tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Challenger Limited (AU:CGF)
ASX:CGF
Advertisement

Challenger (CGF) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
31 Followers

Top Page

AU

Challenger

(Sydney:CGF)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
AU$8.50
▲(1.67%Upside)
Challenger Limited's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and cash flow generation. However, elevated leverage and profitability concerns weigh on the score. Technical analysis signals caution due to overbought conditions, and the valuation is stretched with a high P/E ratio, despite an attractive dividend yield.

Challenger (CGF) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Challenger Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChallenger Limited (CGF) is an investment management firm headquartered in Australia. The company is primarily focused on providing retirement income products and services, catering to the needs of retirees. Challenger operates in the financial services sector, offering annuities and other financial products that aim to deliver stable and reliable income streams for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyChallenger Limited generates revenue primarily through its annuities business. The company offers a range of annuity products that provide guaranteed income payments to retirees in exchange for an upfront investment. Their revenue model is based on the margins between the returns on the investment portfolio and the payments made to annuity holders. Additionally, Challenger earns income through its funds management division, which manages assets on behalf of institutional and retail clients. This division generates fees based on the assets under management (AUM). Key partnerships with financial advisors and institutions also contribute to the company's ability to reach a broad customer base and drive sales of its financial products.

Challenger Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Challenger Limited demonstrates solid revenue growth and operational improvements with a significant revenue increase of 46.89%. However, profitability metrics show concerns with a decreased net profit margin and higher leverage. Despite these challenges, the strong cash flow generation supports financial stability and growth potential.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Challenger Limited showed a significant revenue increase of 46.89% in the latest year, indicating strong growth momentum. However, the gross profit margin decreased slightly to 19.41% from the prior year's 29.25%, suggesting cost pressures or pricing challenges. The net profit margin dropped to 3.97% from 12.89% due to lower net income, highlighting profitability concerns. Despite these challenges, EBIT and EBITDA margins improved significantly, reflecting operational efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio increased to 1.84, indicating higher leverage, which could pose financial risk. However, the equity ratio of 11.62% reflects a stable equity base relative to assets. Return on equity declined to 3.35% from the previous year's 6.91%, pointing to reduced profitability for shareholders. The balance sheet shows a robust asset base supporting potential growth.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Challenger Limited's cash flow statement reveals a strong free cash flow, though it decreased from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio improved significantly, suggesting enhanced cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio remained strong, indicating solid cash flow management and the ability to cover earnings with cash.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.28B2.23B-414.30M3.03B1.51B
Gross Profit635.90M652.20M1.36B1.79B1.38B
EBITDA924.70M780.70M348.20M1.14B-390.80M
Net Income129.90M287.50M253.70M592.30M-416.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.41B30.98B29.74B29.99B28.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments573.20M593.40M733.10M989.40M661.90M
Total Debt7.13B5.89B5.85B6.39B7.81B
Total Liabilities29.52B26.81B25.75B26.17B25.33B
Stockholders Equity3.88B4.16B3.99B3.83B3.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow841.80M1.27B2.48B2.56B475.60M
Operating Cash Flow843.70M1.27B2.49B2.58B484.90M
Investing Cash Flow-1.94B-1.34B-2.12B-865.00M-1.48B
Financing Cash Flow1.08B-35.00M-619.80M-1.38B863.30M

Challenger Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.36
Price Trends
50DMA
7.79
Positive
100DMA
6.96
Positive
200DMA
6.47
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
67.60
Neutral
STOCH
74.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CGF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.07, above the 50-day MA of 7.79, and above the 200-day MA of 6.47, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:CGF.

Challenger Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AUPNI
73
Outperform
AU$4.94B33.8520.18%2.87%36.76%70.74%
AUNOL
70
Neutral
AU$131.78M9.2417.27%82.25%73.36%
AUJDO
66
Neutral
AU$1.81B27.654.09%31.62%-22.24%
AUNWL
66
Neutral
AU$9.10B89.1965.17%0.94%24.24%33.94%
63
Neutral
AU$10.11B8.2511.67%4.95%32.88%39.55%
AUCGF
61
Neutral
$5.75B39.293.85%3.53%17.95%-34.24%
AUPPT
60
Neutral
€2.41B-24.47%5.78%5.36%-846.00%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:CGF
Challenger
8.36
1.85
28.50%
AU:PPT
Perpetual Limited
21.12
-0.09
-0.41%
AU:PNI
Pinnacle Investment Management Group Limited
23.03
7.78
51.02%
AU:JDO
Judo Capital Holdings Limited
1.62
0.32
24.62%
AU:NOL
NobleOak Life Ltd
1.42
0.02
1.43%
AU:NWL
Netwealth Group Ltd.
37.13
14.90
67.03%

Challenger Corporate Events

TAL Dai-ichi Life Gains Approval for Stake in Challenger
Jul 18, 2025

TAL Dai-ichi Life, the Australian subsidiary of Dai-ichi Life Holdings, has received all necessary regulatory approvals for its minority investment in Challenger Limited. This acquisition will result in TAL holding a 19.9% equity interest in Challenger, potentially impacting the company’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Buy with a A$7.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Addresses Director’s Interest Notice Error
Jul 15, 2025

Challenger Limited has reported a change in the director’s interest notice concerning Lisa Gray, following an administrative error by her financial planner. The financial planner acquired and sold shares in Challenger Limited without Gray’s consent, leading to a delay in filing the required notices with the ASX. The company has assured that its processes are adequate and that measures have been taken to prevent future occurrences.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Sees Shift in Shareholder Structure
Jul 10, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure, with State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries becoming substantial holders. This development indicates a shift in the company’s voting power dynamics, potentially impacting its strategic decisions and governance. The involvement of major financial institutions like State Street and Goldman Sachs highlights the company’s attractiveness to large investors, which could influence its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Updates Shareholding and Derivative Exposures
Jul 2, 2025

Challenger Limited has issued a notice regarding its current shareholding and derivative exposures, revealing a total of 3,082,062 ordinary shares, representing 0.4458% of the company’s total shares. The notice highlights changes in share interests, including acquisitions and forfeitures by the Challenger Performance Plan Trust, impacting the company’s control over its voting shares. This update is crucial for stakeholders as it reflects the company’s ongoing management of its equity interests and derivative exposures, which could influence its market positioning and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

State Street Becomes Substantial Holder in Challenger Limited
Jul 1, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced that State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have become substantial holders in the company, with a significant voting power. This development indicates a strategic move by State Street to exert influence over Challenger Limited’s operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Director Increases Stake with Share Acquisition
Jun 30, 2025

Challenger Limited announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director David Whittle acquiring 8,888 ordinary shares through an on-market trade. This acquisition reflects a significant personal investment by the director, potentially signaling confidence in the company’s future performance and stability, which may positively influence stakeholder perceptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Ceases Substantial Holding
Jun 30, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in relation to certain voting securities as of June 26, 2025. This change reflects a shift in the company’s relevant interests and associations, potentially impacting its influence and strategic positioning within the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Increases Stake in Lynas Rare Earths
Jun 24, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in Lynas Rare Earths Ltd, with a slight increase in its voting power from 5.08% to 6.12%. This adjustment in stakeholding reflects Challenger’s strategic interest in Lynas Rare Earths, potentially impacting its investment portfolio and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Adjusts Substantial Holding in Close The Loop
Jun 23, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in Close The Loop Limited. This adjustment in shareholding reflects a strategic move by Challenger to manage its investment portfolio, potentially impacting its influence in Close The Loop and signaling a shift in its market strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Apollo Global Management Exits Substantial Holding in Challenger Limited
Jun 19, 2025

Apollo Global Management, Inc. and its affiliates have ceased to be substantial holders in Challenger Limited as of June 19, 2025. This change follows the sale of 35,187,082 fully paid ordinary shares in Challenger Limited by AP Liberty GP, LLC and Apollo Management Holdings, marking a significant shift in the company’s shareholder structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Goldman Sachs Underwrites Challenger Limited Shares
Jun 18, 2025

Goldman Sachs Australia Pty Ltd has entered into an agreement to underwrite a secondary block of Ordinary Shares in Challenger Limited, resulting in a temporary relevant interest of approximately 5.54% of Challenger’s Ordinary Shares. This interest will cease following the settlement scheduled for June 19, 2025, as per the terms of the Sale Agreement, indicating a strategic financial maneuver by Goldman Sachs that could impact its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

TAL Acquires Substantial Shares in Challenger Limited
Jun 17, 2025

TAL Dai-ichi Life Australia Pty Ltd has entered into a conditional agreement to acquire 33,234,618 fully paid ordinary shares in Challenger Limited from AP Liberty GP, LLC. This acquisition represents a significant change in the substantial holdings of Challenger Limited, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

TAL Dai-ichi Life Australia Expands Stake in Challenger Limited
Jun 17, 2025

TAL Dai-ichi Life Australia Pty Ltd has entered into a conditional agreement to acquire 33,234,618 fully paid ordinary shares in Challenger Limited from AP Liberty GP, LLC. This acquisition increases TAL’s voting power in Challenger to 19.90%, potentially enhancing its influence and strategic positioning within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Appoints New Director, David Whittle
Jun 17, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced the appointment of David Whittle as a director, effective June 17, 2025. The initial director’s interest notice indicates that Whittle currently holds no relevant interests in securities, which may suggest a focus on governance and oversight rather than direct financial involvement. This appointment could potentially impact the company’s strategic direction and governance structure, aligning with its ongoing efforts to strengthen leadership and enhance stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Appoints New Director with No Initial Securities Interest
Jun 17, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced the appointment of John Somerville as a director, effective June 17, 2025. The initial director’s interest notice reveals that Somerville currently holds no relevant interests in securities as a registered holder or through contracts, indicating a fresh start in his role at the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Increases Market Influence with New Acquisition
Jun 13, 2025

Challenger Limited has become a substantial holder with a significant voting power in the company, as indicated by the recent acquisition of various securities. This development highlights Challenger’s strategic move to strengthen its influence and control within the market, potentially impacting its operations and positioning in the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Supports APRA’s Annuity Capital Settings Consultation
Jun 12, 2025

Challenger Limited has expressed support for APRA’s consultation on capital settings for annuity products, which aims to create a more market-sensitive framework with appropriate risk controls. This regulatory reform is expected to foster innovation, enhance the uptake of lifetime income products, and offer retirees more choice and certainty. The proposed changes are seen as a significant improvement, aligning asset and liability cashflows and reducing required capital levels, thereby improving the financial resilience of life insurers and promoting the growth of the annuity market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Ceases to be a Substantial Holder
Jun 12, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced that it has ceased to be a substantial holder in a company or scheme as of June 10, 2025. This change reflects adjustments in the relevant interests and associations of the substantial holder, which may impact the company’s voting securities and influence within the market. The announcement could have implications for stakeholders as it signifies a shift in the company’s investment strategy or portfolio management.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Announces Change in Substantial Holding Status
Jun 6, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding status, as State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have ceased to be substantial holders as of June 4, 2025. This change in substantial holding status may impact the company’s shareholder structure and influence its future voting dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$6.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Increases Stake in Smartgroup Corporation
Jun 5, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in Smartgroup Corporation Ltd, increasing its voting power from 5.04% to 6.07%. This adjustment in holdings reflects Challenger’s strategic positioning and potential influence within Smartgroup, which could have implications for stakeholders and the market perception of both companies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited’s Shareholder Structure Sees Significant Change
Jun 3, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a significant development in its shareholder structure, with State Street Global Advisors Europe Limited becoming a substantial holder. This change in voting power and relevant interests may impact the company’s governance and strategic decisions, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Announces New Distribution for CAP NOTE Security
May 29, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a new distribution for its security, CAP NOTE 3-BBSW+3.60% PERP NON-CUM RED T-05-29, with a distribution amount of AUD 1.28. The ex-date is set for August 14, 2025, with the record date on August 15, 2025, and payment scheduled for August 25, 2025. This discretionary distribution is contingent upon the absence of any payment conditions on the relevant date, highlighting the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Announces New Distribution for Capital Notes 3
May 29, 2025

Challenger Limited announced a new distribution for its Capital Notes 3, with a payment amount of AUD 1.45, scheduled for August 25, 2025. This discretionary distribution, subject to certain conditions, reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its stakeholders, potentially enhancing its market position in the financial services sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited to Present at Bell Potter Emerging Leaders Conference
May 26, 2025

Challenger Limited’s Managing Director and CEO, Nick Hamilton, is set to present at the Bell Potter Emerging Leaders Conference in Sydney. This presentation underscores Challenger’s commitment to enhancing its market presence and highlights its role in providing financial security for retirees, potentially impacting its operational strategies and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Announces Board Changes to Drive Growth and Innovation
May 25, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced the appointment of John Somerville and David Whittle as independent Non-Executive Directors, effective from June 2025, while JoAnne Stephenson will retire. These appointments reflect Challenger’s commitment to board renewal and enhancing its strategic capabilities, particularly in governance, risk management, and digital innovation. The changes are expected to support the company’s growth and digital transformation strategy, strengthening its position in the retirement and income market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Adjusts Substantial Holding in Cleanaway Waste Management
May 15, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in Cleanaway Waste Management Limited. The notice indicates a shift in the voting power of Challenger Limited, reflecting its strategic adjustments in investment holdings, which may impact its market positioning and influence within the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CGF) stock is a Hold with a A$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Challenger stock, see the AU:CGF Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Increases Stake in Breville Group
May 7, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in its substantial holding in Breville Group Ltd, increasing its voting power from 5.99% to 7.41%. This change reflects Challenger’s strategic adjustments in its investment portfolio, potentially impacting its influence in Breville Group and signaling its ongoing commitment to optimizing its investment strategies.

State Street Corporation Gains Substantial Holding in Challenger Limited
May 7, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced that State Street Corporation and its subsidiaries have become substantial holders in the company, gaining significant voting power through various securities. This development indicates a strategic positioning by State Street Corporation, potentially impacting Challenger Limited’s governance and influencing its market strategies.

Challenger Limited Announces Director’s Shareholding Adjustment
May 5, 2025

Challenger Limited has announced a change in the interests of its director, Nicolas Hamilton, involving an off-market trade of 15,150 ordinary shares. This adjustment reflects a shift in the distribution of shares between Hamilton’s direct holdings and those held by NALT Superannuation Pty Ltd, with potential implications for the company’s governance and shareholder structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2025