tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Aurelia Metals Limited (AU:AMI)
ASX:AMI

Aurelia Metals (AMI) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
70 Followers

Top Page

AU:AMI

Aurelia Metals

(Sydney:AMI)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
AU$0.31
▲(5.86% Upside)
Score is driven primarily by improving financial performance and strong cash flow generation alongside conservative leverage. Technicals add support with price above key moving averages and positive momentum indicators. Valuation is supportive with a low P/E, while the absence of dividend yield and earnings-call/corporate-event detail limits additional upside in the score.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Sustained, strong free cash flow growth and high cash conversion provide durable funding for sustaining capex, exploration and debt service. This reduces refinancing risk and supports reinvestment, making operations more resilient across commodity cycles.
Conservative leverage
Very low leverage and a strong equity base give the company financial flexibility to fund projects, withstand downturns, and pursue M&A without excessive borrowing. This structural strength lowers bankruptcy risk and supports long-term operational stability.
Improving margins and profitability
Material improvement in gross and net margins and robust EBIT/EBITDA margins reflect better cost control and operational efficiency. Higher sustainable margins translate into stronger free cash flow and capacity to fund growth or withstand commodity price swings.
Negative Factors
Historical volatility in results
Past fluctuations in revenue and profits increase forecasting uncertainty and complicate capital allocation decisions. Persistent volatility can constrain predictable cash returns and raise the risk premium for long-term investment in operations or expansions.
Commodity price exposure
Revenue and margins are structurally sensitive to gold, silver and base metal prices. This exposure creates sustained earnings and cashflow volatility, making long-term planning and consistent reinvestment outcomes dependent on external commodity cycles.
Limited operating scale
A small employee base suggests limited internal capacity and potential reliance on contractors or concentrated management. This can constrain the pace of project development, operational scaling, and may increase execution risk for multi‑site expansions over the medium term.

Aurelia Metals (AMI) vs. iShares MSCI Australia ETF (EWA)

Aurelia Metals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAurelia Metals Limited explores for and develops mineral properties in Australia. The company primarily explores for gold, silver, lead, zinc, and copper deposits. It owns 100% interests in the Hera mine located to the south-east of Cobar, New South Wales; and the Peak mine situated in the northern part of the Cobar Basin, New South Wales, as well as the Dargues mine located in southeastern New South Wales. The company was formerly known as YTC Resources Limited and changed its name to Aurelia Metals Limited in June 2014. Aurelia Metals Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAurelia Metals generates revenue primarily through the sale of gold, silver, and base metals extracted from its mining operations. The company employs a revenue model based on the production and sale of these minerals, which are sold to various industrial buyers and traders in the commodities market. Key revenue streams include the sale of concentrates and doré bars, which are produced from the processing of ore at its mining facilities. Additionally, AMI may benefit from partnerships with other mining companies and traders, as well as from joint ventures that enhance its operational capacity and market reach. The company's financial performance is also influenced by fluctuations in commodity prices, operational efficiencies, and its ability to manage costs effectively.

Aurelia Metals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 28, 2024
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a generally positive outlook with strong operational performance, cash flow, and exploration results. However, challenges such as weather impacts on projects and inflationary pressures were noted.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Position
Total cash on hand grew to $116.5 million, with total liquidity now over $150 million, largely driven by strong cash flow from Peak and Dargues.
Operational Performance
Peak mine had a strong finish to the quarter with over $25 million of cash flow, contributing to $37 million for the year. Dargues also performed well with $10.2 million in cash flow for the quarter.
Exceptional Exploration Results
Exploration results at Federation were exceptional, with high-grade mineralization and promising assays. This opens up potential for further exploration and development.
Improved Safety Performance
Safety performance improved with fewer injuries this quarter, although it remains a focus area for further improvement.
Operational Cost Reductions
Mining unit costs per tonne reduced from $134 to $120 per tonne from the previous quarter.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Weather and Water Management
The Federation project experienced delays due to heavy rainfall impacting water management and site operations. This led to paused underground works and challenges in ore drive development.
Inflationary Pressures
Inflation pressures affected project costs, particularly in labor, diesel, and equipment hire, drawing down some of the contingency budget.
Injury Incidents
Despite improvements, the company still reported injuries, emphasizing the need for continued focus on safety protocols.
Company Guidance
During the Q4 2024 earnings call for Aurelia Metals Limited, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the upcoming fiscal year. They confirmed that FY '24 production costs met guidance and highlighted operational improvements, particularly from the Cobar regional team. The Federation project is on track for first ore in late Q1 FY '25, and the company reported exceptional exploration results. Safety performance improved with fewer injuries this quarter. Operational updates included an 18% increase in mined ore to 175,000 tonnes and a reduction in mining unit costs from $134 to $120 per tonne. The all-in sustaining cost for the June quarter was $1,277 per ounce, with a full-year figure of $2,035, aligning with annual guidance. Cash on hand grew to $116.5 million, and the company plans to provide more detailed FY '25 guidance and project updates in late August.

Aurelia Metals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aurelia Metals has shown significant improvement in financial performance, with strong revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow generation. The company maintains a conservative leverage position, enhancing financial stability. However, historical volatility in financial metrics suggests the need for cautious monitoring of future performance. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory with potential for continued growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Aurelia Metals has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 5.68% in the latest year, recovering from previous declines. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 24.96%, indicating better cost management. The net profit margin turned positive at 14.22%, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also improved to 21.44% and 31.00%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. However, past volatility in revenue and profit margins suggests potential risks.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.024, indicating conservative leverage. Return on equity improved to 13.47%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 66.27%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. Despite these strengths, the company has experienced fluctuations in equity and asset levels, which could pose risks.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Aurelia Metals demonstrated a robust free cash flow growth rate of 90.73%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.66, suggesting efficient conversion of income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.28, showing a healthy cash flow relative to profits. These metrics highlight strong cash flow management, though past fluctuations in free cash flow growth should be monitored.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue343.47M343.47M309.89M369.20M438.81M416.48M
Gross Profit85.71M85.71M27.66M-34.07M19.10M106.56M
EBITDA106.45M106.45M75.51M33.84M31.01M154.38M
Net Income48.85M48.85M-5.73M-52.22M-81.69M42.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets547.53M547.53M472.52M444.40M562.25M656.46M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments110.09M110.09M116.50M38.95M76.69M74.53M
Total Debt8.58M8.58M7.93M12.69M45.49M47.38M
Total Liabilities184.83M184.83M155.67M134.57M225.32M235.17M
Stockholders Equity362.70M362.70M316.85M309.82M336.93M421.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow13.68M13.68M17.72M-590.00K48.84M49.57M
Operating Cash Flow129.67M129.67M100.63M45.86M154.09M136.64M
Investing Cash Flow-136.35M-136.35M-32.53M-77.37M-131.46M-285.39M
Financing Cash Flow-637.00K-637.00K9.15M-6.77M-20.17M144.87M

Aurelia Metals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.29
Price Trends
50DMA
0.24
Positive
100DMA
0.24
Positive
200DMA
0.24
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
69.37
Neutral
STOCH
84.90
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AU:AMI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.26, above the 50-day MA of 0.24, and above the 200-day MA of 0.24, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AU:AMI.

Aurelia Metals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.09B7.8533.38%45.73%716.15%
77
Outperform
AU$550.44M13.737.01%5.45%16.86%3.03%
73
Outperform
$490.85M10.0314.01%10.84%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
AU$427.76M3.17145.87%45.56%
48
Neutral
AU$584.23M-32.58-7.50%51.47%
46
Neutral
AU$378.46M-8.84-90.12%-98.20%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AU:AMI
Aurelia Metals
0.29
0.11
61.11%
AU:JMS
Jupiter Mines Limited
0.28
0.15
117.05%
AU:MLX
Metals X Limited
1.23
0.79
179.55%
AU:SVM
Sovereign Metals Limited
0.59
-0.15
-19.86%
AU:MMI
Metro Mining Limited
0.07
0.01
22.81%
AU:LOT
Lotus Resources Limited
0.22
>-0.01
-2.27%

Aurelia Metals Corporate Events

Aurelia Metals Confirms Lapse of 2.49 Million Performance Rights
Jan 9, 2026

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced the cessation of 2,490,580 performance rights, which lapsed after the underlying conditions for conversion into securities were not met or became incapable of being satisfied as of 9 January 2026. The lapse of these conditional rights reduces the company’s pool of potential equity-based instruments, implying no resultant share dilution for existing shareholders and reflecting performance or vesting hurdles that were not achieved under the relevant incentive arrangements.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.31 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Advances Nymagee Exploration with Promising Drilling Results
Dec 17, 2025

Aurelia Metals has announced significant advancements in its exploration program at the historical Nymagee Mine in New South Wales, identifying extensions in Nymagee North, Metropolitan lens, and Nymagee Main. Drilling results demonstrate polymetallic mineralization with promising grades and indicate future growth potential, particularly in the Nymagee North and Lazer lenses. These findings strengthen the company’s position in defining resources for future mine development, bolstering its operations and prospects in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Announces Director Departure and Shareholding Details
Dec 16, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced the cessation of Franklyn Roger Brazil as a director, effective December 16, 2025. The notice highlights that Brazil holds significant shares in the company through Brazil Farming Pty Ltd and Anchorfield Pty Ltd as trustee for the Brazil Family Foundation. This change in directorship may impact the company’s governance structure and could have implications for its strategic direction and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Announces Director Resignation
Dec 16, 2025

Aurelia Metals announced the resignation of Mr. Lyn Brazil as a Non-Executive Director, effective immediately. Mr. Brazil’s departure also ends Mr. Brad Newcombe’s role as his alternate director, while Ms. Rachel Brown continues as a nominee director of Brazil Farming Pty Ltd on the board. The company acknowledged Mr. Brazil’s contributions since joining in July 2023, with Interim Chair Bruce Cox expressing appreciation for his support and contribution over the past two and a half years.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Director Increases Performance Rights
Dec 15, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited announced a change in the interest of its director, Bryan Quinn, who has acquired an additional 3,528,823 performance rights following shareholder approval at the recent AGM. This change reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to aligning management incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Issues Performance Rights to Employees
Dec 15, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited announced the issuance of 3,528,823 performance rights under an employee incentive scheme. These securities are unquoted and subject to transfer restrictions, indicating a strategic move to incentivize and retain employees, potentially impacting the company’s operational efficiency and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Issues Performance Rights to Employees
Dec 15, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced the issuance of 15,156,155 performance rights under an employee incentive scheme. These unquoted securities are subject to transfer restrictions and are not listed on the ASX until the restrictions are lifted, potentially impacting employee retention and motivation strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Announces Cessation of Performance Rights
Dec 11, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited announced the cessation of 716,319 performance rights due to the conditions for these securities not being met or becoming incapable of being satisfied. This development may impact the company’s capital structure and could have implications for its financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.40 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Announces Interim Leadership Changes
Nov 28, 2025

Aurelia Metals has announced a temporary leadership change, with Mr. Bruce Cox stepping down as Chair of the Audit Committee while serving as Interim Non-Executive Chair. Mr. Bob Vassie has been appointed as Interim Chair of the Audit Committee during this period, with a permanent Chair to be announced later.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.24 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Announces Leadership Changes
Nov 27, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced the appointment of Mr. Bruce Cox as Interim Non-Executive Chair following the retirement of Mr. Peter Botten. The company is actively searching for a permanent Chair while Mr. Martin Cummings has been appointed as joint Company Secretary alongside Ms. Rochelle Carey. These changes are part of the company’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its leadership and ensure effective communication with the ASX.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.24 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Secures Shareholder Approval for Key Resolutions at AGM
Nov 27, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited announced the successful passing of all resolutions at its 2025 Annual General Meeting. The resolutions, which were approved by a poll, include the adoption of the remuneration report, the re-election of Bruce Cox, the election of Rachel Brown, and the approval to issue rights to the Managing Director/CEO. This outcome reflects strong shareholder support and is likely to positively impact the company’s governance and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.24 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Highlights Risks and Outlook at 2025 AGM
Nov 27, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited held its 2025 Annual General Meeting, where the Managing Director and CEO presented the company’s current position and future outlook. The presentation highlighted the inherent risks in the mining sector and the company’s exposure to economic and operational uncertainties. Stakeholders are advised to consider these factors when evaluating the company’s performance and potential investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.24 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Reports Strong FY25 Performance and Leadership Transition
Nov 26, 2025

Aurelia Metals announced significant progress in FY25, returning to profitability and maintaining a debt-free balance sheet with over $146M in liquidity. The company has made strides in its Cobar Basin Optimisation projects, aiming to become a substantial copper producer by FY28. With a focus on safety and sustainability, Aurelia reduced its Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate by over 50% and continued to align its strategic direction with disciplined growth and productivity optimization. The leadership transition was also highlighted, with Bruce Cox stepping in as Interim Chair.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.24 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Releases 2025 Corporate Governance Statement
Oct 29, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has released its corporate governance statement for the financial year ending June 30, 2025, which is available on their website. The statement confirms the company’s compliance with ASX Corporate Governance Council recommendations, outlining its board charter and the roles of directors and senior executives, thereby reinforcing its commitment to transparency and accountability in its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Reports Strong FY25 Performance and Project Advancements
Oct 29, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has reported significant achievements in its FY25 Annual Report, including a 54% reduction in the Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate and a zero Recordable Environmental Incident Frequency Rate. The company has successfully commenced development on the Great Cobar Project and advanced the Cobar Basin Optimisation, maintaining a strong financial position with over $145 million in liquidity and no debt, which supports its production growth and operational sustainability.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Announces 2025 AGM Details
Oct 29, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced that its Annual General Meeting (AGM) will be held on November 27, 2025, at 10:00 am Brisbane time. The meeting will be conducted both physically at Allens, Level 26, 480 Queen Street, Brisbane, and virtually online. Shareholders are encouraged to register in advance for the virtual meeting to ensure smooth participation. They can vote and ask questions during the AGM, and are advised to submit proxy votes by November 25, 2025, if they cannot attend. The company emphasizes the importance of shareholder engagement and provides detailed instructions for participation.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Hold with a A$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Highlights Risks in Quarterly Update
Oct 20, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has released its quarterly update, emphasizing the inherent risks associated with its operations in gold and base metals production. The company advises potential investors to conduct their own investigations due to the uncertainties and risks that could impact future performance, including market fluctuations and regulatory challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.39 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Boosts Mineral Resources and Reserves, Strengthens Copper Focus
Oct 20, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced a significant increase in its mineral resources and ore reserves, with a 12% rise in mineral resources and a 17% increase in ore reserves, primarily driven by copper-dominant sources. This positions the company favorably in the global market for copper, a commodity with sustained demand. The company is also focusing on further exploration and drilling, particularly at its Great Cobar and Federation sites, to enhance future production targets and extend mine life, aiming to deliver sustainable profitability and value for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.39 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals to Release September Quarter Results
Oct 16, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited announced that its September Quarter results for the period ending 30 September 2025 will be released on 21 October 2025. A conference call hosted by key company executives will follow the release, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and future prospects. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides an opportunity to understand the company’s operational progress and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.39 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Aurelia Metals Unveils Promising Exploration Results at Nymagee Mine
Oct 15, 2025

Aurelia Metals Limited has announced significant findings from its exploration program at the Nymagee Mine in New South Wales. The recent drilling has led to the discovery of two new mineral lenses, Lazer and Metropolitan, and extended the known mineralization at Nymagee North, suggesting a higher gold content than previously identified. These developments underscore the potential for resource expansion and bring the company closer to defining an economically viable mining resource.

The most recent analyst rating on (AU:AMI) stock is a Buy with a A$0.39 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aurelia Metals stock, see the AU:AMI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026