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Challenger Limited (AU:CGF)
ASX:CGF

Challenger (CGF) AI Stock Analysis

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AU

Challenger

(Sydney:CGF)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
AU$8.50
▲(8.83%Upside)
Challenger Limited's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and cash flow generation. However, elevated leverage and profitability concerns weigh on the score. Technical analysis signals caution due to overbought conditions, and the valuation is stretched with a high P/E ratio, despite an attractive dividend yield.

Challenger (CGF) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Challenger Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChallenger Limited is a publicly owned investment manager. The company also provides retirement services to its clients. It manages equity mutual funds. The firm invests into the public equity markets across the world. Challenger Limited was founded in 1985 and is based in Australia, Asia and United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyChallenger Limited makes money through its Life and Funds Management divisions. The Life division generates revenue primarily through the sale of annuity products, which provide customers with guaranteed, regular income payments in exchange for an upfront lump sum or series of payments. The company invests these funds in a diversified portfolio aimed at generating returns that exceed the income promised to policyholders, capturing the spread as profit. The Funds Management division earns revenue by managing assets on behalf of clients, charging management fees based on the total assets under management (AUM). Significant partnerships with institutional investors and distribution networks enhance the company's ability to grow its AUM and annuity sales, contributing further to its earnings.

Challenger Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Challenger Limited demonstrates solid revenue growth of 46.89% and operational improvements, though profitability metrics such as net profit margin highlight some concerns. The balance sheet is leveraged with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.84, but the company maintains a stable equity base. Strong cash flow generation supports financial stability and growth potential. Overall, while profitability and leverage pose challenges, growth and cash flow strength underscore a positive outlook.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Challenger Limited showed a significant revenue increase of 46.89% in the latest year, indicating strong growth momentum. However, the gross profit margin decreased slightly to 19.41% from the prior year's 29.25%, suggesting cost pressures or pricing challenges. The net profit margin dropped to 3.97% from 12.89% due to lower net income, highlighting profitability concerns. Despite these challenges, EBIT and EBITDA margins improved significantly, reflecting operational efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio increased to 1.84, indicating higher leverage, which could pose financial risk. However, the equity ratio of 11.62% reflects a stable equity base relative to assets. Return on equity declined to 3.35% from the previous year's 6.91%, pointing to reduced profitability for shareholders. The balance sheet shows a robust asset base supporting potential growth.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Challenger Limited's cash flow statement reveals a strong free cash flow, though it decreased from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved significantly, suggesting enhanced cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio remained strong, indicating solid cash flow management and the ability to cover earnings with cash.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.58B3.28B2.23B-414.30M3.03B1.51B
Gross Profit
2.90B635.90M652.20M1.36B1.79B1.38B
EBIT
2.95B2.65B1.02B-339.80M1.09B-242.40M
EBITDA
1.04B924.70M780.70M348.20M1.14B-390.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
146.00M129.90M287.50M253.70M592.30M-416.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
556.70M573.20M593.40M733.10M989.40M661.90M
Total Assets
33.87B33.41B30.98B29.74B29.99B28.57B
Total Debt
1.68B7.13B5.89B5.85B6.39B7.81B
Net Debt
1.13B6.55B5.30B5.11B5.40B7.14B
Total Liabilities
30.02B29.52B26.81B25.75B26.17B25.33B
Stockholders Equity
3.85B3.88B4.16B3.99B3.83B3.25B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
341.00M841.80M1.27B2.48B2.56B475.60M
Operating Cash Flow
342.00M843.70M1.27B2.49B2.58B484.90M
Investing Cash Flow
-643.40M-1.94B-1.34B-2.12B-865.00M-1.48B
Financing Cash Flow
270.10M1.08B-35.00M-619.80M-1.38B863.30M

Challenger Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.81
Price Trends
50DMA
6.91
Positive
100DMA
6.34
Positive
200DMA
6.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.26
Negative
RSI
69.17
Neutral
STOCH
76.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CGF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.50, above the 50-day MA of 6.91, and above the 200-day MA of 6.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CGF.

Challenger Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUPNI
74
Outperform
AU$4.34B29.7220.18%2.94%36.76%70.74%
AUNOL
70
Outperform
AU$127.60M8.9817.27%82.25%73.36%
AUNWL
66
Neutral
AU$7.96B78.0465.17%0.97%24.24%33.94%
64
Neutral
$12.85B9.817.59%16985.65%12.30%-7.71%
AUCGF
61
Neutral
$5.44B37.123.85%4.08%17.95%-34.24%
DEPVQ
€1.18B-24.47%6.88%
AUJDO
56
Neutral
AU$1.69B25.514.09%31.62%-22.24%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CGF
Challenger
7.81
1.43
22.38%
DE:PVQ
Perpetual Limited
10.10
-2.11
-17.28%
AU:PNI
Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited
20.12
7.32
57.19%
AU:JDO
Judo Capital Holdings Limited
1.49
0.19
14.62%
AU:NOL
NobleOak Life Ltd
1.38
-0.08
-5.48%
AU:NWL
Netwealth Group Ltd.
32.40
11.30
53.55%

Challenger Corporate Events

Challenger Limited Announces Change in Substantial Holding Status
Jun 6, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding status, as State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders as of June 4, 2025. This change in substantial holding status may impact the company’s shareholder structure and influence its future voting dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$6.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Increases Stake in Smartgroup Corporation
Jun 5, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in Smartgroup Corporation Ltd, increasing its voting power from 5.04% to 6.07%. This adjustment in holdings reflects Challenger’s strategic positioning and potential influence within Smartgroup, which could have implications for stakeholders and the market perception of both companies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited’s Shareholder Structure Sees Significant Change
Jun 3, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a significant development in its shareholder structure, with State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited becoming a substantial holder. This change in voting power and relevant interests may impact the company’s governance and strategic decisions, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Announces New Distribution for CAP NOTE Security
May 29, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a new distribution for its security, CAP NOTE 3-BBSW+3.60% PERP NON-CUM RED T-05-29, with a distribution amount of AUD 1.28. The ex-date is set for August 14, 2025, with the record date on August 15, 2025, and payment scheduled for August 25, 2025. This discretionary distribution is contingent upon the absence of any payment conditions on the relevant date, highlighting the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Announces New Distribution for Capital Notes 3
May 29, 2025

Challenger Limited announced a new distribution for its Capital Notes 3, with a payment amount of AUD 1.45, scheduled for August 25, 2025. This discretionary distribution, subject to certain conditions, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its stakeholders, potentially enhancing its market position in the financial services sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited to Present at Bell Potter Emerging Leaders Conference
May 26, 2025

Challenger Limited’s Managing Director and CEO, Nick Hamilton, is set to present at the Bell Potter Emerging Leaders Conference in Sydney. This presentation underscores Challenger’s commitment to enhancing its market presence and highlights its role in providing financial security for retirees, potentially impacting its operational strategies and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Announces Board Changes to Drive Growth and Innovation
May 25, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced the appointment of John Somerville and David Whittle as independent Non-Executive Directors, effective from June 2025, while JoAnne Stephenson will retire. These appointments reflect Challenger’s commitment to board renewal and enhancing its strategic capabilities, particularly in governance, risk management, and digital innovation. The changes are expected to support the company’s growth and digital transformation strategy, strengthening its position in the retirement and income market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Adjusts Substantial Holding in Cleanaway Waste Management
May 15, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in Cleanaway Waste Management Limited. The notice indicates a shift in the voting power of Challenger Limited, reflecting its strategic adjustments in investment holdings, which may impact its market positioning and influence within the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Increases Stake in Breville Group
May 7, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in Breville Group Ltd, increasing its voting power from 5.99% to 7.41%. This change reflects Challenger’s strategic adjustments in its investment portfolio, potentially impacting its influence in Breville Group and signaling its ongoing commitment to optimizing its investment strategies.

State Street Corporation Gains Substantial Holding in Challenger Limited
May 7, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced that State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have become substantial holders in the company, gaining significant voting power through various securities. This development indicates a strategic positioning by State Street Corporation, potentially impacting Challenger Limited’s governance and influencing its market strategies.

Challenger Limited Announces Director’s Shareholding Adjustment
May 5, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in the interests of its director, Nicolas Hamilton, involving an off-market trade of 15,150 ordinary shares. This adjustment reflects a shift in the distribution of shares between Hamilton’s direct holdings and those held by NALT Superannuation Pty Ltd, with potential implications for the company’s governance and shareholder structure.

Challenger Limited Updates 2025 Financial Calendar
Apr 16, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a revision to its 2025 financial calendar, specifically changing the date for the 2025 Investor Day and scheduling the 2026 first quarter update for October 16, 2025. This adjustment in the financial calendar is crucial for stakeholders to align their expectations and plans with the company’s updated timeline, ensuring transparency and efficient communication with investors.

Challenger Limited Increases Stake in Imricor Medical Systems
Apr 16, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in Imricor Medical Systems, Inc., increasing its voting power from 6.26% to 7.27%. This adjustment in holdings reflects Challenger’s strategic investment decisions, potentially impacting its influence within Imricor and indicating a strengthened position in the market.

Challenger Limited Adjusts Stake in IRESS Limited
Apr 15, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in IRESS Limited, indicating an adjustment in its voting power from 8.23% to 7.20%. This change reflects Challenger’s ongoing management of its investment portfolio and may impact its influence within IRESS Limited, potentially affecting stakeholders’ interests and market perceptions.

Challenger Limited Director Increases Shareholding
Apr 11, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest notice, indicating that Director Lisa Gray has increased her indirect interest in the company by acquiring 8,333 ordinary shares through an on-market trade. This acquisition raises her total holdings to 16,436 shares, reflecting a continued confidence in the company’s prospects. Such changes in director holdings can signal potential strategic shifts or confidence in the company’s future performance, which may be of interest to investors and stakeholders.

Challenger Limited Increases Stake in Amplitude Energy
Apr 9, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in Amplitude Energy Limited, increasing its voting power from 7.66% to 9.09%. This change reflects a strategic move by Challenger to strengthen its influence and investment in Amplitude Energy, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

TAL Dai-ichi Life Acquires Minority Stake in Challenger Limited
Apr 7, 2025

TAL Dai-ichi Life, a subsidiary of Dai-ichi Life Holdings, has acquired a 15.1% minority stake in Challenger Limited from MS&AD Insurance Group Holdings at a premium price. This strategic investment is expected to strengthen Challenger’s growth strategy and provide financial confidence to more Australians in retirement. The existing reinsurance partnership with MS Primary will remain unaffected, ensuring continued collaboration and value creation. The acquisition is subject to regulatory approvals, and MS&AD’s representative will step down from Challenger’s board following the sale.

TAL Acquires Substantial Stake in Challenger Limited
Apr 6, 2025

Challenger Limited, a company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) under the symbol CGF, is involved in a significant transaction as TAL Dai-ichi Life Australia Pty Ltd (TAL) has entered into a conditional agreement to acquire shares held by Citicorp Nominees Pty Limited on behalf of MS&AD Insurance Group Holdings, Inc. This acquisition marks a substantial change in shareholding, as indicated by the Notice of Initial Substantial Holder filed under the Corporations Act 2001. The transaction could have implications for Challenger Limited’s market position and stakeholder dynamics.

Challenger Limited Announces Change in Substantial Holdings
Apr 2, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in substantial holdings, as State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders as of March 31, 2025. This change in holdings may impact the company’s voting securities and could influence its market dynamics and stakeholder relationships.

Challenger Limited Updates Shareholding and Derivative Exposures
Mar 31, 2025

Challenger Limited has issued a notice regarding its voting shares and derivative exposures. The company currently holds 2,009,509 ordinary shares, representing 0.2906% of the total shares in Challenger. The notice details changes in share interests and derivative exposures since the previous notice, including acquisitions and forfeitures of shares by the Challenger Performance Plan Trust. This update is part of the company’s compliance with the Corporations Act 2001.

Challenger Limited Announces Director Resignation
Mar 31, 2025

Challenger Limited announced the resignation of Mr. Hiroyuki Iioka as an Alternate Director to Mr. Masahiko Kobayashi, effective March 31, 2025, following his retirement from MS&AD Insurance Group Holdings Inc. This change in the board of directors may have implications for the company’s governance and strategic direction, potentially affecting stakeholders’ interests.

State Street Corporation Acquires Substantial Holding in Challenger Limited
Mar 25, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced the acquisition of a substantial holding by State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries, including State Street Global Advisors and State Street Bank and Trust Company. This move signifies a significant shift in the company’s shareholder structure, potentially impacting its strategic direction and market positioning. The acquisition involves a substantial number of voting shares, indicating State Street’s increased influence in Challenger Limited’s corporate governance.

Challenger Limited Sees Strategic Shift in Shareholder Structure
Mar 19, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure, with the State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries becoming substantial holders. This development indicates a strategic shift in the company’s ownership, potentially impacting its governance and decision-making processes. The involvement of major financial entities like State Street Global Advisors and The Goldman Sachs Group suggests an increased focus on institutional investment, which could influence Challenger Limited’s market strategy and stakeholder relations.

Challenger Limited Announces Interim 2025 DRP Details
Mar 17, 2025

Challenger Limited announced the issue price for its interim 2025 Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) at $5.5314 per share, based on the average share prices over ten trading days. The DRP participation rate was 2% of issued capital, and the plan was neutralized by purchasing 352,203 ordinary shares worth approximately $2 million on the market, which were issued to DRP participants.

Challenger Limited Adjusts Stake in IRESS Limited
Mar 17, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in IRESS Limited, a financial technology company. This adjustment in voting power, from 10.37% to 9.25%, indicates a strategic shift in Challenger’s investment portfolio, potentially impacting its influence in IRESS and reflecting its broader market strategy.

Challenger Limited Releases Investor Presentation for Jefferies Asia Forum
Mar 17, 2025

Challenger Limited has released a presentation for the Jefferies Asia Forum, highlighting its focus on financial security for retirement. This announcement underscores Challenger’s commitment to maintaining its leadership in the annuities market and could impact its market positioning and stakeholder engagement.

Challenger Limited Updates Dividend Distribution Details
Mar 14, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced an update regarding its dividend distribution for its ordinary fully paid securities, with a focus on the Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) price. The update pertains to the dividend distribution for the six-month period ending December 31, 2024, and follows a previous announcement made on February 28, 2025. This update is significant for shareholders as it provides clarity on the DRP price, which can impact investment decisions and the company’s financial planning.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.