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Emperor Energy Ltd (AU:EMP)
ASX:EMP
US Market

Emperor Energy Ltd (EMP) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:EMP

Emperor Energy Ltd

(Sydney:EMP)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.12
▲(16.00% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (large persistent losses and ongoing cash burn), with valuation also constrained by negative earnings. These are partially offset by favorable technical signals, with the stock trading above key moving averages and showing positive momentum.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet (no debt)
No reported debt materially reduces solvency and refinancing risk, preserving the company's optionality to pursue exploration or wait for favorable farm-out terms. Over months this lowers bankruptcy risk and provides financial flexibility during capital-intensive offshore programs.
Equity base strengthened in FY2025
Meaningful equity growth in FY2025 improves asset backing and reduces immediate dependency on debt markets. This stronger capital base supports funding of technical studies or partner negotiations, easing short-to-medium term program continuity and enhancing credibility with potential farm-in parties.
Asset-driven, farm-out focused business model
A farm-out/asset-sale model lets Emperor realize value without funding full-field development, shifting capex and execution risk to partners. Structurally this can conserve cash and accelerate value crystallization if the company secures industry partners for appraisal or development stages.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow
Consistent cash burn forces reliance on external funding—equity raises, asset sales or partner carry—to sustain operations. Over the coming months this increases dilution risk, can delay work programs if funding gaps arise, and constrains the company’s ability to self-fund exploration.
Large, persistent net losses and negative margins
Deep, ongoing losses indicate limited operating leverage and negative returns on invested capital. Without a material commercial discovery or partner-funded development, profitability is unlikely in the medium term, reducing ability to reinvest and eroding long-term shareholder value.
No confirmed production or steady revenue stream
Lack of production means revenue is intermittent and largely dependent on one-off farm-outs or asset sales. Structurally this creates lumpy cash flows, greater execution risk for long-lead offshore projects, and sustained funding dependence until a project reaches commercial production.

Emperor Energy Ltd (EMP) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Emperor Energy Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmperor Energy Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production activities in the upstream oil and gas sector in Australia. It primarily holds a 100% interest in the Vic/P47 exploration permit covering an area of 200 square kilometers located in the offshore Gippsland Basin, Bass Strait, Australia; and holds 100% interest in Canning Basin. The company was formerly known as Oil Basins Limited and changed its name to Emperor Energy Limited in November 2017. Emperor Energy Limited was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyEmperor Energy Ltd generates revenue primarily through the exploration and development of oil and gas resources. The company's revenue model is centered on securing exploration permits and licenses, conducting geological and geophysical surveys to assess resource potential, and subsequently developing these resources for commercial production. Key revenue streams include the sale of extracted hydrocarbons, such as crude oil and natural gas, to domestic and international markets. Additionally, strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies play a significant role in funding exploration activities and sharing the risks and rewards associated with resource development. Factors such as fluctuations in global energy prices, exploration success, and regulatory approvals significantly influence the company's earnings.

Emperor Energy Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite a sharp FY2025 revenue rebound, the company remains deeply unprofitable with persistent large losses and meaningfully negative margins. Cash flow is also consistently negative (ongoing cash burn), which keeps funding dependence high. The main offset is a conservative balance sheet with no reported debt and improved equity, reducing solvency risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Revenue rebounded sharply in FY2025 (up ~388% YoY), but the business remains deeply unprofitable with large operating and net losses (FY2025 net margin around -2,293%). Losses have been persistent across the period, and profitability metrics remain meaningfully negative, indicating limited operating leverage despite the recent top-line uptick.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively structured with no reported debt across all periods, reducing solvency risk. Equity has grown in the most recent year (FY2025 equity up meaningfully vs FY2024), supporting asset backing; however, returns on equity remain negative due to ongoing losses, which continues to erode economic value despite the low-leverage profile.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in every year shown, reflecting continued cash burn typical of an early-stage E&P story. While free cash flow improved in FY2025 versus FY2024 (less negative), the company still requires funding support to sustain operations and investment, and cash flows are not yet self-financing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue42.85K42.85K4.24K9.35K0.0013.13K
Gross Profit42.85K42.85K4.24K9.35K0.0013.13K
EBITDA-443.52K0.00-773.02K-941.12K-823.00K-572.00K
Net Income-982.77K-982.79K-804.32K-969.00K-893.00K-666.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.19M9.19M5.89M5.64M5.53M5.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.35M2.35M221.90K313.07K572.04K1.17M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities426.64K426.64K250.43K217.51K470.30K1.16M
Stockholders Equity8.76M8.76M5.64M5.43M5.06M4.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.89M-1.89M-898.72K-1.26M-2.08M-995.29K
Operating Cash Flow-1.03M-1.03M-540.69K-825.14K-1.15M-497.51K
Investing Cash Flow-866.29K-866.29K-358.02K-432.49K-698.97K-728.78K
Financing Cash Flow4.02M4.02M807.55K998.66K1.48M1.80M

Emperor Energy Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.10
Price Trends
50DMA
0.09
Positive
100DMA
0.08
Positive
200DMA
0.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
48.35
Neutral
STOCH
34.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:EMP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, above the 50-day MA of 0.09, and above the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:EMP.

Emperor Energy Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
59
Neutral
AU$13.56M-100.00-8.36%-7.30%
52
Neutral
AU$19.18M43.332.14%-22.76%
51
Neutral
AU$95.50M-58.33-13.64%30.77%
48
Neutral
AU$24.06M-1.52-70.94%
48
Neutral
AU$210.73M20.68168.99%
46
Neutral
AU$35.11M-16.25-6.62%20.00%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:EMP
Emperor Energy Ltd
0.11
0.07
228.13%
AU:BRU
Buru Energy
0.02
-0.02
-47.83%
AU:OEL
Otto Energy Limited
0.01
<0.01
8.33%
AU:HHR
Hartshead Resources NL
0.01
0.00
0.00%
AU:ROG
Red Sky Energy Limited
AU:FDR
Finder Energy Holdings Limited
0.40
0.36
939.47%

Emperor Energy Ltd Corporate Events

Emperor Energy Appoints New Director with 300,000-Share Holding
Jan 12, 2026

Emperor Energy Limited has appointed Timothy Handley as a director effective 12 January 2026, in line with ASX disclosure rules. At the time of his appointment, Handley holds a direct interest in 300,000 fully paid ordinary shares in the company, a stake that may help align his interests with those of shareholders and could be viewed positively by investors monitoring board alignment and governance practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:EMP) stock is a Hold with a A$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Emperor Energy Ltd stock, see the AU:EMP Stock Forecast page.

Emperor Energy Appoints New Managing Director to Propel Judith Gas Field Development
Dec 16, 2025

Emperor Energy Ltd has appointed Tim Handley as Managing Director, effective January 12, 2026. Handley, with over 20 years of experience in the energy sector, is expected to lead the company in advancing the Judith Gas Field project. The project is strategically positioned to alleviate the East Coast gas supply shortfall and is supported by recent funding and proximity to existing infrastructure. The appointment is seen as a critical step in strengthening Emperor Energy’s capability to commercialize the Judith Gas Field, which has been independently validated to hold significant gas resources.

Emperor Energy Issues New Equity Securities to Boost Capital
Dec 2, 2025

Emperor Energy Limited has announced the issuance of 7,000,000 unquoted equity securities in the form of EMP options, set to expire on December 1, 2028, at an exercise price of $0.20. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial operations, potentially impacting its market positioning by enhancing capital resources and providing stakeholders with investment opportunities.

Emperor Energy Issues New Equity Securities to Bolster Financial Position
Dec 2, 2025

Emperor Energy Ltd has announced the issuance of 27,500,000 unquoted equity securities, specifically EMP Options set to expire on December 1, 2028, at a price of $0.1095. This move is part of the company’s strategic efforts to strengthen its financial position and support its ongoing projects, potentially impacting its operational capabilities and market competitiveness.

Emperor Energy Issues 7 Million Unquoted Equity Securities
Dec 2, 2025

Emperor Energy Limited has announced the issuance of 7,000,000 unquoted equity securities, specifically EMP Options with an expiry date of December 1, 2028, at an exercise price of $0.1095. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial maneuvers, potentially impacting its market positioning and offering new opportunities for stakeholders.

Emperor Energy Ltd Issues 15 Million Unquoted Securities
Dec 1, 2025

Emperor Energy Ltd has announced the issuance of 15 million unquoted securities, specifically EMP Options set to expire on November 11, 2027. This move is part of the company’s strategic financial maneuvers to bolster its capital structure and potentially enhance its market positioning within the energy sector.

Emperor Energy Ltd Reports Successful Outcomes at 2025 AGM
Nov 14, 2025

Emperor Energy Ltd announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions were carried with significant support. Key resolutions included the adoption of the remuneration report, re-election of directors, ratification of prior share placements, and the appointment of auditors. The approval of these resolutions reflects strong shareholder confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

Emperor Energy Introduces New Resolutions for AGM
Oct 31, 2025

Emperor Energy Limited has issued a Revised Notice of Annual General Meeting, introducing two additional resolutions for shareholder approval. These resolutions involve issuing options to Argonaut, the company’s Strategic Financial Advisor, as part of their engagement in recent capital raising efforts and future advisory services. The meeting is scheduled for November 13, 2025, and shareholders are encouraged to participate and vote on these new resolutions.

Emperor Energy Announces Major Resource Upgrade and Strategic Appointments
Oct 31, 2025

Emperor Energy Ltd has announced a significant upgrade to its gas resources at the Judith Gas Field following an independent audit by GaffneyCline. The audit confirmed a 2C Contingent Resource of 166 Bcf and a P50 Prospective Resource of 1.86 Tcf, indicating a substantial increase in potential gas supply. The company has successfully raised $3.7 million to advance the Judith-2 Well, with plans to commence drilling in the second half of 2026. The appointment of Steven Marshall as Chief Operating Officer and Malcolm King as a Director strengthens the company’s leadership team as it prepares for this critical phase. The developments position Emperor Energy strategically in the tightening East Coast gas market, offering a rare investment opportunity.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025