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Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (AU:FMG)
ASX:FMG

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (FMG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd

(Sydney:FMG)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
AU$17.50
▲(17.61%Upside)
Fortescue Metals Group's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the most significant strengths, providing a solid foundation for stability and potential long-term growth. Technical indicators suggest a neutral short-term outlook.

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (FMG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFortescue Metals Group Ltd (FMG) is an Australian iron ore company and one of the largest producers globally. Headquartered in Perth, Western Australia, the company is primarily engaged in the exploration, development, production, processing, and sale of iron ore. FMG operates several iron ore mines in the Pilbara region of Western Australia and is known for its integrated supply chain from mine to port, which enhances operational efficiency and cost-effectiveness.
How the Company Makes MoneyFortescue Metals Group Ltd generates revenue primarily through the extraction, processing, and sale of iron ore. The company operates an extensive mining and logistics infrastructure that includes mines, railways, and port facilities, enabling the efficient transportation of iron ore to international markets, predominantly in Asia. FMG's revenue model is centered around long-term supply contracts with major steel producers, which provide a stable income stream. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by global iron ore prices, production volumes, and operational efficiency. Additionally, FMG is investing in renewable energy and green technologies, which may contribute to future revenue diversification.

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fortescue Metals Group demonstrates a robust financial position with strong profitability, efficient operations, and prudent financial management. Despite moderated revenue growth, the company maintains solid margins and cash generation capabilities.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Fortescue Metals Group has demonstrated strong financial performance over the years. The gross profit margin remains robust, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin has been consistently high, indicating profitability. Revenue growth has slowed recently, but the overall revenue trajectory remains positive. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Fortescue Metals Group exhibits a solid equity position, with a favorable equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is at a manageable level, indicating a balanced leverage strategy. Return on Equity (ROE) is strong, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. The company maintains a stable asset base, supporting its operations.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Fortescue Metals Group shows impressive cash flow strength, with substantial operating cash flows supporting its operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is solid, highlighting effective cash conversion. Free cash flow growth has been positive, underpinning the company's ability to fund investments and returns to shareholders.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.35B18.11B16.66B17.31B22.43B12.78B
Gross Profit7.17B11.53B8.74B9.74B15.51B8.42B
EBITDA8.22B10.52B8.68B10.40B16.18B8.15B
Net Income3.90B5.68B4.80B6.20B10.29B4.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets29.22B30.06B28.94B29.09B29.09B24.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.41B4.90B4.28B5.22B6.93B4.89B
Total Debt5.44B5.40B5.31B6.10B4.25B5.15B
Total Liabilities10.03B10.53B10.98B11.75B11.36B10.94B
Stockholders Equity19.22B19.55B17.95B17.33B17.73B13.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.33B5.08B4.44B3.62B9.17B4.59B
Operating Cash Flow6.18B7.92B7.31B6.27B12.58B6.60B
Investing Cash Flow-3.06B-2.81B-3.08B-2.91B-3.69B-2.03B
Financing Cash Flow-4.40B-4.46B-4.91B-4.81B-6.80B-1.29B

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.88
Price Trends
50DMA
15.67
Negative
100DMA
16.25
Negative
200DMA
17.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
42.09
Neutral
STOCH
31.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:FMG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.34, below the 50-day MA of 15.67, and below the 200-day MA of 17.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:FMG.

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUFMG
76
Outperform
$45.79B7.9220.21%6.57%-11.33%-32.11%
AUILU
66
Neutral
AU$1.50B6.4510.39%2.29%-9.35%-32.77%
AUIGO
64
Neutral
$2.98B1,418.92-36.53%13.20%-28.50%-532.61%
AUS32
58
Neutral
£12.77B58.17-3.53%3.70%-19.74%
AUMIN
58
Neutral
$3.94B50.78-33.95%4.54%2.22%-411.10%
AUPLS
46
Neutral
$4.01B23.42-1.04%-65.07%-102.37%
44
Neutral
C$958.62M-6.68-13.31%2.80%17.55%-32.28%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:FMG
Fortescue Metals Group Ltd
14.88
-5.13
-25.63%
AU:ILU
Iluka Resources Limited
3.73
-2.80
-42.91%
AU:S32
South32
2.90
-0.70
-19.44%
AU:MIN
Mineral Resources Limited
20.90
-35.02
-62.63%
AU:PLS
Pilbara Minerals
1.32
-1.94
-59.66%
AU:IGO
IGO
3.94
-1.62
-29.10%

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd Corporate Events

Fortescue Metals Group Announces Leadership Restructuring for Green Future
May 22, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd has announced a strategic leadership restructuring to enhance its focus on global electrification, decarbonization, and green energy development. Dino Otranto will expand his role to oversee operations related to electrification and hydrogen product production, while Agustin Pichot will become the CEO of Growth and Energy, leading the company’s green energy projects. The announcement also includes the retirement of key executives, Mark Hutchinson and Shelley Robertson, highlighting a shift towards a greener and more innovative future for Fortescue.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FMG) stock is a Hold with a A$17.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortescue Metals Group Ltd stock, see the AU:FMG Stock Forecast page.

Fortescue Metals Group Updates on Iron Bridge Magnetite Operation
May 21, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd has announced an update on its Iron Bridge magnetite operation, highlighting a staged ramp-up in production. The company anticipates shipments of 10-12 million tonnes in FY26, with a target to reach an annualized production rate of 16-20 million tonnes in the second half of FY27. The nameplate capacity of 22 million tonnes per annum is expected to be achieved by FY28. The operation is on track to meet its FY25 market guidance for shipments and operating costs. Fortescue is focusing on optimizing its operations through innovative solutions and operational learnings, which have already led to improvements in ore processing and production rates. The Iron Bridge project is a joint venture between FMG Magnetite Pty Ltd and Formosa Steel IB Pty Ltd.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FMG) stock is a Hold with a A$17.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortescue Metals Group Ltd stock, see the AU:FMG Stock Forecast page.

Fortescue Metals Group Addresses Late Lodgement of Director’s Interest Notice
May 6, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd has announced a late lodgement of an Appendix 3Y, which is a Change in Director’s Interest Notice for Lord Sebastian Coe. The delay was attributed to an administrative oversight, which the company considers an isolated incident. Fortescue assures stakeholders that it maintains robust corporate governance policies to ensure compliance with ASX Listing Rules.

Fortescue Achieves Record Shipments and Advances Green Initiatives
Apr 28, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd reported record iron ore shipments for the nine months ending March 2025, with a total of 143.2 million tonnes shipped, despite challenges such as significant weather events. The company also completed the acquisition of Red Hawk Mining Limited, enhancing its future mine plans, and continued to advance its green energy projects, including the construction of a solar farm and the development of innovative technologies for the Formula E World Championship.

Fortescue Announces Late Lodgement of Director’s Interest Notice
Apr 14, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd announced a late lodgement of an Appendix 3X for Mr. Noel Quinn, who was appointed as a Non-Executive Director on March 12, 2025. The delay was due to an administrative oversight, but the company assures that it was an isolated incident and that it has robust processes to meet its disclosure obligations under ASX Listing Rules.

Fortescue Metals Group Announces Equity Securities Update
Apr 14, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd announced the issuance, conversion, or payment up of unquoted equity securities, specifically unquoted options that have been exercised or other convertible securities that have been converted. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to manage its equity structure and could impact its financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

Fortescue Metals Group Issues Unquoted Equity Securities for Employee Incentives
Apr 14, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd announced the issuance of unquoted equity securities as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move involves the allocation of performance rights and vested rights, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX, reflecting the company’s ongoing efforts to incentivize and retain its workforce.

Fortescue Metals Group Announces Cessation of Securities
Apr 14, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd announced the cessation of certain securities, specifically 132,419 performance rights and 39,147 vested rights, due to unmet conditions as of March 31, 2025. This cessation reflects adjustments in the company’s capital management strategy, potentially impacting stakeholders by altering the distribution of securities and aligning with Fortescue’s operational and financial objectives.

Fortescue Metals Group Announces Director’s Change in Interest
Apr 2, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd has announced a change in the interests of its director, Mark Barnaba, with an increase in indirect holdings through a dividend reinvestment plan. This change reflects the company’s ongoing financial strategies and may have implications for stakeholders regarding the director’s confidence in the company’s future performance.

Fortescue Director Increases Shareholding Through Dividend Reinvestment
Apr 2, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd announced a change in the interest of its director, Dr. Larry Marshall, who acquired an additional 751 ordinary shares through the company’s Dividend Reinvestment Plan. This change increases Dr. Marshall’s total holdings to 16,738 shares. The acquisition reflects the director’s continued confidence in the company’s performance and strategic direction, potentially signaling positive sentiment to stakeholders and investors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 13, 2025