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High Peak Royalties Limited (AU:HPR)
ASX:HPR
Australian Market

High Peak Royalties Limited (HPR) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:HPR

High Peak Royalties Limited

(Sydney:HPR)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.04
▼(-12.00% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/30/25
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability (net losses and negative ROE) and bearish technical signals (price below key moving averages and negative MACD). Support comes from a strengthened, debt-free balance sheet and improved operating/free cash flow, but valuation remains difficult to justify with a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
Deleveraging to zero debt materially lowers financial risk and interest burden, giving the company durable flexibility to fund operations, absorb commodity volatility, and pursue opportunistic investments or buybacks without near-term refinancing pressure. This supports multi-quarter resilience.
Improved cash generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow since FY2022 — with a pronounced FY2025 increase — indicates the business can internally generate liquidity. Over 2–6 months this improves funding for maintenance capex, royalty commitments, and cushions against pricing dips, strengthening durability.
Revenue rebound and EBITDA resilience
A strong revenue rebound and consecutive positive EBITDA show the core business can scale top-line and sustain operating profitability even if net income is negative. This suggests structural demand or asset performance that can support medium-term margin recovery if cost control continues.
Negative Factors
Volatile profitability & net losses
Deepening net losses and a roughly -45% net margin reflect significant non-operating charges, depreciation, or other structural cost pressures. Persistent losses erode equity, reduce reinvestment capacity, and force reliance on external funding or asset sales to sustain operations over the medium term.
Negative returns on equity
Negative ROE over consecutive years indicates capital is not generating returns for shareholders. This undermines long-term investor confidence, limits ability to attract new equity, and constrains dividend or buyback options, pressuring strategic choices to restore profitability.
Weak cash conversion relative to earnings
Weak conversion of earnings into cash means reported results may not reflect available liquidity. Over several quarters this reduces operational flexibility, increases reliance on balance sheet reserves, and heightens vulnerability to price or demand shocks despite positive headline FCF.

High Peak Royalties Limited (HPR) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

High Peak Royalties Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHigh Peak Royalties Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition of royalty and exploration interests in oil and gas assets. It has royalties over 20 oil and gas permits in Australia and over 2,000 wells in the United States. High Peak Royalties Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyHigh Peak Royalties Limited generates revenue by acquiring and managing royalty interests in oil and gas projects. The company earns money through royalty payments, which are a percentage of the revenue generated from oil and gas production on the properties where they hold royalty interests. These payments are typically based on the volume of production or sales revenue from the underlying assets. Additionally, HPR may engage in strategic partnerships or transactions to enhance its portfolio of royalty interests, further contributing to its earnings. The company's revenue streams are influenced by factors such as commodity prices, production volumes, and the performance of the projects in which it holds interests.

High Peak Royalties Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile is mixed: revenue rebounded strongly in FY2025, the balance sheet is debt-free and conservatively positioned, and operating/free cash flow has been positive since FY2022 with a sharp FY2025 FCF increase. Offsetting this, profitability is volatile with deeper net losses in FY2025 and negative returns on equity, indicating weak earnings consistency and cost/expense pressure.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Revenue rebounded in FY2025 (up ~133% YoY), but profitability remains volatile. The company swung from a profit in FY2023 to net losses in FY2024 and a deeper loss in FY2025 (net margin ~-45%), showing weak earnings quality and limited consistency. EBITDA stayed positive in FY2024–FY2025, but the move to an EBIT loss in FY2024 and only modest EBIT in FY2025 underscores ongoing cost/expense pressure.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned, with debt declining to zero in FY2025 from modest leverage in prior years, and equity remaining high (~8.7M). Total assets are relatively stable, and debt levels were already manageable even before the FY2025 deleveraging. The key weakness is returns: profitability has been insufficient to generate attractive returns on equity (negative in FY2024–FY2025).
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash generation improved meaningfully from negative operating cash flow in FY2020–FY2021 to positive operating and free cash flow from FY2022 through FY2025, with a sharp free-cash-flow increase in FY2025. However, cash flow coverage of earnings is weak in FY2024–FY2025 given net losses, and operating cash flow versus net income remains low in FY2025, suggesting cash conversion is not yet robust through the cycle.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.05M1.05M1.10M1.52M1.04M442.46K
Gross Profit1.05M1.05M1.10M1.52M1.04M442.46K
EBITDA169.72K169.72K291.19K948.60K-330.31K-860.60K
Net Income-477.12K-477.12K-192.66K492.92K-758.97K-1.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.96M9.96M10.52M11.05M10.91M11.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments339.54K339.54K1.28M1.38M1.11M761.79K
Total Debt0.000.001.13M1.51M1.83M2.00M
Total Liabilities1.21M1.21M1.28M1.59M1.98M2.09M
Stockholders Equity8.75M8.75M9.24M9.46M8.93M8.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow225.13K225.13K396.91K641.76K-95.31K-729.46K
Operating Cash Flow225.13K225.13K396.91K641.75K304.69K-476.94K
Investing Cash Flow313.00313.000.000.00-400.00K-252.52K
Financing Cash Flow-1.17M-1.17M-501.68K-373.58K397.89K-332.54K

High Peak Royalties Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.05
Price Trends
50DMA
0.06
Negative
100DMA
0.06
Negative
200DMA
0.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
3.16
Positive
STOCH
1.52
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HPR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.05, below the 50-day MA of 0.06, and below the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 3.16 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.52 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:HPR.

High Peak Royalties Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
49
Neutral
AU$9.18M-19.13-5.30%-4.70%-155.56%
49
Neutral
AU$18.35M-68.00-6.43%16.82%-257.14%
45
Neutral
AU$18.07M-12.50-1.94%89.19%
45
Neutral
AU$10.07M-1.17-43.14%27.59%
44
Neutral
AU$9.61M-0.92-45.97%0.69%-30.00%
43
Neutral
AU$10.24M-2.71-7.92%16.52%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:HPR
High Peak Royalties Limited
0.04
-0.04
-48.24%
AU:FZR
Fitzroy River Corp. Ltd.
0.17
0.06
57.41%
AU:BLU
Blue Energy Limited
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:GAS
State Gas Ltd.
0.03
>-0.01
-27.78%
AU:PGY
Pilot Energy Limited
0.09
-0.16
-64.40%
AU:TEE
Top End Energy Limited
0.04
-0.06
-61.29%

High Peak Royalties Limited Corporate Events

High Peak Royalties crystallises value from Torrens Energy sale and expands Northstar stake
Jan 30, 2026

High Peak Royalties has completed the transfer of its remaining 80.01% stake in Torrens Energy (SA) Pty Ltd to Northstar Energy, securing an additional 6.25 million Northstar shares and bringing its total holding to 12.5 million shares valued at A$2 million, while retaining a royalty over the underlying geothermal exploration licences. The company highlighted that this transaction crystallises value from previously impaired geothermal assets at minimal net cost and better aligns them with its royalty-focused strategy, alongside modest quarterly royalty receipts of A$247,341, a net cash outflow of A$127,657 after operating costs and bond repayment, a board change with the appointment of long-time advisor Jarrod White as director, and ongoing monitoring of key royalty interests in the Northern Territory’s Amadeus Basin and the Gippsland Basin’s Longtom area amid encouraging operational updates from partners.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:HPR) stock is a Hold with a A$0.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Peak Royalties Limited stock, see the AU:HPR Stock Forecast page.

High Peak Completes Torrens Geothermal Sale to Northstar and Retains Royalty Stake
Dec 24, 2025

High Peak Royalties has completed the sale of its wholly owned subsidiary Torrens Energy (SA) Pty Ltd, which holds South Australian geothermal licences and applications, to Northstar Energy Limited, receiving a total of 12.5 million Northstar shares and retaining a 1% gross royalty over geothermal energy produced from the Torrens tenements. With ministerial approval now secured and both tranches of the deal finalised, High Peak has exited direct ownership of the geothermal assets while preserving ongoing economic exposure in line with its royalty-focused strategy, as Northstar advances feasibility work on a 2 MW pilot-scale geothermal power demonstration project under a newly approved work programme in South Australia.

High Peak Royalties Director David Croll Steps Down but Retains Major Shareholding
Dec 24, 2025

High Peak Royalties Limited has announced that director David Charles Croll ceased to be a director of the company effective 24 December 2025. According to the final director’s interest notice lodged with the ASX, Croll retains an indirect relevant interest in 73,837,454 fully paid ordinary shares in High Peak Royalties, held through JP Morgan Nominees Australia Pty Limited, where he is a controller and beneficiary of the holding, meaning a substantial shareholding remains in the hands of a former board member even after his departure.

High Peak Royalties Appoints Jarrod Travers White to Board with Significant Shareholding
Dec 24, 2025

High Peak Royalties Limited has appointed Jarrod Travers White as a director effective 24 December 2025, strengthening its board with additional leadership and oversight. Regulatory disclosures show that White holds 42,812 fully paid ordinary shares directly and a further 831,285 shares indirectly through Braidwood-White Pty Ltd , where he is both a controller and beneficiary, signalling a substantial equity alignment with shareholders and a strong personal stake in the company’s future performance.

High Peak Royalties reshapes board with new executive director appointment
Dec 24, 2025

High Peak Royalties has announced the resignation of director David Croll and the appointment of chartered accountant Jarrod White as an executive director, both effective 24 December 2025. Croll, who remains a substantial shareholder and supporter of the company’s long-term strategy, departs the board after contributing to its development, while White steps up from his longstanding roles as company secretary and chief financial officer, bringing deep corporate governance, capital markets and growth-company advisory experience that is expected to strengthen High Peak’s leadership and support its execution of royalty growth initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025