Arena REIT (AU:ARF)
ASX:ARF
Australian Market
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Arena REIT (ARF) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:ARF

Arena REIT

(Sydney:ARF)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
AU$4.50
▲(21.62% Upside)
Arena REIT's strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and profitability, is the most significant factor driving the score. The technical analysis suggests neutral momentum, while the valuation is supported by a reasonable P/E ratio and attractive dividend yield. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data did not impact the score.

Arena REIT (ARF) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Arena REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArena REIT (ARF) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership and management of properties within the healthcare and education sectors. The company focuses primarily on investing in high-quality, purpose-built facilities such as aged care and childcare centers across Australia. Arena REIT aims to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to its investors through a diversified portfolio of strategically located assets leased to experienced operators in these sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyArena REIT generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of properties. The company enters into long-term leases with operators of aged care and childcare facilities, which provide a stable and recurring revenue stream. Additionally, Arena REIT may earn income from property management fees and other ancillary services related to its real estate holdings. The company focuses on acquiring properties with strong underlying demand, which contributes to its occupancy rates and rental growth. Key partnerships with reputable operators in the healthcare and education sectors enhance its ability to maintain high occupancy levels and secure favorable lease terms, thereby supporting its revenue generation.

Arena REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arena REIT exhibits strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient operations and a solid balance sheet. However, historical volatility in free cash flow and declining ROE trends may pose potential risks.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Arena REIT has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 7.42% increase in the latest year, supported by high gross and net profit margins of 92.11% and 74.05%, respectively. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust, indicating efficient operations. However, the net profit margin has seen fluctuations over the years, which could indicate some volatility in profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, reflecting prudent financial leverage. Return on equity is moderate at 6.61%, suggesting reasonable profitability from shareholders' investments. The equity ratio indicates a solid capital structure, but the ROE has shown some decline compared to previous years, which may warrant attention.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Arena REIT's free cash flow has grown significantly by 141.16%, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.07, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, historical fluctuations in free cash flow, including negative values in prior years, suggest potential volatility in cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue110.05M110.05M98.18M93.23M81.24M70.78M
Gross Profit101.36M101.36M90.43M86.06M80.67M68.22M
EBITDA0.0086.48M74.91M85.64M61.55M67.77M
Net Income81.49M81.49M57.51M74.24M334.29M165.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.86B1.86B1.62B1.57B1.52B1.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.57M16.57M12.43M16.11M22.20M14.02M
Total Debt436.98M436.98M377.32M340.79M323.21M240.07M
Total Liabilities472.83M472.83M409.05M368.99M349.59M272.59M
Stockholders Equity1.23B1.23B1.07B1.20B1.17B878.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow74.27M74.27M62.53M-11.47M-45.90M-54.63M
Operating Cash Flow74.27M74.27M62.53M59.85M58.10M51.43M
Investing Cash Flow-220.35M-220.35M-56.76M-38.21M-87.50M-87.49M
Financing Cash Flow150.23M150.23M-9.45M-27.73M37.59M-26.25M

Arena REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.70
Price Trends
50DMA
3.86
Negative
100DMA
3.80
Negative
200DMA
3.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
42.05
Neutral
STOCH
52.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:ARF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.77, below the 50-day MA of 3.86, and below the 200-day MA of 3.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:ARF.

Arena REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.18B16.644.86%4.94%
71
Outperform
AU$1.46B17.326.73%5.00%12.10%29.89%
68
Neutral
AU$1.34B8.8110.22%3.93%206.14%101.96%
66
Neutral
AU$1.75B10.129.29%6.16%0.12%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
AU$1.93B23.375.59%5.60%38.64%-21.14%
53
Neutral
AU$1.92B-15.44-5.04%7.81%-0.33%58.26%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:ARF
Arena REIT
3.70
-0.14
-3.65%
AU:CQE
Charter Hall Social Infrastructure REIT
3.17
0.71
28.60%
AU:WPR
Waypoint REIT Ltd.
2.71
0.39
16.81%
AU:GOZ
Growthpoint Properties Australia
2.57
0.29
12.72%
AU:CNI
Centuria Capital Group
2.35
0.63
36.63%
AU:HMC
Home Consortium Ltd
3.05
-7.84
-71.99%

Arena REIT Corporate Events

Arena REIT Announces September 2025 Quarter Distribution
Oct 29, 2025

Arena REIT has announced the distribution for the September 2025 quarter, with a total distribution of 4.8125 cents per stapled security. This announcement is primarily aimed at custodians and intermediary investors, highlighting the company’s role as a withholding managed investment trust for taxation purposes, which may impact non-resident withholding tax considerations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Buy with a A$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Updates Dividend Distribution Details
Oct 16, 2025

Arena REIT has announced an update regarding its dividend distribution for the quarter ending on September 30, 2025. The update includes the Dividend Reinvestment Plan (DRP) price, which is relevant for stakeholders interested in the financial aspects of the company. This announcement may impact the company’s financial operations and provide insights into its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Hold with a A$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting
Oct 8, 2025

Arena REIT has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for November 13, 2025, in Melbourne, where investors are encouraged to participate either in person or online. The AGM will provide a platform for discussing the company’s performance and future strategies, impacting stakeholders by offering insights into Arena REIT’s operational focus and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Hold with a A$4.01 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Director’s Interest Update: Changes in Securities Holdings
Sep 25, 2025

Arena REIT announced a change in the director’s interest, with Gareth Winter acquiring 73,631 ordinary stapled securities while disposing of 87,153 LTI performance rights and 34,567 deferred STI rights. This change reflects the vesting of securities under the company’s Deferred Short Term and Long Term Incentive Plan, potentially impacting the company’s governance and signaling confidence in its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Hold with a A$4.01 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Announces Director’s Interest Change
Sep 25, 2025

Arena REIT has announced a change in the director’s interest, specifically for Robert de Vos, who has adjusted his holdings in the company’s securities. The change involved the acquisition of 132,047 ordinary stapled securities and the disposal of 138,804 LTI performance rights and 69,134 deferred STI rights. This adjustment was due to the vesting of securities under Arena REIT’s Deferred Short Term and Long Term Incentive Plan, which indicates an alignment of the director’s interests with the company’s performance metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Hold with a A$4.01 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Announces Quotation of New Securities
Sep 23, 2025

Arena REIT has announced the application for quotation of 96,838 fully paid ordinary units stapled securities on the ASX, effective September 24, 2025. This move is part of an employee incentive scheme, indicating the company’s commitment to rewarding its workforce and potentially enhancing its market position by aligning employee interests with shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Buy with a A$4.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Announces Quotation of New Securities
Sep 23, 2025

Arena REIT has announced the application for quotation of 108,840 fully paid ordinary units stapled securities on the ASX, effective from September 24, 2025. This move is part of an employee incentive scheme and reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its capital structure and provide value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Buy with a A$4.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Announces Quotation of New Securities
Sep 23, 2025

Arena REIT has announced the application for quotation of 127,401 fully paid ordinary units stapled securities on the ASX, effective from September 24, 2025. This move is part of an employee incentive scheme and is expected to enhance the company’s market presence and provide liquidity to its securities, potentially benefiting stakeholders by increasing the accessibility and attractiveness of Arena REIT’s investment offerings.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Buy with a A$4.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT’s 2025 Corporate Governance and Diversity Achievements
Sep 23, 2025

Arena REIT’s 2025 Corporate Governance Statement outlines its adherence to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles. The company emphasizes a structured governance approach with separate boards for its entities, ensuring clear delineation of roles and responsibilities. Arena REIT has achieved its diversity objectives, maintaining gender balance across its board and senior executive levels, and has completed performance evaluations for its boards and executives, highlighting succession planning as a focus area.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Buy with a A$4.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Releases Corporate Governance Statement for 2025
Sep 23, 2025

Arena REIT has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending June 30, 2025, which is available on their website. The statement confirms that Arena REIT has adhered to the ASX Corporate Governance Council’s principles and recommendations, ensuring transparency and accountability in its operations. This commitment to governance is likely to enhance stakeholder confidence and strengthen the company’s position in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Buy with a A$4.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT 2025 Annual Report: Strengthening Community Investments
Sep 23, 2025

Arena REIT has released its 2025 Annual Report, highlighting its financial performance and strategic initiatives over the past year. The report underscores the company’s commitment to sustainability and its focus on enhancing community services through its real estate investments. Arena REIT’s operations continue to strengthen its position in the market, offering potential growth and stability for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Buy with a A$4.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Announces Quarterly Distribution Aligned with FY26 Guidance
Sep 22, 2025

Arena REIT announced a quarterly distribution of 4.8125 cents per stapled security for the quarter ending 30 September 2025, aligning with its FY26 distribution guidance. The Dividend and Distribution Reinvestment Plan (DRP) will apply, offering new securities at a 1.5% discount to the 10-day volume weighted average trading price. This distribution reflects Arena’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its securityholders and reinforces its stable position in the social infrastructure property market.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Buy with a A$4.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Announces New Dividend Distribution for Q3 2025
Sep 22, 2025

Arena REIT has announced a new dividend distribution for its fully paid ordinary units stapled securities, with a distribution amount of AUD 0.048125 per unit. The record date for this dividend is set for September 30, 2025, and the payment will be made on November 6, 2025. This announcement reflects Arena REIT’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors, potentially enhancing its attractiveness to stakeholders and reinforcing its market position in the REIT sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Buy with a A$4.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting
Sep 11, 2025

Arena REIT has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM) for securityholders, scheduled for November 13, 2025. The meeting will include an election of directors, with nominations due by September 24, 2025. This AGM is a significant event for the company, potentially impacting its governance and strategic direction, which is crucial for stakeholders invested in its operations and growth within the social infrastructure sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Buy with a A$4.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Announces FY2025 Results with Focus on Sustainability
Aug 12, 2025

Arena REIT has announced its full year 2025 results, highlighting its commitment to sustainability and community engagement. The results presentation outlines the company’s financial performance, portfolio updates, and future outlook, emphasizing its strategic focus on enhancing community connections and sustainable practices.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Hold with a A$4.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Reports Strong Financial Growth for 2025
Aug 12, 2025

Arena REIT reported a significant financial performance for the year ending June 30, 2025, with a 19% increase in total income from ordinary activities amounting to $117,097,000 and a 40% rise in net profit attributable to investors, totaling $81,491,000. The company also declared a total distribution of 18.25 cents per security for the year, reflecting its strong operational performance and commitment to delivering value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Hold with a A$4.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Announces CEO Succession Plan
Aug 12, 2025

Arena REIT has announced the resignation of Rob de Vos as Managing Director and CEO, with Justin Bailey, the current Chief Investment Officer, appointed as CEO-designate. This leadership transition, effective after the Annual General Meeting in November 2025, is part of Arena’s succession planning and is expected to maintain the company’s strong business foundations and strategic growth in the social infrastructure sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Hold with a A$4.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Director Increases Stake Through Reinvestment Plan
Aug 8, 2025

Arena REIT announced a change in the director’s interest as Helen Thornton acquired 239 additional ordinary stapled securities through participation in a distribution reinvestment plan, increasing her total holdings to 34,043 securities. This acquisition reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to align its leadership’s interests with shareholders, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence in its governance and investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Hold with a A$4.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Director Increases Stake Through Reinvestment Plan
Aug 8, 2025

Arena REIT has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Rosemary Hartnett acquiring 513 ordinary stapled securities through participation in a distribution reinvestment plan. This change increases her total holdings to 41,208 securities, reflecting a continued commitment to the company’s growth and stability, which may positively impact stakeholders’ confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Hold with a A$4.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Arena REIT Announces Quotation of New Securities on ASX
Aug 6, 2025

Arena REIT has announced the application for quotation of 1,777,144 fully paid ordinary units stapled securities on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This move is part of a dividend or distribution plan, which could potentially enhance the company’s market presence and provide additional value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:ARF) stock is a Hold with a A$4.65 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arena REIT stock, see the AU:ARF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025