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Accuray Incorporated (ARAY)
NASDAQ:ARAY
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Accuray (ARAY) AI Stock Analysis

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ARAY

Accuray

(NASDAQ:ARAY)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-3.23% Downside)
Accuray's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges and valuation concerns, offset by a positive earnings call outlook and some technical momentum. The most significant factor is the company's financial instability, which poses risks despite strategic initiatives and market expansion efforts.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
The refinancing agreement addresses investor concerns about near-term debt maturity while preserving a healthy balance sheet.
Market Operations
There haven't been any order cancellations in China.
Negative Factors
Financial Costs
The share dilution and potentially higher interest expense are acknowledged as drawbacks.
Stock Performance
The price target has been trimmed from $5 to $4.

Accuray (ARAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Accuray Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAccuray Incorporated designs, develops, manufactures, and sells radiosurgery and radiation therapy systems for the treatment of tumors in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Australia, New Zealand, Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa, Japan, China, and rest of the Asia Pacific region. It offers the CyberKnife System, a robotic stereotactic radiosurgery and stereotactic body radiation therapy system used for the treatment of primary and metastatic tumors outside the brain, including tumors on or near the spine and in the breast, kidney, liver, lung, pancreas, and prostate. The company also provides the TomoTherapy System, including the Radixact System, which allows for integrated radiation treatment planning, delivery, and data management, enabling clinicians to deliver ultra-precise treatments to approximately 50 patients per day; iDMS data management system, a fully integrated treatment planning and data management systems; and Accuray precision treatment planning system, a treatment planning and data management systems. In addition, it offers post-contract customer support, installation, training, and other professional services. The company primarily markets its products directly to customers, including hospitals and stand-alone treatment facilities through its sales organization, as well as to customers through sales agents and group purchasing organizations in the United States; and to customers directly and through distributors and sales agents internationally. Accuray Incorporated was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Madison, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyAccuray generates revenue primarily through the sale of its radiation therapy systems and related services. Key revenue streams include the initial sale of medical devices, ongoing service agreements, and software upgrades for their systems. The company also earns income from the sale of consumables used in conjunction with its products. Significant partnerships with healthcare institutions and collaborations with research organizations further enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings. Additionally, as healthcare providers increasingly adopt advanced radiation technologies, Accuray benefits from the growing demand for precise cancer treatments, thereby supporting its overall revenue growth.

Accuray Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several achievements, including strong growth in service revenue and successful debt refinancing. However, revenue declines in key regions, geopolitical challenges, and a slow U.S. market offset these positives. The company managed to mitigate some tariff impacts, but geopolitical uncertainty remains a concern.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Service Revenue Growth
Service revenue was a highlight for the quarter at $56.9 million, up 4% versus the prior year, showing solid margin growth and positive customer response to new product innovations.
Debt Refinancing Success
Successfully completed the refinancing of debt, securing a strong strategic partner, enhancing financial flexibility for long-term growth.
APAC and Americas Revenue Performance
Outstanding revenue performance in APAC, up 22%, and a return to revenue growth in the Americas at 24%.
Order and Installed Base Growth
50% growth in orders in APAC, 34% in Japan, 15% in China, and 12% in EIMEA, supporting a target book-to-bill ratio of 1.2.
Strong Full-Year Performance
Total revenue for the year grew 3%, driven by a 20% increase in China product revenue and over 200% growth in the rest of APAC.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Key Regions
Total revenue for the quarter was approximately $128 million, down 5% year-over-year, with a 14% decline in China and a 34% decline in EIMEA.
Challenges in U.S. Market
Slower order demand in the U.S., with a decline in the replacement market not recovering in a meaningful way.
Tariff Impact and Geopolitical Challenges
Geopolitical dynamics, such as U.S.-China tariffs and unrest in the Middle East, significantly impacted supply chain and regional revenues.
Company Guidance
In the Accuray Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance for fiscal year 2026, indicating an anticipated revenue range of $471 million to $485 million and an adjusted EBITDA range of $31 million to $35 million. These projections factor in ongoing geopolitical dynamics, such as tariffs and market conditions, particularly in China and the Middle East. The company expects to achieve approximately 45% of its total revenue in the first half of the year and 55% in the second half, with 30% of EBITDA in the first half and 70% in the second half. This guidance also assumes the implementation of a foreign trade zone in the second half of fiscal 2026, which is expected to help mitigate tariff impacts. Additionally, Accuray aims to expand its market presence in emerging regions, leveraging successful launches like the Tomo C in China and Helix in India, which saw significant demand despite geopolitical challenges.

Accuray Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Accuray's financial performance is concerning, with declining revenue, negative profitability, high leverage, and cash flow issues. The company faces significant financial challenges, with limited growth prospects and potential risks due to high debt levels and negative cash flow metrics.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Accuray's income statement reveals a challenging financial position with declining revenue growth and negative net profit margins over the years. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, but the company struggles with profitability as indicated by negative net income and low EBIT and EBITDA margins. The revenue growth rate has been negative in recent years, indicating potential difficulties in market expansion or product sales.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited financial stability and a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Accuray's cash flow statement highlights negative free cash flow growth and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient cash from its operations to cover its net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue458.50M458.50M446.55M447.61M429.91M396.29M
Gross Profit146.97M146.97M142.92M153.96M159.96M159.51M
EBITDA22.82M20.24M5.71M8.37M13.66M28.62M
Net Income-1.59M-1.59M-15.54M-9.28M-5.35M-6.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets470.24M470.24M468.63M479.21M472.85M480.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.99M57.99M68.57M89.40M88.74M116.37M
Total Debt176.38M176.38M210.75M205.04M199.49M199.41M
Total Liabilities389.07M389.07M423.54M425.56M419.66M411.26M
Stockholders Equity81.17M81.17M45.08M53.66M53.19M68.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.97M-5.66M-15.51M2.86M-7.12M36.19M
Operating Cash Flow2.86M2.86M-11.90M15.54M-2.40M38.51M
Investing Cash Flow-8.52M-8.52M-3.60M-12.68M-4.72M-2.40M
Financing Cash Flow-4.25M-4.25M-3.95M-2.11M-15.37M-28.80M

Accuray Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.55
Price Trends
50DMA
1.42
Positive
100DMA
1.44
Positive
200DMA
1.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
57.37
Neutral
STOCH
46.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.51, above the 50-day MA of 1.42, and below the 200-day MA of 1.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARAY.

Accuray Risk Analysis

Accuray disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Accuray reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Accuray Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
$170.14M252.54-2.52%2.68%89.63%
52
Neutral
$118.31M-25.25%12.13%-8.23%
52
Neutral
$204.51M-92.33%23.11%18.06%
51
Neutral
$7.95B-0.38-43.43%2.22%22.30%-1.83%
51
Neutral
$218.96M-74.09%7.31%-7.49%
47
Neutral
$772.15M-76.09%-42.84%-17.32%
47
Neutral
$145.25M-350.22%29.34%-283.53%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARAY
Accuray
1.55
-0.48
-23.65%
TNGX
Tango Therapeutics
6.81
-2.28
-25.08%
LNSR
LENSAR
12.34
7.70
165.95%
SEER
Seer
2.03
0.44
27.67%
CVRX
CVRx
7.95
-0.04
-0.50%
SOPH
SOPHiA GENETICS
3.32
-0.36
-9.78%

Accuray Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Accuray Announces Leadership Changes Amid Executive Departures
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Robert C. Kill, a Class I director of Accuray Incorporated, announced his decision not to seek re-election at the company’s annual meeting in November 2025. His decision was not due to any disagreements with the company or its board. Additionally, Jesse Chew, the Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, and Corporate Secretary, submitted his resignation effective September 19, 2025, and will continue to consult for the company until the end of the year. His resignation was also not due to any conflicts or issues with the company.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Accuray Reports Q4 2025 Financial Results Amid Challenges
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

Accuray reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, noting a 5% decrease in quarterly net revenue to $127.5 million and a 3% increase in annual net revenue to $458.5 million. Despite macroeconomic challenges, the company achieved a net income of $1.1 million for the quarter and a reduced net loss of $1.6 million for the year, alongside completing a debt refinancing. Accuray’s fiscal 2026 guidance anticipates net revenue between $471 million and $485 million, reflecting its strategic focus on innovation and service growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025