tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
State Gas Ltd. (AU:GAS)
ASX:GAS
Australian Market

State Gas Ltd. (GAS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
38 Followers

Top Page

AU:GAS

State Gas Ltd.

(Sydney:GAS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.03
▼(-6.67% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/14/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance (losses and negative operating/free cash flow). Technical indicators also lean bearish with price below key moving averages and a negative MACD, while valuation support is limited because the company is unprofitable and offers no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet cushioning
A low debt-to-equity ratio gives State Gas durable financial flexibility, allowing it to fund exploration or withstand commodity cycles without large interest burdens. Over 2–6 months this reduces refinancing risk and supports capital allocation choices.
Revenue growth trajectory
Reported revenue growth indicates the business is expanding top-line activity, which is fundamental to scaling an E&P operator. Sustained revenue trends can support future margin improvement and help absorb fixed costs as projects mature.
Exposure to core energy segment
Operating in the E&P sector provides structural exposure to persistent global energy demand. Over months this underpins long-term project optionality and asset-value recovery potential when commodity prices or production baselines improve.
Negative Factors
Negative operating and free cash flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow erodes liquidity and constrains the company's ability to fund exploration, development, or debt service from operations. Over several months this increases reliance on external financing and execution risk.
Sustained unprofitability and weak margins
Negative EBIT and net margins indicate the business is not currently converting revenue into profit. Unless margins improve, the firm will struggle to generate retained earnings to fund growth, limiting long-term reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Negative return on equity
A negative ROE signals shareholder capital is being consumed rather than grown, reflecting weak operational returns. Over a multi-month horizon this can deter long-term investment, raise the cost of capital and pressure strategic options.

State Gas Ltd. (GAS) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

State Gas Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionState Gas Limited engages in the exploration and development of gas fields in Australia. Its flagship projects are the Reid's Dome gas project comprising the production lease 231 permit and the Rolleston-West project covering an area of approximately 1,595 square kilometers located in the Bowen Basin in Central Queensland. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyState Gas Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas extracted from its production sites. The company monetizes its gas reserves by entering into supply agreements with utility companies and industrial clients, which often involve long-term contracts to ensure stable cash flow. Additionally, State Gas may engage in partnerships and joint ventures with other energy firms to expand its operational capacity and market reach, thus enhancing its revenue potential. Factors contributing to its earnings include fluctuating natural gas prices, the efficiency of its extraction technologies, and the regulatory environment affecting the energy sector.

State Gas Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are weak due to ongoing losses and negative operating/free cash flow, outweighing the benefit of low leverage on the balance sheet.
Income Statement
25
Negative
State Gas Ltd. has shown some revenue growth, but profitability remains a significant concern. The company has a negative net profit margin and EBIT margin, indicating ongoing losses. Despite a slight improvement in revenue, the overall financial health from an income perspective is weak.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a low debt-to-equity ratio, which is a positive sign of financial stability. However, the negative return on equity indicates that the company is not generating profits from its equity base, which is a concern for investors.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow metrics highlight challenges, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high, suggesting that cash flow is not aligned with earnings, which could indicate inefficiencies or operational issues.
BreakdownJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue111.96K17.41K0.000.000.00
Gross Profit111.96K-313.00K-293.00K-209.00K-3.56K
EBITDA-2.85M-3.21M-895.48K1.55M-2.94M
Net Income-3.28M-3.63M-1.19M1.34M-2.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets51.21M48.32M40.91M33.88M29.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.16M31.75K453.35K3.23M3.16M
Total Debt1.79M2.14M200.00K0.000.00
Total Liabilities8.55M8.01M4.31M2.58M4.36M
Stockholders Equity42.66M40.32M36.61M31.30M25.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.77M-10.84M-10.59M-7.41M-11.79M
Operating Cash Flow-2.55M-2.13M-1.33M-1.20M-1.10M
Investing Cash Flow-189.00K-7.41M-8.31M-6.24M-11.03M
Financing Cash Flow4.87M9.11M6.87M7.50M14.42M

State Gas Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.03
Price Trends
50DMA
0.03
Positive
100DMA
0.03
Positive
200DMA
0.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
54.20
Neutral
STOCH
161.11
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GAS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, above the 50-day MA of 0.03, and above the 200-day MA of 0.03, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 161.11 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:GAS.

State Gas Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
56
Neutral
AU$37.41M-0.51-13.12%-13.55%-8.96%
56
Neutral
AU$25.87M-8.19-3.11%7.09%-275.00%
52
Neutral
AU$12.12M-2.13-147.07%-36.92%
44
Neutral
AU$5.56M2.86
43
Neutral
AU$10.24M-2.33-7.92%16.52%
39
Underperform
AU$8.35M-1.59-15.46%-9.56%87.68%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:GAS
State Gas Ltd.
0.03
-0.01
-31.58%
AU:ATS
Australis Oil & Gas
0.03
0.02
160.00%
AU:QEM
QEM Limited
0.04
-0.02
-35.48%
AU:VEN
Vintage Energy Ltd.
AU:BAS
Bass Oil Ltd
0.08
0.03
62.00%
AU:TEG
Triangle Energy (Global) Limited

State Gas Ltd. Corporate Events

State Gas Secures Shareholder Support as It Advances Bowen Basin Gas and Virtual Pipeline Strategy
Jan 21, 2026

State Gas Limited has reported that all resolutions put to shareholders at its 21 January 2026 general meeting were passed by poll, providing formal board and shareholder backing for its current strategic and operational direction. The outcome reinforces the company’s plans to accelerate commercialisation of its southern Bowen Basin assets, including early-stage production at its Rolleston West (Rougemont) project and deployment of its modular HDNG facility and virtual pipeline solution, developments that could strengthen its position as a flexible gas supplier to east coast industrial users lacking direct pipeline access and support its role in the ongoing energy transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GAS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on State Gas Ltd. stock, see the AU:GAS Stock Forecast page.

State Gas Wins ASX Waiver to Secure Director-Linked Funding Over Assets
Jan 13, 2026

State Gas Limited has secured a waiver from ASX Listing Rule 10.1, allowing it to grant security over all its assets in favour of entities associated with non-executive directors Philip St Baker and Jon Stretch for both new working capital finance facilities and existing legacy loans, without seeking prior shareholder approval. The board, excluding the interested directors, determined the funding to be on arm’s length terms after conventional lenders declined to provide debt finance within the required timeframe, and the ASX waiver is conditional on detailed disclosure of the rationale, terms and protections, including that security will be discharged once loans are repaid and that any enforcement sale of assets to related parties would still require shareholder approval, thereby balancing the company’s urgent funding needs with safeguards for ordinary security holders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GAS) stock is a Sell with a A$0.02 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on State Gas Ltd. stock, see the AU:GAS Stock Forecast page.

State Gas Seeks Shareholder Approval for Convertible Notes and Large Option Issues
Dec 22, 2025

State Gas Limited has called a general meeting of shareholders for 21 January 2026 in Brisbane to vote on several capital-raising and incentive-related resolutions. The board is seeking shareholder approval to issue up to 200 convertible notes and 83,333,400 attaching options to investors, as well as up to 9,600,000 options to lead manager Ignite Equity Pty Ltd, and a specific package of 13 convertible notes and 5,416,671 attaching options to related party director Philip St Baker, moves that would provide additional funding and align stakeholders through equity-linked securities while diluting existing holders if approved.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GAS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on State Gas Ltd. stock, see the AU:GAS Stock Forecast page.

State Gas Limited Announces Significant Securities Issue
Dec 8, 2025

State Gas Limited has announced a proposed issue of securities, including convertible notes, CN options, and broker options, totaling over 74 million securities. This strategic move is aimed at raising capital to support the company’s operations and growth initiatives, potentially enhancing its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GAS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on State Gas Ltd. stock, see the AU:GAS Stock Forecast page.

State Gas Secures $3.2 Million to Boost Rolleston West Project
Dec 8, 2025

State Gas Limited has raised $3.2 million through the issuance of unsecured convertible notes at a 33% premium, with additional support from directors converting $0.5 million of their debt into notes. This funding will accelerate predevelopment activities for the Rolleston West Project, following the recent certification of a maiden 2P Reserve, and reflects strong investor confidence in the company’s commercialisation strategy. The funds will be used for engineering, commercial resources, gas processing studies, and securing a project partner to support the development of a new gas project.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GAS) stock is a Hold with a A$0.03 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on State Gas Ltd. stock, see the AU:GAS Stock Forecast page.

State Gas Limited Successfully Concludes Annual General Meeting with All Resolutions Passed
Nov 20, 2025

State Gas Limited held its Annual General Meeting on November 20, 2025, where all resolutions were passed by poll. Key resolutions included the adoption of the remuneration report and the re-election of directors Mr. Philip St Baker, Mr. Greg Baynton, and Mr. Jon Stretch. Additionally, the approval of a 10% placement capacity was secured, indicating strong shareholder support and positioning the company for potential future capital raising activities.

State Gas Ltd. Updates on Gas Projects and Resource Estimates
Nov 20, 2025

State Gas Ltd. has provided an update on its gas projects, highlighting the contingent resource estimates for its Reid’s Dome and Rougemont Gas Projects, as well as its interests in ATP 2068 and ATP 2069. The company is focusing on addressing contingencies to confirm the commercial viability of these resources, which could potentially be reclassified as reserves. This development is crucial for State Gas’s strategic positioning in the energy market, as it seeks to capitalize on its gas exploration and production capabilities.

State Gas Ltd. Announces Major Milestone in Rolleston West Project
Nov 20, 2025

State Gas Ltd. has announced a significant milestone with the conversion of 30 petajoules of contingent resources into 2P reserves at its Rolleston West Project. This development underpins the economic viability of a substantial gas project, valued between $360 million and $510 million, and opens up new funding and partnership opportunities. The company is focused on advancing project development milestones, including infrastructure studies and commercial discussions with potential gas offtakers. The positive macroeconomic outlook for energy markets in Australia, coupled with the company’s pioneering technology, positions State Gas well to address the east-coast gas shortfall and support the transition to renewable energy.

State Gas Secures Maiden 2P Gas Reserve for Rolleston West Project
Nov 20, 2025

State Gas Limited has announced the independent certification of a maiden 2P gas reserve of 30.2 petajoules for its Rolleston West Project in central Queensland. This certification marks a significant milestone for the company, providing a strong economic foundation for future project development, including pipeline infrastructure and gas sales agreements. The reserve certification, conducted by Netherland, Sewell & Associates, Inc., validates the company’s geological work and production testing, and supports their High Density Natural Gas strategy. The project is expected to have a gross economic value between $360 million and $510 million, with potential for further upside from ongoing exploration.

State Gas Limited Addresses Late Lodgement of Appendix 3Y Notices
Nov 11, 2025

State Gas Limited announced the late lodgement of Appendix 3Y notices due to an administrative oversight, confirming no changes to directors’ holdings other than the lapse of options. The company has implemented additional checks to prevent future occurrences and remains committed to compliance with ASX Listing Rules. This announcement emphasizes State Gas’s dedication to maintaining operational integrity and transparency, reinforcing its position in the energy market.

State Gas Advances Rolleston West Project with 2P Reserve Certification
Oct 31, 2025

State Gas Limited has made significant progress in its Rolleston West project, advancing towards a maiden 2P reserve certification with independent verification. The company’s strategic initiatives include engaging with potential HDNG customers and exploring monetization options for its gas discoveries. The establishment of a 2P reserve is expected to bolster the company’s project economics, facilitate infrastructure negotiations, and support financing solutions, positioning State Gas as a competitive player in the CSG market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026