tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
AUB Group Limited (AU:AUB)
ASX:AUB

AUB Group (AUB) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
38 Followers

Top Page

AU:AUB

AUB Group

(Sydney:AUB)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
AU$32.00
▲(3.90% Upside)
The overall stock score of 60 reflects strong financial performance, particularly in profitability and cash flow management. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and valuation metrics suggest the stock is moderately priced. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing AUB Group to invest in growth opportunities and maintain operations efficiently.
Profitability
Improved profitability indicates effective cost management and operational efficiency, strengthening AUB Group's competitive position in the market.
Balance Sheet Health
A stable balance sheet with manageable leverage provides AUB Group with the capacity to withstand economic fluctuations and invest in strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
Negative revenue growth suggests challenges in expanding market share or product offerings, potentially impacting long-term business sustainability.
Market Momentum
Bearish market momentum may reflect underlying challenges in business performance or investor confidence, affecting future capital raising or stock performance.
Revenue Dependency
Heavy reliance on commission-based revenue can expose AUB Group to fluctuations in insurance demand and pricing, affecting revenue stability.

AUB Group (AUB) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

AUB Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAUB Group (AUB) is a leading network of insurance brokerages and risk management firms based in Australia. The company operates primarily in the insurance sector, providing a diverse range of services including risk assessment, insurance broking, and claims management. AUB Group comprises a network of independent businesses that offer tailored insurance solutions across various industries, enhancing their clients' risk management capabilities and ensuring comprehensive coverage.
How the Company Makes MoneyAUB Group generates revenue primarily through commissions and fees earned from insurance premiums placed with various insurers. As a broker, AUB acts as an intermediary between clients and insurance companies, earning a commission on each policy sold. Additionally, the company generates income from advisory services related to risk management and claims handling. Key revenue streams include performance fees from insurers based on the volume of business placed, as well as service fees for specialized consulting services. Significant partnerships with a wide range of insurers and other financial service providers also contribute to AUB's earnings by expanding its product offerings and enhancing its market reach.

AUB Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AUB Group demonstrates strong profitability and cash flow management, with robust margins and cash generation. However, the negative revenue growth rate is a concern that needs addressing. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, supporting the company's financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 100% for the latest year, indicating efficient cost management. However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -5.38%, which is a concern. The net profit margin has improved to 17.41%, suggesting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 34.36% and 43.65%, respectively, reflecting strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is reasonable at 10.64%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio stands at 35.74%, suggesting a stable capital structure with adequate equity backing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a significant free cash flow growth rate of 35.39%, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.26, indicating efficient conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 98.80%, reflecting excellent cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.15B1.03B1.05B740.01M336.86M315.86M
Gross Profit1.03B1.03B519.53M387.63M295.08M169.54M
EBITDA317.99M451.38M219.69M241.81M151.51M73.26M
Net Income180.06M180.06M137.07M65.25M80.84M70.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.73B4.73B4.05B3.88B1.64B1.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.34B1.34B1.29B1.20B593.48M282.87M
Total Debt958.06M958.06M724.69M661.11M74.74M238.15M
Total Liabilities2.66B2.66B2.30B2.37B642.80M547.83M
Stockholders Equity1.69B1.69B1.51B1.28B854.49M478.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow381.90M381.90M75.60M201.49M93.34M111.89M
Operating Cash Flow386.53M386.53M82.00M202.24M95.53M112.59M
Investing Cash Flow-365.77M-365.77M-82.81M-136.85M118.45M23.23M
Financing Cash Flow34.62M34.62M89.21M498.66M98.80M-96.99M

AUB Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.80
Price Trends
50DMA
34.74
Negative
100DMA
33.96
Negative
200DMA
33.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.46
Positive
RSI
28.80
Positive
STOCH
26.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AUB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.44, below the 50-day MA of 34.74, and below the 200-day MA of 33.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.80 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AUB.

AUB Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
€3.27B16.3518.51%4.20%5.90%7.22%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
€5.86B17.4214.17%3.83%9.16%43.16%
60
Neutral
€4.19B23.2611.17%2.95%10.98%23.05%
60
Neutral
$6.22B32.294.84%3.23%11.78%47.53%
50
Neutral
€2.14B-36.17-3.34%6.03%2.87%87.93%
49
Neutral
€9.34B116.6315.22%0.57%24.44%68.80%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AUB
AUB Group
30.80
1.37
4.64%
AU:CGF
Challenger
9.12
3.34
57.81%
AU:NHF
NIB Holdings Ltd
6.90
1.59
30.02%
AU:PPT
Perpetual Limited
19.07
0.13
0.70%
AU:SDF
Steadfast Group Limited
5.09
-0.51
-9.14%
AU:HUB
HUB24 Limited
99.10
29.20
41.77%

AUB Group Corporate Events

AUB Group Ends Acquisition Talks with EQT and CVC
Nov 30, 2025

AUB Group has announced the cessation of discussions with EQT AB and CVC Asia Pacific Limited regarding a proposal to acquire 100% of AUB shares at $45.00 each. The termination of talks follows the Consortium’s decision not to proceed with a binding proposal at the offered price. AUB’s leadership remains confident in the company’s strategic direction and growth prospects, reaffirming its FY26 financial guidance and focusing on organic growth and acquisition opportunities.

Yarra Capital Management Ceases Substantial Holding in AUB Group
Nov 24, 2025

Yarra Capital Management Limited and its associated entities have ceased to be substantial holders of AUB Group Limited as of November 20, 2025. This change involved significant transactions, including an acquisition of approximately $8.16 million worth of securities and a disposal of around $65.55 million worth, impacting the voting securities of the company.

AUB Group Announces Director’s Interest Change
Nov 14, 2025

AUB Group Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically concerning Michael Patrick Cheere Emmett. The change involves the grant of Performance Share Rights (PSRs) as a long-term incentive to Mr. Emmett, which was approved by shareholders at the company’s 2025 AGM. This adjustment in the director’s interest reflects the company’s strategy to align executive incentives with long-term performance goals, potentially impacting its operational focus and stakeholder interests.

AUB Group Limited Announces Successful AGM Results
Nov 13, 2025

AUB Group Limited announced the results of its Annual General Meeting held on 13 November 2025, where all resolutions were passed by poll. The resolutions included the adoption of the remuneration report, the election of Tonianne Dwyer as a director, and the approval of performance share rights for Michael Emmett under the company’s long-term incentive plan. The successful passage of these resolutions reflects strong shareholder support and is likely to positively impact the company’s governance and strategic direction.

AUB Group Reports Strong FY25 Financial Performance and Strategic Growth
Nov 12, 2025

AUB Group reported a strong financial performance for FY25, with a 17.1% increase in Underlying Net Profit After Tax to $200.2 million and a 9.5% rise in Earnings Per Share. The company declared a total full-year dividend of 91.0 cents per share, reflecting a 15.2% increase from the previous year. Strategic initiatives, including acquisitions and technology-led differentiation, have reinforced AUB Group’s market leadership and operational outcomes. The company plans to focus on expanding UK Retail capabilities and optimizing Tysers Wholesale performance in FY26 to enhance operational efficiency and deliver sustainable value.

The Capital Group Companies Cease Substantial Holding in AUB Group
Nov 11, 2025

AUB Group Ltd. has been notified that The Capital Group Companies, Inc. (CGC) and its related bodies corporate have ceased to be substantial holders in the company as of November 7, 2025. CGC, a prominent U.S.-based investment management firm, manages assets for various investment companies and clients but does not own shares for its own account. This change in substantial holding may impact AUB Group’s shareholder composition, potentially affecting its market dynamics and investor relations.

AUB Group Considers Consortium Proposal with EQT and CVC
Nov 9, 2025

AUB Group Limited has announced an update regarding its ongoing discussions with EQT AB concerning a proposal to acquire 100% of AUB. EQT has received an unsolicited approach from CVC Asia Pacific Limited to form a consortium for the acquisition, maintaining the offer price at A$45.00 per share. The AUB Board has agreed to extend the exclusivity period by two weeks to allow further due diligence and negotiation of transaction documents. However, there is no guarantee that a binding agreement will be reached, and AUB shareholders are not required to take any action at this time.

AUB Group Extends Exclusivity Period with EQT for Acquisition Proposal
Nov 7, 2025

AUB Group Limited has extended its exclusivity period with EQT AB for a potential acquisition proposal. EQT has re-confirmed its intention to proceed with the proposal to acquire 100% of AUB for $45.00 per share, extending the exclusivity period by two weeks. However, there is no guarantee that a binding agreement will be reached, and AUB shareholders are advised that no action is required at this stage.

AUB Group Receives Acquisition Proposal from EQT Affiliate
Oct 28, 2025

AUB Group Limited, a company listed on the Australian Securities Exchange, has recently been the subject of a conditional, non-binding, indicative proposal from Arbutus Pte. Limited, affiliated with EQT AB, to acquire 100% of its shares at $45.00 per share. This follows a previous unsolicited proposal at $43.00 per share. The proposal’s emergence has led to a trading halt in AUB’s securities after a related article appeared in the Australian Financial Review, prompting AUB to confirm the proposal publicly.

AUB Group Receives Acquisition Proposal from EQT Affiliate
Oct 28, 2025

AUB Group Limited has received an unsolicited, non-binding indicative proposal from Arbutus Pte. Limited, affiliated with EQT AB, to acquire 100% of AUB through a scheme of arrangement. The proposal offers AUB shareholders $45.00 cash per share, subject to conditions such as exclusivity and due diligence. The AUB Board has agreed to enter into a confidentiality and exclusivity agreement with EQT to further explore the proposal, although there is no guarantee of a transaction. Shareholders are advised that no action is required at this stage, and further updates will be provided as necessary.

AUB Group Requests Trading Halt Amid Media Reports
Oct 27, 2025

AUB Group Limited, listed on the Australian Securities Exchange, has requested a trading halt on its securities. This halt is in response to media reports and recent share price movements, ensuring the market remains informed. The trading halt will remain until AUB releases an announcement or normal trading resumes on 29 October 2025.

Yarra Capital Management Acquires Substantial Stake in AUB Group
Oct 23, 2025

Yarra Capital Management Limited and its associated entities have become substantial holders in AUB Group Limited, acquiring a 5.11% voting power through various corporate structures. This acquisition, involving a significant investment of over $82 million, positions Yarra Capital Management as a key stakeholder in AUB Group, potentially influencing future strategic decisions and impacting shareholder dynamics.

AUB Group Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting Details
Oct 9, 2025

AUB Group Limited has announced the release of documents related to its 2025 Annual General Meeting, including the Notice of Meeting and Proxy Form. This announcement signifies the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and shareholder engagement, potentially impacting its operational strategies and stakeholder relations.

AUB Group Announces Leadership Changes
Sep 15, 2025

AUB Group Limited has announced the retirement of Richard Deutsch as a Non-Executive Director and Chair of the Board Audit & Risk Committee, with Tonianne Dwyer stepping into the role. Additionally, Mark Shanahan, the Chief Financial Officer, is leaving the company after over seven years, with Nick Dryden appointed as Interim CFO. These leadership changes are significant as they may influence AUB’s strategic direction and operational efficiency, impacting stakeholders and the company’s market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 02, 2025