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Aurelia Metals Limited (AU:AMI)
ASX:AMI
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Aurelia Metals (AMI) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AMI

Aurelia Metals

(Sydney:AMI)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.50
▲(108.33% Upside)
Aurelia Metals demonstrates strong financial performance with significant improvements in revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow generation. The stock's valuation appears attractive with a low P/E ratio, though the absence of a dividend yield may deter income-focused investors. Technical analysis indicates short-term bearish momentum, which could present a buying opportunity if the stock is indeed oversold. Historical volatility in financial metrics and lack of earnings call data necessitate cautious monitoring.

Aurelia Metals (AMI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Aurelia Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAurelia Metals Limited explores for and develops mineral properties in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold, silver, lead, zinc, and copper deposits. It owns 100% interests in the Hera mine located to the south-east of Cobar, New South Wales; and the Peak mine situated in the northern part of the Cobar Basin, New South Wales, as well as the Dargues mine located in southeastern New South Wales. The company was formerly known as YTC Resources Limited and changed its name to Aurelia Metals Limited in June 2014. Aurelia Metals Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAurelia Metals generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold, silver, and base metals extracted from its mining operations. The company employs a revenue model based on the production and sale of these minerals, which are sold to various industrial buyers and traders in the commodities market. Key revenue streams include the sale of concentrates and doré bars, which are produced from the processing of ore at its mining facilities. Additionally, AMI may benefit from partnerships with other mining companies and traders, as well as from joint ventures that enhance its operational capacity and market reach. The company's financial performance is also influenced by fluctuations in commodity prices, operational efficiencies, and its ability to manage costs effectively.

Aurelia Metals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 25, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a generally positive outlook with strong operational performance, cash flow, and exploration results. However, challenges such as weather impacts on projects and inflationary pressures were noted.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Position
Total cash on hand grew to $116.5 million, with total liquidity now over $150 million, largely driven by strong cash flow from Peak and Dargues.
Operational Performance
Peak mine had a strong finish to the quarter with over $25 million of cash flow, contributing to $37 million for the year. Dargues also performed well with $10.2 million in cash flow for the quarter.
Exceptional Exploration Results
Exploration results at Federation were exceptional, with high-grade mineralization and promising assays. This opens up potential for further exploration and development.
Improved Safety Performance
Safety performance improved with fewer injuries this quarter, although it remains a focus area for further improvement.
Operational Cost Reductions
Mining unit costs per tonne reduced from $134 to $120 per tonne from the previous quarter.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Weather and Water Management
The Federation project experienced delays due to heavy rainfall impacting water management and site operations. This led to paused underground works and challenges in ore drive development.
Inflationary Pressures
Inflation pressures affected project costs, particularly in labor, diesel, and equipment hire, drawing down some of the contingency budget.
Injury Incidents
Despite improvements, the company still reported injuries, emphasizing the need for continued focus on safety protocols.
Company Guidance
During the Q4 2024 earnings call for Aurelia Metals Limited, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the upcoming fiscal year. They confirmed that FY '24 production costs met guidance and highlighted operational improvements, particularly from the Cobar regional team. The Federation project is on track for first ore in late Q1 FY '25, and the company reported exceptional exploration results. Safety performance improved with fewer injuries this quarter. Operational updates included an 18% increase in mined ore to 175,000 tonnes and a reduction in mining unit costs from $134 to $120 per tonne. The all-in sustaining cost for the June quarter was $1,277 per ounce, with a full-year figure of $2,035, aligning with annual guidance. Cash on hand grew to $116.5 million, and the company plans to provide more detailed FY '25 guidance and project updates in late August.

Aurelia Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aurelia Metals shows a mixed financial performance. While the balance sheet remains robust with low leverage and a strong equity ratio, ongoing profitability challenges are reflected in the income statement with negative net profit margins and declining revenue. The cash flow has improved with positive trends and strong cash earnings, but sustainability is questionable due to recurring net income losses.
Income Statement
The income statement shows significant volatility in profitability. Gross profit margin improved to 30.9% in 2024 from negative levels in 2023, indicating recovery. However, net profit margin remains negative due to net losses. Revenue shows a declining trend, down by 16% from 2023 to 2024, reflecting operational challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins improved, but overall profitability remains weak.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet is relatively strong with an equity ratio of 67.1% in 2024, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.025, reflecting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to net losses, indicating inefficiencies in generating profits from equity.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with operating cash flow to net income ratio significantly positive, indicating strong cash earnings. Free cash flow turned positive in 2024, showing improved cash management, though growth remains uncertain. Free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, but net income losses still pose a risk to cash flow sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue343.47M343.47M309.89M369.20M438.81M416.48M
Gross Profit85.71M85.71M27.66M-34.07M19.10M106.56M
EBITDA106.45M106.45M75.51M33.84M31.01M154.38M
Net Income48.85M48.85M-5.73M-52.22M-81.69M42.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets547.53M547.53M472.52M444.40M562.25M656.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments110.09M110.09M116.50M38.95M76.69M74.53M
Total Debt8.58M8.58M7.93M12.69M45.49M47.38M
Total Liabilities184.83M184.83M155.67M134.57M225.32M235.17M
Stockholders Equity362.70M362.70M316.85M309.82M336.93M421.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.68M13.68M17.72M-590.00K48.84M49.57M
Operating Cash Flow129.67M129.67M100.63M45.86M154.09M136.64M
Investing Cash Flow-136.35M-136.35M-32.53M-77.37M-131.46M-285.39M
Financing Cash Flow-637.00K-637.00K9.15M-6.77M-20.17M144.87M

Aurelia Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.24
Price Trends
50DMA
0.24
Positive
100DMA
0.22
Positive
200DMA
0.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
48.85
Neutral
STOCH
22.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AMI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.26, above the 50-day MA of 0.24, and above the 200-day MA of 0.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AMI.

Aurelia Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$749.00M5.3933.38%45.73%716.15%
$520.67M12.757.01%5.77%16.86%3.03%
$414.68M8.4814.01%10.84%
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
AU$446.09M3.30145.87%45.56%
AU$570.24M-7.50%51.47%
AU$469.03M-10.95-90.12%-98.20%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AMI
Aurelia Metals
0.25
0.07
36.11%
AU:JMS
Jupiter Mines Limited
0.26
0.11
71.05%
AU:MLX
Metals X Limited
0.85
0.35
70.71%
AU:SVM
Sovereign Metals Limited
0.63
-0.20
-24.10%
AU:MMI
Metro Mining Limited
0.07
0.02
40.00%
AU:LOT
Lotus Resources Limited
0.20
-0.06
-23.08%

Aurelia Metals Corporate Events

Aurelia Metals Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Oct 29, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending June 30, 2025, which is available on their website. The statement confirms the company’s compliance with ASX Corporate Governance Council recommendations, outlining its board charter and the roles of directors and senior executives, thereby reinforcing its commitment to transparency and accountability in its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Reports Strong FY25 Performance and Project Advancements
Oct 29, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has reported significant achievements in its FY25 Annual Report, including a 54% reduction in the Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate and a zero Recordable Environmental Incident Frequency Rate. The company has successfully commenced development on the Great Cobar Project and advanced the Cobar Basin Optimisation, maintaining a strong financial position with over $145 million in liquidity and no debt, which supports its production growth and operational sustainability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Announces 2025 AGM Details
Oct 29, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced that its Annual General Meeting (AGM) will be held on November 27, 2025, at 10:00 am Brisbane time. The meeting will be conducted both physically at Allens, Level 26, 480 Queen Street, Brisbane, and virtually online. Shareholders are encouraged to register in advance for the virtual meeting to ensure smooth participation. They can vote and ask questions during the AGM, and are advised to submit proxy votes by November 25, 2025, if they cannot attend. The company emphasizes the importance of shareholder engagement and provides detailed instructions for participation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Highlights Risks in Quarterly Update
Oct 20, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has released its quarterly update, emphasizing the inherent risks associated with its operations in gold and base metals production. The company advises potential investors to conduct their own investigations due to the uncertainties and risks that could impact future performance, including market fluctuations and regulatory challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.39 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Boosts Mineral Resources and Reserves, Strengthens Copper Focus
Oct 20, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced a significant increase in its mineral resources and ore reserves, with a 12% rise in mineral resources and a 17% increase in ore reserves, primarily driven by copper-dominant sources. This positions the company favorably in the global market for copper, a commodity with sustained demand. The company is also focusing on further exploration and drilling, particularly at its Great Cobar and Federation sites, to enhance future production targets and extend mine life, aiming to deliver sustainable profitability and value for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.39 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals to Release September Quarter Results
Oct 16, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited announced that its September Quarter results for the period ending 30 September 2025 will be released on 21 October 2025. A conference call hosted by key company executives will follow the release, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and future prospects. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides an opportunity to understand the company’s operational progress and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.39 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Unveils Promising Exploration Results at Nymagee Mine
Oct 15, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced significant findings from its exploration program at the Nymagee Mine in New South Wales. The recent drilling has led to the discovery of two new mineral lenses, Lazer and Metropolitan, and extended the known mineralization at Nymagee North, suggesting a higher gold content than previously identified. These developments underscore the potential for resource expansion and bring the company closer to defining an economically viable mining resource.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.39 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Oct 9, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited announced the cessation of 1,318,029 performance rights due to the lapse of conditional rights, as the conditions were not met or became incapable of being satisfied. This cessation may impact the company’s capital structure and could influence investor perceptions regarding the company’s performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.32 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Announces Board Changes Amid Strategic Transition
Oct 5, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited announced changes to its Board of Directors, with Mr. Peter Botten stepping down as Chair and retiring as a Director, effective after the Annual General Meeting on November 27, 2025. Ms. Rachel Brown will join the Board as a Non-Executive Director, bringing extensive legal and governance experience across various sectors. The Board is conducting a search for a new Non-Executive Director who may also be considered for the Chair position. If no appointment is made by the AGM, Mr. Bruce Cox will serve as Interim Chair. These changes are part of an orderly transition process as the company continues to improve its performance and strengthen its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Announces 2025 AGM Date and Director Nomination Deadline
Sep 17, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced that its 2025 Annual General Meeting will be held on November 27, 2025. The company has set September 24, 2025, as the deadline for director nominations, in line with its Constitution and ASX Listing Rules. This meeting is a key event for stakeholders as it will address the election of directors, impacting the company’s governance and future strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Director Increases Shareholding
Sep 1, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Director Bradley John Newcombe acquiring an additional 1,750,000 ordinary shares through on-market trades. This acquisition increases his total holdings to 10,285,000 ordinary shares, reflecting a significant personal investment in the company, which may indicate confidence in the company’s future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Director Increases Stake with New Share Acquisition
Sep 1, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced a change in the director’s interest, with Franklyn Brazil acquiring an additional 30,000,000 ordinary shares through on-market trades. This acquisition increases his total holdings to 379,357,179 shares, potentially strengthening his influence and stake in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Reports Strong Financial Turnaround
Aug 26, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited is an Australian mining and exploration company operating primarily in New South Wales, focusing on base metals and gold mining. The company runs three underground mines and is advancing the Great Cobar Project, a high-grade copper development.

Aurelia Metals Releases 2025 Financial Results Amid Market Volatility
Aug 25, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has released its full-year financial results for 2025, highlighting the inherent risks and uncertainties associated with its operations. The company emphasizes the speculative nature of its business, advising potential investors to seek professional advice due to the volatile economic conditions and market fluctuations that could impact its financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Achieves Strong Turnaround with Profitable FY25
Aug 25, 2025

Aurelia Metals reported a strong financial performance for the fiscal year ending June 2025, with a notable turnaround to profitability. The company achieved a net profit after tax of $48.9 million, a significant improvement from the previous year’s loss. Operational highlights include a 69% increase in EBITDA to $121.9 million and a 29% rise in cash flows from operating activities. The company is ramping up its Federation mine and has commenced development of the Great Cobar Project, aiming for a production target of 40kt copper equivalent by FY28. Aurelia’s strategic initiatives and strong cash position are expected to support its growth ambitions and enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Reports Strong Financial Turnaround for FY2025
Aug 25, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited reported a significant financial turnaround for the year ending 30 June 2025, with revenue increasing by 11% to $343.5 million and a net profit after tax of $48.9 million compared to a loss in the previous year. The company’s improved financial performance, highlighted by a 69% rise in EBITDA, reflects its strengthened operational efficiency and market positioning, although no dividend was declared for the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals to Release Financial Report and Host Investor Call
Aug 22, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited announced that its Financial Report and Appendix 4E for the period ended 30 June 2025 will be lodged with the ASX on 26 August 2025. A conference call hosted by the company’s CEO and CFO will take place on the same day to discuss the financial results. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Advances Cobar Basin Optimisation with New Projects
Aug 5, 2025

Aurelia Metals has announced the approval of two significant projects as part of its Cobar Basin Optimisation plan: the Tertiary Ball Mill Project and the Crushing and Materials Handling Expansion Project. These projects aim to increase the Peak Processing Plant’s capacity from 0.8Mtpa to 1.1-1.2Mtpa, allowing for the processing of all Federation Mine ore alongside Peak mined ores. With a combined capital investment of $16.4 million, the projects are set to enhance copper recovery and throughput efficiency, funded through operating cash flow and available liquidity. The expansion is expected to support Aurelia’s goal of delivering 40kt Cu Equivalent tonnes by FY28, positioning the company for improved operational performance and stakeholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025