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Accuray Incorporated (ARAY)
NASDAQ:ARAY
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Accuray (ARAY) AI Stock Analysis

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ARAY

Accuray

(NASDAQ:ARAY)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-6.83% Downside)
Accuray's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including negative profitability and high leverage. Technical analysis shows mixed signals, with potential short-term weakness. Valuation is concerning due to ongoing losses. The earnings call provided some positive guidance, but geopolitical and market challenges remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
Leadership Change
The appointment of Steve La Neve as CEO, with his extensive experience in medical technology, is expected to drive strategic transformation, enhance competitiveness, and improve financial performance, providing a strong foundation for future growth.
Service Revenue Growth
Consistent growth in service revenue indicates strong customer retention and satisfaction, which can lead to a stable and recurring revenue stream, supporting long-term financial health and operational stability.
Debt Refinancing
The successful debt refinancing enhances Accuray's financial flexibility, allowing it to focus on strategic investments and growth initiatives without the immediate pressure of high-interest obligations.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The decline in revenue, particularly in key regions like China and EIMEA, suggests challenges in market penetration and competitive pressures, potentially impacting long-term growth prospects and market share.
High Leverage
High leverage poses a risk to financial stability, as it increases the burden of debt servicing and limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities, potentially affecting long-term sustainability.
Geopolitical Challenges
Ongoing geopolitical tensions and tariffs can disrupt supply chains and hinder revenue growth in affected regions, posing a persistent risk to Accuray's global operations and strategic expansion plans.

Accuray (ARAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Accuray Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAccuray Incorporated is a global radiation oncology company that specializes in the development of advanced treatment solutions for cancer. Headquartered in Sunnyvale, California, Accuray focuses on innovative technologies that enhance the precision of radiation therapy, primarily through its flagship products, the CyberKnife and TomoTherapy systems. These systems are designed to deliver targeted radiation with high accuracy, thereby minimizing damage to surrounding healthy tissues and improving patient outcomes. Accuray operates within the healthcare sector, specifically addressing the needs of cancer treatment centers and hospitals worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyAccuray generates revenue primarily through the sale of its radiation therapy systems and related services. Key revenue streams include the initial sale of medical devices, ongoing service agreements, and software upgrades for their systems. The company also earns income from the sale of consumables used in conjunction with its products. Significant partnerships with healthcare institutions and collaborations with research organizations further enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings. Additionally, as healthcare providers increasingly adopt advanced radiation technologies, Accuray benefits from the growing demand for precise cancer treatments, thereby supporting its overall revenue growth.

Accuray Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several achievements, including strong growth in service revenue and successful debt refinancing. However, revenue declines in key regions, geopolitical challenges, and a slow U.S. market offset these positives. The company managed to mitigate some tariff impacts, but geopolitical uncertainty remains a concern.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Service Revenue Growth
Service revenue was a highlight for the quarter at $56.9 million, up 4% versus the prior year, showing solid margin growth and positive customer response to new product innovations.
Debt Refinancing Success
Successfully completed the refinancing of debt, securing a strong strategic partner, enhancing financial flexibility for long-term growth.
APAC and Americas Revenue Performance
Outstanding revenue performance in APAC, up 22%, and a return to revenue growth in the Americas at 24%.
Order and Installed Base Growth
50% growth in orders in APAC, 34% in Japan, 15% in China, and 12% in EIMEA, supporting a target book-to-bill ratio of 1.2.
Strong Full-Year Performance
Total revenue for the year grew 3%, driven by a 20% increase in China product revenue and over 200% growth in the rest of APAC.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline in Key Regions
Total revenue for the quarter was approximately $128 million, down 5% year-over-year, with a 14% decline in China and a 34% decline in EIMEA.
Challenges in U.S. Market
Slower order demand in the U.S., with a decline in the replacement market not recovering in a meaningful way.
Tariff Impact and Geopolitical Challenges
Geopolitical dynamics, such as U.S.-China tariffs and unrest in the Middle East, significantly impacted supply chain and regional revenues.
Company Guidance
In the Accuray Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance for fiscal year 2026, indicating an anticipated revenue range of $471 million to $485 million and an adjusted EBITDA range of $31 million to $35 million. These projections factor in ongoing geopolitical dynamics, such as tariffs and market conditions, particularly in China and the Middle East. The company expects to achieve approximately 45% of its total revenue in the first half of the year and 55% in the second half, with 30% of EBITDA in the first half and 70% in the second half. This guidance also assumes the implementation of a foreign trade zone in the second half of fiscal 2026, which is expected to help mitigate tariff impacts. Additionally, Accuray aims to expand its market presence in emerging regions, leveraging successful launches like the Tomo C in China and Helix in India, which saw significant demand despite geopolitical challenges.

Accuray Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Accuray's financial performance is concerning, with declining revenue, negative profitability, high leverage, and cash flow issues. The company faces significant financial challenges, with limited growth prospects and potential risks due to high debt levels and negative cash flow metrics.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Accuray's income statement reveals a challenging financial position with declining revenue growth and negative net profit margins over the years. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, but the company struggles with profitability as indicated by negative net income and low EBIT and EBITDA margins. The revenue growth rate has been negative in recent years, indicating potential difficulties in market expansion or product sales.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited financial stability and a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Accuray's cash flow statement highlights negative free cash flow growth and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient cash from its operations to cover its net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue458.50M458.50M446.55M447.61M429.91M396.29M
Gross Profit146.97M146.97M142.92M153.96M159.96M159.51M
EBITDA22.82M20.24M5.71M8.37M13.66M28.62M
Net Income-1.59M-1.59M-15.54M-9.28M-5.35M-6.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets470.24M470.24M468.63M479.21M472.85M480.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.99M57.99M68.57M89.40M88.74M116.37M
Total Debt176.38M176.38M210.75M205.04M199.49M199.41M
Total Liabilities389.07M389.07M423.54M425.56M419.66M411.26M
Stockholders Equity81.17M81.17M45.08M53.66M53.19M68.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.97M-5.66M-15.51M2.86M-7.12M36.19M
Operating Cash Flow2.86M2.86M-11.90M15.54M-2.40M38.51M
Investing Cash Flow-8.52M-8.52M-3.60M-12.68M-4.72M-2.40M
Financing Cash Flow-4.25M-4.25M-3.95M-2.11M-15.37M-28.80M

Accuray Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.61
Price Trends
50DMA
1.62
Negative
100DMA
1.49
Positive
200DMA
1.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
45.77
Neutral
STOCH
13.47
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.69, below the 50-day MA of 1.62, and below the 200-day MA of 1.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARAY.

Accuray Risk Analysis

Accuray disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Accuray reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Accuray Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$207.14M29.1317.18%16.97%48.56%
56
Neutral
$239.31M-8.45-13.46%5.15%73.29%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$229.00M-615.48%-2.44%-40.08%
48
Neutral
$181.48M-91.91-2.52%2.68%89.63%
47
Neutral
$256.32M45.50%53.07%
42
Neutral
$146.32M-350.22%29.34%-283.53%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARAY
Accuray
1.59
-0.16
-9.14%
ELMD
Electromed
24.81
1.57
6.76%
INGN
Inogen
8.85
-0.38
-4.12%
LNSR
LENSAR
12.22
6.92
130.57%
TLSI
TriSalus Life Sciences
5.12
1.05
25.80%
AVR
Anteris Technologies Global Corp.
5.88
0.38
6.91%

Accuray Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Accuray Appoints Steve La Neve as New CEO
Neutral
Oct 20, 2025

On October 18, 2025, Accuray entered into a consulting agreement with Dedication Capital, appointing Steven F. Mayer as Transformation Board Sponsor to lead strategic initiatives, with compensation including a base fee and equity awards. Additionally, on October 20, 2025, Accuray announced the appointment of Steve La Neve as CEO, succeeding Suzanne Winter, as part of a broader transformation plan aimed at enhancing competitiveness and achieving sustainable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARAY) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Accuray stock, see the ARAY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Accuray Announces Consulting Agreement with Departing Executive
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

On September 19, 2025, Accuray Incorporated entered into a consulting agreement with Jesse Chew, its departing Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, and Corporate Secretary, to assist with the transition of his responsibilities. Mr. Chew will provide consulting services until December 31, 2025, receiving a monthly retainer and continued vesting of his equity awards, indicating a structured transition plan for the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARAY) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Accuray stock, see the ARAY Stock Forecast page.

Accuray’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Accuray Incorporated’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture, with notable achievements in service revenue growth and successful debt refinancing. However, these positives were tempered by revenue declines in key regions, geopolitical challenges, and a sluggish U.S. market. The company has managed to mitigate some tariff impacts, but ongoing geopolitical uncertainty remains a significant concern.

Accuray Faces Stock Dilution Risk as Warrant Exercises Loom, Threatening Share Value
Aug 30, 2025

Accuray Incorporated faces a significant business risk due to the potential exercise of outstanding warrants, which could lead to an increase in the number of shares available for resale in the public market, thereby diluting the value of existing stockholders’ shares. As of June 30, 2025, a total of 23,428,241 shares could be issued through the exercise of Premium and Penny Warrants, potentially exerting downward pressure on the stock price. This dilution risk might prompt current stockholders to sell their shares, further depressing the stock price and encouraging short selling. Additionally, the anti-dilution provisions in the Warrants could complicate future equity financing efforts, making it challenging for the company to raise funds under favorable conditions.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Accuray Announces Leadership Changes Amid Executive Departures
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Robert C. Kill, a Class I director of Accuray Incorporated, announced his decision not to seek re-election at the company’s annual meeting in November 2025. His decision was not due to any disagreements with the company or its board. Additionally, Jesse Chew, the Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, and Corporate Secretary, submitted his resignation effective September 19, 2025, and will continue to consult for the company until the end of the year. His resignation was also not due to any conflicts or issues with the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARAY) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Accuray stock, see the ARAY Stock Forecast page.

Accuray Incorporated Reports Mixed Fiscal 2025 Results
Aug 14, 2025

Accuray Incorporated is a company specializing in radiation therapy solutions, focusing on innovative treatments for complex and common cases in the oncology and neuro-radiosurgery sectors. Headquartered in Madison, Wisconsin, Accuray operates globally, partnering with clinicians and administrators to enhance patient care.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Accuray Reports Q4 2025 Financial Results Amid Challenges
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

Accuray reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, noting a 5% decrease in quarterly net revenue to $127.5 million and a 3% increase in annual net revenue to $458.5 million. Despite macroeconomic challenges, the company achieved a net income of $1.1 million for the quarter and a reduced net loss of $1.6 million for the year, alongside completing a debt refinancing. Accuray’s fiscal 2026 guidance anticipates net revenue between $471 million and $485 million, reflecting its strategic focus on innovation and service growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARAY) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Accuray stock, see the ARAY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2025