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Aeries Technology (AERT)
NASDAQ:AERT
US Market

Aeries Technology (AERT) AI Stock Analysis

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AERT

Aeries Technology

(NASDAQ:AERT)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.36
▼(-30.58% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/09/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, net losses, and negative equity), reinforced by bearish technicals (price below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation provides limited support due to negative earnings, and the recent financing-related amendment increases dilution and balance-sheet risk.
Positive Factors
Recurring managed-services revenue
Aeries’ core model is recurring managed-services contracts with private-equity portfolio companies, providing durable, contractually driven cash flows and opportunities for multi-year engagements and cross-sell. This recurring revenue foundation supports predictability and client stickiness over quarters.
Improved operating cash generation
TTM improvement to positive operating and free cash flow materially strengthens near-term liquidity and funds operations or amortization of liabilities without immediate equity raises. Consistent cash generation, if sustained, reduces reliance on dilutive financing and supports operational resilience.
Scale and lower-cost delivery model
Aeries’ offshore/nearshore delivery centers and breadth of operational services create scale and cost advantages versus smaller domestic peers. That delivery footprint enables margin improvement potential, standardized processes, and faster ramping for new portfolio-company clients over time.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline and volatility
A sustained ~21% TTM revenue drop and historical volatility weaken operating leverage and reduce ability to cover fixed delivery costs. Prolonged top-line pressure undermines margin sustainability, cross-sell economics, and the company’s capacity to invest in growth or absorb client attrition.
Negative shareholders' equity and weakened balance sheet
Negative shareholders’ equity signals accumulated losses and constrains financial flexibility. It increases refinancing and covenant risk, raises borrowing costs, and limits the firm's ability to pursue strategic investments or withstand cyclical downturns without dilutive or expensive capital solutions.
Outstanding liability and dilution mechanics from forward amendment
The amended forward arrangement creates recurring interest expense and a repayment schedule tied to equity sell-downs and potential share issuance. That increases dilution risk, elevates cash interest burden, and constrains strategic flexibility until the liability is repaid or refinanced.

Aeries Technology (AERT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aeries Technology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAeries Technology, Inc. operates as a professional services and consulting partner in the United States and internationally. The company offers management consultancy services for private equity sponsors and their portfolio companies, including software solutions, product management, IT infrastructure, information and cyber security, ERP and CRM platform management, business process management, and digital transformation services. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Orem, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyAeries Technology generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its software and hardware products to businesses in diverse industries. The company employs a subscription-based model for its cloud-based applications, providing customers with ongoing access to updates and support, which ensures a steady stream of recurring revenue. Additionally, AERT earns income through the sale of IoT devices and related services, as well as through strategic partnerships with other technology firms that enhance its product offerings. These collaborations often result in co-branded solutions or bundled services that appeal to a broader customer base. Furthermore, AERT may engage in consulting and implementation services, which provide additional revenue opportunities by helping clients optimize their technology investments.

Aeries Technology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 02, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong execution in core markets and successful strategic shifts, resulting in exceeding EBITDA guidance. However, the overall revenue decline and significant losses indicate ongoing challenges. The sentiment is balanced between positive strategic achievements and financial setbacks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded EBITDA Guidance
Aeries Technology ended the fiscal year 2025 with a core adjusted EBITDA of $7.4 million, surpassing the guidance of $6 million to $7 million, underscoring the strength of their focused execution and realignment efforts.
North American Revenue Growth
Revenue from North America grew 15% year-over-year from $57 million to $65.5 million, highlighting the strength of the core market and the strategic focus on private equity-backed companies.
Launch of AI-Centered Global Capability Center Framework
Introduced a new AI-centered GCC framework integrating intelligent automation, generative AI agents, and data-driven systems, which has already shown meaningful business results.
Strong Client Retention and Expansion
High client retention and increased adoption of large-scale digital transformation missions were noted, with over 93.3% of revenue now coming from North America.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Total revenue for fiscal year 2025 was $70.2 million, a decline from $72.5 million in FY 2024, driven by the exit from the Middle East business.
Operating and Net Losses
The company reported an operating loss of $28.8 million and a net loss of $21.6 million for the fiscal year 2025.
Negative Adjusted EBITDA
Despite the positive core adjusted EBITDA, the adjusted EBITDA was negative at $4.7 million due to onetime items related to restructuring and the exit from noncore markets.
Company Guidance
During the Aeries Technology Full Year 2025 Earnings and Business Update Call, the company reported surpassing its core adjusted EBITDA guidance of $6 million to $7 million, achieving $7.4 million for the fiscal year, reflecting a 365% increase from the previous year. Aeries' total revenue for FY 2025 was $70.2 million, with North American revenue growing 15% year-over-year to $65.5 million, despite a slight overall revenue decline due to exiting the Middle East market. The company ended the year with a net loss of $21.6 million, gross profit of $16.7 million (23.8% margin), and adjusted EBITDA of negative $4.7 million. Aeries anticipates revenues of $74 million to $80 million and adjusted EBITDA of $6 million to $8 million for FY 2026, driven by a focus on North American markets and the expansion of their Global Capability Center model.

Aeries Technology Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals overall: revenue declined ~21% TTM, profitability swung to deep losses (net loss in TTM), and the balance sheet is strained by negative shareholders’ equity. Improved TTM operating cash flow/free cash flow provides some support but does not offset earnings and capital-structure risks.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Results are volatile. Revenue has declined in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (down ~21%) after strong growth in 2023–2024, and profitability has swung from strong earnings in FY2024 to deep losses in FY2025 annual. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) margins are thin with a slight operating profit but a net loss, indicating pressured cost structure and limited earnings power at current scale.
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
The balance sheet is strained by negative shareholders’ equity in the most recent periods (TTM and FY2025 annual), which makes leverage riskier and weakens financial flexibility. Total debt remains meaningful versus the asset base, and the move from positive equity in FY2023 to negative equity thereafter signals deterioration in capital structure and resilience.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation improved materially in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with solid positive operating cash flow and free cash flow, a sharp reversal from negative free cash flow in FY2024 and FY2025 annual. However, cash flow quality is mixed given recent net losses and prior-year volatility, suggesting execution risk and less predictable cash conversion across cycles.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Sep 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue69.20M70.20M72.51M53.10M41.01M
Gross Profit17.23M16.72M21.64M13.66M12.01M
EBITDA2.50M-20.53M21.34M4.12M7.59M
Net Income-2.93M-19.71M15.66M1.45M4.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.98M39.83M49.41M34.40M18.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.57M2.76M2.08M1.13M351.00K
Total Debt14.36M17.86M16.37M8.80M1.99M
Total Liabilities42.78M45.94M50.59M20.93M10.17M
Stockholders Equity-1.19M-5.80M-12.24M12.19M7.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.51M-2.49M-5.82M511.00K1.51M
Operating Cash Flow5.63M-1.01M-4.30M2.11M3.16M
Investing Cash Flow-762.00K-858.00K-1.74M-1.56M-437.00K
Financing Cash Flow-4.61M2.43M7.06M252.00K-3.54M

Aeries Technology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.52
Price Trends
50DMA
0.52
Negative
100DMA
0.57
Negative
200DMA
0.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
31.80
Neutral
STOCH
20.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AERT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.48, below the 50-day MA of 0.52, and below the 200-day MA of 0.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AERT.

Aeries Technology Risk Analysis

Aeries Technology disclosed 92 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aeries Technology reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aeries Technology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$11.67M
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
$195.47M-136.42-2.08%-7.02%-86.27%
47
Neutral
$129.65M-0.97-61.44%6.74%-10.83%-1669.11%
42
Neutral
$109.65M-0.93-43.39%-8.73%-1168.15%
41
Neutral
$20.99M-6.21-3.87%-104.63%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AERT
Aeries Technology
0.38
-0.12
-24.10%
FORR
Forrester Research
6.14
-5.38
-46.70%
FC
Franklin Covey Company
14.92
-17.94
-54.60%
RGP
Resources Connection
3.72
-3.25
-46.67%
GRNQ
Greenpro Capital
1.69
0.69
69.00%
VCIG
VCI Global Limited
0.32
-542.02
-99.94%

Aeries Technology Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aeries Technology Amends Forward Deal, Sets New Repayment Terms
Negative
Jan 28, 2026

On January 22, 2026, Aeries Technology, Inc. amended its existing letter agreement with Sandia Investment Management LP related to a prior OTC equity prepaid forward transaction, formalizing that Sandia may continue selling its Class A ordinary shares, originally issued under the forward purchase structure, at not less than $1.05 per share to offset Aeries’ payment obligations, while also setting a formula for issuing and registering additional Class A shares if liabilities remain after the designated sales period and clarifying the company’s obligations in the event of a change in control or a Nasdaq delisting. Amendment No. 2 acknowledges an outstanding liability of $1,812,063.23, introduces a structured amortization schedule beginning with a $100,000 payment on March 31, 2026 followed by $75,000 monthly payments, sets a 15% annual interest rate with monthly interest payments starting January 2026, applies proceeds from Sandia’s share sell-downs to reduce the outstanding amount, and extends the designated period until the liability is fully repaid, measures that collectively tighten the framework for settling Aeries’ obligations and managing dilution risk for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (AERT) stock is a Hold with a $0.54 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aeries Technology stock, see the AERT Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aeries Technology Extends Equity Forward Sale Agreement Period
Neutral
Jan 7, 2026

On December 31, 2025, Aeries Technology, Inc. amended a prior letter agreement with Sandia Investment Management LP that governs the sale of Aeries’ Class A ordinary shares held by Sandia under an existing OTC Equity Prepaid Forward Transaction and related forward purchase arrangements. The amendment extends the period during which Sandia may sell these shares at a minimum price of $1.05 per share, with proceeds offsetting Aeries’ payment obligations under the forward purchase structure, moving the end date from December 31, 2025 to January 9, 2026 while leaving all other terms unchanged, a limited adjustment that slightly lengthens the window for managing Aeries’ obligations and Sandia’s share disposals without altering the broader financing framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (AERT) stock is a Sell with a $0.53 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aeries Technology stock, see the AERT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 09, 2026