REalloys (ALOY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $723.35M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 384.65K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.25
• Revenue Growth: -13.58%
• EPS Growth: -7.29%
• Country: US
• Employees: 10
• Sector: Technology
• Sector Strength: 88
• Industry: Other Precious Metals
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 59,830,704
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,083,152
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 384,655
• PEG Ratio: -0.82
• Price to Book (P/B): 8.68
• Price to Sales (P/S): 20.21
• P/FCF Ratio: -15.55
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.08
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 22.63
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 47.41
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -13.68
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 44 Neutral
• Price Target: $11.50 ▲(10.79% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/21/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/21/26

The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (large losses and continued cash burn), reinforced by weak technical signals (below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation is difficult to assess due to negative earnings and no dividend data, offering limited support.

Positive Factors

Low leverage / balance sheet flexibility

Very low debt-to-equity (~0.04 in 2025) and positive equity through 2023–2025 materially reduce near-term solvency risk. This balance sheet flexibility gives the company time to execute turnarounds or fund growth without immediate pressure from creditors, supporting multi-month resilience.

Strong product-level gross margins

A ~48% gross margin indicates solid unit economics and suggests underlying competitive pricing or cost advantages in its precious-metals activities. If management can control operating expenses or scale revenue, this margin base supports a credible path to sustainable profitability over the medium term.

Planned equity raise materially improves liquidity

The underwritten offering expected to raise roughly $50M is a structural capital event increasing liquidity and extending runway. Proceeds earmarked for working capital reduce near-term refinancing risk and give management time to implement cost or growth initiatives without immediate cash constraints.

Negative Factors

Very large operating losses

Operating losses that dwarf revenue (net margin ~-182% in 2025) reflect structural inability to cover core costs. Absent sustained revenue growth or meaningful cost restructuring, these losses will persistently pressure equity, require outside financing, and undermine long-term viability.

Weak cash generation and ongoing cash burn

Consistent negative operating and free cash flow (FCF ≈ -$3.16M in 2025) means the business cannot self-fund operations or investment. Persistent cash burn elevates dilution and refinancing risk, forcing reliance on capital markets until operating cash conversion improves materially.

Volatile, generally declining revenue trend

A multi-year volatile and mostly downward revenue trend, with only a modest 2025 rebound, undermines operating leverage and the ability to amortize fixed costs. Without sustained top-line growth, margin recovery and durable profitability remain uncertain over a 2–6 month horizon.

REalloys Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

REalloys, Inc. engages in the rebuilding of domestic supply chain resilience for rare earth elements and magnets. It functions through recycling and mining to oxide production, metallization, alloying, and magnet manufacturing. The company was founded on October 4, 2011 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, FL.

How the Company Makes Money

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REalloys Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Balance sheet leverage is low (debt-to-equity ~0.04 in 2025), but overall fundamentals are pressured by large operating losses, deeply negative net margins (about -182% in 2025), and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow (2025 FCF about -$3.16M). Revenue has been volatile with only a modest rebound in 2025.

Income Statement

Revenue has been volatile and generally trending down from 2021–2024, with only a modest rebound in 2025 (annual revenue growth of ~1.8%). Profitability remains a major issue: gross margin is still decent (~48% in 2025), but operating losses are very large relative to revenue and net margins are deeply negative (about -182% in 2025), indicating the cost structure is not yet scaled to the revenue base. The only clear positive in the period is that losses have not been strictly linear (e.g., 2024 net loss was smaller than 2023), but 2025 deteriorated again.

Balance Sheet

Leverage appears manageable with low debt relative to equity in recent years (debt-to-equity ~0.04 in 2025 and ~0.06 in 2024), which reduces near-term balance sheet risk. Equity is positive and sizable in 2023–2025, supporting financial flexibility. The main weakness is persistent negative returns on equity (e.g., 2024 and 2023), reflecting ongoing losses; additionally, the company previously had negative equity in 2020, highlighting that capital structure quality has improved but is not immune to sustained burn.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in most years (including a large outflow in 2025 of about -$3.16M). While free cash flow improved significantly versus the prior year in 2025 (strong positive growth off a depressed base), the business is still funding operations with cash burn rather than internally generated cash. A bright spot is that free cash flow has generally tracked net income directionally (losses accompanied by outflows), but the magnitude of outflows remains a key constraint.

Breakdown	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.43M	2.57M	3.11M	4.96M	6.11M
Gross Profit	1.16M	1.11M	1.40M	2.86M	4.24M
EBITDA	-4.02M	-3.29M	-5.25M	-4.52M	-2.26M
Net Income	-4.43M	-3.47M	-4.66M	-5.02M	-2.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	8.69M	9.89M	9.83M	4.34M	11.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	39.16K	17.04K	475.65K	3.64M	10.44M
Total Debt	899.24K	533.55K	679.27K	669.63K	1.77M
Total Liabilities	3.03M	4.50M	2.53M	2.16M	3.33M
Stockholders Equity	5.66M	5.39M	7.30M	2.18M	7.82M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-3.16M	-705.73K	-3.17M	-4.35M	-736.40K
Operating Cash Flow	-3.16M	-705.73K	-3.17M	-4.29M	-672.49K
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.10M	3.27M	4.40M	-8.07M
Financing Cash Flow	3.18M	1.35M	-56.38K	-2.12M	10.19M

REalloys Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 10.38
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALOY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.38, below the 50-day MA of 13.40, and above the 200-day MA of 8.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ALOY.

REalloys Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	61 Neutral	$37.18B	12.37	-10.20%	1.83%	8.50%	-7.62%
CREX	54 Neutral	$38.60M	-0.77	-35.75%	―	-18.37%	-1304.71%
ALOY	44 Neutral	$723.35M	-11.10	-94.69%	―	-13.58%	-7.29%
VBIX	44 Neutral	$20.27M	-2.70	-380.87%	―	-72.01%	12.96%
CYN	43 Neutral	$30.02M	-1.26	-112.49%	―	347.74%	84.88%
BMR	42 Neutral	$23.76M	-4.05	-35.41%	―	5.96%	-156.04%

REalloys Corporate Events

REalloys Launches Underwritten Public Equity Offering With Clear Street

On March 5, 2026, REalloys Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with Clear Street LLC for an underwritten public offering of 2,702,702 shares of common stock at a public price of $18.50 per share, with underwriters paying differentiated purchase prices depending on whether investors were sourced by them or by the company. The deal, expected to close on or about March 9, 2026, includes a 30-day option for underwriters to buy up to 396,963 additional shares and is expected to generate about $50 million in gross proceeds before expenses, which REalloys plans to use for working capital and general corporate purposes.

The agreement imposes a 60-day lock-up restricting REalloys from issuing or selling additional equity or equity-linked securities, a measure that typically aims to support post-offering trading stability and protect existing investors from immediate dilution. Clear Street also secured a 180-day participation right in future REalloys financing or restructuring transactions, underscoring the bank’s continuing role in the company’s capital-raising strategy and potentially shaping how REalloys accesses equity and debt markets in the near term.

The most recent analyst rating on (ALOY) stock is a Hold with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on REalloys stock, see the ALOY Stock Forecast page.