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Core Lithium Ltd (AU:CXO)
ASX:CXO

Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CXO

Core Lithium Ltd

(Sydney:CXO)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.28
▼(-11.25% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (loss-making margins and negative operating/free cash flow), with only partial offset from strong recent technical momentum (price above key moving averages and positive MACD). Valuation is also constrained by a negative P/E tied to ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
Market Demand
The growing demand for lithium in battery technology supports long-term revenue potential, positioning Core Lithium favorably in the market.
Strategic Partnerships
Partnerships can improve operational efficiency and market reach, providing a competitive advantage in the lithium supply chain.
Low Leverage
Low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities without excessive debt burden.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth indicates challenges in market expansion and profitability, potentially affecting long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flows limit the company's ability to reinvest in operations and may constrain growth and financial stability.
Profitability Issues
Negative profit margins highlight operational inefficiencies, which could hinder the company's ability to achieve sustainable profitability.

Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Core Lithium Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCore Lithium Ltd engages in the development of lithium and various metal deposits in Northern Territory and South Australia. The company primarily explores for copper, gold, iron, silver, uranium, lead, and zinc deposits. Its flagship project is the Finniss Lithium project located to the south of Darwin port in the Northern Territory. Core Lithium Ltd was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Adelaide, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCore Lithium generates revenue primarily through the sale of lithium spodumene concentrate produced from its Finniss Lithium Project. The company has established contracts with various international customers, particularly in the electric vehicle and battery manufacturing industries, which provide a steady stream of income. Key revenue streams include direct sales of lithium concentrate and potential off-take agreements that secure future sales at predetermined prices. Additionally, Core Lithium benefits from favorable market conditions driven by the growing demand for lithium in battery technology, as well as strategic partnerships with other companies in the supply chain that may enhance its market presence and operational efficiency.

Core Lithium Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 26, 2024
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with notable achievements in terms of record shipments, resource growth, and strong cash management. However, there are significant challenges due to market conditions and the operational pause, leading to uncertainty about future operations.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Shipments and Strong Cash Position
CXO.AX achieved record quarterly shipments of 33,000 dry metric tonnes of concentrate, generating $41.7 million in revenue. The company ended the year with a strong cash balance of $87.6 million and remains debt-free.
Significant Resource Increase
The exploration team increased the Mineral Resource to 48.2 million tonnes, marking a 58% increase. This positions the company well for future growth and development.
Low Operating Costs
Quarterly operating unit costs were the lowest of the year at $644 per tonne, demonstrating effective cost control measures implemented at the start of the calendar year.
Negative Updates
Market Challenges and Operational Pause
The company paused operations due to weak market conditions, which affected the overall performance and led to challenges in the lithium market dominated by China.
Uncertain Restart Timing
The timing for restarting operations remains uncertain and is dependent on market conditions, including lithium prices and customer responses.
Company Guidance
During the CXO.AX Q4 2024 earnings call, key metrics highlighted included a monthly recovery rate of 63% and production of over 20,000 dry metric tonnes of spodumene with a grade of 4.8%. The company reported a record sale of 33,000 dry metric tonnes, achieving an average SC6 price of over $1,000, and a cash operating unit cost of $644 per tonne. The exploration efforts resulted in an increase of the Mineral Resource to 48.2 million tonnes, marking a 58% rise. Financially, CXO.AX ended the quarter with a robust cash balance of $87.6 million, remaining debt-free, and generated $41.7 million in revenue from shipments, with total annual receipts from customers standing at $108 million. The company’s strategic focus is on maintaining a restart-ready status, optimizing cost structures, and enhancing exploration efforts with a budget of $8-9 million to further expand the resource base.

Core Lithium Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Core Lithium Ltd is experiencing significant financial difficulties. The income statement shows negative revenue growth and profitability, with negative margins indicating operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet has a low debt-to-equity ratio but negative return on equity, and cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, highlighting cash generation issues.
Income Statement
Core Lithium Ltd has faced significant challenges in its income statement, with a negative revenue growth rate and declining profitability. The gross profit and net profit margins are negative, indicating operational inefficiencies and high costs relative to revenue. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting ongoing struggles to achieve profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is moderate, providing some stability in the asset base.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also unfavorable, highlighting cash generation issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue-2.42M-2.42M189.49M50.60M0.000.00
Gross Profit-3.01M-3.01M30.90M30.61M-116.13K-136.81K
EBITDA-14.38M-14.38M-163.06M15.56M-7.25M-2.77M
Net Income-23.37M-23.37M-207.01M10.81M-7.47M-2.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets268.44M268.44M323.96M503.14M261.85M73.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.06M24.06M88.18M152.95M135.39M38.19M
Total Debt2.91M2.91M3.53M22.94M2.09M102.34K
Total Liabilities34.16M34.16M67.09M148.22M23.13M1.88M
Stockholders Equity234.28M234.28M256.87M354.92M238.72M71.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-63.34M-63.34M-165.17M-74.80M-75.44M-10.34M
Operating Cash Flow-43.93M-43.93M-77.94M90.81M-6.22M-2.34M
Investing Cash Flow-19.85M-19.85M-88.64M-171.62M-70.56M-8.37M
Financing Cash Flow-626.00K-626.00K102.39M97.79M173.87M40.20M

Core Lithium Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.32
Price Trends
50DMA
0.22
Positive
100DMA
0.17
Positive
200DMA
0.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
67.36
Neutral
STOCH
62.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CXO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.27, above the 50-day MA of 0.22, and above the 200-day MA of 0.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CXO.

Core Lithium Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
AU$408.54M-28.46-5.18%47.15%
49
Neutral
AU$877.97M-28.90-9.40%-100.00%89.10%
49
Neutral
AU$70.03M-7.01-268.97%
45
Neutral
AU$50.22M-33.3396.00%
43
Neutral
AU$41.44M-6.89-13.86%-12.34%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CXO
Core Lithium Ltd
0.32
0.23
262.07%
AU:GLN
Galan Lithium Limited
0.37
0.25
196.00%
AU:PHO
PhosCo Ltd
0.15
0.09
150.00%
AU:LEL
Lithium Energy Ltd.
0.37
0.00
0.00%
AU:PL9
Arizona Lithium Limited
0.01
0.00
0.00%

Core Lithium Ltd Corporate Events

Core Lithium Says No Undisclosed Information Behind Share Price Moves
Jan 8, 2026

Core Lithium Ltd has responded to an ASX price query, stating it is not aware of any undisclosed information that could explain recent volatility in its share price. The company says it has no additional explanation for the recent trading activity, confirms it is in full compliance with ASX Listing Rules, particularly continuous disclosure obligations, and notes its board has authorised the responses, seeking to reassure investors and regulators about the transparency of its market disclosures.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Hold with a A$0.28 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Sells Non-Core Uranium Assets for $5m to Fund Finniss Restart
Dec 23, 2025

Core Lithium has sold its non-core uranium assets, comprising the Napperby, Fitton and Entia projects in the Northern Territory and South Australia, to Elevate Uranium for a total consideration of $5 million in cash and shares, plus a 1.0% net smelter royalty over any production from the Napperby tenement. The divestment, which has now completed, frees up working capital and allows Core to sharpen its strategic focus on restarting its flagship Finniss Lithium Project while retaining some exposure to potential upside from the uranium portfolio via the royalty and its equity stake in Elevate Uranium.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Hold with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Elevate Uranium Boosts Resource Base to 169 Mlb with Napperby Acquisition
Dec 23, 2025

Elevate Uranium has completed the acquisition of Uranium Generation Pty Ltd from Core Lithium, securing a portfolio of uranium assets in Australia’s Northern Territory and South Australia and lifting its global mineral resource inventory to 169 million pounds of U3O8. The deal delivers the Napperby project, which hosts an 8.03 million pound JORC 2012-compliant uranium resource just 25 kilometres from Elevate’s Minerva project, as well as the high‑grade Fitton and Entia exploration projects and four additional tenements, all regarded by the company as underexplored with significant upside. Elevate sees strong technical synergy between Napperby’s shallow, calcrete-hosted mineralisation and its U‑pgade™ process, supported by prior metallurgical test work suggesting the potential to produce a low‑mass, high‑grade concentrate, and argues that the transaction consolidates its Central Australian hub and strengthens its position as a leading ASX‑listed uranium developer in supportive jurisdictions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Hold with a A$0.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Issues New Securities to Boost Employee Incentives
Dec 1, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced the issuance of 22,965,389 performance rights and 1,000,000 options as part of an employee incentive scheme. This move is likely aimed at enhancing employee engagement and aligning their interests with the company’s long-term growth objectives, potentially strengthening its position in the competitive lithium market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Hold with a A$0.14 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Announces Successful AGM Results and Market Capitalization Milestone
Nov 14, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd announced the results of its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where all resolutions were passed by poll. Notably, the resolution for the 7.1A Mandate was withdrawn due to the company’s market capitalization exceeding $300 million, making it ineligible under the ASX Listing Rule 7.1A. This development reflects Core Lithium’s growing market presence and financial strength, which may positively impact its stakeholders and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Announces Updates on Finniss Project and Resource Estimates
Nov 14, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced updates regarding its Finniss Lithium Project, emphasizing its operational readiness and the associated risks of mineral exploration and development. The company has provided updates on its Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimates, which are crucial for stakeholders to understand the project’s potential economic viability. However, the company cautions that these estimates are subject to change and highlights the inherent risks and uncertainties in the mining industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Strategizes for Future Growth Amidst Industry Challenges
Nov 14, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd’s 2025 AGM highlighted the company’s strategic efforts to revitalize its Finniss Lithium Operations amidst challenging industry conditions. The company completed a Restart Study aimed at reducing costs and enhancing operational efficiency, although a restart decision is pending favorable market conditions and financing. The company strengthened its leadership team and remains committed to community engagement and environmental stewardship. Despite current industry lows, Core Lithium is poised to benefit from future demand growth, maintaining a focus on financial discipline and resource enhancement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Optimizes Grants Mine Plan, Reduces Costs and Increases Reserves
Nov 9, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced an updated mine plan for its Grants deposit at the Finniss Lithium Project, which includes transitioning from an open pit to an underground mine. This plan reduces pre-production capital costs by $35-$45 million and increases the Ore Reserve by 33%, enhancing the project’s financial viability and supporting strategic funding efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Updates Office Location in Perth
Oct 22, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd announced a change in its registered and principal administrative office to a new location in Perth, Western Australia. This move is part of the company’s ongoing operational adjustments and has been approved by the board, potentially impacting its administrative efficiency and stakeholder communications.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Issues Shares to Bolster Market Position
Oct 16, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has issued 198,125,292 ordinary shares at A$0.105 per share to institutional and professional investors as part of an institutional placement. This move, announced on 28 August 2025, is part of the company’s strategy to strengthen its financial position and expand its market presence, complying with the necessary regulatory obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Issues New Securities to Bolster Market Position
Oct 16, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced the issuance of 198,125,292 fully paid ordinary securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code CXO. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is expected to enhance the company’s capital structure, potentially strengthening its market position and providing more resources to expand its operations in the lithium sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Announces 2025 AGM Details
Oct 14, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd announced the details of its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for November 14, 2025. The company has opted not to send hard copies of the meeting notice to shareholders unless specifically requested, directing them instead to access the information online. This move reflects a shift towards digital communication, potentially reducing costs and aligning with sustainable practices. The AGM will provide a platform for shareholders to engage with the company’s strategic direction and operational updates.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Strengthens Position with Increased Reserves and Capital Raising
Oct 12, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has reported significant progress in its Finniss Lithium Project, with a 42% increase in ore reserves and a strengthened financial position following a successful capital raising of $50 million. The termination of previous offtake agreements allows Core to have full control over future production, enhancing its strategic flexibility. The company is well-capitalized and focused on advancing towards a Final Investment Decision, with no recordable injuries or environmental incidents reported during the quarter.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 25, 2025