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Elevra Lithium (AU:ELV)
ASX:ELV
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Elevra Lithium (ELV) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ELV

Elevra Lithium

(Sydney:ELV)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
AU$12.50
â–²(20.42% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/23/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance driven by widening losses and ongoing cash burn. Offsetting this, technicals are strong with the stock trading above major moving averages and a positive MACD, while valuation appears low based on the provided P/E.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth & Gross Margins
Sharp multi-year top-line growth coupled with strong gross margins indicates durable product demand and favorable unit economics. Over a 2–6 month horizon this underpins market share gains and gives the company a clearer pathway to recover operating leverage if management controls opex and sustains margin drivers.
Negative Factors
Persistent Cash Burn
Operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently negative and free cash flow worsened ~46% YoY in 2025. Persistent cash burn implies reliance on external capital, raising dilution and covenant risk, and constrains the firm's ability to self-fund growth, capex, or strategic initiatives over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth & Gross Margins
Sharp multi-year top-line growth coupled with strong gross margins indicates durable product demand and favorable unit economics. Over a 2–6 month horizon this underpins market share gains and gives the company a clearer pathway to recover operating leverage if management controls opex and sustains margin drivers.
Read all positive factors

Elevra Lithium (ELV) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Elevra Lithium Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Elevra Lithium Limited focuses its operations on locating, acquiring, investigating, and developing mineral resources across Australia and Canada. Its exploration endeavors are primarily centered on discovering deposits of lithium, graphite, and g...

Elevra Lithium Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and solid recent gross margins are outweighed by deteriorating profitability (wider EBIT and net losses in 2025) and persistent cash burn with worsening negative free cash flow, increasing funding risk despite moderate leverage.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue222.73M223.37M200.87M1.70M387.00K645.39K
Gross Profit39.09M146.98M178.29M-4.47M337.00K593.63K
EBITDA-302.96M-341.66M-78.09M-19.03M-20.57M-3.56M
Net Income-131.74M-294.29M-101.40M-13.63M58.89M-4.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.05B652.71M952.51M1.01B661.16M71.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments121.74M72.29M90.62M211.12M184.56M35.50M
Total Debt122.97M77.55M30.62M31.21M23.47M52.76K
Total Liabilities205.99M177.27M156.88M124.75M100.54M3.84M
Stockholders Equity847.58M420.22M665.04M756.16M504.02M61.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-108.36M-64.42M-193.37M-259.84M-45.67M-15.48M
Operating Cash Flow-77.60M-14.79M-64.64M-66.48M-13.64M-11.18M
Investing Cash Flow26.97M-49.63M-114.04M-129.92M-237.44M2.19M
Financing Cash Flow62.69M46.08M60.34M221.25M408.25M44.29M

Elevra Lithium Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.38
Price Trends
50DMA
11.91
Negative
100DMA
9.75
Positive
200DMA
7.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
49.26
Neutral
STOCH
61.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ELV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.16, below the 50-day MA of 11.91, and above the 200-day MA of 7.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:ELV.

Elevra Lithium Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
AU$2.30B-12.48-20.78%―2.01%-37.12%
57
Neutral
AU$567.86M-50.05-4.22%――56.94%
55
Neutral
AU$733.20M0.60154.06%―――
47
Neutral
AU$938.67M-27.45-10.17%―-100.00%59.85%
43
Neutral
AU$1.49B-7.56-12.79%―-3.54%-49.86%
40
Underperform
AU$127.97M-4.15-19.15%――17.32%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ELV
Elevra Lithium
11.85
9.45
393.75%
AU:CXO
Core Lithium Ltd
0.31
0.22
246.59%
AU:LKE
Lake Resources N.L.
0.06
0.03
103.70%
AU:EUR
European Lithium
0.42
0.36
588.52%
AU:GLN
Galan Lithium Limited
0.42
0.32
300.00%
AU:VUL
Vulcan Energy Resources Ltd.
3.35
0.41
13.75%

Elevra Lithium Corporate Events

Index Shake-Up Puts Elevra Lithium Into S&P/ASX 200 as S&P Dow Jones Rebalances Benchmarks
Jun 5, 2026
SP Dow Jones Indices has announced its June 2026 quarterly rebalance of the SP/ASX indices, with ALS Limited joining the SP/ASX 50 and Paladin Energy Limited entering the SP/ASX 100, while Pro Medicus and Metcash are removed from those benchmarks....
Elevra Lithium director boosts stake via share purchase plan
Jun 5, 2026
Elevra Lithium Limited has disclosed a change in director Lucas Dow&#8217;s interests, with Dow Group Investments Trust acquiring 2,460 fully paid ordinary shares for A$30,000 under the company&#8217;s share purchase plan. Following this transacti...
Elevra Lithium Director Boosts Stake via Share Purchase Plan
Jun 5, 2026
Elevra Lithium director Laurie Lefcourt has increased his direct holding in the company, purchasing 1,230 fully paid ordinary shares on 5 June 2026 under the company&#8217;s share purchase plan. The A$15,000 on-market investment lifts Lefcourt&#82...
Elevra Lithium Seeks ASX Quotation for New Share Issue
Jun 5, 2026
Elevra Lithium Limited has applied to the ASX for quotation of 1,275,668 new ordinary fully paid shares under its ELV ticker, with an issue date of June 5, 2026. The additional securities, issued as part of a previously announced transaction, will...
Elevra Lithium Leverages Strong FY26 Output to Drive North American Growth Plans
Jun 1, 2026
Elevra Lithium reported year-to-date fiscal 2026 production of 143,489 dry metric tonnes of lithium concentrate and sales of 147,517 tonnes, achieving 66% recovery and generating US$167 million in revenue at unit operating costs of US$840 per tonn...
State Street Group Exits Substantial Holder Position in Elevra Lithium
May 27, 2026
State Street Corporation, through its various asset management and custody subsidiaries, has ceased to be a substantial holder in Elevra Lithium Limited as of 25 May 2026, according to a notice filed under section 671B of the Corporations Act. The...
JPMorgan Ceases to Be Substantial Holder in Elevra Lithium
May 22, 2026
JPMorgan Chase Co. and several of its subsidiaries have notified Elevra Lithium Ltd that they have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of 19 May 2026. The change reflects a series of securities lending, rehypothecation, and princip...
Elevra Raises A$275m to Fund North American Lithium Expansion
May 12, 2026
Elevra Lithium has completed a fully underwritten A$275 million institutional placement, issuing about 22.5 million new shares at A$12.20 each, a discount to recent trading prices, with strong support from existing and new domestic and global inst...
Elevra Lithium Plans 145 Million Convertible Notes Issue
May 12, 2026
Elevra Lithium Limited has lodged an Appendix 3B with the ASX detailing a proposed issue of up to 145 million convertible notes. The notes are to be issued by Sayona Inc. in Canada and are convertible or exchangeable into Elevra shares, with a pro...
Elevra Lithium Plans New Share and Option Issue to Bolster Funding
May 12, 2026
Elevra Lithium Limited has notified the ASX of a proposed securities issue comprising up to 566,776 ordinary fully paid shares and 56,678 options as part of a placement or similar capital-raising structure. The issue, scheduled for mid-May 2026, i...
Elevra Lithium Plans Capital Raise via Placement and Securities Purchase Plan
May 12, 2026
Elevra Lithium Limited has outlined plans for a significant capital raise via a combination of a securities purchase plan and a placement of ordinary fully paid shares on the ASX. The company intends to issue up to 1,639,344 shares under the secur...
Elevra Lithium launches dual-track equity raising to bolster funding
May 12, 2026
Elevra Lithium has launched a fully underwritten institutional placement of new shares and an accompanying share purchase plan for eligible retail investors in Australia and New Zealand. The combined equity raising, structured under existing Austr...
Elevra secures A$441m funding to drive North American lithium expansion
May 12, 2026
Elevra Lithium has launched a financing package of up to A$441 million, including a fully underwritten A$275 million institutional placement, a strategic A$146 million convertible notes investment from Canada Growth Fund and a share purchase plan ...
Elevra Lithium doubles NAL expansion value with staged growth plan
May 11, 2026
Elevra Lithium has released an updated scoping study for expanding its North American Lithium mine, outlining a staged development plan that lifts permitted plant throughput to 4,500 tonnes per day in Stage 1 and 6,500 tonnes per day in Stage 2 wh...
Elevra Sells Ghana Ewoyaa Stake to Refocus on North American Lithium Assets
May 10, 2026
Elevra Lithium has agreed to sell its entire interest, including offtake rights, in the Ewoyaa Lithium Project in Ghana to Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt for about US$71 million in cash, with completion targeted by the end of the March 2027 quarter subjec...
Elevra Lithium Seeks ASX Quotation for Additional Ordinary Shares
Apr 28, 2026
Elevra Lithium Limited has applied for quotation on the ASX of 255,830 new ordinary fully paid shares, with an issue date of April 24, 2026. The additional securities, linked to a previously announced transaction, will modestly increase the compan...
Citigroup Entities Exit Substantial Holder Status in Elevra Lithium
Apr 24, 2026
Citigroup Global Markets Australia and related Citi entities have notified Elevra Lithium that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders in the company as of 22 April 2026. The notice details shifts in relevant interests held through securit...
Elevra Lithium Delivers Record Quarter as NAL Expansion and Downstream Push Advance
Apr 22, 2026
Elevra Lithium reported a strong March 2026 quarter, with record NAL revenue of US$81 million, improved safety performance, higher plant utilisation, and better recoveries driving a 7% rise in spodumene output despite slightly lower ore mined. Cas...
Elevra Lithium Sets Date and Webcast for March Quarter Update
Apr 15, 2026
Elevra Lithium has scheduled the release of its March 2026 quarterly activities report for 23 April 2026, signaling an upcoming update on operational and financial performance. The company plans to host an investor webcast that morning, offering l...
Citigroup Entities Exit Substantial Holder Status in Elevra Lithium
Apr 10, 2026
Citigroup Global Markets Australia and related Citi group entities have disclosed that they have ceased to be substantial shareholders in Elevra Lithium Limited as of 8 April 2026, following changes in their relevant interests in the company&#8217...
Morella Flags Strong Pegmatite Intercepts as Mt Edon Drilling Wraps Up
Mar 30, 2026
Morella Corporation has completed a reverse circulation drilling program at the Mt Edon Rubidium-Lithium Project in Western Australia, drilling 20 holes for about 1,700 metres under its joint venture with Elevra. Geological logging from the Sophie...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 23, 2026