Apollo Global Management (APO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $64.10B
• Dividend Yield: 1.68%
• Average Volume (3M): 4.80M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.7
• Beta (1Y): 1.73
• Revenue Growth: -20.40%
• EPS Growth: -13.30%
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,108
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 79
• Industry: Asset Management - Global
• EPS (TTM): 7.23
• Shares Outstanding: 570,480,470
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,597,588
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 4,801,550
• PEG Ratio: 0.17
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.13
• Price to Cash Flow (P/CF): -5113.30
• P/FCF Ratio: 177.00
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $169.23
• Price Target Upside: 31.75% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15

Apollo Global Management demonstrates a solid financial foundation with strong revenue and profitability metrics. Despite the company's robust strategic positioning and record achievements, the stock is currently trading below key moving averages, suggesting potential short-term challenges. Valuation metrics indicate a fair market price, but modest dividend yield may limit appeal to some investors. The company's strategic initiatives and growth plans, as highlighted in the earnings call, offer a positive outlook, though interest rate challenges and increased competition need to be monitored.

Positive Factors

Acquisitions

APO acquiring BRDG for $1.5b in an all equity deal that adds approximately $33b AUM to APO's existing $77b real estate platform.

Interest Rates

Higher interest rates are expected to serve as a relative tailwind for Apollo Global compared to its peers, benefiting its spread and private credit returns.

Potential Market Inclusion

Analyst reiterates a Buy recommendation for APO stock with the potential catalyst of being added to the S&P 500 Index.

Negative Factors

Fundraising

Apollo Global reported mixed results with a miss on fundraising and strategic real estate due to higher liability costs.

Growth Targets

In 2025, APO targets FRE growth of 15-20%, which is below the 5Y guidance of 20%.

Strategic Real Estate

APO reported mixed results with better-than-expected management and performance fees but missed on fundraising and SRE.

Apollo Global Management Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO) is a leading global alternative investment manager. The company operates across a diverse range of sectors, including private equity, credit, and real assets, and offers a wide array of services such as investment management, advisory, and more. Apollo is known for its ability to invest in complex, distressed, and underperforming companies, with the aim of generating high returns for its investors.

How the Company Makes Money

Apollo Global Management makes money primarily through management fees and performance-based incentive fees. Management fees are recurring charges based on a percentage of the assets under management (AUM) that Apollo oversees. Performance-based incentive fees, also known as carried interest, are earned when the firm's investments exceed certain performance benchmarks. Additionally, the company generates revenue through its credit and real assets segments by investing in structured credit, direct origination, and real estate markets. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other financial institutions and investors also contribute to Apollo's earnings by expanding its investment capabilities and market reach.

Apollo Global Management Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Apollo Global Management presents a solid financial profile with strong revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is robust, supported by high equity levels and no recent debt, though historical leverage should be monitored. Cash flow generation is consistent, but strategic investments and financing activities require careful management to sustain long-term growth.

Income Statement

Apollo Global Management has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a significant increase from prior years, indicating a robust business expansion. The net profit margin has been healthy, showcasing effective cost management and profitability. However, the recent dip in revenue and net income suggests potential challenges in maintaining the same growth trajectory.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, signifying financial stability. The absence of debt in the latest year reduces financial risk, but previous years' debt levels indicate historical leverage. The positive ROE highlights efficient use of equity capital, although it has varied significantly over the years.

Cash Flow

Apollo has shown strong cash flow management with consistent free cash flow generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates effective cash conversion from operations. However, fluctuations in cash flow from investing and financing activities suggest potential volatility in cash management strategies.

Breakdown
Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
26.11B	32.64B	10.97B	5.95B	2.35B
	Gross Profit
23.51B	31.62B	10.04B	5.17B	1.73B
	EBIT
22.34B	28.35B	-3.84B	2.63B	1.41B
	EBITDA
8.85B	9.12B	-1.69B	2.66B	1.43B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
4.58B	5.05B	-1.96B	1.84B	157.00M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
205.98B	170.24B	1.31B	917.18M	2.45B
	Total Assets
377.89B	313.49B	13.79B	30.50B	23.67B
	Total Debt
10.59B	8.09B	3.53B	3.64B	14.62B
	Net Debt
-5.58B	-7.84B	2.22B	2.72B	12.17B
	Total Liabilities
346.92B	288.24B	9.30B	20.31B	17.37B
	Stockholders Equity
17.25B	14.04B	1.85B	3.79B	1.43B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
3.25B	6.32B	3.59B	999.31M	-1.68B
	Operating Cash Flow
3.25B	6.32B	3.79B	1.06B	-1.62B
	Investing Cash Flow
-61.80B	-42.41B	-23.44B	-1.55B	-837.66M
	Financing Cash Flow
57.97B	42.64B	28.71B	109.00M	3.30B

Apollo Global Management Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 128.45
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 128.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.62, below the 50-day MA of 145.42, and below the 200-day MA of 140.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for APO.

Apollo Global Management Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
APO	78 Outperform	$64.10B	15.68	28.29%	1.68%	-20.40%	-13.30%
NU	75 Outperform	$52.21B	26.48	28.07%	―	47.34%	89.96%
KKR	69 Neutral	$86.64B	29.77	13.23%	0.74%	42.19%	-18.20%
CG	67 Neutral	$13.34B	13.32	18.90%	3.95%	62.87%	―
ARES	67 Neutral	$39.34B	60.22	15.93%	3.17%	6.12%	-15.84%
OWL	65 Neutral	$28.06B	92.76	5.99%	4.52%	32.56%	72.39%
Sector *	64 Neutral	$13.44B	9.41	9.19%	4.92%	16.30%	-8.66%

Apollo Global Management Corporate Events

Apollo Global Management Announces Q1 2025 Investment Estimates

Apollo Global Management, Inc. and its subsidiary Athene Holding Ltd. have announced preliminary estimates for their alternative net investment income for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025. The company anticipates approximately $290 million in pre-tax income, translating to an estimated 9% annualized return on alternative net investments. Athene’s investments in a pooled vehicle are expected to yield a 10% return, while other investments, including retirement services platforms, are estimated to return 6%. These figures are preliminary and subject to change, as the financial closing procedures are not yet complete, and the results have not been audited.

Apollo Global Management CFO Transition Announcement

On February 26, 2025, Apollo Global Management announced that Louis-Jacques Tanguy will resign as the Chief Accounting Officer and Controller, effective March 1, 2025, following his appointment as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Athene Holding Ltd. Martin Kelly, the current Chief Financial Officer, will temporarily take over the role of principal accounting officer while the company searches for a replacement, with no changes to his compensation.

Apollo Global Management Issues 8-K Report Disclosure

Apollo Global Management has issued a current report on Form 8-K, emphasizing that the information provided is not considered ‘filed’ under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. This indicates that the details are not subject to the liabilities of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, impacting how it may be incorporated into future filings.

Apollo Global Management Expands Board and Supports Philanthropy

Apollo Global Management’s board approved a new five-year employment agreement for CEO Marc Rowan, effective January 1, 2025, maintaining his base salary and performance-related compensation structure, which aligns with the company’s financial interests. Additionally, a $200 million donor-advised fund was established as part of Apollo’s commitment to philanthropy. On January 30, 2025, the board increased its size to 17 directors and appointed Brian Leach as an independent director, effective March 1, 2025, highlighting his financial expertise and role in key committees.

Apollo Global Management Announces Key Leadership Changes

On January 9, 2025, Apollo Global Management appointed Jim Zelter as President, marking a strategic move to support the company’s growth plans and operational expansion. This leadership change, along with John Zito’s appointment as Co-President of Apollo Asset Management, is aimed at executing Apollo’s five-year plan, focusing on the convergence of public and private markets and the evolving role of financial institutions. The appointments demonstrate Apollo’s commitment to innovation in alternative asset management and retirement services, strengthening its position in a rapidly changing financial landscape.