Centuria Capital Group (CNI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: AU$1.91B
• Dividend Yield: 5.7%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.97M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 23.1
• Beta (1Y): 1.22
• Revenue Growth: 38.64%
• EPS Growth: -21.14%
• Country: AU
• Employees: 370
• Sector: Real Estate
• Sector Strength: 49
• Industry: Asset Management
• EPS (TTM): 0.06
• Shares Outstanding: 830,091,900
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,714,989
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,973,927
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: AU$2.24
• Price Target Upside: -3.03% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: AU$2.50 ▲(8.23% Upside)

Centuria Capital Group's overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators suggesting bullish momentum, despite mixed financial performance and a relatively high valuation. The attractive dividend yield provides some support to the stock's appeal.

Positive Factors

Diversified Revenue Streams

Centuria's diverse offerings across real estate and investment products provide resilience against sector-specific downturns, supporting stable revenue.

Stable Balance Sheet

A stable balance sheet with moderate leverage enhances financial flexibility, allowing Centuria to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic fluctuations.

Positive EBITDA Margin

A positive EBITDA margin indicates operational efficiency and the ability to generate earnings, which is crucial for long-term sustainability and growth.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

Significant revenue decline poses a risk to financial stability, potentially impacting future growth and profitability if not addressed.

Negative EBIT Margin

A negative EBIT margin highlights operational inefficiencies, which could hinder profitability and require strategic adjustments to improve cost management.

Declining Cash Flow

Declining free cash flow growth limits the company's ability to reinvest in its business, pay down debt, or return capital to shareholders, affecting long-term financial health.

Centuria Capital Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Centuria Capital Group, an investment manager, markets and manages investment products primarily in Australia. It operates through Property Funds Management, Co- Investments, Developments, Property and Development Finance, Investment Bonds Management, and Corporate segments. The Property Funds Management segment manages listed and unlisted property funds. The Co-Investments segment holds interest in property funds, properties held for sale, and other liquid investments. The Developments segment engages in the management of development project and structured property developments for the commercial office, industrial, and health through residential mixed use. The Property and Development Finance segment provide real estate secured non-bank finance for land sub-division, bridging finance, development projects, and residual stock. The Investment Bonds Management segment manages benefit funds, which include a range of financial products, such as single and multi-premium investments. The Corporate segment manages reverse mortgage lending portfolio. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Centuria Capital Group makes money primarily through the management of its investment funds and the acquisition, development, and management of real estate properties. The company earns revenue through management fees charged on its funds, including performance fees linked to the achievement of certain investment benchmarks. Centuria's real estate operations generate income through leasing properties to tenants, thereby earning rental income. Additionally, the company benefits from capital gains on the sale of assets within its portfolio. Significant partnerships with institutional investors and strategic acquisitions of properties contribute to CNI's earnings growth and diversification of its investment portfolio.

Centuria Capital Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Centuria Capital Group's financial performance is mixed. The income statement shows significant revenue decline and operational challenges with negative EBIT margins. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, but profitability metrics like ROE are low. Cash flow generation is under pressure with declining free cash flow growth.

Income Statement

Centuria Capital Group's income statement shows significant volatility. The company experienced a drastic revenue decline of 80.82% in the latest period, which is concerning. Despite a positive net profit margin of 106.50%, the EBIT margin is negative, indicating operational challenges. The EBITDA margin remains positive, suggesting some resilience in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.96, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is relatively low at 5.58%, suggesting limited profitability from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio stands at 41.34%, indicating a stable capital structure with a reasonable proportion of equity financing.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 14.42%, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.78, indicating that operating cash flows are not fully covering net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.71, suggesting that free cash flow generation is relatively aligned with net income, but there is room for improvement.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	77.65M	77.65M	327.03M	370.12M	299.72M	228.93M
Gross Profit	27.56M	27.56M	195.28M	260.88M	263.95M	137.67M
EBITDA	258.50M	248.61M	176.56M	166.59M	178.34M	185.51M
Net Income	67.42M	82.70M	102.14M	105.92M	-37.85M	143.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	3.59B	3.59B	3.41B	2.33B	2.65B	2.57B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.25B	1.25B	844.94M	225.46M	200.56M	273.35M
Total Debt	1.42B	1.42B	1.29B	410.94M	648.83M	448.40M
Total Liabilities	2.08B	2.08B	1.93B	912.07M	1.22B	1.00B
Stockholders Equity	1.48B	1.48B	1.48B	1.41B	1.39B	1.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	82.81M	82.81M	156.08M	111.37M	168.90M	19.52M
Operating Cash Flow	116.73M	116.73M	156.32M	113.68M	171.60M	22.86M
Investing Cash Flow	-59.74M	-54.14M	-132.10M	62.07M	-384.02M	-139.32M
Financing Cash Flow	-47.69M	-53.28M	-41.19M	-149.35M	140.71M	215.58M

Centuria Capital Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 2.31
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:CNI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.31, above the 50-day MA of 2.02, and above the 200-day MA of 1.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AU:CNI.

Centuria Capital Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CNI	65 Neutral	AU$1.91B	23.07	5.59%	5.70%	38.64%	-21.14%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$7.03B	13.25	-0.30%	6.93%	4.01%	-25.47%
NNA	―	€987.88M	10.14	16.50%	―	―	―
PVQ	―	€1.32B	―	-3.34%	―	―	―
T9H	―	€30.35M	11.71	3.00%	―	―	―
EQT	59 Neutral	AU$705.29M	21.83	8.50%	4.21%	4.26%	79.41%
MAF	50 Neutral	AU$1.79B	43.15	8.97%	2.08%	35.30%	44.24%

Centuria Capital Group Corporate Events

Centuria Capital Group Announces Final Distribution for June 2025

Centuria Capital Group has announced a final distribution of 5.20 cents per stapled security for the period ending June 30, 2025, with the distribution comprising a fully franked dividend of 0.80 cents and a trust distribution of 4.40 cents. The Distribution Reinvestment Plan is suspended for this period, and key dates include an ex-distribution date of June 27, 2025, and a payment date of August 19, 2025, highlighting Centuria’s ongoing commitment to delivering value to its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CNI) stock is a Sell with a A$1.51 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centuria Capital Group stock, see the AU:CNI Stock Forecast page.

Centuria Capital Group Announces New Dividend Distribution

Centuria Capital Group has announced a new dividend distribution for its fully paid ordinary units stapled securities, with a distribution amount of AUD 0.052 per unit. This dividend relates to a six-month period ending on June 30, 2025, with the payment scheduled for August 19, 2025. The announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its investors, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CNI) stock is a Sell with a A$1.51 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centuria Capital Group stock, see the AU:CNI Stock Forecast page.

Centuria Partners with BGO for $200 Million Industrial Portfolio

Centuria Capital Group has formed a new institutional partnership with global real estate investor BGO, marking their third such collaboration. This partnership involves a $200 million industrial portfolio in Western Sydney, with potential for expansion, and highlights Centuria’s ability to secure high-quality assets in tightly-held markets. The move is expected to strengthen Centuria’s position in the industrial sector, benefiting from macroeconomic tailwinds and increasing demand in urban infill markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:CNI) stock is a Sell with a A$1.51 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Centuria Capital Group stock, see the AU:CNI Stock Forecast page.