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Amphastar Pharmaceuticals (AMPH)
NASDAQ:AMPH

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals (AMPH) AI Stock Analysis

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AMPH

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:AMPH)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▲(5.21% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is primarily driven by mixed fundamentals: strong historical margins/returns and low reported leverage, but a sharp TTM revenue/margin reset and very weak/uncertain TTM cash-flow support. Technicals are a significant drag with a clear downtrend and weak momentum. Offsetting these risks, valuation looks inexpensive (P/E ~9.95) and the latest call supports a cautiously positive outlook for 2026 growth driven by new launches and key brands, though margin pressure remains a notable headwind.
Positive Factors
High margins & returns
Sustained high gross and net margins and above-average ROE indicate structural manufacturing and product-mix advantages in injectable generics/specialty products. This durable profitability supports reinvestment in R&D, capacity expansion and strategic activity even amid near-term revenue volatility.
Strong liquidity & low leverage
Very low reported leverage and a substantial cash position (management cites >$300M cash and strong operating cash flow historically) provide financing flexibility for launches, capacity buildout, and M&A without near-term reliance on external debt, supporting durable strategic optionality.
Pipeline wins & exclusivity
A 180-day exclusivity window for AMP-007 offers a structural near-term revenue opportunity with limited immediate generic competition. Coupled with expanded proprietary peptide programs and AMP-110 licensing, this strengthens higher-margin, differentiated product prospects over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Sharp TTM revenue/margin reset
A near-50% TTM revenue decline materially reduces scale economics, erodes fixed-cost absorption and pressures profitability metrics. Even with new launches, restoring prior revenue levels will take multiple quarters and leaves execution and demand risks that could persist for several reporting cycles.
Cash-flow deterioration / reporting gap
An absence or sharp deterioration of reported operating and free cash flow undermines earnings quality and the firm's ability to self-fund capex, R&D and buybacks. If persistent, this forces reliance on external financing or curtailed investment, weakening long-term growth execution.
Legacy pricing pressure & cost increases
Ongoing pricing pressure in legacy injectables (notably glucagon and epinephrine) combined with rising input, labor and R&D/G&A spend compresses margins. This structural mix shift reduces cash flow per dollar revenue and raises the bar for new-product economics to offset declines.

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals (AMPH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a bio-pharmaceutical company, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells generic and proprietary injectable, inhalation, and intranasal products in the United States, China, and France. The company operates through two segments, Finished Pharmaceutical Products and API. It offers Primatene Mist, an over-the-counter epinephrine inhalation product for the temporary relief of mild symptoms of intermittent asthma; Enoxaparin, a low molecular weight heparin to prevent and treat deep vein thrombosis; Naloxone for opioid overdose; Glucagon for injection emergency kit; and Cortrosyn, a lyophilized powder for use as a diagnostic agent in the screening of patients with adrenocortical insufficiency. The company also provides Amphadase, a bovine-sourced hyaluronidase injection to absorb and disperse other injected drugs; Epinephrine injection for the emergency treatment of allergic reactions; lidocaine jelly, an anesthetic product for urological procedures; lidocaine topical solution for various procedures; phytonadione injection, a vitamin K1 injection for newborn babies; emergency syringe products for emergency use in hospital settings; morphine injection for use with patient controlled analgesia pumps; and lorazepam injection for surgery and medical procedures. In addition, it offers neostigmine methylsulfate injection to treat myasthenia gravis and to reverse the effects of muscle relaxants; and Isoproterenol hydrochloride injection for mild or transient episodes of heart block. Further, the company distributes recombinant human insulin active pharmaceutical ingredients (API) and porcine insulin API. It serves hospitals, care facilities, alternate care sites, clinics, and doctors' offices. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Rancho Cucamonga, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmphastar Pharmaceuticals generates revenue primarily through the sale of its injectable generic and specialty products to hospitals, pharmacies, and distributors. The company has established a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales of its proprietary products, royalties from licensing agreements, and partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies for the development of new products. Key revenue streams include the sale of core products like epinephrine and naloxone, which are in high demand due to their critical therapeutic use. Additionally, Amphastar benefits from strategic partnerships that enhance its product pipeline and market reach, contributing to its overall earnings through collaborative development agreements and shared revenue from co-marketed products.

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a cautiously optimistic outlook: the company reported strong product-level growth (notably BAQSIMI and Primatene MIST), multiple FDA approvals including a product with 180-day exclusivity (AMP-007), a meaningful proprietary pipeline expansion and strong operating cash flow and cash reserves to fund growth and buybacks. Offsetting these positives are significant declines and pricing pressure in legacy products (notably glucagon down 45%), expected margin compression in 2026 due to pricing and input-cost pressures, increased operating spend (G&A and R&D), and modest full-year revenue decline of 2%. Overall, strategic wins and cash strength provide upside potential, but near-term margin and legacy-product headwinds temper the outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue and Key Product Contributions
Net revenues for FY2025 were $719.9 million. BAQSIMI generated $185.4 million, up 12% year-over-year, and Primatene MIST delivered $108.7 million, up 7% year-over-year. Newer products contributed, including $4.4 million from iron sucrose following its August launch.
FDA Approvals and Exclusive Launch Opportunity
FDA approvals in 2025 included iron sucrose, teriparatide and ipratropium bromide HFA (AMP-007). AMP-007 was granted 180 days of generic exclusivity as first Paragraph IV filer; commercial launch expected early Q2 2026, representing a meaningful near-term respiratory growth driver (IQVIA Atrovent market ~$112M).
Operating Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Strength
Operating cash flow for the full year was $156.1 million. The company reported over $300 million in cash and short-term investments and an ongoing share buyback program (historical repurchases ~ $75 million in the prior year, ~$15 million remaining on current authorization).
Q4 BAQSIMI Performance
BAQSIMI sales in Q4 grew 12% year-over-year to $46.7 million, driven by higher U.S. unit volumes and transition to direct global distribution.
Other Product Growth and Market Demand
Other pharmaceutical product revenues rose 8% in Q4 to $62.4 million, primarily due to increased sales of albuterol and the recently launched iron sucrose; albuterol also showed strong market-driven growth.
Pipeline Expansion into High-Value Therapeutic Areas
Expanded proprietary pipeline with three novel peptides (oncology and ophthalmology), a synthetic corticotropin program (immunology) and programs AMP-105/109/110/107; company estimates these collectively open >$60 billion in addressable market opportunity.
Near- and Mid-Term High-Value Programs on Track
Insulin aspart BLA (AMP-004) and GLP-1 ANDA (AMP-018) are progressing through regulatory proceedings with anticipated commercialization in 2027, representing meaningful near- and midterm value drivers.
Manufacturing Capacity Expansion
Planned Rancho Cucamonga expansion to quadruple production capacity, enhancing scalability and supply reliability to support proprietary and complex generics commercialization; capital spending to ramp in 2026 financed from operations.
Negative Updates
Modest Full-Year Revenue Decline
Consolidated full-year revenue declined modestly by 2% year-over-year, reflecting greater-than-expected headwinds in legacy products and pricing pressures.
Significant Glucagon Sales Decline
Glucagon sales fell 45% in Q4 to $14.1 million (from $25.6 million) due to increased competition and market shift toward ready-to-use products such as BAQSIMI.
Epinephrine and Legacy Product Pressure
Epinephrine sales declined 9% in Q4 to $17.1 million (from $18.7 million) due to increased competition for the multi-dose vial; broader legacy products (glucagon, epi vial, phytonadione) face continued pricing pressure and expected sales declines in 2026.
Earnings and Adjusted Earnings Decline
Q4 net income decreased to $24.4 million ($0.51/share) from $38.0 million ($0.74/share) year-over-year. Adjusted net income fell to $34.2 million ($0.73/share) from $47.2 million ($0.92/share).
Margin Headwinds Expected in 2026
Gross margins were flat at 47% in Q4 but are expected to be lower in 2026 due to pricing pressure on high-margin legacy products, higher input and labor costs, and a higher mix of lower-margin API sales from the China ANP subsidiary.
Rising Operating Costs
General & administrative expenses increased 27% in Q4 to $16.5 million (driven by legal costs and ERP implementation). Research & development spending rose 29% to $23.3 million in Q4 as clinical and proprietary pipeline investments accelerate.
Planned International BAQSIMI Market Exits
Management expects to exit a handful of unprofitable international BAQSIMI markets after a 3-year commitment ends in July, which will reduce international volume and partially offset U.S. unit growth for BAQSIMI in 2026.
Uncertainties and Competitive Risks for AMP-007
While AMP-007 has 180 days of exclusivity, management has no visibility on whether an authorized generic will be launched, creating uncertainty around market capture and potential upside; continued generic competition remains a risk.
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 to mid‑ to high‑single‑digit consolidated revenue growth, driven by BAQSIMI (expected mid‑single‑digit U.S. unit growth with no price increases but a planned reduction in international volume after July) and a Primatene MIST rebound (mid‑ to high‑single‑digit unit growth with a planned 5% price increase in Q2), plus the planned early‑Q2 launch of ipratropium bromide HFA (AMP‑007) with 180 days of exclusivity (IQVIA market ~ $112M) as a key near‑term driver; they warned gross margins will be lower than the current ~47% due to pricing pressure on glucagon, epinephrine and phytonadione and higher input costs, expect slightly higher S&M as a percentage of sales, G&A flat-to-up (G&A rose 27% to $16.5M in Q4), and stepped‑up R&D and capital spending (R&D +29% to $23.3M in Q4; Rancho Cucamonga expansion to quadruple capacity) funded from operations (operating cash flow $156.1M for the year, ~$32.9M in Q4) and a cash balance of over $300M while continuing buybacks (about $75M in 2025; ~$15M remaining on the current authorization) and prioritizing business development.

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Historically strong profitability and returns (gross margin ~46%–54%, net margin in the low-20% range in 2023–2024; ROE ~14%–22%), and current leverage appears low (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.06). However, the latest TTM shows a sharp revenue drop (~-47%) with weaker margins and a major red flag in cash flow reporting (TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow reported as zero), which materially increases near-term fundamental risk.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Profitability is solid: gross margin has been consistently strong (~46%–54%) and net margin expanded meaningfully from 2020 to 2023–2024 (low-20% range in 2023–2024). However, TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a sharp slowdown with revenue down ~47% versus the prior period, alongside lower operating and net margins (mid-teens net margin). This mix suggests a business that proved strong earnings power in recent years, but is currently facing a meaningful top-line and profitability reset.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
The balance sheet appears stronger in the most recent period, with very low leverage in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (debt-to-equity ~0.06) and healthy equity relative to assets. Returns on equity have been attractive in 2021–2024 (~14%–22%), though they stepped down in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (~13%) in line with weaker profitability. A key watch item is the large year-over-year swing in reported debt levels (high in 2023–2024 vs. very low in TTM), which increases uncertainty around leverage stability.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Cash generation was healthy in 2021–2024, with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, and free cash flow broadly tracking net income (roughly ~72%–81% conversion). That said, TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) cash flow is reported as zero for both operating cash flow and free cash flow, and free cash flow growth is -100%, pointing to a major deterioration or a data/reporting gap. With current-period cash flow not demonstrating support for earnings, cash flow quality is the primary weak spot.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue719.89M731.97M644.39M498.99M437.77M
Gross Profit356.06M373.86M351.12M248.86M199.74M
EBITDA149.10M277.31M240.29M146.16M111.56M
Net Income98.09M159.52M137.54M91.39M62.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.63B1.58B1.51B741.99M671.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments282.81M221.65M256.81M175.76M136.67M
Total Debt47.25M650.55M623.64M102.58M104.66M
Total Liabilities840.49M845.17M873.49M213.33M226.01M
Stockholders Equity788.80M732.30M639.42M528.66M445.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow121.23M172.34M145.34M65.15M70.54M
Operating Cash Flow156.12M213.39M183.50M89.18M97.99M
Investing Cash Flow-70.33M-124.93M-649.12M-32.78M-28.67M
Financing Cash Flow-67.42M-80.95M454.09M-26.44M-37.02M

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.96
Price Trends
50DMA
26.97
Negative
100DMA
26.23
Negative
200DMA
25.93
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.33
Positive
RSI
22.74
Positive
STOCH
5.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMPH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.07, below the 50-day MA of 26.97, and below the 200-day MA of 25.93, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.74 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMPH.

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals disclosed 85 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Amphastar Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$894.83M163.970.96%3.14%
67
Neutral
$1.71B14.4015.11%48.87%
62
Neutral
$1.26B21.6423.70%26.34%-32.79%
60
Neutral
$899.69M9.7512.90%-0.03%-27.66%
60
Neutral
$3.14B-72.78-3.68%4.54%-130.59%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMPH
Amphastar Pharmaceuticals
19.83
-8.23
-29.33%
PCRX
Pacira Pharmaceuticals
22.10
-1.41
-6.00%
SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
54.56
22.57
70.55%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
76.10
16.42
27.51%
COLL
Collegium Pharmaceutical
39.99
11.52
40.46%

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Amphastar Licenses ACTH Analog AMP-110 for North America
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Amphastar Pharmaceuticals announced an exclusive license agreement with Nanjing Hanxin Pharmaceutical Technology for AMP-110, a fully synthetic and highly purified human adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH) analog intended for inflammatory and autoimmune conditions, granting Amphastar rights in the United States and Canada and giving Hanxin a non-exclusive license for other territories. Amphastar paid a $2 million upfront fee and agreed to up to $14 million in development milestones, up to $75 million in sales milestones, and annual royalties to Hanxin capped at $7.5 million and $60 million in total, while Hanxin will pay Amphastar royalties on net sales based on patents licensed from Amphastar; with AMP-110 in early-phase human clinical development and the U.S. ACTH market exceeding $684 million in 2024, the deal strengthens Amphastar’s proprietary peptide portfolio and positions it to compete in a growing therapeutic niche for conditions such as multiple sclerosis exacerbations, rheumatoid arthritis, lupus, ophthalmic inflammation, and infantile spasms.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMPH) stock is a Hold with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Amphastar Pharmaceuticals stock, see the AMPH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026