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Core Lithium Ltd (AU:CXO)
:CXO
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Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:CXO

Core Lithium Ltd

(OTC:CXO)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.00
▼(-100.00% Downside)
Core Lithium Ltd's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, characterized by declining revenues, profitability, and cash flow challenges. While technical analysis indicates strong bullish momentum, the overbought indicators suggest caution. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further weigh down the valuation score.

Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Core Lithium Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCore Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) is an Australian mineral exploration and development company focused primarily on the production of lithium, a critical component in batteries for electric vehicles and renewable energy storage. The company operates in the mining sector, with its flagship project being the Finniss Lithium Project located in the Northern Territory of Australia. Core Lithium aims to supply high-quality lithium spodumene concentrate to meet the increasing global demand for sustainable energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyCore Lithium generates revenue primarily through the sale of lithium spodumene concentrate produced from its Finniss Lithium Project. The company has established contracts with various international customers, particularly in the electric vehicle and battery manufacturing industries, which provide a steady stream of income. Key revenue streams include direct sales of lithium concentrate and potential off-take agreements that secure future sales at predetermined prices. Additionally, Core Lithium benefits from favorable market conditions driven by the growing demand for lithium in battery technology, as well as strategic partnerships with other companies in the supply chain that may enhance its market presence and operational efficiency.

Core Lithium Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 25, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with notable achievements in terms of record shipments, resource growth, and strong cash management. However, there are significant challenges due to market conditions and the operational pause, leading to uncertainty about future operations.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Shipments and Strong Cash Position
CXO.AX achieved record quarterly shipments of 33,000 dry metric tonnes of concentrate, generating $41.7 million in revenue. The company ended the year with a strong cash balance of $87.6 million and remains debt-free.
Significant Resource Increase
The exploration team increased the Mineral Resource to 48.2 million tonnes, marking a 58% increase. This positions the company well for future growth and development.
Low Operating Costs
Quarterly operating unit costs were the lowest of the year at $644 per tonne, demonstrating effective cost control measures implemented at the start of the calendar year.
Negative Updates
Market Challenges and Operational Pause
The company paused operations due to weak market conditions, which affected the overall performance and led to challenges in the lithium market dominated by China.
Uncertain Restart Timing
The timing for restarting operations remains uncertain and is dependent on market conditions, including lithium prices and customer responses.
Company Guidance
During the CXO.AX Q4 2024 earnings call, key metrics highlighted included a monthly recovery rate of 63% and production of over 20,000 dry metric tonnes of spodumene with a grade of 4.8%. The company reported a record sale of 33,000 dry metric tonnes, achieving an average SC6 price of over $1,000, and a cash operating unit cost of $644 per tonne. The exploration efforts resulted in an increase of the Mineral Resource to 48.2 million tonnes, marking a 58% rise. Financially, CXO.AX ended the quarter with a robust cash balance of $87.6 million, remaining debt-free, and generated $41.7 million in revenue from shipments, with total annual receipts from customers standing at $108 million. The company’s strategic focus is on maintaining a restart-ready status, optimizing cost structures, and enhancing exploration efforts with a budget of $8-9 million to further expand the resource base.

Core Lithium Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Core Lithium Ltd is experiencing financial difficulties across all major financial statements. The income statement reflects declining revenues and profitability, while the balance sheet shows limited leverage but poor returns on equity. Cash flow challenges further exacerbate the financial position, with negative cash flows and growth rates. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve cash generation to stabilize its financial health.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Core Lithium Ltd has faced significant challenges in its income statement, with a negative revenue growth rate and declining profitability. The gross profit and net profit margins are negative, indicating operational inefficiencies and high costs relative to revenue. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting ongoing struggles to achieve profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is moderate, providing some stability in the asset base.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also unfavorable, highlighting cash generation issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue-2.42M-2.42M189.49M50.60M0.000.00
Gross Profit-3.01M-3.01M30.90M30.61M-116.13K-136.81K
EBITDA-14.38M-14.38M-163.06M15.56M-7.25M-2.77M
Net Income-23.37M-23.37M-207.01M10.81M-7.47M-2.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets268.44M268.44M323.96M503.14M261.85M73.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.06M24.06M88.18M152.95M135.39M38.19M
Total Debt2.91M2.91M3.53M22.94M2.09M102.34K
Total Liabilities34.16M34.16M67.09M148.22M23.13M1.88M
Stockholders Equity234.28M234.28M256.87M354.92M238.72M71.31M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-63.34M-63.34M-165.17M-74.80M-75.44M-10.34M
Operating Cash Flow-43.93M-43.93M-77.94M90.81M-6.22M-2.34M
Investing Cash Flow-19.85M-19.85M-88.64M-171.62M-70.56M-8.37M
Financing Cash Flow-626.00K-626.00K102.39M97.79M173.87M40.20M

Core Lithium Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.12
Price Trends
50DMA
0.11
Positive
100DMA
0.11
Positive
200DMA
0.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
65.91
Neutral
STOCH
78.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CXO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.12, above the 50-day MA of 0.11, and above the 200-day MA of 0.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CXO.

Core Lithium Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
AU$385.77M-9.40%-100.00%89.10%
51
Neutral
€158.68M-11.54-5.18%47.15%
45
Neutral
AU$37.66M-33.3396.00%
39
Underperform
AU$41.44M-13.86%-12.34%
28
Underperform
AU$55.17M-5.61-268.97%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CXO
Core Lithium Ltd
0.15
0.04
45.00%
AU:GLN
Galan Lithium Limited
0.14
>-0.01
-3.45%
AU:PHO
PhosCo Ltd
0.12
0.08
200.00%
AU:LEL
Lithium Energy Ltd.
0.37
0.00
0.00%
AU:PL9
Arizona Lithium Limited
0.01
-0.01
-50.00%

Core Lithium Ltd Corporate Events

Core Lithium Ltd Updates Office Location in Perth
Oct 22, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd announced a change in its registered and principal administrative office to a new location in Perth, Western Australia. This move is part of the company’s ongoing operational adjustments and has been approved by the board, potentially impacting its administrative efficiency and stakeholder communications.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Issues Shares to Bolster Market Position
Oct 16, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has issued 198,125,292 ordinary shares at A$0.105 per share to institutional and professional investors as part of an institutional placement. This move, announced on 28 August 2025, is part of the company’s strategy to strengthen its financial position and expand its market presence, complying with the necessary regulatory obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Issues New Securities to Bolster Market Position
Oct 16, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced the issuance of 198,125,292 fully paid ordinary securities, which will be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code CXO. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is expected to enhance the company’s capital structure, potentially strengthening its market position and providing more resources to expand its operations in the lithium sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Announces 2025 AGM Details
Oct 14, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd announced the details of its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for November 14, 2025. The company has opted not to send hard copies of the meeting notice to shareholders unless specifically requested, directing them instead to access the information online. This move reflects a shift towards digital communication, potentially reducing costs and aligning with sustainable practices. The AGM will provide a platform for shareholders to engage with the company’s strategic direction and operational updates.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Strengthens Position with Increased Reserves and Capital Raising
Oct 12, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has reported significant progress in its Finniss Lithium Project, with a 42% increase in ore reserves and a strengthened financial position following a successful capital raising of $50 million. The termination of previous offtake agreements allows Core to have full control over future production, enhancing its strategic flexibility. The company is well-capitalized and focused on advancing towards a Final Investment Decision, with no recordable injuries or environmental incidents reported during the quarter.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Passes Key Resolutions at 2025 General Meeting
Oct 10, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd announced the successful passage of all resolutions at its 2025 General Meeting, including the ratification of prior issued placement shares and approval for issuing additional placement shares. This outcome supports the company’s strategic initiatives and could enhance its financial position, potentially impacting its market presence and stakeholder interests positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Director Increases Stake Through Share Purchase Plan
Sep 29, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Heath Hellewell acquiring an additional 285,715 shares through participation in the company’s Share Purchase Plan, increasing his total holdings to 5,360,715 shares. This acquisition reflects confidence in the company’s future prospects and may positively influence stakeholder perceptions, reinforcing the company’s commitment to growth within the lithium market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Sep 29, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced the application for the quotation of 41,309,930 fully paid ordinary securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code CXO. This move is part of a previously announced transaction, potentially enhancing the company’s liquidity and market presence, which could have positive implications for its stakeholders and support its strategic growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Completes $4.3 Million Share Purchase Plan
Sep 29, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has successfully raised approximately $4.3 million through its share purchase plan (SPP), following a recent $50 million placement to institutional investors. The issuance of 41,309,930 new fully paid ordinary shares at $0.105 per share aligns with the company’s strategic financial initiatives, potentially enhancing its operational capabilities and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd: Strategic Repositioning Amid Market Challenges
Sep 26, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd, an Australian company, operates in the mining sector with a focus on lithium production, primarily through its Finniss Lithium Project in the Northern Territory. The company is known for its substantial mineral resources and commitment to sustainability and community engagement.

Core Lithium Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Sep 26, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has released its 2025 Corporate Governance Statement and Appendix 4G in compliance with ASX listing rules. This announcement, approved by the company’s board, reflects Core Lithium’s commitment to transparency and regulatory adherence, potentially strengthening its position in the lithium industry and providing assurance to stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Releases 2025 Annual Report
Sep 26, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has released its 2025 Annual Report, highlighting the company’s operational and financial performance over the past year. The report includes a review of operations, sustainability efforts, and a statement on mineral resources and ore reserves. This comprehensive overview provides stakeholders with insights into Core Lithium’s strategic positioning and ongoing commitment to sustainability, which may impact its market presence and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Announces 2025 AGM and Director Re-election Plans
Sep 25, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced its intention to hold the 2025 Annual General Meeting on November 14, where the re-election of Directors will be a key agenda item. The announcement highlights the company’s procedural adherence and provides stakeholders with important dates for director nominations, reflecting Core Lithium’s commitment to governance and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Unencumbers Future Spodumene Production with Ganfeng Agreement Termination
Sep 25, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has terminated its offtake agreement with Ganfeng Lithium Co., freeing 100% of its future spodumene production from the Finniss Lithium Project for project partners or spot sales. This strategic move enhances Core’s marketing flexibility and options within its ongoing strategic funding process, positioning the Finniss project as a competitive, long-life, low-cost lithium opportunity.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Announces 2025 Shareholder Meeting
Sep 10, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced a General Meeting for its shareholders, scheduled for October 10, 2025, in Perth, Western Australia. The company will not be sending hard copies of the meeting notice unless specifically requested by shareholders, aligning with modern digital communication practices. This decision reflects the company’s commitment to efficiency and sustainability, potentially impacting shareholder engagement and operational transparency.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Boosts Finniss Project Reserves by 42%
Sep 10, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced an updated Ore Reserve Estimate for its Carlton deposit, part of the Finniss Lithium Project, which increases the total Finniss Ore Reserves by 42% to 15.2 million tonnes at 1.26% Li2O. This update enhances the company’s Restart Study mine schedule, now 87% backed by Ore Reserves, and supports potential future expansion, offering increased confidence in the project’s long-term viability and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Issues New Shares to Bolster Financial Position
Sep 4, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has issued 278,065,184 ordinary shares at A$0.105 each to institutional and professional investors as part of an institutional placement. This move is expected to strengthen the company’s financial position, potentially enhancing its operations and market competitiveness in the lithium sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Sep 4, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced the issuance of 278,065,184 fully paid ordinary securities, which are set to be quoted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the code CXO. This move is part of previously announced transactions and is expected to enhance the company’s liquidity and market presence, potentially benefiting stakeholders by aligning with the increasing demand for lithium in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Launches Share Purchase Plan to Bolster Project Development
Sep 3, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced a share purchase plan (SPP) allowing eligible shareholders to acquire up to A$30,000 worth of shares without incurring transaction costs. This SPP aims to raise approximately A$10 million, supplementing a recently completed A$50 million institutional placement. The funds will be used to advance the development of the BP33 project and strengthen the company’s financial position, supporting its strategic growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Announces Share Purchase Plan to Boost Capital
Sep 3, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced a share purchase plan, allowing investors to acquire fully paid ordinary shares without the need for disclosure under the Corporations Act. This move is in compliance with relevant legal provisions and indicates the company’s strategic efforts to raise capital, potentially enhancing its operational capabilities and market position in the lithium industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Announces Equity Raising to Support Strategic Objectives
Aug 28, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd announced an equity raising initiative involving a non-underwritten placement of shares to institutional and sophisticated investors, along with a share purchase plan for eligible shareholders in Australia and New Zealand. This capital raising effort aims to support the company’s strategic objectives, although it highlights the high-risk nature of their Finniss Lithium Project and the need for potential investors to consider operational and development risks.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Announces Major Securities Issue to Bolster Growth
Aug 28, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced a proposed issue of securities, involving a total of 571,428,571 ordinary fully paid shares. This includes 95,238,095 shares under a securities purchase plan and 476,190,476 shares through a placement. The move is likely aimed at raising capital to support the company’s operations and growth initiatives, potentially enhancing its position in the lithium market and benefiting stakeholders by expanding its resource base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Secures $50 Million to Propel Finniss Project
Aug 28, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has successfully secured $50 million through an institutional placement to accelerate the development of its Finniss Lithium Project. This funding, supported by new institutional investors from the Americas and Australia, will expedite the project’s progress towards a final investment decision by facilitating critical early works and operational readiness activities, thereby strengthening the company’s strategic position in the lithium market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Core Lithium Ltd Initiates Trading Halt for Capital Raising Announcement
Aug 27, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has requested a trading halt on its securities pending an announcement related to a capital raising initiative. This move is expected to impact the company’s operations by potentially increasing its financial resources, which could enhance its market position in the lithium mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CXO) stock is a Buy with a A$0.15 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Lithium Ltd stock, see the AU:CXO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025