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Core Lithium Ltd (AU:CXO)
ASX:CXO

Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Core Lithium Ltd

(Sydney:CXO)

41Neutral
Core Lithium Ltd shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow, significantly impacting its financial performance score. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, with the stock underperforming key moving averages. Valuation is challenged by negative earnings and lack of dividend yield, further contributing to a lower score. The lack of earnings call and corporate events data results in a heavier reliance on the financial and technical factors.

Core Lithium Ltd (CXO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Core Lithium Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCore Lithium Ltd (CXO) is an Australian-based mining and exploration company focused on the development and production of lithium resources. The company operates primarily in the Northern Territory and South Australia, where it is advancing its flagship project, the Finniss Lithium Project. Core Lithium is committed to supplying high-quality lithium products to support the growing demand for lithium-ion batteries, essential for electric vehicles and renewable energy storage solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyCore Lithium Ltd generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of lithium resources. The company's primary revenue stream comes from the sale of lithium concentrate extracted from its mining operations, particularly from the Finniss Lithium Project. The extracted lithium is sold to manufacturers of lithium-ion batteries, which are used in a variety of applications, including electric vehicles and energy storage systems. Core Lithium's earnings are also influenced by strategic partnerships and offtake agreements with key players in the battery and automotive industries, which provide a stable market for its products and secure long-term revenue streams. Additionally, fluctuations in lithium market prices, operational efficiency, and cost management are significant factors that affect the company's profitability.

Core Lithium Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Core Lithium Ltd is experiencing strong revenue growth; however, it faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The balance sheet shows a solid equity base and low leverage, but negative cash flows and margins suggest the need for operational improvements to achieve financial stability and profitability.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Core Lithium Ltd has shown significant revenue growth from 2023 to 2024; however, it has struggled with profitability, as indicated by negative gross and net profit margins. The company's EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies. The revenue growth is promising, but the company must focus on improving its cost structure and turning revenue into profit.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the equity ratio indicates that a large portion of its assets is financed by equity, which may limit financial flexibility. Return on Equity (ROE) is negative due to net losses, which is a concern for investors looking for profitability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows indicating that the company is not generating sufficient cash from its operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, and the significant reduction in operating cash flow over the past year suggests liquidity issues that need addressing.
Breakdown
Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
189.49M50.60M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit
30.90M30.61M-116.13K-136.81K-141.48K
EBIT
-70.94M16.39M-7.71M-3.22M-3.43M
EBITDA
-163.06M15.56M-7.71M-2.77M-4.24M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-207.01M10.81M-7.47M-2.91M-4.39M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
88.18M152.95M135.39M38.19M8.71M
Total Assets
323.96M503.14M261.85M73.19M35.79M
Total Debt
3.53M22.94M2.09M102.34K119.61K
Net Debt
-84.64M-129.84M-133.11M-38.01M-8.56M
Total Liabilities
67.09M148.22M23.13M1.88M2.22M
Stockholders Equity
256.87M354.92M238.72M71.31M33.57M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-165.17M-74.80M-75.44M-10.34M-8.26M
Operating Cash Flow
-77.94M90.81M-6.22M-2.34M-2.64M
Investing Cash Flow
-88.64M-171.62M-70.56M-8.37M1.38M
Financing Cash Flow
102.39M97.79M173.87M40.20M7.58M

Core Lithium Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.07
Price Trends
50DMA
0.08
Negative
100DMA
0.08
Negative
200DMA
0.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
48.44
Neutral
STOCH
75.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CXO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.07, below the 50-day MA of 0.08, and below the 200-day MA of 0.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:CXO.

Core Lithium Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUIGO
58
Neutral
$2.93B1,418.92-36.53%10.51%-28.50%-532.61%
AUSYA
52
Neutral
$219.32M-17.81%87.89%-344.44%
49
Neutral
$1.93B-1.47-21.02%3.74%0.80%-29.57%
AUMIN
48
Neutral
$4.02B50.78-33.95%4.54%2.22%-411.10%
AUPLS
46
Neutral
$4.84B23.42-1.04%-65.07%-102.37%
AUGL1
44
Neutral
AU$44.49M-2.83%-6.51%
AUCXO
41
Neutral
$147.87M-21.25%-70.50%62.71%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CXO
Core Lithium Ltd
0.07
-0.07
-50.71%
AU:MIN
Mineral Resources Limited
20.74
-52.93
-71.85%
AU:PLS
Pilbara Minerals
1.46
-2.60
-64.04%
AU:SYA
Sayona Mining
0.02
-0.01
-40.63%
AU:IGO
IGO
3.87
-3.50
-47.46%
AU:GL1
Global Lithium Resources Ltd.
0.17
-0.21
-55.26%

Core Lithium Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -23.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with notable achievements in terms of record shipments, resource growth, and strong cash management. However, there are significant challenges due to market conditions and the operational pause, leading to uncertainty about future operations.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Shipments and Strong Cash Position
CXO.AX achieved record quarterly shipments of 33,000 dry metric tonnes of concentrate, generating $41.7 million in revenue. The company ended the year with a strong cash balance of $87.6 million and remains debt-free.
Significant Resource Increase
The exploration team increased the Mineral Resource to 48.2 million tonnes, marking a 58% increase. This positions the company well for future growth and development.
Low Operating Costs
Quarterly operating unit costs were the lowest of the year at $644 per tonne, demonstrating effective cost control measures implemented at the start of the calendar year.
Negative Updates
Market Challenges and Operational Pause
The company paused operations due to weak market conditions, which affected the overall performance and led to challenges in the lithium market dominated by China.
Uncertain Restart Timing
The timing for restarting operations remains uncertain and is dependent on market conditions, including lithium prices and customer responses.
Company Guidance
During the CXO.AX Q4 2024 earnings call, key metrics highlighted included a monthly recovery rate of 63% and production of over 20,000 dry metric tonnes of spodumene with a grade of 4.8%. The company reported a record sale of 33,000 dry metric tonnes, achieving an average SC6 price of over $1,000, and a cash operating unit cost of $644 per tonne. The exploration efforts resulted in an increase of the Mineral Resource to 48.2 million tonnes, marking a 58% rise. Financially, CXO.AX ended the quarter with a robust cash balance of $87.6 million, remaining debt-free, and generated $41.7 million in revenue from shipments, with total annual receipts from customers standing at $108 million. The company’s strategic focus is on maintaining a restart-ready status, optimizing cost structures, and enhancing exploration efforts with a budget of $8-9 million to further expand the resource base.

Core Lithium Ltd Corporate Events

Core Lithium Advances Finniss Project and Strengthens Infrastructure Ownership
Apr 29, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd reported significant progress in its March 2025 quarterly activities, including the advancement of the Restart Study for the Finniss Lithium Project, which is on track for completion by June. The company transitioned to full ownership of site infrastructure, reducing care and maintenance costs and supporting a lower-cost restart model. Exploration efforts at Shoobridge revealed a large, shallow gold system, and plans are underway to test the Blackbeard discovery at Finniss. Financially, Core Lithium maintained discipline with cash outflows in line with expectations, ending the quarter with $29.8 million in cash. The acquisition of the crushing circuit and transition to full infrastructure ownership are expected to yield significant cost savings and operational flexibility, aligning with the company’s goals for a leaner and more resilient operation.

Core Lithium Advances Finniss Restart Study, Ends Contracts to Cut Costs
Mar 27, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has announced progress on its Restart Study for the Finniss Lithium Operation, aiming to enhance productivity and lower operating costs. The company has ended all remaining operating contracts, gaining full ownership of site infrastructure, which is expected to reduce future costs and improve operational efficiency. The study, set for completion by June 2025, includes optimizing the mine plan for the BP33 lithium deposit and improving the DMS Plant’s recovery and capacity. The total cost of settling these contractual matters is $19.5 million, payable over four months, and will be covered by existing cash reserves.

Core Lithium Ltd Releases Interim Financial Statements for H2 2024
Feb 28, 2025

Core Lithium Ltd has released its interim consolidated financial statements for the half year ending December 31, 2024. The report, presented in Australian dollars, includes key financial documents such as the statement of profit or loss, statement of financial position, and statement of cash flows. This release provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance over the past six months, which could influence investor decisions and market perceptions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.