Arena REIT (AU:ARF)
ASX:ARF
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Arena REIT
(Sydney:ARF)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
AU$3.50
â–²(2.94% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:10/29/25
Arena REIT's strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and profitability, is the most significant factor driving the score. The technical analysis suggests neutral momentum, while the valuation is supported by a reasonable P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data did not impact the score.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue and margins
Consistent revenue growth paired with very high gross and net margins indicates a durable, cash-generative leasing model. High margins reflect low operating costs and pricing power in its niche assets, supporting long-term profitability and capacity to fund distributions and reinvestment.
Negative Factors
Free cash flow volatility
Past swings and occasional negative FCF highlight operational sensitivity to timing of receipts, capex or tenant disruptions. Such volatility can stress distribution certainty and capital planning, limiting management's ability to commit to smooth payouts or aggressive growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong revenue and margins
Consistent revenue growth paired with very high gross and net margins indicates a durable, cash-generative leasing model. High margins reflect low operating costs and pricing power in its niche assets, supporting long-term profitability and capacity to fund distributions and reinvestment.
Read all positive factors
Arena REIT (ARF) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)
Market Cap
AU$1.36B
Dividend Yield5.14%
Average Volume (3M)716.12K
Price to Earnings (P/E)3.4
Beta (1Y)0.72
Revenue Growth12.10%
EPS Growth29.89%
CountryAU
EmployeesN/A
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryREIT - Specialty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.10
Shares Outstanding405,121,150
10 Day Avg. Volume622,293
30 Day Avg. Volume716,118
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.57
Price to Book (P/B)1.19
Price to Sales (P/S)13.28
P/FCF Ratio19.68
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
AU$4.02Price Target Upside18.28% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)0.2
Revenue Forecast (FY)AU$101.85M
Arena REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Arena REIT is an ASX300 listed property group that owns, manages and develops social infrastructure properties across Australia. Our current portfolio of social infrastructure properties is leased to a diversified tenant base in the growing early ...
How the Company Makes Money
Arena REIT primarily makes money by owning healthcare-related real estate and leasing those properties to tenants under rental agreements. Its key revenue stream is rental income (typically contracted rent) received from operators that run service...
Arena REIT Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 116.23M | 110.05M | 98.18M | 93.23M | 81.24M | 70.78M |
| Gross Profit | 111.27M | 101.36M | 90.43M | 86.06M | 80.67M | 68.22M |
| EBITDA | 117.01M | 86.48M | 74.91M | 85.64M | 61.55M | 67.77M |
| Net Income | 151.11M | 81.49M | 57.51M | 74.24M | 334.29M | 165.35M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.98B | 1.86B | 1.62B | 1.57B | 1.52B | 1.15B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 18.07M | 16.57M | 12.43M | 16.11M | 22.20M | 14.02M |
| Total Debt | 475.51M | 436.98M | 377.32M | 340.79M | 323.21M | 240.07M |
| Total Liabilities | 514.97M | 472.83M | 409.05M | 368.99M | 349.59M | 272.59M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.31B | 1.23B | 1.07B | 1.20B | 1.17B | 878.92M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -3.08M | 74.27M | 62.53M | -11.47M | -45.90M | -54.63M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 77.72M | 74.27M | 62.53M | 59.85M | 58.10M | 51.43M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -114.02M | -220.35M | -56.76M | -38.21M | -87.50M | -87.49M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 39.26M | 150.23M | -9.45M | -27.73M | 37.59M | -26.25M |
Arena REIT Technical Analysis
Neutral
3.40
Price Trends
3.36
Negative
3.43
Negative
3.56
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.02
Negative
55.73
Neutral
80.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ARF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.24, above the 50-day MA of 3.36, and below the 200-day MA of 3.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:ARF.
Arena REIT Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | AU$961.17M | 6.08 | 4.86% | 5.18% | ― | ― | |
71 Outperform | AU$1.36B | 3.38 | 11.87% | 5.14% | 12.10% | 29.89% | |
71 Outperform | AU$1.55B | 8.45 | 21.02% | 6.30% | 0.12% | ― | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
57 Neutral | AU$1.04B | 24.03 | -0.16% | 3.17% | 206.14% | 101.96% | |
56 Neutral | AU$1.30B | 8.41 | 7.96% | 6.26% | 38.64% | -21.14% | |
53 Neutral | AU$1.60B | 7.35 | 1.57% | 8.12% | -0.33% | 58.26% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
AU:ARF
Arena REIT
3.35
0.03
0.90%
AU:CQE
Charter Hall Social Infrastructure REIT
2.59
-0.01
-0.42%
AU:WPR
Waypoint REIT Ltd.
2.38
0.11
5.08%
AU:GOZ
Growthpoint Properties Australia
2.12
>-0.01
-0.19%
AU:CNI
Centuria Capital Group
1.53
-0.02
-0.97%
AU:HMC
Home Consortium Ltd
2.52
-3.25
-56.30%
Arena REIT Corporate Events
Arena REIT Declares Quarterly Distribution and Confirms DRP Terms
Mar 24, 2026
Arena REIT has declared a quarterly distribution of 4.8125 cents per stapled security for the period ending 31 March 2026, consistent with its previously issued FY26 distribution guidance. The payment, which follows a set timetable including an ex...
Arena REIT Announces Quarterly Distribution for March 2026
Mar 24, 2026
Arena REIT has declared a quarterly distribution of AUD 0.048125 per fully paid stapled security for the period ending 31 March 2026. The distribution will trade ex on 30 March, with a record date of 31 March and payment scheduled for 7 May, while...
Arena REIT Director Justin Bailey Increases Indirect Security Holding
Mar 24, 2026
Arena REIT has disclosed a change in the holdings of director Justin Bailey, who maintains both direct and indirect interests in the trust’s stapled securities. The filing details that Bailey’s indirect holding, held via a custodian st...
Arena REIT Director Justin Bailey Increases Direct Security Holding
Mar 18, 2026
Arena REIT has disclosed a change in the security holdings of director Justin Bailey, detailing an increase in his direct interest in the trust. The filing outlines the structure of his direct and indirect interests across ordinary stapled securit...
Arena REIT Director Justin Bailey Increases Stapled Securities Holding
Mar 5, 2026
Arena REIT has disclosed a change in the interests of director Justin Bailey, who increased his direct holding in the trust’s ordinary stapled securities through on‑market trades. Bailey acquired 20,000 additional stapled securities on...
Arena REIT Outlines Half-Year 2026 Results and Outlook
Feb 10, 2026
Arena REIT has released a half-year 2026 results presentation dated 11 February 2026, outlining its financial performance and portfolio update for the period. The presentation signals a structured review of highlights, detailed financial results, ...
Arena REIT lifts profit and valuations as early learning pipeline expands
Feb 10, 2026
Arena REIT reported a strong first-half FY2026 result, with net operating profit rising 9% to $39 million and statutory net profit surging 202% to $110 million, driven by contracted rental growth and recently completed acquisitions and development...
Arena REIT profit surges as income and asset values climb
Feb 10, 2026
Arena REIT reported a sharp improvement in performance for the half-year ended 31 December 2025, with total income from ordinary activities rising 234% to A$122.6 million compared with the prior corresponding period. Net profit attributable to sta...
Arena REIT Director Increases Holding via Distribution Reinvestment Plan
Feb 9, 2026
Arena REIT has disclosed a change in the holdings of director Rosemary Hartnett, who increased her direct interest in the trust through participation in the distribution reinvestment plan. Hartnett acquired 573 ordinary stapled securities for a co...
Arena REIT Director Increases Holding via Distribution Reinvestment Plan
Feb 9, 2026
Arena REIT has disclosed a minor change in director Helen Thornton’s holding of stapled securities, following her participation in the company’s distribution reinvestment plan. On 5 February 2026, Thornton acquired 285 ordinary stapled...
Arena REIT Seeks Quotation of 1.6 Million New Stapled Securities on ASX
Feb 4, 2026
Arena REIT has applied to the ASX for quotation of 1,617,122 fully paid ordinary stapled securities issued under a dividend or distribution reinvestment plan, with an issue date of 5 February 2026. The additional securities will modestly increase ...
Arena REIT Details Tax Components of December 2025 Quarter Distribution
Feb 2, 2026
Arena REIT has declared that its two trusts, Arena REIT No. 1 and Arena REIT No. 2, are withholding managed investment trusts for the December 2025 quarter distribution of 4.8125 cents per stapled security, with a record date of 31 December 2025 a...
Arena REIT Sets Date for HY2026 Results and Investor Teleconference
Jan 22, 2026
Arena REIT will release its half-year 2026 financial results to the ASX on 11 February 2026 and will host an investor teleconference the same day to present its operating activities and financial performance for the period ended 31 December 2025. ...
Arena REIT Updates December Quarter Distribution Details and DRP Pricing
Jan 19, 2026
Arena REIT has updated its previously announced quarterly distribution for the period ended 31 December 2025, relating to its fully paid ordinary stapled securities. The 19 January 2026 notice is specifically to provide the dividend reinvestment p...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.