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Breville Group Limited (AU:BRG)
ASX:BRG
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Breville Group (BRG) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:BRG

Breville Group

(Sydney:BRG)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
AU$34.00
▲(7.59% Upside)
Breville Group's overall stock score is primarily supported by its strong financial performance, characterized by consistent revenue growth and solid profitability. However, technical analysis indicates short-term bearish momentum, and the valuation suggests the stock may be overvalued. These factors contribute to a moderate overall score, reflecting both strengths and potential risks.
Positive Factors
Consumer Demand
Strong consumer demand, particularly in the US and A&NZ, signals a positive outlook for the company's growth.
Earnings
Coffee premiumization and new product development continue to power double-digit earnings.
Financial Position
The company reverted to a net cash position of A$54m due to an inventory unwind post COVID supply chain risk mitigation.
Negative Factors
Market Strategy
Despite mitigation strategies, the necessity to move production out of China highlights ongoing geopolitical risks.
Tariff Risk
US tariff risk remains high, impacting the company's financial outlook.
Valuation
The stock now trades at a premium compared to its 5-year average, which could imply overvaluation.

Breville Group (BRG) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Breville Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBreville Group (BRG) is a leading player in the consumer goods sector, specializing in the design and manufacture of small kitchen appliances. Known for its innovative and high-quality products, Breville offers a diverse range of appliances including coffee machines, blenders, toasters, and food processors. The company operates under multiple brands, catering to both the consumer and professional markets globally.
How the Company Makes MoneyBreville Group makes money primarily through the sale of its kitchen appliances across various retail channels, including online and brick-and-mortar stores. Its revenue streams are bolstered by a strong brand portfolio, which includes Breville, Sage, and others, enabling the company to capture diverse market segments. In addition, Breville benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with retailers and distributors worldwide, enhancing its market reach and distribution capabilities. Key factors contributing to its earnings include product innovation, brand strength, and expanding its presence in international markets.

Breville Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Breville Group exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins. The balance sheet is robust, characterized by low leverage and high equity, which reduces financial risk. Although cash flow management shows some areas for improvement, the company's overall financial position is stable and well-positioned for future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Breville Group has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a 4.62% increase in the latest period. The company maintains strong profitability metrics, with a gross profit margin of 36.57% and a net profit margin of 8.01%. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, indicating efficient operations. The steady improvement in revenue and margins reflects a robust business model and effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's balance sheet is solid, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12, indicating prudent financial leverage. The return on equity is strong at 13.95%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio of 65.73% suggests a stable capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability and low risk.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Breville Group's cash flow performance shows some volatility, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth recently. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.44 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.41 indicate reasonable cash generation relative to earnings. While cash flow management could be improved, the company remains capable of supporting its operations and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.70B1.70B1.53B1.48B1.42B1.19B
Gross Profit484.49M620.48M556.94M287.73M296.94M268.97M
EBITDA272.79M269.55M243.40M214.69M186.13M162.38M
Net Income135.85M135.85M118.51M110.21M105.72M90.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.48B1.48B1.34B1.37B1.18B770.64M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments105.74M105.74M137.77M84.16M168.26M129.91M
Total Debt118.46M118.46M155.98M280.49M222.16M38.72M
Total Liabilities507.50M507.50M492.86M605.19M564.74M264.15M
Stockholders Equity973.71M973.71M848.21M769.66M614.42M506.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow126.80M71.07M240.50M37.01M-84.84M93.15M
Operating Cash Flow171.47M171.47M302.62M90.25M-42.15M124.27M
Investing Cash Flow-100.21M-100.21M-61.86M-132.85M-42.65M-91.69M
Financing Cash Flow-106.31M-106.31M-186.41M-48.88M121.53M-26.86M

Breville Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.60
Price Trends
50DMA
32.43
Negative
100DMA
30.71
Positive
200DMA
32.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.32
Positive
RSI
39.06
Neutral
STOCH
7.43
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:BRG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.25, below the 50-day MA of 32.43, and below the 200-day MA of 32.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.43 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:BRG.

Breville Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$4.58B33.4614.74%1.11%10.89%14.22%
61
Neutral
$17.92B12.81-3.11%2.97%1.30%-14.28%
$6.06B13.1910.92%
76
Outperform
AU$4.25B19.1816.46%6.32%4.83%-7.62%
72
Outperform
AU$680.19M20.666.57%3.42%8.22%-46.33%
72
Outperform
AU$770.57M26.1016.86%2.37%1.89%-3.30%
71
Outperform
AU$3.63B18.3414.01%4.44%-27.48%-27.96%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:BRG
Breville Group
31.60
-1.55
-4.67%
HNORF
Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd
3.55
0.61
20.75%
AU:ASG
Autosports Group Ltd
3.36
1.44
75.00%
AU:SUL
Super Retail Group Limited
18.84
2.34
14.18%
AU:PMV
Premier Investments Limited
22.72
-2.44
-9.70%
AU:BLX
Beacon Lighting Group Ltd
3.37
0.85
33.73%

Breville Group Corporate Events

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Breville Group
Jul 10, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has ceased to be a substantial holder in Breville Group Limited. This change is due to the purchase of securities by an entity controlled by Morgan Stanley, affecting the voting rights previously held by Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. This shift in substantial holding may impact the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence its market strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Gains Substantial Stake in Breville Group
Jul 7, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has become a substantial holder in Breville Group Limited, acquiring a significant voting power of 5.19% through its relevant interests in securities held by Morgan Stanley and First Sentier Investors Holdings Pty Limited. This development indicates a strategic move by Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group to strengthen its influence within Breville Group, potentially impacting the company’s governance and decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

First Sentier Investors Acquires Substantial Voting Power in Breville Group
Jul 4, 2025

Breville Group, a prominent player in the consumer goods sector, is known for its innovative kitchen appliances and home products. The company has a strong market presence and focuses on delivering high-quality products to enhance consumer experiences. In a recent development, substantial voting power and relevant interests in Breville Group have been acquired by First Sentier Investors and its associates, under the umbrella of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group. This acquisition of voting power signifies a strategic move that could influence the company’s future decisions and potentially impact its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

Breville Group to Announce FY25 Financial Results
Jul 4, 2025

Breville Group Limited has announced that it will release its full-year financial results for the year ending 30 June 2025 on 20 August 2025. The results will be discussed in a telephone briefing by the company’s CEO and CFO, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

Breville Group Maintains Stability Amid Lew Group Reorganization
Jul 3, 2025

Breville Group Limited has undergone an internal reorganization within the Lew Group, which holds a substantial interest in Breville’s issued voting shares. The reorganization did not alter the total voting power of the Lew Group in Breville, indicating stability in their influence over the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Breville Group
Jul 2, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has ceased to be a substantial holder in Breville Group Limited, as indicated in a recent notice. This change in holding is due to the purchase of securities by an entity controlled by Morgan Stanley, affecting the voting securities of the company. The impact of this change on Breville Group’s operations or market positioning is not detailed in the release.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

Breville Group Announces Change in Substantial Holding
Jul 1, 2025

Breville Group Ltd has announced that First Sentier Investors and its related entities have ceased to be substantial holders of its voting securities as of June 27, 2025. This change in substantial holding could impact Breville’s shareholder structure and influence future voting outcomes, potentially affecting the company’s strategic decisions and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Becomes Substantial Holder in Breville Group
Jun 30, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has become a substantial holder in Breville Group Limited, acquiring a significant voting power through various fully paid ordinary shares. This development highlights Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group’s strategic positioning in the market, potentially impacting Breville Group’s shareholder dynamics and influencing future corporate decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

First Sentier Becomes Substantial Holder in Breville Group
Jun 27, 2025

Breville Group has announced that First Sentier Investors Holdings Pty Limited, a subsidiary of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, has become a substantial holder in the company. This development indicates a significant investment and interest from a major financial group, potentially impacting Breville’s market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

Vanguard Group Reduces Stake in Breville Group
Jun 19, 2025

Vanguard Group has ceased to be a substantial holder in Breville Group Limited as of June 16, 2025, reducing its voting power to 4.966%. This change in shareholding could impact the company’s shareholder dynamics and influence within the market, potentially affecting its strategic decisions and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Ceases Substantial Holding in Breville Group
May 29, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has ceased to be a substantial holder in Breville Group Limited as of May 28, 2025. This change in holdings involved the purchase of securities by entities controlled by First Sentier Investors Holdings Pty Ltd and Morgan Stanley, impacting the voting securities of Breville Group. The shift in substantial holding may influence Breville’s market dynamics and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Gains Substantial Holding in Breville Group
May 28, 2025

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. has become a substantial holder in Breville Group Limited, acquiring a significant voting power of 5.06% through its relevant interests in various securities. This development highlights Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group’s strategic positioning and influence within the financial sector, potentially impacting Breville Group’s shareholder dynamics and decision-making processes.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

Breville Group Sees Shift in Shareholder Structure
May 28, 2025

Breville Group, a prominent player in the consumer electronics industry, is experiencing a significant change in its shareholder structure. First Sentier Investors, a substantial holder, has ceased to hold a significant interest in the company as of May 26, 2025. This change could impact Breville Group’s market positioning and investor relations, as it reflects a shift in the company’s shareholder base.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

Breville Group Sees Shift in Shareholder Structure with New Substantial Holder
May 27, 2025

Breville Group has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure, with First Sentier Investors Holdings Pty Limited and its subsidiaries acquiring a substantial holding in the company. This development indicates a shift in the voting power and control over the company’s shares, potentially impacting its strategic direction and governance. As a result, stakeholders, including investors and market analysts, may need to reassess their positions and expectations regarding Breville Group’s future performance and market strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:BRG) stock is a Hold with a A$32.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Breville Group stock, see the AU:BRG Stock Forecast page.

Challenger Limited Increases Stake in Breville Group
May 7, 2025

Breville Group Ltd, a prominent player in the home appliance industry, has experienced a change in the interests of a substantial holder. Challenger Limited and its associated entities have increased their voting power in Breville Group from 5.99% to 7.41%, indicating a strategic move that could influence the company’s future direction and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025