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Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (AU:FMG)
ASX:FMG
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Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (FMG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd

(Sydney:FMG)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
AU$18.50
▲(9.40%Upside)
Fortescue Metals Group's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the primary drivers of the stock's solid score. The company's robust profitability and efficient cash flow management provide a stable foundation. While technical indicators suggest neutral market conditions, the low P/E ratio and high dividend yield make it an appealing option for value and income investors.

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (FMG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFortescue Metals Group Ltd (FMG) is a leading global iron ore producer based in Australia. The company operates in the mining sector, focusing primarily on the extraction and sale of iron ore. FMG owns and operates integrated mining operations, including a mine-to-market infrastructure, which encompasses exploration, development, production, and processing. The company's core products are high-grade iron ore, which are supplied to customers worldwide, mainly in Asia.
How the Company Makes MoneyFortescue Metals Group Ltd generates revenue primarily through the mining, production, and export of iron ore. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of iron ore to major international markets, particularly China, which is the largest consumer of iron ore globally. FMG's operations are bolstered by its extensive supply chain infrastructure, which includes a fleet of ships for maritime transportation and a rail network connecting its mines to port facilities. The company benefits from economies of scale and cost-effective production methods, contributing to its profitability. Strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with major steel producers further enhance FMG's market position and revenue stability.

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fortescue Metals Group demonstrates a robust financial position across income, balance sheet, and cash flow metrics. The company exhibits strong profitability, efficient operations, and prudent financial management. While revenue growth has moderated, the company maintains solid margins and cash generation capabilities, supporting a stable financial outlook.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Fortescue Metals Group has demonstrated strong financial performance over the years. The gross profit margin remains robust, reflecting efficient cost management. The net profit margin has been consistently high, indicating profitability. Revenue growth has slowed recently, but the overall revenue trajectory remains positive. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet of Fortescue Metals Group exhibits a solid equity position, with a favorable equity ratio. The debt-to-equity ratio is at a manageable level, indicating a balanced leverage strategy. Return on Equity (ROE) is strong, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. The company maintains a stable asset base, supporting its operations.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Fortescue Metals Group shows impressive cash flow strength, with substantial operating cash flows supporting its operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is solid, highlighting effective cash conversion. Free cash flow growth has been positive, underpinning the company's ability to fund investments and returns to shareholders.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.11B16.66B17.31B22.43B12.78B
Gross Profit11.53B8.74B9.74B15.51B8.42B
EBITDA10.52B8.68B10.40B16.18B8.15B
Net Income5.68B4.80B6.20B10.29B4.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.06B28.94B29.09B29.09B24.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.90B4.28B5.22B6.93B4.89B
Total Debt5.40B5.31B6.10B4.25B5.15B
Total Liabilities10.53B10.98B11.75B11.36B10.94B
Stockholders Equity19.55B17.95B17.33B17.73B13.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.08B4.44B3.62B9.17B4.59B
Operating Cash Flow7.92B7.31B6.27B12.58B6.60B
Investing Cash Flow-2.81B-3.08B-2.91B-3.69B-2.03B
Financing Cash Flow-4.46B-4.91B-4.81B-6.80B-1.29B

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.91
Price Trends
50DMA
15.85
Positive
100DMA
15.86
Positive
200DMA
17.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.37
Negative
RSI
65.57
Neutral
STOCH
71.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:FMG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.93, above the 50-day MA of 15.85, and below the 200-day MA of 17.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:FMG.

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUFMG
79
Outperform
$51.64B8.7320.21%5.96%-11.33%-32.11%
AUILU
70
Outperform
$2.09B9.2510.39%1.64%-9.35%-32.77%
AUIGO
65
Neutral
$3.63B1,418.92-36.53%10.86%-28.50%-532.61%
AUMIN
62
Neutral
AU$5.34B50.78-33.95%4.54%2.22%-411.10%
AUS32
56
Neutral
AU$12.94B56.77-3.53%3.75%-19.74%
AUPLS
48
Neutral
$4.97B23.42-1.04%-65.07%-102.37%
44
Neutral
AU$1.42B-6.06-40.74%3.89%-3.45%-41.76%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:FMG
Fortescue Metals Group Ltd
16.91
-3.44
-16.90%
AU:ILU
Iluka Resources Limited
5.01
-1.45
-22.40%
AU:S32
South32
2.85
-0.54
-15.85%
AU:MIN
Mineral Resources Limited
27.75
-28.09
-50.30%
AU:PLS
Pilbara Minerals
1.58
-1.41
-47.15%
AU:IGO
IGO
4.83
-0.73
-13.08%

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd Corporate Events

Fortescue Metals Group Announces Cessation of Certain Securities
Jul 10, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd announced the cessation of certain securities, specifically performance rights and SIP vested rights, due to unmet conditions and other reasons. This cessation reflects adjustments in the company’s capital management strategy, potentially impacting stakeholders and market perceptions of the company’s operational focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FMG) stock is a Hold with a A$17.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortescue Metals Group Ltd stock, see the AU:FMG Stock Forecast page.

Fortescue Metals Group Announces Issuance of Unquoted Equity Securities
Jul 10, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd has announced the issuance, conversion, or payment up of unquoted equity securities. This move indicates a strategic financial maneuver that could impact the company’s capital structure and potentially influence its market positioning. The announcement may have implications for stakeholders, reflecting Fortescue’s ongoing efforts to manage its equity and financial resources effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FMG) stock is a Hold with a A$17.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortescue Metals Group Ltd stock, see the AU:FMG Stock Forecast page.

Fortescue Metals Group Issues Unquoted Equity Securities for Employee Incentives
Jul 10, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd announced the issuance of unquoted equity securities as part of their employee incentive scheme. This move involves the allocation of performance rights and vested rights, which are not intended to be quoted on the ASX, reflecting the company’s strategy to incentivize and retain talent within its workforce.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FMG) stock is a Hold with a A$17.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortescue Metals Group Ltd stock, see the AU:FMG Stock Forecast page.

Fortescue Appoints New Director with No Initial Securities Interest
Jun 30, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd has announced the appointment of Yasmin Broughton as a director, effective from July 1, 2025. The notice indicates that Yasmin Broughton does not hold any relevant interests in securities, either as a registered holder or through contracts, at the time of her appointment. This appointment is part of the company’s compliance with ASX listing rules and the Corporations Act, ensuring transparency and adherence to governance standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FMG) stock is a Hold with a A$17.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortescue Metals Group Ltd stock, see the AU:FMG Stock Forecast page.

Fortescue Appoints Yasmin Broughton as Non-Executive Director
Jun 30, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd has announced the appointment of Ms. Yasmin Broughton as a Non-Executive Director, effective July 1, 2025. Ms. Broughton brings over 25 years of experience in the mining and energy sectors, with expertise in law, mergers and acquisitions, and corporate governance. Her appointment is expected to enhance Fortescue’s strategic direction towards decarbonization and growth in green technology, energy, and metals, aligning with the company’s mission to become a leader in these areas.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FMG) stock is a Hold with a A$17.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortescue Metals Group Ltd stock, see the AU:FMG Stock Forecast page.

Fortescue Metals Group Announces Leadership Restructuring for Green Future
May 22, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd has announced a strategic leadership restructuring to enhance its focus on global electrification, decarbonization, and green energy development. Dino Otranto will expand his role to oversee operations related to electrification and hydrogen product production, while Agustin Pichot will become the CEO of Growth and Energy, leading the company’s green energy projects. The announcement also includes the retirement of key executives, Mark Hutchinson and Shelley Robertson, highlighting a shift towards a greener and more innovative future for Fortescue.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FMG) stock is a Hold with a A$17.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortescue Metals Group Ltd stock, see the AU:FMG Stock Forecast page.

Fortescue Metals Group Updates on Iron Bridge Magnetite Operation
May 21, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd has announced an update on its Iron Bridge magnetite operation, highlighting a staged ramp-up in production. The company anticipates shipments of 10-12 million tonnes in FY26, with a target to reach an annualized production rate of 16-20 million tonnes in the second half of FY27. The nameplate capacity of 22 million tonnes per annum is expected to be achieved by FY28. The operation is on track to meet its FY25 market guidance for shipments and operating costs. Fortescue is focusing on optimizing its operations through innovative solutions and operational learnings, which have already led to improvements in ore processing and production rates. The Iron Bridge project is a joint venture between FMG Magnetite Pty Ltd and Formosa Steel IB Pty Ltd.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:FMG) stock is a Hold with a A$17.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fortescue Metals Group Ltd stock, see the AU:FMG Stock Forecast page.

Fortescue Metals Group Addresses Late Lodgement of Director’s Interest Notice
May 6, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd has announced a late lodgement of an Appendix 3Y, which is a Change in Director’s Interest Notice for Lord Sebastian Coe. The delay was attributed to an administrative oversight, which the company considers an isolated incident. Fortescue assures stakeholders that it maintains robust corporate governance policies to ensure compliance with ASX Listing Rules.

Fortescue Achieves Record Shipments and Advances Green Initiatives
Apr 28, 2025

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd reported record iron ore shipments for the nine months ending March 2025, with a total of 143.2 million tonnes shipped, despite challenges such as significant weather events. The company also completed the acquisition of Red Hawk Mining Limited, enhancing its future mine plans, and continued to advance its green energy projects, including the construction of a solar farm and the development of innovative technologies for the Formula E World Championship.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025