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Greenvale Mining Ltd. (AU:GRV)
ASX:GRV

Greenvale Mining (GRV) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:GRV

Greenvale Mining

(Sydney:GRV)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.04
▲(5.00% Upside)
The score is anchored by improved financial resilience (debt-free balance sheet and FY2025 positive operating/free cash flow), but is held back by continued net losses and a negative-return profile. Technically, the stock is trading below key moving averages with negative MACD, and valuation signals remain constrained due to loss-making earnings and no dividend data.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
A zero-debt position and a meaningful equity base provide durable financial flexibility, lowering refinancing and interest-rate risk. This strengthens the company's ability to fund exploration/development or withstand commodity cycles without immediate external debt, supporting long-term optionality.
Positive FY2025 cash generation
A return to positive operating and free cash flow indicates the business can generate internal funds to support operations and modest investment. Sustained cash generation reduces reliance on capital markets, improves funding optionality, and is a key durable step toward self-sufficiency.
Revenue resumption in FY2025
Restarting revenue after prior nil receipts signals commercial progress in operations or asset monetization. A recurring revenue base, if sustained and scaled, underpins improved margins and reduces structural dependence on financing, making future profitability more attainable.
Negative Factors
Ongoing net losses and negative ROE
Persistent net losses and a negative ROE indicate the company is not yet covering its cost of capital. Over time this erodes shareholder value, constrains reinvestment, and raises the probability of equity dilution or asset sales if losses persist, impairing long-term value creation.
Very weak profitability and margins
Extremely negative margins reveal a structural mismatch between costs and revenues. Without material revenue growth or cost restructuring, the firm will struggle to achieve sustainable profitability, limiting its ability to fund growth and increasing dependence on external capital.
Volatile historical cash flows
Historic multi-year cash burn creates execution risk: one-year positive FCF in FY2025 may be cyclical. Persistent volatility raises the likelihood of future financing needs, which can be dilutive or restrictive and undermines confidence in sustained internal funding for operations.

Greenvale Mining (GRV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Greenvale Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreenvale Mining Ltd. (GRV) is an Australian-based resources company primarily engaged in the exploration and development of mineral and energy projects. The company focuses on the extraction and commercialization of oil shale and other energy resources, with a commitment to sustainable and environmentally responsible practices. Greenvale Mining's core operations are centered around the Alpha Torbanite Project, which aims to develop one of the largest deposits of torbanite, a type of oil shale, in the world.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreenvale Mining Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the exploration, extraction, and sale of oil shale and its derivatives. Key revenue streams include the sale of raw materials extracted from their mining operations and potential future income from the production of synthetic crude oil. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by the global demand for energy resources, market prices for oil and associated products, and successful development and commercialization of their projects. Strategic partnerships with technology providers and energy companies may also play a role in enhancing operational efficiency and expanding market reach.

Greenvale Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet and cash flow are the main supports (zero debt, sizable equity base, and FY2025 return to positive operating and free cash flow). However, the income statement remains weak with ongoing losses, negative EBIT/net income, and negative ROE, so profitability is not yet self-sustaining.
Income Statement
22
Negative
The company remains loss-making, with negative EBIT and net income across the full period provided. FY2025 shows a return to modest revenue (about 0.45M) versus zero revenue in prior years, but profitability is still deeply negative (net margin around -305%), indicating the cost base is far above current revenue. Losses have improved from the very large FY2022 result, but earnings are not yet stable or sustainably trending positive.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is a relative strength: FY2025 shows zero debt and a sizable equity base (~9.9M) against ~10.2M in assets, providing financial flexibility. Leverage has come down meaningfully from FY2023–FY2024 (when debt-to-equity was ~0.32–0.37) to zero, reducing refinancing risk. The key weakness is continued negative returns on equity (FY2025 ROE about -14%), reflecting ongoing losses despite a solid capital base.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation improved sharply in FY2025, with positive operating cash flow (~0.91M) and positive free cash flow (~0.89M) following multiple years of cash burn (notably large negative free cash flow in FY2022–FY2024). Cash flow coverage versus net income is strong in FY2025 (cash flow positive while net income is negative), suggesting effective working-capital or non-cash addbacks supporting cash. The main risk is volatility: prior years show consistently negative operating and free cash flow, so the sustainability of FY2025’s turnaround remains unproven.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.00449.55K0.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-45.49K449.55K-93.51K-57.49K-48.00K0.00
EBITDA-1.02M-953.49K-3.21M-3.36M-7.25M-2.19M
Net Income-1.37M-1.37M-2.98M-3.77M-7.25M-2.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.16M10.16M11.49M14.58M13.61M13.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.12M2.12M1.52M5.16M4.34M9.85M
Total Debt0.000.002.63M3.83M101.95K0.00
Total Liabilities266.59K266.59K3.21M4.17M884.71K308.91K
Stockholders Equity9.89M9.89M8.28M10.41M12.73M13.27M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow893.61K888.88K-3.66M-4.56M-6.40M-3.03M
Operating Cash Flow894.26K912.00K-634.97K-1.14M-1.25M-1.32M
Investing Cash Flow-117.32K-117.32K-3.00M-3.47M-5.25M11.95K
Financing Cash Flow1.80M-200.00K0.005.43M992.12K11.07M

Greenvale Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.04
Negative
100DMA
0.05
Negative
200DMA
0.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
40.53
Neutral
STOCH
57.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:GRV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, below the 50-day MA of 0.04, and below the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:GRV.

Greenvale Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
59
Neutral
AU$10.84M-8.36%-7.30%
52
Neutral
AU$21.58M43.332.14%-22.76%
51
Neutral
AU$91.35M-61.11-13.64%30.77%
50
Neutral
AU$21.76M-13.21-14.62%58.82%
50
Neutral
AU$22.67M-1.96-59.58%4.41%-49.06%
44
Neutral
AU$36.51M-16.25-6.62%20.00%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:GRV
Greenvale Mining
0.04
>-0.01
-11.90%
AU:ADX
ADX Energy
0.03
<0.01
14.81%
AU:OEL
Otto Energy Limited
0.01
<0.01
18.18%
AU:HHR
Hartshead Resources NL
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:ROG
Red Sky Energy Limited
AU:EMP
Emperor Energy Ltd
0.11
0.08
266.67%

Greenvale Mining Corporate Events

Greenvale Energy Sharpens Uranium Exploration Strategy Amid Nuclear Power Revival
Feb 2, 2026

Greenvale Energy has outlined its strategy as a uranium-focused explorer seeking to capitalise on surging global demand for nuclear fuel, driven by data centre power needs, automotive electrification and the broader low-carbon energy transition. The company is positioning itself for growth through focused exploration activities, strategic acquisitions and an experienced management team with a track record of major discoveries and mine development in tier-one jurisdictions, aiming to deliver outsized shareholder returns as the nuclear sector experiences a renewed renaissance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GRV) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenvale Mining stock, see the AU:GRV Stock Forecast page.

Greenvale Energy Advances Oasis Uranium Project and Strengthens Balance Sheet in December Quarter
Jan 27, 2026

Greenvale Energy’s December quarter activities advanced its uranium-focused growth strategy, led by strong drilling results at the 100%-owned Oasis Uranium Project in Queensland. High-grade chemical assays confirmed consistent uranium mineralisation, expanded the geological model, and indicated that the system remains open along strike and at depth, with evidence of a possible second mineralised structure and additional near-surface extensions that collectively enhance the project’s scale potential. The company also progressed Test Program 7 at the Alpha Torbanite Project by commissioning specialist processing equipment and commencing bulk sample production, entered a farm-in and joint venture with a Sunrise Energy Metals subsidiary to realise value from its Millungera Basin geothermal asset via up to A$5 million in partner-funded expenditure, and strengthened its balance sheet with approximately A$1.9 million raised through a placement and oversubscribed share purchase plan, providing funding for its 2026 uranium exploration pipeline and supporting a value-focused start to the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GRV) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenvale Mining stock, see the AU:GRV Stock Forecast page.

Greenvale Energy Issues 21.6 Million Unquoted Options to Support Capital Structure
Jan 21, 2026

Greenvale Energy Ltd has notified the market of the issue of 21,556,122 unquoted options with an exercise price of $0.07 and an expiry date of 30 November 2026. The large tranche of new options expands the company’s unquoted equity pool, potentially aligning stakeholders through future equity participation while signalling ongoing capital management and incentive structuring as Greenvale advances its energy projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GRV) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenvale Mining stock, see the AU:GRV Stock Forecast page.

Greenvale Energy Shareholders Back All Resolutions at General Meeting
Jan 19, 2026

Greenvale Energy Limited has reported that all resolutions put to shareholders at its 19 January 2026 general meeting were passed by poll with strong levels of support. The approved motions include ratification of a prior placement, the issuance of placement options, and the issuance of share purchase plan (SPP) options, including specific SPP allocations to directors Neil Biddle and Mr Elias, effectively endorsing the company’s recent capital-raising initiatives and associated securities issuances. The outcome strengthens Greenvale’s funding position to advance its uranium, geothermal and other exploration projects, signalling solid shareholder backing for its current growth and capital management strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GRV) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenvale Mining stock, see the AU:GRV Stock Forecast page.

Greenvale Energy Calls January 2026 Meeting to Ratify Share Placement and Approve New Options
Jan 12, 2026

Greenvale Energy Limited has called a general meeting for 19 January 2026 in Brisbane, where shareholders will vote on several capital management resolutions tied to recent and proposed equity raisings. The agenda includes ratification of 23,659,091 placement shares already issued, approval for the issue of 11,829,545 placement options exercisable at $0.07 and expiring on 30 November 2026 to placement subscribers, and approval for the issue of 8,703,350 options on the same terms to participants in a security purchase plan, along with a separate resolution for issuing SPP options to director Neil Biddle. The outcome of these resolutions will formalise and expand Greenvale’s capital base, potentially strengthening its balance sheet, aligning director incentives with shareholders and giving the company additional flexibility to fund its strategic and operational objectives within ASX listing rule constraints.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:GRV) stock is a Hold with a A$0.04 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenvale Mining stock, see the AU:GRV Stock Forecast page.

Greenvale Energy Wraps Up First Uranium Field Season with Promising Results
Dec 17, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited has concluded its first uranium exploration field season at the Oasis Uranium Project with promising results, confirming significant mineralized extensions and strong high-grade uranium zones. These outcomes set the stage for an expanded exploration program in 2026, including regional target development and potential further discoveries, reinforcing Greenvale’s positioning in the uranium industry and its commitment to resource growth.

Greenvale Energy Advances Alpha Torbanite Project with Successful Milestones
Dec 15, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited has successfully achieved the first two milestones of Test Program 7 for its Alpha Torbanite Project, marking significant progress in its mineral processing efforts. The company has commenced bulk sample production, aiming to produce a bituminous product certified to C-170 asphalt specification, which is expected to unlock significant value for shareholders.

Greenvale Energy Announces General Meeting to Discuss Key Resolutions
Dec 14, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited has announced a General Meeting scheduled for January 19, 2026, in Brisbane. The meeting will address several resolutions, including the ratification and approval of the issuance of Placement Shares, Placement Options, and Security Purchase Plan (SPP) Options. These resolutions are significant for shareholders as they involve decisions on share and option issuances that could impact the company’s financial strategy and shareholder value.

Greenvale Energy Director Increases Stake via Share Purchase Plan
Dec 8, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically involving Neil Biddle, who increased his holdings in the company through participation in a Share Purchase Plan (SPP). This change reflects an acquisition of 681,818 ordinary shares each in two entities, Biddle Superannuation Fund and Biddle Family Trust, at a price of 0.044 per share. This move indicates a potential strategic alignment or confidence in the company’s future prospects, which could influence stakeholder perceptions and market positioning.

Greenvale Energy Director Increases Stake in Company
Dec 8, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Elias Khouri acquiring 681,818 ordinary shares through a share purchase plan. This acquisition increases Khouri’s indirect holdings, potentially strengthening his influence within the company and signaling confidence in Greenvale’s strategic direction.

Greenvale Energy Issues 2 Million Performance Rights
Dec 8, 2025

Greenvale Energy Ltd has announced the issuance of 2,000,000 unquoted performance rights, with a vesting condition of $0.15 and an expiry of three years from the issue date. This strategic move is likely to impact the company’s operational dynamics by potentially increasing employee motivation and aligning their interests with the company’s long-term goals, thereby strengthening its position in the energy sector.

Greenvale Energy Expands Capital Through Share Issuance
Dec 4, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited has announced the issuance of 19,452,153 fully paid ordinary shares through a Security Placement Plan. This move, executed without the need for investor disclosure under the Corporations Act, signifies the company’s compliance with relevant legal provisions and its strategic efforts to bolster its financial position. The issuance is expected to impact the company’s operations by potentially increasing its capital base, thereby enhancing its capacity to pursue growth opportunities.

Greenvale Energy Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Dec 3, 2025

Greenvale Energy Ltd has announced the application for quotation of 19,453,153 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code GRV. This move is part of a previously announced transaction and is expected to enhance the company’s market presence and liquidity, potentially benefiting stakeholders by increasing the company’s capital base and supporting its growth initiatives.

Greenvale Energy’s Share Purchase Plan Closing Soon
Nov 26, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited has announced the closing of its Share Purchase Plan (SPP) on 27 November 2025, offering eligible shareholders the chance to purchase shares at a fixed price with additional options. This initiative is part of Greenvale’s strategy to enhance shareholder value and support its exploration and growth objectives. The participation of all eligible directors and management in the SPP underscores the company’s commitment to its strategic goals.

Greenvale Energy Partners with SRL Hot Rocks for Geothermal Development
Nov 25, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited has entered into a Farm-in Agreement with SRL Hot Rocks Pty Ltd, a subsidiary of Sunrise Energy Metals, to develop the Millungera Basin Geothermal Project. This agreement allows SRL-HR to fund exploration and development up to $5 million to earn a majority interest, enabling Greenvale to focus on its uranium portfolio while advancing its geothermal assets. The project, located in a geologically promising area for geothermal energy, has the potential to significantly contribute to Australia’s clean energy supply. With exploration permits granted and access agreements in place, the project is poised to commence exploration activities.

Greenvale Energy Unveils New Opportunities at Oasis Uranium Project
Nov 24, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited has announced the successful completion of a trenching program at its Oasis Uranium Project, revealing new extensional exploration opportunities. The program identified a potential second mineralized structure and provided valuable geological data, which will be incorporated into the company’s geological model for future exploration. The findings enhance Greenvale’s exploration strategy, positioning the company to target regional opportunities around the Oasis site.

Greenvale Energy Issues New Shares to Bolster Financial Position
Nov 13, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited has announced the issuance of 23,659,091 fully paid ordinary shares through a placement, as per their recent disclosure. This move, conducted without the need for a detailed investor disclosure under the Corporations Act, signifies the company’s compliance with relevant legal provisions and reflects its strategic efforts to strengthen its financial position and operational capacity.

Greenvale Energy Focuses on Uranium Exploration to Meet Sustainable Energy Demand
Nov 12, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited announced its strategic focus on continuing exploration across its uranium projects, aiming to secure supply chains and leverage global demand for low or zero-emission energy. The company’s alignment with shareholders and its track record in making discoveries and developing projects positions it to contribute significantly to the sustainable energy future.

Greenvale Energy Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Nov 11, 2025

Greenvale Energy Ltd has announced the quotation of 23,659,091 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), as part of previously announced transactions. This move is expected to enhance the company’s capital structure and potentially improve its market positioning, offering stakeholders a clearer view of its financial strategy and growth prospects.

Greenvale Energy Unveils Promising Uranium Exploration Results at Oasis Project
Nov 11, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited has announced promising results from its recent exploration activities at the Oasis Uranium Project in Queensland. The company reported high-grade uranium assays from four diamond drill-holes and progress in its trenching program, which suggests the presence of a second mineralized structure. These findings enhance the geological model and support Greenvale’s strategy to expand exploration efforts, potentially leading to significant discoveries and strengthening its position in the uranium market.

Greenvale Energy Resumes Trading Post Capital Raise Announcement
Nov 6, 2025

Greenvale Energy Ltd, listed on the Australian Securities Exchange under the ticker GRV, has announced the lifting of its trading suspension following a capital raise announcement. This development is significant as it allows the company to resume trading, potentially impacting its market position and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Greenvale Energy Secures Funding for Uranium Exploration Expansion
Nov 6, 2025

Greenvale Energy Limited has secured approximately $1.05 million through a share placement to fund its uranium exploration activities, particularly at the Oasis Uranium Project. This funding will support ongoing trenching and drilling operations, with a focus on evaluating new growth and M&A opportunities. The company is also offering a Security Purchase Plan to allow existing shareholders to participate under the same terms as the placement, reflecting Greenvale’s commitment to shareholder engagement and growth in the uranium sector.

Greenvale Energy Ltd Suspends Trading Amid Capital Raising Efforts
Nov 4, 2025

Greenvale Energy Ltd has requested a voluntary suspension of its securities from the Australian Securities Exchange due to ongoing capital raising efforts. The suspension is intended to remain in place until the company completes its capital raise or makes an announcement, highlighting the company’s strategic move to secure additional funding.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025