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Aurelia Metals Limited (AU:AMI)
:AMI
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Aurelia Metals (AMI) AI Stock Analysis

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AU:AMI

Aurelia Metals

(OTC:AMI)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
AU$0.00
▼(-100.00% Downside)
Aurelia Metals' overall stock score reflects its mixed financial health, dominated by a strong balance sheet but offset by poor profitability and declining revenue. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, weighing on the score. Valuation is moderate but not enough to counterbalance the company's operational challenges. The lack of earnings call data or new corporate events leaves these areas unaddressed.

Aurelia Metals (AMI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Aurelia Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAurelia Metals Limited (AMI) is an Australian mining and exploration company primarily engaged in the extraction and production of precious and base metals. The company operates in the mining sector, focusing on the exploration and development of gold, copper, lead, and zinc resources. Aurelia Metals' core products include gold and various base metal concentrates, which are extracted from its owned and operated mining sites in New South Wales, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAurelia Metals generates revenue through the sale of precious and base metals extracted from its mining operations. The company's key revenue streams include the sale of gold and base metal concentrates, such as lead and zinc, to smelters and other industrial buyers. Aurelia Metals benefits from strategic partnerships and long-term contracts with these buyers, ensuring a stable demand for its products. Additionally, fluctuations in global metal prices can significantly impact the company's earnings, as higher metal prices can lead to increased revenue from the same volume of production. The company also focuses on cost management and operational efficiency to maximize profitability from its mining activities.

Aurelia Metals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -16.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 02, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a generally positive outlook with strong operational performance, cash flow, and exploration results. However, challenges such as weather impacts on projects and inflationary pressures were noted.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Position
Total cash on hand grew to $116.5 million, with total liquidity now over $150 million, largely driven by strong cash flow from Peak and Dargues.
Operational Performance
Peak mine had a strong finish to the quarter with over $25 million of cash flow, contributing to $37 million for the year. Dargues also performed well with $10.2 million in cash flow for the quarter.
Exceptional Exploration Results
Exploration results at Federation were exceptional, with high-grade mineralization and promising assays. This opens up potential for further exploration and development.
Improved Safety Performance
Safety performance improved with fewer injuries this quarter, although it remains a focus area for further improvement.
Operational Cost Reductions
Mining unit costs per tonne reduced from $134 to $120 per tonne from the previous quarter.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Weather and Water Management
The Federation project experienced delays due to heavy rainfall impacting water management and site operations. This led to paused underground works and challenges in ore drive development.
Inflationary Pressures
Inflation pressures affected project costs, particularly in labor, diesel, and equipment hire, drawing down some of the contingency budget.
Injury Incidents
Despite improvements, the company still reported injuries, emphasizing the need for continued focus on safety protocols.
Company Guidance
During the Q4 2024 earnings call for Aurelia Metals Limited, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the upcoming fiscal year. They confirmed that FY '24 production costs met guidance and highlighted operational improvements, particularly from the Cobar regional team. The Federation project is on track for first ore in late Q1 FY '25, and the company reported exceptional exploration results. Safety performance improved with fewer injuries this quarter. Operational updates included an 18% increase in mined ore to 175,000 tonnes and a reduction in mining unit costs from $134 to $120 per tonne. The all-in sustaining cost for the June quarter was $1,277 per ounce, with a full-year figure of $2,035, aligning with annual guidance. Cash on hand grew to $116.5 million, and the company plans to provide more detailed FY '25 guidance and project updates in late August.

Aurelia Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aurelia Metals shows a mixed financial performance. While the balance sheet remains robust with low leverage, the income statement reflects ongoing profitability challenges. Cash flow management has improved, but sustainability is questionable due to recurring net losses. The company needs to address revenue declines and enhance profitability to improve overall financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows significant volatility in profitability. Gross profit margin improved to 30.9% in 2024 from negative levels in 2023, indicating recovery. However, net profit margin remains negative due to net losses. Revenue shows a declining trend, down by 16% from 2023 to 2024, reflecting operational challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins improved, but overall profitability remains weak.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong with an equity ratio of 67.1% in 2024, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.025, reflecting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to net losses, indicating inefficiencies in generating profits from equity.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend with operating cash flow to net income ratio significantly positive, indicating strong cash earnings. Free cash flow turned positive in 2024, showing improved cash management, though growth remains uncertain. Free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, but net income losses still pose a risk to cash flow sustainability.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue309.89M369.20M438.81M416.48M331.82M
Gross Profit33.57M-34.07M19.10M106.56M71.16M
EBITDA75.51M33.84M31.01M154.38M104.24M
Net Income-5.73M-52.22M-81.69M42.92M29.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets472.52M444.40M562.25M656.46M343.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments116.50M38.95M76.69M74.53M79.10M
Total Debt7.93M12.69M44.35M46.28M13.54M
Total Liabilities155.67M134.57M225.32M235.17M108.87M
Stockholders Equity316.85M309.82M336.93M421.29M234.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.72M-590.00K48.84M49.57M24.91M
Operating Cash Flow100.63M45.86M154.09M136.64M110.53M
Investing Cash Flow-32.53M-77.37M-131.46M-285.39M-112.04M
Financing Cash Flow9.15M-6.77M-20.17M144.87M-23.69M

Aurelia Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.18
Price Trends
50DMA
0.23
Negative
100DMA
0.25
Negative
200DMA
0.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
40.17
Neutral
STOCH
31.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AMI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.19, below the 50-day MA of 0.23, and below the 200-day MA of 0.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AU:AMI.

Aurelia Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
HK$16.52B4.18-4.93%4.58%-5.74%-81.55%
51
Neutral
AU$313.13M22.024.44%0.39%
$274.50M7.348.40%6.10%
$340.48M5.0127.43%
48
Neutral
AU$355.78M-15.51%-129.85%
46
Neutral
AU$432.97M-87.03%30.32%-22.58%
42
Neutral
AU$478.73M-77.74%-654.93%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AMI
Aurelia Metals
0.19
0.01
8.82%
JMXXF
Jupiter Mines Limited
0.10
-0.02
-16.67%
MLXEF
Metals X Limited
0.36
0.14
63.64%
AU:SVM
Sovereign Metals Limited
0.74
0.14
23.33%
AU:MMI
Metro Mining Limited
0.07
0.03
75.00%
AU:LOT
Lotus Resources Limited
0.15
-0.07
-31.82%

Aurelia Metals Corporate Events

Aurelia Metals Highlights Risks at Noosa Mining Conference
Jul 23, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has released a presentation at the Noosa Mining Conference, emphasizing the inherent risks associated with gold and base metals production. The company cautions potential investors about the uncertainties and risks that could impact its financial performance, urging them to conduct thorough investigations before making investment decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Highlights Risks in Quarterly Update
Jul 20, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has released its quarterly update, emphasizing the inherent risks and uncertainties in its operations, particularly in gold and base metals production. The company advises potential investors to conduct thorough investigations before making investment decisions, highlighting the volatility and risk factors associated with its business.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Investor Day Highlights Future Plans and Risks
Jun 18, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited held an Investor Day on June 19, 2025, where it presented information about its operations and future plans. The presentation included forward-looking statements and non-IFRS financial information, emphasizing the inherent risks in the mining sector. Investors were advised to conduct their own analysis before making investment decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Unveils FY26 Guidance and Future Outlook
Jun 18, 2025

Aurelia Metals has released its FY26 production, cost, and capital guidance, along with an aspirational outlook for FY27 and FY28. The company plans to increase its mining activities, particularly at the Peak and New Cobar mines, with a focus on achieving commercial production at the Federation mine by July 2025. This strategic expansion is expected to enhance the company’s operational capacity and financial performance, benefiting stakeholders through increased cash flow and revenue generation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals to Outline Strategic Growth at Investor Day
Jun 18, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited is set to host an investor day on 19 June 2025, where senior leaders will present the company’s strategy and future growth opportunities. The event will include production, operating cost, and capital guidance for FY26, along with an outlook for FY27 and FY28, potentially impacting the company’s operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.27 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025