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Accuray Incorporated (ARAY)
NASDAQ:ARAY

Accuray (ARAY) AI Stock Analysis

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ARAY

Accuray

(NASDAQ:ARAY)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.40
▼(-66.07% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/17/26
ARAY scores low primarily due to weak financial quality (return to losses, declining revenue, and high leverage with a thin equity buffer). Technicals reinforce the risk with a strong downtrend below key moving averages and negative MACD. The latest earnings call further pressures the outlook with reduced revenue/EBITDA guidance and margin deterioration, despite supportive demand indicators (book-to-bill and backlog) and ongoing cost-reduction initiatives.
Positive Factors
Recurring Service Revenue
Growing, resilient service revenue provides recurring cash flow and margin stability independent of capital equipment cycles. With service up 4% YoY and a ~26.6% margin, the installed base monetization supports predictable revenue, aids cash generation, and underpins long-term profitability expansion.
Order Intake & Backlog
A book-to-bill of 1.5 and a multi-quarter backlog with no cancellations indicate durable demand and revenue visibility. This order momentum gives sales pipeline predictability, supports capacity planning, and reduces short-term revenue volatility, enabling more reliable multi-quarter operational planning.
Positive Cash Generation (TTM)
Positive operating and free cash flow, albeit modest, show the business can generate internal liquidity to fund operations and incremental investments. Even with profit volatility, consistent cash generation reduces reliance on external financing and supports transformation and working-capital management.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Elevated leverage and a thin equity cushion increase financial risk and constrain strategic flexibility. High debt relative to equity raises interest and covenant exposure, limits capacity for M&A or R&D spend, and makes the company more vulnerable if operating performance weakens.
Declining Revenue & Losses
Sliding revenue and a return to net losses undermine sustained reinvestment and margin recovery efforts. Persistent top-line weakness reduces operating leverage, stresses margins and cash flow, and complicates execution of medium-term transformation plans without durable top-line stabilization.
Product Margin Pressure; Geopolitical Headwinds
Sharp product-margin deterioration driven by China-related delays, margin releases and tariffs points to structural market and supply risks. Sustained geopolitical and tariff pressures can compress product profitability, erode pricing power, and prolong recovery of hardware margins over multiple quarters.

Accuray (ARAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Accuray Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAccuray Incorporated designs, develops, manufactures, and sells radiosurgery and radiation therapy systems for the treatment of tumors in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Australia, New Zealand, Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa, Japan, China, and rest of the Asia Pacific region. It offers the CyberKnife System, a robotic stereotactic radiosurgery and stereotactic body radiation therapy system used for the treatment of primary and metastatic tumors outside the brain, including tumors on or near the spine and in the breast, kidney, liver, lung, pancreas, and prostate. The company also provides the TomoTherapy System, including the Radixact System, which allows for integrated radiation treatment planning, delivery, and data management, enabling clinicians to deliver ultra-precise treatments to approximately 50 patients per day; iDMS data management system, a fully integrated treatment planning and data management systems; and Accuray precision treatment planning system, a treatment planning and data management systems. In addition, it offers post-contract customer support, installation, training, and other professional services. The company primarily markets its products directly to customers, including hospitals and stand-alone treatment facilities through its sales organization, as well as to customers through sales agents and group purchasing organizations in the United States; and to customers directly and through distributors and sales agents internationally. Accuray Incorporated was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Madison, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyAccuray generates revenue primarily through (1) sales of radiation therapy capital equipment and (2) recurring revenue tied to its installed base. Capital equipment revenue comes from selling CyberKnife and TomoTherapy treatment systems (and related components/options) to hospitals, cancer centers, and other treatment providers; these transactions may include installation and initial training elements depending on contract terms. Recurring revenue is generated after installation through service and support arrangements (e.g., maintenance and technical support contracts) and through the sale of products used to operate and maintain the systems over time (such as replacement parts and related system support items); software-related offerings and upgrades can also contribute where included in customer contracts. Overall, the company’s earnings are influenced by the pace of new system placements, the size and retention of its service contract base, and utilization of its installed systems that drives ongoing parts and support demand. Specific material partnership structures or named counterparty arrangements are not available in this prompt and are therefore null.

Accuray Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Revenue by Geography
Net Revenue by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Accuray Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed picture: meaningful near-term challenges — including a sizable YoY revenue decline, a steep drop in product margins, a reduction in cash, and lowered full-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance driven largely by China-related delays and tariffs — are balanced by encouraging operational elements such as resilient and growing service revenue, a healthy book-to-bill (1.5), a multi-quarter backlog with no cancellations, early operating-cost reductions (ex-restructuring), and a concrete transformation plan targeting ~$25 million of annualized profit improvement. Management articulated specific initiatives (service monetization, distributor discipline, pricing optimization, engineering reallocation) and expects margin run-rate improvement in the coming quarters, but the near-term financial impact is material.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Service Revenue Growth and Resilience
Service revenue was $57.2 million, up 4% year-over-year (up 3% on a constant currency basis); service is cited as a key recurring-growth pillar and showed margin resilience at 26.6% (only down 1.1 percentage points versus prior year).
Strong Order Intake and Book-to-Bill
Product gross orders were approximately $66 million in the quarter, producing a book-to-bill ratio of 1.5 (trailing twelve-month ratio 1.2), indicating strong near-term demand relative to shipments.
Substantial Backlog with No Cancellations
Reported order backlog was approximately $33 million (orders younger than 30 months), representing over 18 months of product revenue, geographically diversified and with no order cancellations during the quarter.
Operating Expense Reductions (Excluding Restructuring)
Reported operating expenses were $35.6 million including $6.1 million of one-time restructuring; excluding those charges, management stated operating expenses declined almost 21% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting early cost-control progress.
Transformation Program Targeting Margin Improvement
Company announced a strategic transformation targeting roughly $25 million of annualized operating-profitability improvement (including ~15% workforce reduction); expects ~$12 million of benefit in fiscal 2026 and substantially all initiatives implemented by fiscal year-end.
Clear Commercial and Service Strategy Initiatives
Management is implementing solutions-oriented service offerings, structured distributor partnerships (tiered pay-for-performance), pricing optimization, and reallocating engineering to high-ROI programs to drive recurring revenue and margin expansion over time.
Cash and Working-Capital Actions
Net inventory declined modestly to $151 million (down $4.5 million sequentially) and management is tightening weekly financial/operational reviews to improve cash and execution discipline.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline
Net revenue for the quarter was $102.2 million, down 12% year-over-year (down 13% on a constant currency basis), and management lowered full-year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $440 million–$450 million from prior $471 million–$485 million.
Significant Product Revenue Drop
Product revenue was $45.0 million, down 26% year-over-year (down 28% on a constant currency basis), primarily due to weaker-than-expected China product sales and timing changes.
Sharp Decline in Product Gross Margins
Product gross margin fell to 19.7% from 43.5% in the prior year (a decline of ~23.8 percentage points); management attributed declines to lower China margin releases (~8.2 points), tariffs (~6 points), and mix/fewer CyberKnife shipments (~5.4 points).
Reduced Overall Gross Margin and Profitability
Overall gross margin declined to 23.5% from 36.1% year-over-year (down ~12.6 percentage points); operating loss was $11.6 million versus operating income of $4.7 million a year ago, and adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $1.9 million versus positive $9.6 million prior-year.
Guidance Cut for Adjusted EBITDA
Management reduced adjusted EBITDA guidance to $22 million–$25 million for fiscal 2026 from prior guidance of $31 million–$35 million (midpoint reduction of roughly $9.5 million, ~29% decline in midpoint).
Cash Decline and Working Capital Usage
Total cash, cash equivalents, and short-term restricted cash decreased to $41.9 million from $63.9 million at the end of the prior quarter, primarily due to working capital usage, cash interest, and restructuring payments.
Geopolitical and Tariff Headwinds (China-Focused)
Ongoing tariffs and an unstable geopolitical environment, especially in China, led to slower quota/license/tender/funding processes, protracted deal timelines, lower China margin releases, and were explicitly cited as the primary drivers behind the revenue and margin shortfalls.
Near-Term Restructuring Costs
The company expects approximately $10 million of restructuring charges across fiscal Q2–Q4; Q2 included $6.1 million of one-time restructuring expenses related to workforce reductions, facility consolidation, and contract terminations.
Company Guidance
Management revised fiscal 2026 guidance to $440–450 million of revenue (previously $471–485M) and $22–25 million of adjusted EBITDA (previously $31–35M), while reiterating a goal to reach a high single‑digit adjusted EBITDA margin run rate within nine months and double‑digit margins over the medium‑to‑long term. In Q2, net revenue was $102.2M (‑12% YoY, ‑13% constant currency) with product revenue $45.0M (‑26% YoY, ‑28% CC) and service $57.2M (+4% YoY, +3% CC); product gross orders were ~$66M (book‑to‑bill 1.5, TTM 1.2) and reported backlog was ~$33M (orders <30 months, ~18+ months of product revenue). Margins and profitability were pressured—overall gross margin 23.5% vs 36.1% PY, product gross margin 19.7% vs 43.5% PY (impacted by ~8 pts from China margin releases, ~6 pts from tariffs and mix/ship timing including ~5.4 pts from fewer CyberKnife shipments), service GM 26.6% vs 27.7% PY—operating loss was $11.6M vs income $4.7M PY, adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $1.9M vs +$9.6M PY, operating expenses were $35.6M (including $6.1M of Q2 restructuring; ex‑restructuring OpEx down ~21% QoQ), cash was $41.9M (down from $63.9M), net AR $61M and inventory $151M. Management also reiterated transformation targets of ~ $25M annualized operating profit improvement (≈$12M benefit in FY2026), ~15% workforce reduction and ~ $10M of restructuring charges across Q2–Q4.

Accuray Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Below-average fundamentals: TTM revenue declined (-3.09%) and profitability reverted to losses (net margin ~-4.3%). The balance sheet is a key weakness with high leverage (debt ~$174M vs equity ~$53M; ~2.9x debt-to-equity) and a thin equity cushion, though TTM operating and free cash flow are positive ($8.4M OCF; $2.5M FCF) despite volatility.
Income Statement
41
Neutral
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show revenue down (-3.09%) and a return to operating and net losses (net margin about -4.3%). Profitability has been inconsistent across the period: FY2025 was near breakeven net income with positive operating profit, but TTM slipped back into losses. Gross margin remains in the low-30% range, but is below earlier highs (around 40% in FY2021), suggesting less pricing/mix benefit or higher costs.
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Leverage is the key constraint: TTM debt is $174M against equity of $53M (debt-to-equity ~2.9x), and equity has trended lower versus earlier years (e.g., FY2021). Returns on equity are negative (TTM roughly -32%), reflecting ongoing net losses. While total assets are relatively stable, the thin equity cushion and elevated leverage increase financial risk if operating results weaken further.
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
Cash generation is positive but modest in TTM: operating cash flow of $8.4M and free cash flow of $2.5M, with free cash flow down sharply versus the prior period (growth about -78.6%). Cash flow has been volatile historically (negative operating/free cash flow in FY2022 and FY2024), but the latest TTM shows the business is at least generating cash despite reporting a net loss, which is a stabilizing factor.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue436.97M458.50M446.55M447.61M429.91M396.29M
Gross Profit121.23M146.97M142.92M153.96M159.96M159.51M
EBITDA-2.08M20.24M5.71M8.37M11.64M18.72M
Net Income-35.62M-1.59M-15.54M-9.28M-5.35M-6.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets448.01M470.24M468.63M479.21M472.85M480.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.30M57.42M68.57M89.40M88.74M116.37M
Total Debt204.41M176.38M210.75M205.04M199.49M199.41M
Total Liabilities394.59M389.07M423.54M425.56M419.66M411.26M
Stockholders Equity53.42M81.17M45.08M53.66M53.19M68.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.21M-5.66M-15.51M2.86M-7.12M36.19M
Operating Cash Flow4.55M2.86M-11.90M15.54M-2.40M38.51M
Investing Cash Flow-15.25M-8.52M-3.60M-12.68M-4.72M-2.40M
Financing Cash Flow-8.60M-4.25M-3.95M-2.11M-15.37M-28.80M

Accuray Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.17
Price Trends
50DMA
0.66
Negative
100DMA
0.88
Negative
200DMA
1.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
27.94
Positive
STOCH
31.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.51, above the 50-day MA of 0.66, and below the 200-day MA of 1.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.94 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARAY.

Accuray Risk Analysis

Accuray disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Accuray reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Accuray Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$198.03M21.8120.28%16.05%29.48%
56
Neutral
$580.48M-1.25-2462.70%-21.10%-18.32%
53
Neutral
$168.84M-11.56%4.68%55.37%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
48
Neutral
$246.45M-6.74137.18%49.52%19.34%
45
Neutral
$82.30M-10.02532.96%21.02%-200.88%
41
Neutral
$46.48M-57.91%1.51%5.07%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARAY
Accuray
0.39
-1.48
-79.09%
ELMD
Electromed
23.93
-0.62
-2.53%
INGN
Inogen
6.20
-1.28
-17.11%
LNSR
LENSAR
6.89
-9.98
-59.16%
TLSI
TriSalus Life Sciences
4.02
-1.27
-24.01%
AVR
Anteris Technologies Global Corp.
5.97
-0.24
-3.86%

Accuray Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Accuray Releases Updated Investor Presentation Under Regulation FD
Neutral
Feb 17, 2026

On February 17, 2026, Accuray Incorporated posted an updated investor presentation on its investor relations website and made the materials available as an exhibit for reference. Company spokespeople indicated they would use the updated presentation in discussions with analysts and investors on or after that date, positioning the deck as summary information meant to be read alongside Accuray’s existing U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filings and prior public disclosures. The company emphasized that the furnished materials are not deemed filed for purposes of securities law liability and do not create an obligation for Accuray to update the information, framing the release primarily as a routine investor communication rather than a signal of new material developments.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARAY) stock is a Hold with a $0.52 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Accuray stock, see the ARAY Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split
Accuray Receives Nasdaq Notice Over Minimum Bid Price
Negative
Feb 6, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Accuray received notice from Nasdaq that its common stock no longer met the exchange’s minimum $1.00 bid price requirement over the prior 30 consecutive business days, putting the company out of compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2). The stock will continue trading under the “ARAY” ticker for now, and the company has until August 3, 2026, to restore its share price to at least $1.00 for ten consecutive business days, with the possibility of an additional 180-day compliance period if it transfers to the Nasdaq Capital Market and meets other listing standards. Failure to regain compliance could ultimately result in delisting, and while Accuray is evaluating options, including a potential reverse stock split, there is no assurance it will satisfy Nasdaq’s continued listing requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARAY) stock is a Hold with a $0.57 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Accuray stock, see the ARAY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Accuray Posts Weaker Q2 Results Amid Ongoing Transformation
Negative
Feb 4, 2026

On February 4, 2026, Accuray reported weaker fiscal 2026 second-quarter results for the period ended December 31, 2025, with total net revenue down 12% year-on-year to $102.2 million as a 26% decline in product revenue outweighed modest service growth, compressing gross margin to 23.5% and swinging the company from a $2.5 million profit to a $13.8 million net loss. The company is in the early stages of a major transformation announced on December 15, 2025, including organizational realignment, outsourcing, sales enablement initiatives and workforce reductions affecting about 15% of staff, which drove $6.1 million of restructuring charges in the quarter and are expected to total about $13 million this fiscal year, with annualized operating profit improvements targeted at roughly $25 million, about $12 million of which is expected in fiscal 2026. Despite lower gross product orders and a 17% year-on-year decline in backlog to $383.3 million, management emphasized execution on cost cuts—operating expenses would have been down 20% year-on-year excluding restructuring—and reaffirmed its strategic push to enhance competitiveness and long-term profitability, updating full-year 2026 guidance to net revenue of $440–$450 million and adjusted EBITDA of $22–$25 million, even as cash and equivalents fell to $41.9 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARAY) stock is a Hold with a $0.76 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Accuray stock, see the ARAY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Accuray announces planned resignation of chief commercial officer
Neutral
Jan 20, 2026

On January 15, 2026, Accuray Incorporated, a company in the medical technology sector, announced that its Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, Sandeep Chalke, had notified the company of his intent to resign, with the resignation to take effect on March 31, 2026. The company emphasized that Chalke’s departure was not due to any disagreement with management, the board, or issues related to operations, policies, or practices, suggesting a planned leadership transition rather than a sign of internal conflict or strategic shift for stakeholders to interpret negatively.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARAY) stock is a Hold with a $0.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Accuray stock, see the ARAY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Accuray announces orderly retirement of board director
Neutral
Dec 31, 2025

On December 27, 2025, Accuray Incorporated announced that Byron C. Scott, a Class II director, will retire from its Board of Directors and all associated committees, effective December 31, 2025. The company stated that Scott’s decision to retire was not the result of any disagreement with Accuray’s management, board, or its operational policies and practices, indicating an orderly governance transition rather than a response to internal conflict.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARAY) stock is a Hold with a $0.96 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Accuray stock, see the ARAY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 17, 2026