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Elevra Lithium (AU:ELV)
ASX:ELV

Elevra Lithium (ELV) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ELV

Elevra Lithium

(Sydney:ELV)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
AU$8.00
▼(-7.73% Downside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing losses and negative operating/free cash flow) despite a conservatively leveraged balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, but overbought momentum increases near-term risk. Valuation remains constrained by loss-making results (negative P/E) and no stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Elevra's strong market position in the lithium industry supports its ability to capitalize on the growing demand for lithium in EV and energy storage markets.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships ensure stable demand and pricing, enhancing revenue stability and providing a competitive edge in the lithium market.
Balance Sheet Health
A conservatively leveraged balance sheet provides financial stability and flexibility, allowing Elevra to invest in growth opportunities without excessive debt burden.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges indicate operational inefficiencies and high costs, which could hinder long-term financial performance and shareholder returns.
Cash Flow Pressures
Negative cash flow suggests liquidity issues and limits the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives, potentially impacting future business expansion.
Return on Equity Concerns
Negative ROE indicates that the company is not effectively using its equity base to generate profits, which could deter investment and affect long-term growth prospects.

Elevra Lithium (ELV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Elevra Lithium Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEngages in the identification, acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral assets in Australia and Canada. Primarily explores for lithium, graphite, and gold. Its flagship asset is the North American Lithium project in Quebec, Canada. The company changed its name from Sayona Mining to Elevra Lithium in August 2025, following a merger with Piedmont Lithium.
How the Company Makes MoneyElevra Lithium generates revenue through the sale of its lithium products to manufacturers of batteries, electric vehicles, and energy storage systems. The company has established key partnerships with major automotive and technology firms that require reliable lithium supplies for their production processes. Additionally, the company benefits from long-term contracts that ensure stable pricing and demand for its products. Elevra Lithium also engages in joint ventures and strategic collaborations to enhance its production capabilities and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Elevra Lithium Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sayona Mining shows revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The low debt-to-equity ratio is positive, but negative net profit margins and cash flow issues highlight operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
Sayona Mining's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has achieved a revenue growth rate of 9.26% in the latest year, indicating positive sales momentum. However, profitability remains a significant concern, with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, reflecting operational challenges and high costs relative to revenue. The gross profit margin has decreased from the previous year, suggesting pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Sayona Mining reveals a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18, indicating conservative leverage and a strong equity base. However, the return on equity is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid capital structure, but the negative ROE is a concern for long-term profitability.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows Sayona Mining facing challenges with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, indicating liquidity pressures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high, suggesting that the company is not efficiently converting its net income into cash. The decline in free cash flow growth rate further emphasizes the need for improved cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue204.43M223.37M200.87M1.70M387.00K645.39K
Gross Profit91.67M146.98M178.29M-4.47M337.00K593.63K
EBITDA-97.84M-341.66M-78.09M-19.03M-20.57M-3.56M
Net Income-123.78M-294.29M-101.40M-13.63M58.89M-4.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets984.06M652.71M952.51M1.01B661.16M71.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments110.39M72.29M90.62M211.12M184.56M35.50M
Total Debt79.55M77.55M30.62M31.21M23.47M52.76K
Total Liabilities197.09M177.27M156.88M124.75M100.54M3.84M
Stockholders Equity665.55M420.22M665.04M756.16M504.02M61.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-119.92M-64.42M-193.37M-259.84M-45.67M-15.48M
Operating Cash Flow-52.70M-14.79M-64.64M-66.48M-13.64M-11.18M
Investing Cash Flow-51.36M-49.63M-114.04M-129.92M-237.44M2.19M
Financing Cash Flow57.91M46.08M60.34M221.25M408.25M44.29M

Elevra Lithium Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.67
Price Trends
50DMA
5.97
Positive
100DMA
4.86
Positive
200DMA
3.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.79
Negative
RSI
74.25
Negative
STOCH
89.81
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ELV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.49, above the 50-day MA of 5.97, and above the 200-day MA of 3.81, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.25 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.81 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:ELV.

Elevra Lithium Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
AU$248.41M-12.83-3.24%1.54%14.64%-213.25%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
AU$408.54M-28.46-5.18%47.15%
51
Neutral
AU$354.66M-16.20-53.29%
50
Neutral
$1.45B-2.26-52.27%6.51%-173.45%
49
Neutral
$877.97M-28.90-9.40%-100.00%89.10%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ELV
Elevra Lithium
9.13
5.53
153.61%
AU:CXO
Core Lithium Ltd
0.32
0.23
262.07%
AU:GLN
Galan Lithium Limited
0.37
0.25
196.00%
AU:CTM
Centaurus Metals Limited
0.64
0.28
76.39%
AU:OMH
OM Holdings Ltd.
0.34
>-0.01
-1.45%

Elevra Lithium Corporate Events

Elevra Fast-Tracks NAL Expansion With Staged Debottlenecking Plan
Jan 12, 2026

Elevra Lithium has reworked its expansion plan for the North American Lithium mine, opting for a staged debottlenecking strategy that accelerates additional production, reduces permitting risk and spreads capital expenditure over time. The revised pathway uses existing and newly available permitting to deliver an initial 15–20% production uplift from mid-2027 within current milling limits, then increase processing capacity to 6,500 tonnes per day with temporary mobile crushing from early 2028, before completing a new crushing and ore-sorting circuit by early 2029 to support a life-of-mine output of 315,000 tonnes per annum of spodumene concentrate. This approach is expected to bring forward incremental production by about two years and lower unit operating costs, while maintaining attractive project economics, including an unchanged AISC of US$680 per tonne and economic metrics such as an NPV of around US$950 million and an IRR of 26.4%, despite a restatement of C1 cash costs to US$630 per tonne after correcting cost allocations. Elevra plans to update its scoping study in early Q2 2026 and move directly into detailed engineering, aiming to de-risk execution and accelerate value creation at NAL.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Hold with a A$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Elevra Lithium to Drop Sponsored OTCQB Listing in Favour of Unsponsored OTC Quotation
Jan 12, 2026

Elevra Lithium will discontinue its sponsored OTCQB Venture Market listing at the close of business on 30 January 2026, with its shares expected to move to an unsponsored Pink Limited Market quotation on the OTC Markets Group from 2 February 2026 under the existing SYAXF ticker. The company, which will maintain its primary listings on the ASX and Nasdaq, said the move is driven by the cost of maintaining the OTCQB listing and low trading volumes, and emphasised that the change will not affect its underlying operations or strategic plans. Elevra noted that OTC investors can convert their holdings into Nasdaq-listed American depositary shares or ASX-listed ordinary shares, with ADR issuance fees waived for conversions completed before 27 February 2026, while warning that unsponsored OTC trading may entail reduced liquidity and visibility and advising affected shareholders to consult their brokers.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Hold with a A$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Elevra Lithium Announces Cessation of Securities
Dec 8, 2025

Elevra Lithium Limited announced the cessation of 14,897 securities due to the expiry of options or other convertible securities without exercise or conversion. This announcement may impact the company’s capital structure and could influence investor perceptions regarding the company’s financial strategy and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Buy with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Elevra Lithium Director Increases Stake in Company
Nov 27, 2025

Elevra Lithium Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Laurie Lefcourt acquiring 4,487 fully paid ordinary shares through an on-market purchase, increasing his total holdings to 8,154 shares. This acquisition reflects a strategic move by the director to increase his stake in the company, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and stability in the lithium market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Elevra Lithium Reports Unanimous Approval of AGM Resolutions
Nov 21, 2025

Elevra Lithium Limited announced that all resolutions were passed at their Annual General Meeting held on 21 November 2025. This successful passage of resolutions reflects strong shareholder support and may positively impact the company’s strategic initiatives and governance. The approval of performance rights and equity incentive plans indicates a focus on aligning management incentives with company performance, potentially enhancing operational efficiency and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Elevra Lithium: Merging Strengths for Sustainable Growth
Nov 21, 2025

Elevra Lithium Limited, following its merger, has achieved record production and reduced operating costs, positioning itself as a key player in the lithium market. The company has made significant strides in sustainability, reducing emissions and improving safety, while also enhancing governance practices and focusing on long-term shareholder value. With a strong foundation and strategic plans, Elevra is well-prepared to capitalize on the increasing demand for lithium.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Elevra Lithium Expands Capital with New Securities Issuance
Nov 14, 2025

Elevra Lithium Limited announced the issuance of 10,649 ordinary fully paid securities, effective November 12, 2025. This move signifies the company’s strategic efforts to enhance its capital structure, potentially strengthening its market position and operational capabilities in the lithium sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Elevra Lithium Reports Strong Q1 FY26 Results and Strategic Expansion
Nov 5, 2025

Elevra Lithium announced its Q1 FY26 financial results, highlighting the production of 52,003 dry metric tonnes of lithium and generating $31 million in revenue. The company is expanding its North American Lithium project, aiming for lower costs and strong returns, which positions it as a key player in the lithium market, catering to global demand centers.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Elevra Lithium Expands Market Presence with New ASX Quotation
Oct 30, 2025

Elevra Lithium Limited has announced the quotation of 582,770 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) as of October 30, 2025. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is expected to enhance the company’s market presence and liquidity, potentially benefiting stakeholders by increasing the company’s visibility and access to capital.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Buy with a A$5.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Elevra Lithium Settles Underwriting Fees with Share Issuance
Oct 29, 2025

Elevra Lithium Limited has issued 287,500 new fully paid ordinary shares at $4.80 per share to CG Nominees (Australia) Pty Ltd to settle remaining underwriting fees owed to Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limited. This issuance is part of a conditional institutional placement previously announced and approved by shareholders, reflecting the company’s compliance with relevant provisions of the Corporations Act and its strategic financial maneuvers to strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Elevra Lithium Strengthens Position with Strategic Merger and Expansion Plans
Oct 28, 2025

Elevra Lithium has completed a significant merger with Sayona Mining Limited and Piedmont Lithium Inc., resulting in a unified strategy to enhance its position as a premier North American lithium producer. The company reported a strong safety performance and production outcomes for the September 2025 quarter, despite some operational challenges. Elevra is also advancing growth projects, including the expansion of its North American Lithium operations and strategic developments in Moblan and Carolina Lithium, amidst favorable U.S. policy support for domestic supply chains. The company maintains a robust financial position with increased cash reserves and reaffirms its production and sales guidance for FY26.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Elevra Lithium Announces New Securities Issue to Bolster Capital
Oct 24, 2025

Elevra Lithium Limited announced a proposed issue of 287,500 ordinary fully paid securities, set to take place on October 28, 2025. This strategic move is expected to enhance the company’s capital base, potentially strengthening its market position and supporting its ongoing projects in the lithium sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Elevra Lithium Announces Hybrid AGM for Enhanced Shareholder Engagement
Oct 19, 2025

Elevra Lithium Limited has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for November 21, 2025, which will be conducted as a hybrid meeting to maximize shareholder participation. This approach allows shareholders to attend either in person or virtually, ensuring broader engagement and accessibility. The AGM will provide shareholders with opportunities to ask questions and participate in discussions about the company’s management and operations, reflecting Elevra Lithium’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder involvement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ELV) stock is a Hold with a A$5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Elevra Lithium stock, see the AU:ELV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 25, 2025