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Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (AU:HVN)
ASX:HVN

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (HVN) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:HVN

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd

(Sydney:HVN)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
AU$8.00
▲(12.52% Upside)
Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd scores well due to strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators. However, the overbought technical conditions and moderate valuation metrics slightly temper the overall score. Continued attention to debt management and cash flow efficiency will be important for sustaining growth.

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (HVN) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHarvey Norman Holdings Limited engages in the integrated retail, franchise, property, and digital system businesses. It franchises and sells products in various categories, including electrical goods, furniture, computerized communications, bedding and Manchester, kitchen and small appliances, bathroom and tiles, and carpets and floorings. As of June 30, 2022, the company operated 195 franchised complexes under the Harvey Norman, Domayne, and Joyce Mayne brands in Australia; and 109 company-operated stores under the Harvey Norman brand in New Zealand, Singapore, Malaysia, Slovenia, Croatia, Ireland, and Northern Ireland. It is also involved in the property investment and media placement activities; acts as a lessor of premises to Harvey Norman, Domayne, and Joyce Mayne franchisees and other third parties, as well as retail properties; development and sale of properties; and provision of consumer finance and other commercial loans and advances. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Homebush West, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyHarvey Norman generates revenue primarily through the sale of goods in its retail stores and online platforms. The company's revenue model is based on a combination of direct sales and franchise operations, where it earns income from franchising fees and royalties from franchisees. Key revenue streams include the sales of furniture, electronics, and appliances, which are complemented by financing options offered through partnerships with financial institutions. Additionally, HVN benefits from property investments and leasing income, with a significant portion of its earnings derived from its real estate portfolio, which includes retail spaces leased to franchisees.

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth of 22.998% and improved profitability. The balance sheet shows a solid capital structure, though rising debt levels could pose a risk. Cash flow generation is strong, but there are potential challenges in cash flow management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd has shown a strong revenue growth rate of 22.998% in the most recent year, indicating a robust recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin remains stable above 50%, and the net profit margin has improved to 12.57%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased compared to earlier years, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48, indicating moderate leverage and a strong equity base. Return on equity has improved to 10.79%, showing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 57.35%, reflecting a solid capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years could pose a potential risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow has remained stable, and free cash flow has grown by 22.396%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.74, suggesting efficient conversion of profits into cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, indicating potential challenges in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.50B4.12B3.92B3.98B4.14B4.15B
Gross Profit1.92B2.10B1.99B1.94B2.12B2.16B
EBITDA914.39M1.06B837.26M1.08B1.39B1.37B
Net Income518.02M518.02M352.45M539.52M811.53M841.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.37B8.37B7.93B7.67B7.25B6.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments279.69M279.69M273.47M218.75M248.80M305.71M
Total Debt2.29B2.29B2.28B2.18B1.90B1.74B
Total Liabilities3.53B3.53B3.39B3.21B2.95B2.78B
Stockholders Equity4.80B4.80B4.50B4.43B4.26B3.86B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow510.74M510.74M494.37M492.60M502.38M443.57M
Operating Cash Flow694.30M694.30M686.53M680.26M597.30M543.87M
Investing Cash Flow-222.54M-222.54M-301.18M-333.48M-178.79M-254.12M
Financing Cash Flow-445.62M-445.62M-334.25M-379.07M-432.87M-335.47M

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.11
Price Trends
50DMA
7.24
Negative
100DMA
7.03
Positive
200DMA
6.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
49.07
Neutral
STOCH
60.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:HVN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.08, below the 50-day MA of 7.24, and above the 200-day MA of 6.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:HVN.

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
AU$3.61B16.2616.46%7.18%4.83%-7.62%
66
Neutral
$8.75B17.1010.92%3.77%5.09%46.94%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
AU$2.24B13.5510.29%3.57%-48.80%-35.88%
58
Neutral
AU$10.46B22.8429.12%2.57%10.03%5.38%
55
Neutral
AU$630.69M21.6916.86%2.91%1.89%-3.30%
42
Neutral
AU$812.05M-2.85-36.66%6.38%13.78%-413.50%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:HVN
Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd
7.11
2.60
57.61%
AU:MYR
Myer Holdings Limited
0.47
-0.70
-59.93%
AU:JBH
JB Hi-Fi Limited
96.62
3.92
4.23%
AU:SUL
Super Retail Group Limited
15.97
1.17
7.91%
AU:PMV
Premier Investments Limited
14.05
-9.81
-41.11%
AU:BLX
Beacon Lighting Group Ltd
2.75
-0.31
-10.13%

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd Corporate Events

Harvey Norman Announces Director’s Interest Changes
Nov 27, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd has announced a change in the interests of its directors, specifically John Evyn Slack-Smith and Chris Mentis. The announcement, authorized by Company Secretary Chris Mentis, details the acquisition of 90,500 FY26 Performance Rights by John Evyn Slack-Smith, reflecting the company’s ongoing adjustments in director holdings, which could influence stakeholder perceptions and the company’s governance dynamics.

Harvey Norman Issues New Employee Incentive Securities
Nov 27, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd has announced the issuance of 181,000 unquoted securities under its employee incentive scheme, specifically as FY26 Performance Rights. These securities are subject to transfer restrictions and will not be quoted on the ASX until these restrictions are lifted. This move is part of the company’s strategy to incentivize and retain key employees, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and market competitiveness.

Harvey Norman AGM: Key Resolutions Passed, Director Appointment Rejected
Nov 26, 2025

At the Annual General Meeting held on November 26, 2025, Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd announced that all resolutions were passed except for the appointment of Mr. Stephen Mayne as a director. The meeting outcomes reflect the company’s ongoing governance and strategic decisions, impacting its leadership structure and potentially influencing investor confidence.

Harvey Norman Highlights Global Expansion and Milestones at AGM
Nov 25, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd presented an overview of its international store operations and expansion strategy at its Annual General Meeting. The company highlighted its recent store openings, including a major expansion in Queensland, Australia, and new locations in New Zealand’s South Island, which enhance its market presence. The expansion reflects Harvey Norman’s strategic focus on large format retail in high-value metropolitan growth centers. The company also celebrated the 10th anniversary of its flagship store in Singapore, emphasizing its success in delivering exceptional in-store experiences.

Harvey Norman Posts Strong Sales Growth Amid Global Expansion
Nov 25, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd reported a 9.1% increase in aggregated sales revenue for the period from July 1, 2025, to November 20, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024. This growth was supported by currency appreciations in several markets and the opening of new stores in Singapore and Malaysia, despite some store closures. The company’s strong performance, particularly in the United Kingdom and Slovenia & Croatia, highlights its robust market positioning and potential positive impact on stakeholders.

Harvey Norman Announces On-Market Share Buy-Back
Nov 3, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd has announced an on-market buy-back of its ordinary fully paid shares, as per the notification released on November 3, 2025. This strategic move is likely aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing the company’s capital structure, reflecting confidence in its financial health and future prospects.

Harvey Norman Extends Share Buyback Program
Nov 3, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd has announced an extension of its on-market share buyback program, now set to run from November 24, 2025, to November 23, 2026. The company plans to repurchase up to 10% of its ordinary shares, with the potential cash cost estimated at approximately $900.9 million, based on the closing share price as of October 31, 2025. This move is part of the company’s capital management strategy, aimed at enhancing shareholder value and maintaining financial flexibility. The buyback’s execution will depend on market conditions and share price, with no guarantee that all shares will be repurchased.

Harvey Norman Announces 2025 AGM Details and Contingency Plans
Oct 23, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for November 26, 2025, at Novotel Sydney Olympic Park. Shareholders are encouraged to attend in person or listen via telephone, with options for proxy voting available online. The company has also outlined contingency plans for potential changes to the meeting format, ensuring flexibility and accessibility for stakeholders.

Harvey Norman Announces Update on Director’s Interest
Sep 30, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest concerning Gerald Harvey. The notice, authorized by Company Secretary Chris Mentis, indicates no new acquisitions or disposals of securities by Mr. Harvey. This update is part of the company’s compliance with ASX regulations, ensuring transparency and timely disclosure of directors’ interests. The announcement is unlikely to have a significant impact on the company’s operations or market position but is essential for maintaining corporate governance standards.

Harvey Norman Announces Change in Director’s Interest
Sep 29, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd announced a change in the director’s interest for Gerald Harvey, as disclosed in the Appendix 3Y. This update, authorized by Company Secretary Chris Mentis, reflects the company’s commitment to transparency in its corporate governance practices, potentially impacting stakeholder perceptions and maintaining compliance with ASX regulations.

Harvey Norman Announces Change in Director’s Interest
Sep 19, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd has announced a change in the director’s interest for Gerald Harvey, as detailed in the Appendix 3Y submitted to the Australian Stock Exchange. This update is part of the company’s regulatory compliance and transparency efforts, ensuring stakeholders are informed about changes in the director’s securities holdings, which can impact shareholder confidence and market perception.

Harvey Norman Announces Director’s Interest Change
Sep 16, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd announced a change in the director’s interest involving Michael John Harvey and Gerald Harvey. The change involved the disposal of 321,380 fully paid ordinary shares by Michael John Harvey, valued at approximately $2.35 million, through an on-market trade. This update reflects the company’s adherence to transparency and regulatory compliance in its corporate governance practices.

Harvey Norman Announces Director’s Interest Change
Sep 10, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd announced a change in the director’s interest for Gerald Harvey, as disclosed in the attached Appendix 3Y. This notice, authorized by Company Secretary Chris Mentis, is a standard procedural update to inform the Australian Stock Exchange about changes in the director’s securities holdings. While the document does not specify the nature of the change, it reflects the company’s compliance with ASX listing rules, ensuring transparency and accountability for stakeholders.

Harvey Norman Directors Update on Performance Rights
Sep 9, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd has announced a change in the interests of its directors, specifically regarding the disposal of FY23 Performance Rights by Gerald Harvey. This update, disclosed to the Australian Stock Exchange, reflects the company’s compliance with regulatory requirements and may influence investor perceptions of the company’s governance and director engagement.

Harvey Norman Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Sep 9, 2025

Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd announced the cessation of 1,049,857 performance rights due to the conditions for these securities not being met or becoming incapable of being satisfied. This announcement may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for stakeholders, reflecting on the company’s operational strategies and performance metrics.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025