Aurelia Metals (AMI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $448.53M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 8.16M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.0
• Beta (1Y): 1.76
• Revenue Growth: 10.84%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: AU
• Employees: 57
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): 0.02
• Shares Outstanding: 1,692,572,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 6,167,588
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 8,164,302
• PEG Ratio: 0.00
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.00
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.49
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.64
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.57
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 2.07
• 1Y Price Target: $0.34
• Price Target Upside: 28.91% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 5

• Rating: 76 Outperform
• Price Target: AU$0.50 ▲(92.31% Upside)

Aurelia Metals receives a strong overall score driven by robust financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's undervalued P/E ratio further enhances its attractiveness. While historical volatility and the absence of a dividend yield are considerations, the stock's positive trajectory and growth potential are compelling.

Aurelia Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Aurelia Metals Limited (AMI) is an Australian mining and exploration company primarily engaged in the extraction and production of precious and base metals. The company operates in the mining sector, focusing on the exploration and development of gold, copper, lead, and zinc resources. Aurelia Metals' core products include gold and various base metal concentrates, which are extracted from its owned and operated mining sites in New South Wales, Australia.

How the Company Makes Money

Aurelia Metals generates revenue through the sale of precious and base metals extracted from its mining operations. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of gold and base metal concentrates, such as lead and zinc, to smelters and other industrial buyers. Aurelia Metals benefits from strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with these buyers, ensuring a stable demand for its products. Additionally, fluctuations in global metal prices can significantly impact the company's earnings, as higher metal prices can lead to increased revenue from the same volume of production. The company also focuses on cost management and operational efficiency to maximize profitability from its mining activities.

Aurelia Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Aurelia Metals shows a mixed financial performance. While the balance sheet remains robust with low leverage and a strong equity ratio, ongoing profitability challenges are reflected in the income statement with negative net profit margins and declining revenue. The cash flow has improved with positive trends and strong cash earnings, but sustainability is questionable due to recurring net income losses.

Income Statement

The income statement shows significant volatility in profitability. Gross profit margin improved to 30.9% in 2024 from negative levels in 2023, indicating recovery. However, net profit margin remains negative due to net losses. Revenue shows a declining trend, down by 16% from 2023 to 2024, reflecting operational challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins improved, but overall profitability remains weak.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is relatively strong with an equity ratio of 67.1% in 2024, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.025, reflecting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to net losses, indicating inefficiencies in generating profits from equity.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with operating cash flow to net income ratio significantly positive, indicating strong cash earnings. Free cash flow turned positive in 2024, showing improved cash management, though growth remains uncertain. Free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, but net income losses still pose a risk to cash flow sustainability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	343.47M	343.47M	309.89M	369.20M	438.81M	416.48M
Gross Profit	85.71M	85.71M	27.66M	-34.07M	19.10M	106.56M
EBITDA	106.45M	106.45M	75.51M	33.84M	31.01M	154.38M
Net Income	48.85M	48.85M	-5.73M	-52.22M	-81.69M	42.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	547.53M	547.53M	472.52M	444.40M	562.25M	656.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	110.09M	110.09M	116.50M	38.95M	76.69M	74.53M
Total Debt	8.58M	8.58M	7.93M	12.69M	45.49M	47.38M
Total Liabilities	184.83M	184.83M	155.67M	134.57M	225.32M	235.17M
Stockholders Equity	362.70M	362.70M	316.85M	309.82M	336.93M	421.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	13.68M	13.68M	17.72M	-590.00K	48.84M	49.57M
Operating Cash Flow	129.67M	129.67M	100.63M	45.86M	154.09M	136.64M
Investing Cash Flow	-136.35M	-136.35M	-32.53M	-77.37M	-131.46M	-285.39M
Financing Cash Flow	-637.00K	-637.00K	9.15M	-6.77M	-20.17M	144.87M

Aurelia Metals Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.26
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AMI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.24, above the 50-day MA of 0.21, and above the 200-day MA of 0.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.76 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AMI.

Aurelia Metals Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
JMS	77 Outperform	AU$510.85M	12.75	7.01%	5.77%	16.86%	3.03%
MLX	76 Outperform	$744.57M	5.33	33.38%	―	45.73%	716.15%
AMI	76 Outperform	$448.53M	9.00	14.01%	―	10.84%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
LOT	48 Neutral	AU$597.39M	―	-7.50%	―	―	51.47%
MMI	46 Neutral	AU$555.29M	3.98	145.87%	―	45.56%	―
SVM	42 Neutral	AU$439.92M	―	-90.12%	―	―	-98.20%

Aurelia Metals Corporate Events

Aurelia Metals Highlights Risks at Noosa Mining Conference

Aurelia Metals Limited has released a presentation at the Noosa Mining Conference, emphasizing the inherent risks associated with gold and base metals production. The company cautions potential investors about the uncertainties and risks that could impact its financial performance, urging them to conduct thorough investigations before making investment decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Highlights Risks in Quarterly Update

Aurelia Metals Limited has released its quarterly update, emphasizing the inherent risks and uncertainties in its operations, particularly in gold and base metals production. The company advises potential investors to conduct thorough investigations before making investment decisions, highlighting the volatility and risk factors associated with its business.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Investor Day Highlights Future Plans and Risks

Aurelia Metals Limited held an Investor Day on June 19, 2025, where it presented information about its operations and future plans. The presentation included forward-looking statements and non-IFRS financial information, emphasizing the inherent risks in the mining sector. Investors were advised to conduct their own analysis before making investment decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Unveils FY26 Guidance and Future Outlook

Aurelia Metals has released its FY26 production, cost, and capital guidance, along with an aspirational outlook for FY27 and FY28. The company plans to increase its mining activities, particularly at the Peak and New Cobar mines, with a focus on achieving commercial production at the Federation mine by July 2025. This strategic expansion is expected to enhance the company’s operational capacity and financial performance, benefiting stakeholders through increased cash flow and revenue generation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals to Outline Strategic Growth at Investor Day

Aurelia Metals Limited is set to host an investor day on 19 June 2025, where senior leaders will present the company’s strategy and future growth opportunities. The event will include production, operating cost, and capital guidance for FY26, along with an outlook for FY27 and FY28, potentially impacting the company’s operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.