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Elevra Lithium (AU:ELV)
ASX:ELV
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Elevra Lithium (ELV) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ELV

Elevra Lithium

(Sydney:ELV)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
AU$14.50
â–²(39.69% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/23/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance driven by widening losses and ongoing cash burn. Offsetting this, technicals are strong with the stock trading above major moving averages and a positive MACD, while valuation appears low based on the provided P/E.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth & gross margins
Sustained top-line expansion with strong gross margins indicates real demand and healthy unit economics. Over 2–6 months this supports the business’s ability to invest in capacity and improves the odds that scale can eventually translate into operating leverage if cost control and volume gains continue.
Negative Factors
Widening operating and net losses
Material deterioration in EBIT and a roughly -294M net loss are structural concerns: persistent losses erode equity, undermine return on invested capital, and make it harder to reach self-sustaining profitability. Over several months this increases financing need and strategic risk.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth & gross margins
Sustained top-line expansion with strong gross margins indicates real demand and healthy unit economics. Over 2–6 months this supports the business’s ability to invest in capacity and improves the odds that scale can eventually translate into operating leverage if cost control and volume gains continue.
Read all positive factors

Elevra Lithium (ELV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Elevra Lithium Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Engages in the identification, acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral assets in Australia and Canada. Primarily explores for lithium, graphite, and gold. Its flagship asset is the North American Lithium project in Quebec, Canada. The...

Elevra Lithium Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and solid recent gross margins are outweighed by deteriorating profitability (wider EBIT and net losses in 2025) and persistent cash burn with worsening negative free cash flow, increasing funding risk despite moderate leverage.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue222.73M223.37M200.87M1.70M387.00K645.39K
Gross Profit39.09M146.98M178.29M-4.47M337.00K593.63K
EBITDA-302.96M-341.66M-78.09M-19.03M-20.57M-3.56M
Net Income-131.74M-294.29M-101.40M-13.63M58.89M-4.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.05B652.71M952.51M1.01B661.16M71.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments121.74M72.29M90.62M211.12M184.56M35.50M
Total Debt122.97M77.55M30.62M31.21M23.47M52.76K
Total Liabilities205.99M177.27M156.88M124.75M100.54M3.84M
Stockholders Equity847.58M420.22M665.04M756.16M504.02M61.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-108.36M-64.42M-193.37M-259.84M-45.67M-15.48M
Operating Cash Flow-77.60M-14.79M-64.64M-66.48M-13.64M-11.18M
Investing Cash Flow26.97M-49.63M-114.04M-129.92M-237.44M2.19M
Financing Cash Flow62.69M46.08M60.34M221.25M408.25M44.29M

Elevra Lithium Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.38
Price Trends
50DMA
10.28
Positive
100DMA
9.17
Positive
200DMA
6.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Positive
RSI
63.18
Neutral
STOCH
46.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ELV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.84, above the 50-day MA of 10.28, and above the 200-day MA of 6.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:ELV.

Elevra Lithium Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
AU$2.62B2.46-20.78%―2.01%-37.12%
57
Neutral
AU$547.65M-15.69-4.22%――56.94%
55
Neutral
AU$746.62M0.05154.06%―――
47
Neutral
AU$954.86M-8.93-10.17%―-100.00%59.85%
43
Neutral
AU$1.54B-4.01-12.79%―-3.54%-49.86%
40
Underperform
AU$173.65M-4.93-19.15%――17.32%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ELV
Elevra Lithium
13.73
11.48
510.22%
AU:CXO
Core Lithium Ltd
0.30
0.20
213.83%
AU:LKE
Lake Resources N.L.
0.08
0.04
137.50%
AU:EUR
European Lithium
0.44
0.38
736.54%
AU:GLN
Galan Lithium Limited
0.44
0.34
348.45%
AU:VUL
Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd.
3.49
0.07
1.99%

Elevra Lithium Corporate Events

JPMorgan Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Elevra Lithium
May 22, 2026
JPMorgan Chase Co. and several of its subsidiaries have notified Elevra Lithium Ltd that they have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of 19 May 2026. The change reflects a series of securities lending, rehypothecation, and princip...
Elevra Raises A$275m to Fund North American Lithium Expansion
May 12, 2026
Elevra Lithium has completed a fully underwritten A$275 million institutional placement, issuing about 22.5 million new shares at A$12.20 each, a discount to recent trading prices, with strong support from existing and new domestic and global inst...
Elevra Lithium Plans 145 Million Convertible Notes Issue
May 12, 2026
Elevra Lithium Limited has lodged an Appendix 3B with the ASX detailing a proposed issue of up to 145 million convertible notes. The notes are to be issued by Sayona Inc. in Canada and are convertible or exchangeable into Elevra shares, with a pro...
Elevra Lithium Plans New Share and Option Issue to Bolster Funding
May 12, 2026
Elevra Lithium Limited has notified the ASX of a proposed securities issue comprising up to 566,776 ordinary fully paid shares and 56,678 options as part of a placement or similar capital-raising structure. The issue, scheduled for mid-May 2026, i...
Elevra Lithium Plans Capital Raise via Placement and Securities Purchase Plan
May 12, 2026
Elevra Lithium Limited has outlined plans for a significant capital raise via a combination of a securities purchase plan and a placement of ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX. The company intends to issue up to 1,639,344 shares under the secur...
Elevra Lithium launches dual-track equity raising to bolster funding
May 12, 2026
Elevra Lithium has launched a fully underwritten institutional placement of new shares and an accompanying share purchase plan for eligible retail investors in Australia and New Zealand. The combined equity raising, structured under existing Austr...
Elevra secures A$441m funding to drive North American lithium expansion
May 12, 2026
Elevra Lithium has launched a financing package of up to A$441 million, including a fully underwritten A$275 million institutional placement, a strategic A$146 million convertible notes investment from Canada Growth Fund and a share purchase plan ...
Elevra Lithium doubles NAL expansion value with staged growth plan
May 11, 2026
Elevra Lithium has released an updated scoping study for expanding its North American Lithium mine, outlining a staged development plan that lifts permitted plant throughput to 4,500 tonnes per day in Stage 1 and 6,500 tonnes per day in Stage 2 wh...
Elevra Sells Ghana Ewoyaa Stake to Refocus on North American Lithium Assets
May 10, 2026
Elevra Lithium has agreed to sell its entire interest, including offtake rights, in the Ewoyaa Lithium Project in Ghana to Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt for about US$71 million in cash, with completion targeted by the end of the March 2027 quarter subjec...
Elevra Lithium Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional Ordinary Shares
Apr 28, 2026
Elevra Lithium Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 255,830 new ordinary fully paid shares, with an issue date of April 24, 2026. The additional securities, linked to a previously announced transaction, will modestly increase the compan...
Citigroup Entities Exit Substantial Holder Status in Elevra Lithium
Apr 24, 2026
Citigroup Global Markets Australia and related Citi entities have notified Elevra Lithium that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders in the company as of 22 April 2026. The notice details shifts in relevant interests held through securit...
Elevra Lithium Delivers Record Quarter as NAL Expansion and Downstream Push Advance
Apr 22, 2026
Elevra Lithium reported a strong March 2026 quarter, with record NAL revenue of US$81 million, improved safety performance, higher plant utilisation, and better recoveries driving a 7% rise in spodumene output despite slightly lower ore mined. Cas...
Elevra Lithium Sets Date and Webcast for March Quarter Update
Apr 15, 2026
Elevra Lithium has scheduled the release of its March 2026 quarterly activities report for 23 April 2026, signaling an upcoming update on operational and financial performance. The company plans to host an investor webcast that morning, offering l...
Citigroup Entities Exit Substantial Holder Status in Elevra Lithium
Apr 10, 2026
Citigroup Global Markets Australia and related Citi group entities have disclosed that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders in Elevra Lithium Limited as of 8 April 2026, following changes in their relevant interests in the company&#8217...
Morella Flags Strong Pegmatite Intercepts as Mt Edon Drilling Wraps Up
Mar 30, 2026
Morella Corporation has completed a reverse circulation drilling program at the Mt Edon Rubidium-Lithium Project in Western Australia, drilling 20 holes for about 1,700 metres under its joint venture with Elevra. Geological logging from the Sophie...
Elevra Lithium Trims Small Shareholdings to Cut Admin Costs
Mar 19, 2026
Elevra Lithium has completed a small shareholding sale facility aimed at consolidating its share register by selling unmarketable parcels valued at less than $500 as of the 8 January 2026 record date. Of 16,153 shareholders holding such parcels, 1...
Elevra Lithium lodges NI 43-101 report to advance NAL expansion plans
Mar 17, 2026
Elevra Lithium has filed a NI 43-101 compliant technical report supporting its previously released scoping study for the expansion of the North American Lithium operation in Québec. The filing aligns the company’s disclosure with Canadi...
Resources-Focused Rebalance Reshapes S&P/ASX Indices for March 2026
Mar 6, 2026
SP Dow Jones Indices has announced its March 2026 quarterly rebalance of the SP/ASX indices, bringing a series of changes across the SP/ASX 20, 50, 100, 200 and 300 benchmarks. The reshuffle sees notable promotions such as Northern Star Resources ...
Elevra Lithium Issues New Shares Following Conversion of Unquoted Securities
Mar 4, 2026
Elevra Lithium Limited has notified the market of the issue of 24,842 new ordinary fully paid shares following the conversion or exercise of previously unquoted securities. The additional shares, issued on 2 March 2026, modestly increase the compa...
Elevra Lithium lifts profit and cash as prices rise and NAL expansion advances
Feb 24, 2026
Elevra Lithium reported an 8% rise in first-half FY26 revenue to US$86 million as stronger lithium prices offset lower sales volumes and a 7% fall in production at its North American Lithium operation. Underlying group EBITDA improved to US$1 mill...
Elevra Lithium Cancels 20,443 Unvested Performance Rights
Feb 24, 2026
Elevra Lithium Limited has notified the market of the lapse of 20,443 performance rights, which ceased on 20 February 2026 after the conditions attached to these rights were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. The cancellation of these...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 23, 2026