drilling the JVU-5 production well in the Varn waterflood project in Taylor County, Texas. This development is part of a joint venture where Winchester holds a 70% working interest. The project aims to enhance oil recovery through a planned operation of 10 wells, including both producers and injectors, leveraging existing infrastructure to expedite production. This initiative underscores Winchester’s strategic commitment to maximizing value from its US operations, with the Varn Oil Field containing significant proven and probable reserves.

Winchester Energy Partners with US Investors on Varn Waterflood Project
Sep 15, 2025

Winchester Energy Limited has entered into a farm-out agreement with a private US investor group, granting them a 30% interest in the Varn waterflood project. This agreement will provide Winchester with upfront consideration and additional funding for the development of the project, which has significant oil and gas reserves. The project is expected to enhance production and support Winchester’s US operations, while the company continues to explore new opportunities.

Winchester Energy Releases Half-Year Report for 2025
Sep 12, 2025

Winchester Energy Limited has released its half-year report for the period ending June 30, 2025. The report includes updates on the company’s financial performance, operational highlights, and strategic initiatives. The announcement is likely to impact the company’s stakeholders by providing insights into its current market positioning and future growth prospects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 08, 2025