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American Superconductor (AMSC)
NASDAQ:AMSC

American Superconductor (AMSC) AI Stock Analysis

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AMSC

American Superconductor

(NASDAQ:AMSC)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(12.29% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/18/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals and strong balance-sheet strength, reinforced by bullish operational commentary and forward guidance. The rating is tempered by earnings quality/cash conversion concerns (including the one-time tax benefit) and a mixed technical setup where longer-term trend indicators remain weak.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet strength
Extremely low leverage and an expanded equity base provide durable financial flexibility to fund organic growth, acquisitions, and working-capital needs without relying on high-cost debt. This supports resilience through industry cycles and underpins the company's ability to invest in capacity and exports over the next several quarters.
Robust multi-quarter backlog
A >$250M 12-month backlog gives multi-quarter revenue visibility and helps smooth the impact of long product lead times. For a project-driven power-systems business, this backlog materially reduces short-term revenue volatility and supports sustained top-line growth as contracts convert to milestones and shipments.
Margin expansion and consistent profitability
Consecutive quarters of 30%+ gross margins and a multi-quarter GAAP profit streak indicate improving unit economics and operational leverage. Sustained margin expansion supports reinvestment in R&D and service capacity and suggests the company is moving from recovery to a structurally more profitable operating profile if revenue trends persist.
Negative Factors
Earnings quality (one-time tax benefit)
The very large one-time $113.1M tax benefit materially inflated GAAP profits, masking underlying operating earnings. Ex‑benefit GAAP and non‑GAAP results are far smaller, so future comparability and investor expectations risk being distorted unless recurring operational profitability is maintained without similar nonrecurring boosts.
Near-term liquidity reduction from acquisition
The cash outflow for Comtrafo reduced the company's cash buffer by ~32%, lowering near-term liquidity while integration and working-capital needs rise. That tighter cash position increases sensitivity to execution hiccups and could constrain opportunistic spending or require external financing if growth or working-capital demands accelerate.
Integration and capacity-scaling risk
The newly acquired transformer business requires early-stage integration and potential Brazilian capacity expansion. Execution and scaling risks can pressure margins, raise capex and working-capital needs, and delay expected synergies. For project-heavy power equipment, missteps can produce lumpy delivery and strain cash conversion over multiple quarters.

American Superconductor (AMSC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Superconductor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican Superconductor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides megawatt-scale power resiliency solutions worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Grid and Wind. The Grid segment offers products and services that enable electric utilities, industrial facilities, and renewable energy project developers to connect, transmit, and distribute power under the Gridtec Solutions brand; and engineering planning services. It provides transmission planning services, which identify power grid congestion, poor power quality, and other risks; grid interconnection solutions for wind farms and solar power plants, power quality systems, and transmission and distribution cable systems; resilient electric grid systems, resilient electric grid systems; D-VAR systems used for controlling power flow and voltage in the AC transmission system; actiVAR system, a fast-switching medium-voltage reactive compensation solution; armorVAR system installed for reactive compensation, power factor correction, loss reduction, utility bill savings, and mitigation of common power quality concerns related to power converter-based generation and load devices; and D-VAR volt var optimization (VVO) that serves the distribution power grid market. This segment also offers ship protection systems, which reduce a naval ship's magnetic signature; and in board power delivery systems, power generation systems, and propulsion systems; and transformers and rectifiers systems. The Wind segment designs wind turbine systems and licenses these designs to third parties under the Windtec Solutions brand. It supplies power electronics and software-based control systems, engineered designs, and support services; and provides customer support services to wind turbine manufacturers. This segment's design portfolio comprises a range of drivetrains and power ratings of 2 megawatts and higher. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Ayer, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyAMSC makes money primarily by selling power electronics- and software-based grid solutions and by providing related engineering and support services. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) product revenue from grid interconnection and stabilization systems (e.g., solutions used to connect, control, and improve the performance of power generation assets—such as wind and other renewables—on the electric grid), including associated hardware, control software, and system components; (2) services revenue from engineering, system design, integration, commissioning, and ongoing support/maintenance provided to utilities, renewable project developers, and other grid operators; and (3) revenue from supplying control systems and related technologies used in power applications. Significant factors influencing earnings generally include utility and renewable energy capital spending cycles, grid modernization and reliability initiatives, and the company’s ability to win project-based contracts that may be recognized over time as milestones are delivered. Specific partnership details: null.

American Superconductor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong operational momentum: double-digit revenue growth (+21% YoY), expanding gross margins (31%), a robust >$250M backlog, consecutive profitability streaks, and strategic expansion via the Comtrafo acquisition that opens Brazil/Latin America and expands transformer capability. Management provided confident guidance for Q4 (> $80M revenue) and highlighted a new data center milestone. Offsetting factors include a very large one-time $113.1M tax benefit that materially inflated GAAP headline earnings, a meaningful cash reduction due to acquisition consideration, rising operating expenses and working capital investment to support growth, early-stage integration and capacity scaling needs in Brazil, and the nascent (and therefore uncertain) nature of new end-market opportunities like data centers. On balance, operational trends and backlog growth outweigh the near-term financial and integration headwinds, but investors should note the one-time nature of the tax benefit and the cash/working-capital impacts of the acquisition.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarter — Revenue Growth and Guidance
Q3 revenue of $74.5M (vs. $61.4M year-ago) — +21% YoY; exceeded guidance. Company guided Q4 revenue to exceed $80M and expects GAAP net income > $3M and non-GAAP net income > $8M.
Segment Performance — Grid and Wind
Grid accounted for 85% of revenue at $63.2M (+21% YoY). Wind revenue was $11.3M (+25% YoY).
Profitability Streak
Sixth consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability and tenth consecutive quarter of non-GAAP profitability.
Margin Expansion
Gross margin of 31% in Q3 vs. 27% year-ago (an increase of 4 percentage points). This marks the third straight quarter with gross margins above 30%.
Robust Backlog and YTD Revenue
12-month backlog exceeded $250M. Total revenue for the first 9 months of fiscal year reached $212M — nearly matching the full prior fiscal year.
Strategic Acquisition — Comtrafo
Closed acquisition of Comtrafo on Dec 5, 2025. Comtrafo contributed ~$4.6M in ~19 days of Q3 revenue, expands transformer offerings up to 250 MVA, provides Brazilian manufacturing presence and strengthens access to utilities and Latin American markets.
Data Center Milestone
Delivered a solution into a data center project (represented ~5% of Q3 revenue). Management views this as an important initial milestone that could enable further opportunities in the data center market.
Balance Sheet and Cash Position Post-Acquisition
Ended Q3 with $147.1M in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash after completing Comtrafo acquisition; operating cash flow of $3.2M for the quarter.
Negative Updates
Large One-Time Tax Benefit Inflating GAAP Results
Q3 included a $113.1M tax benefit from the release of a valuation allowance on deferred tax assets, producing GAAP net income of $117.8M ($2.68/sh) and non-GAAP net income of $123.5M ($2.81/sh). Excluding the tax benefit, GAAP net income was $4.7M ($0.11/sh) vs. $2.5M year-ago (+88% YoY) and non-GAAP net income excluding the benefit was $10.5M vs. $6.0M year-ago (+75% YoY). The one-time nature of the tax benefit makes headline GAAP results less representative of ongoing operating profitability.
Cash Decline Driven by Acquisition
Cash declined from $218.8M on Sept 30, 2025 to $147.1M at quarter end (a decrease of ~$71.7M, ~-32.8%), driven primarily by cash consideration of $88.3M for the Comtrafo acquisition — reducing near-term liquidity despite strategic benefits.
Rising Operating Expenses and Acquisition Costs
R&D and SG&A rose to $19.0M in Q3 from $14.6M year-ago (+~30%), which includes ~$1.2M of acquisition-related expenses and higher noncash components (~20% of R&D & SG&A).
Working Capital and Inventory Investment
Receivables and inventory grew with the acquisition and revenue ramp; management noted working capital is being invested to support growth and could continue to be a cash drain if elevated growth persists.
Integration and Capacity Risks
Comtrafo integration is early (19 days of financials in Q3); management noted potential need to expand Brazilian capacity and possible higher CapEx (CapEx was $0.9M in Q3; may exceed $1–2M in some quarters) to meet strong demand — introducing execution and scaling risk.
Early-Stage Data Center Opportunity
Data center delivery is a single initial win (about 5% of revenue) and has not yet produced operational learnings; the market opportunity remains nascent and lumpy until more installations validate repeatable demand.
Product Lead Times and Timing of Revenue Recognition
Management reiterated long lead times (9–12 months for many products), meaning booked opportunities and pipeline will be realized over extended periods and can produce lumpy near-term results.
Company Guidance
Management guided Q4 FY2025 (ending March 31, 2026) to revenues exceeding $80.0 million, GAAP net income above $3.0 million (>$0.07/share) and non‑GAAP net income above $8.0 million (>$0.17/share). This guidance follows a strong Q3 (ended Dec 31, 2025) featuring $74.5M revenue (+21% YoY), Grid 85%/Wind 15% mix ($63.2M Grid, $11.3M Wind), gross margin 31% (third consecutive quarter >30%), sixth consecutive GAAP profitable quarter and 10th consecutive non‑GAAP profitable quarter, $117.8M GAAP net income ($2.68/share) driven by a $113.1M tax benefit (ex‑benefit GAAP net income $4.7M, $0.11/share; ex‑benefit non‑GAAP $10.5M, $0.24/share), $147.1M cash after $88.3M cash paid for Comtrafo (Comtrafo contributed ~$4.6M in ~19 days), a 12‑month backlog >$250M, nine‑month revenue of $212M (nearly matching the prior fiscal year), operating cash flow $3.2M and quarterly CapEx of $0.9M.

American Superconductor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Turnaround is real with positive recent profitability and ~30% gross margins, plus an exceptionally low-leverage balance sheet. Offsets are mixed earnings quality (recent GAAP results boosted by non-recurring items) and only moderate earnings-to-cash conversion with softer TTM free cash flow versus the prior period.
Income Statement
73
Positive
Profitability has improved materially versus prior years: annual results moved from sizable losses in 2021–2024 to positive net income in 2025, and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) margins are stronger (gross margin ~30%, positive operating and EBITDA margins). Revenue growth is solid in TTM (high single digits) after a slower growth rate in the latest annual period. Key watch-outs are that operating profitability remains relatively modest versus revenue (low-to-mid single digit operating/EBITDA margins), and the very large TTM net income relative to prior history suggests potential one-time or non-recurring influences, making durability of earnings a risk.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Balance sheet strength is a clear positive: leverage is extremely low (debt-to-equity roughly ~1% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and low in annual periods as well), providing significant financial flexibility. Equity has expanded sharply over time, and return on equity has turned positive in the most recent periods after being negative in 2021–2024. The main weakness is that profitability is still early in the recovery cycle, so future returns on the expanded equity base need to prove sustainable.
Cash Flow
61
Positive
Cash generation has improved meaningfully from negative operating cash flow in 2021–2023 to positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in 2024–2025 and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, TTM free cash flow declined versus the prior annual period, and cash flow quality relative to reported earnings looks mixed given operating cash flow covers only a modest portion of net income in both TTM and the latest annual period—suggesting working-capital swings or non-cash/non-recurring items may be impacting earnings-to-cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue279.40M222.82M145.64M105.98M108.44M87.13M
Gross Profit85.47M61.85M35.28M8.52M13.49M17.45M
EBITDA23.26M12.14M-1.97M-26.53M-21.60M-14.75M
Net Income130.49M6.03M-11.11M-35.04M-19.19M-22.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets719.53M310.52M232.77M175.56M173.89M168.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments141.07M79.49M90.52M23.36M40.58M72.95M
Total Debt11.38M3.37M2.71M3.08M3.80M3.86M
Total Liabilities182.70M113.41M88.20M93.76M64.50M52.27M
Stockholders Equity536.84M197.11M144.57M81.80M109.39M116.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow16.01M25.87M1.20M-23.72M-19.91M-10.45M
Operating Cash Flow20.15M28.29M2.14M-22.48M-18.98M-8.68M
Investing Cash Flow-76.41M-35.21M-961.00K-1.52M-7.16M2.47M
Financing Cash Flow124.01M8.00K65.44M162.00K142.00K50.83M

American Superconductor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price31.17
Price Trends
50DMA
31.51
Negative
100DMA
34.65
Negative
200DMA
41.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.46
Positive
RSI
49.44
Neutral
STOCH
75.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMSC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 31.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.85, below the 50-day MA of 31.51, and below the 200-day MA of 41.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AMSC.

American Superconductor Risk Analysis

American Superconductor disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Superconductor reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Superconductor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.93B25.7821.10%0.10%3.91%1.48%
74
Outperform
$1.48B2.6837.04%51.17%
71
Outperform
$3.56B33.0711.32%0.46%-0.96%-11.55%
68
Neutral
$3.09B308.577.68%0.57%18.51%-28.69%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$2.42B18.6212.21%1.42%9.30%-12.55%
54
Neutral
$1.28B11.5481.27%54.78%122.61%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMSC
American Superconductor
30.14
10.09
50.32%
EPAC
Enerpac Tool Group
36.20
-7.31
-16.80%
CXT
Crane NXT
41.37
-13.26
-24.28%
KAI
Kadant
294.32
-45.51
-13.39%
SXI
Standex International
254.21
84.68
49.95%
PSIX
Power Solutions
53.80
19.28
55.85%

American Superconductor Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
American Superconductor registers shares for potential secondary sale
Neutral
Dec 23, 2025

On December 23, 2025, American Superconductor Corporation disclosed that it filed a prospectus supplement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to register shares of its common stock for potential sale from time to time by certain existing stockholders, under an already effective shelf registration statement that became operative on August 12, 2024. The company also reported that its legal counsel, Latham & Watkins LLP, issued a legal opinion on the validity of these shares on the same date, a step that clears a procedural hurdle and facilitates potential secondary sales by those stockholders without directly raising new capital for the company itself.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMSC) stock is a Buy with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American Superconductor stock, see the AMSC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026