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Core Lithium Ltd (AU:CXO)
ASX:CXO
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Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CXO

Core Lithium Ltd

(Sydney:CXO)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.00
▼(-100.00% Downside)
Core Lithium Ltd's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenues, negative profitability, and cash flow challenges. While the technical analysis shows some positive short-term trends, the negative valuation metrics, including a negative P/E ratio, further weigh down the score. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events leaves these areas unaddressed.

Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Core Lithium Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCore Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) is an Australian mineral exploration and development company focused primarily on the production of lithium, a critical component in batteries for electric vehicles and renewable energy storage. The company operates in the mining sector, with its flagship project being the Finniss Lithium Project located in the Northern Territory of Australia. Core Lithium aims to supply high-quality lithium spodumene concentrate to meet the increasing global demand for sustainable energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyCore Lithium generates revenue primarily through the sale of lithium spodumene concentrate produced from its Finniss Lithium Project. The company has established contracts with various international customers, particularly in the electric vehicle and battery manufacturing industries, which provide a steady stream of income. Key revenue streams include direct sales of lithium concentrate and potential off-take agreements that secure future sales at predetermined prices. Additionally, Core Lithium benefits from favorable market conditions driven by the growing demand for lithium in battery technology, as well as strategic partnerships with other companies in the supply chain that may enhance its market presence and operational efficiency.

Core Lithium Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 25, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with notable achievements in terms of record shipments, resource growth, and strong cash management. However, there are significant challenges due to market conditions and the operational pause, leading to uncertainty about future operations.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Shipments and Strong Cash Position
CXO.AX achieved record quarterly shipments of 33,000 dry metric tonnes of concentrate, generating $41.7 million in revenue. The company ended the year with a strong cash balance of $87.6 million and remains debt-free.
Significant Resource Increase
The exploration team increased the Mineral Resource to 48.2 million tonnes, marking a 58% increase. This positions the company well for future growth and development.
Low Operating Costs
Quarterly operating unit costs were the lowest of the year at $644 per tonne, demonstrating effective cost control measures implemented at the start of the calendar year.
Negative Updates
Market Challenges and Operational Pause
The company paused operations due to weak market conditions, which affected the overall performance and led to challenges in the lithium market dominated by China.
Uncertain Restart Timing
The timing for restarting operations remains uncertain and is dependent on market conditions, including lithium prices and customer responses.
Company Guidance
During the CXO.AX Q4 2024 earnings call, key metrics highlighted included a monthly recovery rate of 63% and production of over 20,000 dry metric tonnes of spodumene with a grade of 4.8%. The company reported a record sale of 33,000 dry metric tonnes, achieving an average SC6 price of over $1,000, and a cash operating unit cost of $644 per tonne. The exploration efforts resulted in an increase of the Mineral Resource to 48.2 million tonnes, marking a 58% rise. Financially, CXO.AX ended the quarter with a robust cash balance of $87.6 million, remaining debt-free, and generated $41.7 million in revenue from shipments, with total annual receipts from customers standing at $108 million. The company’s strategic focus is on maintaining a restart-ready status, optimizing cost structures, and enhancing exploration efforts with a budget of $8-9 million to further expand the resource base.

Core Lithium Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Core Lithium Ltd exhibits strong revenue growth, but struggles with profitability and cash flow. Negative margins and cash flows highlight the need for operational improvements, despite a solid equity base and low leverage.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Core Lithium Ltd has shown significant revenue growth from 2023 to 2024; however, it has struggled with profitability, as indicated by negative gross and net profit margins. The company's EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies. The revenue growth is promising, but the company must focus on improving its cost structure and turning revenue into profit.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company maintains a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the equity ratio indicates that a large portion of its assets is financed by equity, which may limit financial flexibility. Return on Equity (ROE) is negative due to net losses, which is a concern for investors looking for profitability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows indicating that the company is not generating sufficient cash from its operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, and the significant reduction in operating cash flow over the past year suggests liquidity issues that need addressing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue-2.42M-2.42M189.49M50.60M0.000.00
Gross Profit-3.01M-3.01M30.90M30.61M-116.13K-136.81K
EBITDA-14.38M-14.38M-163.06M15.56M-7.25M-2.77M
Net Income-23.37M-23.37M-207.01M10.81M-7.47M-2.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets268.44M268.44M323.96M503.14M261.85M73.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.06M24.06M88.18M152.95M135.39M38.19M
Total Debt2.91M2.91M3.53M22.94M2.09M102.34K
Total Liabilities34.16M34.16M67.09M148.22M23.13M1.88M
Stockholders Equity234.28M234.28M256.87M354.92M238.72M71.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-63.34M-63.34M-165.17M-74.80M-75.44M-10.34M
Operating Cash Flow-43.93M-43.93M-77.94M90.81M-6.22M-2.34M
Investing Cash Flow-19.85M-19.85M-88.64M-171.62M-70.56M-8.37M
Financing Cash Flow-626.00K-626.00K102.39M97.79M173.87M40.20M

Core Lithium Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.13
Price Trends
50DMA
0.11
Positive
100DMA
0.11
Positive
200DMA
0.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
65.95
Neutral
STOCH
94.44
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CXO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, above the 50-day MA of 0.11, and above the 200-day MA of 0.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CXO.

Core Lithium Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
€158.68M-5.18%47.15%
47
Neutral
$345.87M-9.40%-100.00%89.10%
45
Neutral
AU$43.04M-0.56%96.00%
39
Underperform
AU$41.44M-13.86%-12.34%
28
Underperform
AU$33.31M-268.97%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CXO
Core Lithium Ltd
0.13
0.01
8.33%
AU:GLN
Galan Lithium Limited
0.15
0.01
11.11%
AU:PHO
PhosCo Ltd
0.08
0.04
100.00%
AU:LEL
Lithium Energy Ltd.
0.37
-0.01
-2.63%
AU:PL9
Arizona Lithium Limited
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%

Core Lithium Ltd Corporate Events

Core Lithium Repositions Finniss Project for Long-Term Success
Jul 30, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has repositioned its Finniss Lithium Project as a low-cost, high-margin underground mining operation with a 20-year life span, following the completion of a Restart Study. The company has simplified its process flowsheet, reduced operating costs by 33%, and increased production by 7%, while also finalizing the acquisition of its crushing plant to reduce future costs. Core ended the financial year with $23.5 million in cash, having reduced liabilities and strengthened its financial position. The company is progressing with a strategic funding process to advance the Finniss project, aiming to minimize shareholder dilution and enhance balance sheet flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Director Forfeits Performance Rights
Jun 20, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd announced a change in the director’s interest, as Director Alicia Sherwood agreed to forfeit 159,309 unquoted performance rights. This adjustment reflects a strategic decision within the company’s governance, potentially impacting the company’s operational focus and signaling shifts in internal management strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Jun 20, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd announced the cessation of 159,309 performance rights, which were cancelled by mutual agreement between the company and the holder. This move may impact the company’s capital structure and could be part of a strategic decision to optimize its financial operations, potentially affecting shareholder value and market perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Unveils Finniss Restart Study Results
May 13, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd announced the release of its Finniss Restart Study and will host a webcast and conference call to discuss the results. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it highlights the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its operations and maintain its position in the lithium industry, potentially impacting future shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium’s Finniss Project: Operational Readiness and Market Implications
May 13, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has released a study on the operational readiness of its Finniss Lithium Project, highlighting the project’s potential in the lithium mining sector. The announcement underscores the high-risk nature of mineral exploration and development, emphasizing that there is no guarantee of economic exploitation. The study includes a production target with a portion of inferred mineral resources, indicating a lower level of confidence compared to more established reserves. This development could impact the company’s operations and its positioning within the lithium market, with potential implications for stakeholders depending on future exploration outcomes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Unveils Strategic Plan for Finniss Operation
May 13, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced a comprehensive plan to reposition its Finniss Lithium Operation as a low-cost, long-life underground mining project with a 20-year lifespan. The Restart Study outlines significant reductions in mining and processing costs, improved production efficiency, and enhanced plant operations, resulting in a projected free cash flow of $1.2 billion. The company is exploring strategic funding options to minimize shareholder dilution and aims to secure a sustainable financial pathway. The project is expected to generate substantial employment opportunities in the Northern Territory, with strong support from the local government.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Expands Finniss Project Ore Reserves
May 13, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced an update to the Ore Reserve and Mineral Resource Estimate for its Finniss Lithium Project, with a significant increase in the Grants Reserve and a move to underground mining to access more material and reduce costs. The updated Ore Reserve, which now totals 10.73 million tonnes at 1.29% Li2O, underpins the first ten years of production and supports the potential for a longer mine life, highlighting the significant resource potential across the company’s tenement package.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Hold with a A$0.11 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ends Yahua Offtake Agreement, Eyes Strategic Flexibility
May 12, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has terminated its legacy offtake agreement with Yahua International Investment and Development Co., settling the deal with a US$2 million cash payment. This strategic move provides Core Lithium with greater flexibility and options for securing funding to potentially restart its Finniss Lithium Operation, pending Board approval. The termination is expected to enhance the company’s strategic positioning and operational flexibility in the lithium market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2025