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Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT)
NASDAQ:AENT
US Market
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Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT) AI Stock Analysis

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AENT

Alliance Entertainment Holding

(NASDAQ:AENT)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-7.09% Downside)
Alliance Entertainment's overall stock score is bolstered by strong financial management, particularly in cash flow and margin improvements. Positive technical indicators and earnings call sentiment further support the score, though the lack of significant revenue growth and valuation concerns somewhat temper enthusiasm. The absence of dividend yield also affects the valuation appeal.

Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alliance Entertainment Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlliance Entertainment Holding (AENT) is a leading distributor and wholesaler in the entertainment industry, specializing in the distribution of music, movies, and consumer electronics. The company operates across multiple sectors, providing a wide array of products that cater to retailers, e-commerce platforms, and other institutional clients. Alliance Entertainment's core services include the procurement, warehousing, and distribution of physical and digital media products, ensuring efficient supply chain management and delivery to its extensive network of partners.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlliance Entertainment Holding makes money primarily through the distribution and wholesale of entertainment products. Its revenue model is built on sourcing a diverse range of media and consumer electronics from manufacturers and labels, which it then sells to retailers and online platforms. Key revenue streams include the sale of physical media such as CDs, DVDs, and vinyl records, as well as digital media distribution. The company benefits from significant partnerships with major entertainment providers and retailers, enhancing its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, Alliance Entertainment generates income from providing logistics and supply chain services, leveraging its infrastructure to add value beyond mere product distribution.

Alliance Entertainment Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong profitability improvements and strategic growth initiatives, particularly in licensing and direct-to-consumer channels. However, challenges such as flat revenue growth and impacts from tariffs were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Improvement in Profitability
Earnings per share nearly tripled to $0.24 from $0.09 last year, and net income for the third quarter was $1.9 million, a turnaround from a net loss of $3.4 million in Q3 of last year.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA rose 66% year-over-year to $4.9 million, up from $2.9 million, driven by margin gains and disciplined execution.
Successful Cost Management
A 10%+ year-over-year reduction in distribution and fulfillment costs due to automation and warehouse consolidation efforts.
Exclusive Licensing Agreement with Paramount
The exclusive U.S. and Canadian distributor agreement for Paramount's full physical media catalog, contributing significantly to revenue.
Growth in Direct-to-Consumer Fulfillment
Direct-to-consumer fulfillment accounted for an estimated 40% of gross revenue, up from 33%, reflecting growing retailer adoption.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquisition of Handmade by Robots, expanding retail distribution and preparing for significant new releases with major franchises.
Negative Updates
Flat Revenue
Net revenue for the quarter was $213 million, a slight increase from $211.2 million, with a decline in gaming revenue attributed to limited hardware allocation from Microsoft.
Year-over-Year Revenue Decline
For the 9-month period, net revenue was $835.7 million compared to $863.5 million last year, primarily due to timing of shipments and product mix.
Impact of Tariffs
High tariffs affected the Handmade by Robots business, although mitigation strategies were in place to absorb the costs.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal 2025 third quarter conference call, Alliance Entertainment provided guidance highlighting several key metrics. Adjusted EBITDA rose to $26.4 million, with margins expanding to 2.5%, up from 2.2% in fiscal 2024. Earnings per share increased to $0.24, nearly tripling from $0.09 the previous year. The company reported net revenue of $213 million for the quarter, a slight increase from $211.2 million in the same period of fiscal 2024, and gross profit increased by 3.7% year-over-year to $29.1 million, with gross margin improving to 13.6%. For the nine-month period ended March 31, 2025, net revenue was $835.7 million, compared to $863.5 million the previous year. Despite a revenue decline, net income rose to $9.3 million, up from $2.1 million, marking a 349% improvement. Adjusted EBITDA for this period increased nearly 10% to $24.4 million. Additionally, the company reduced its inventory balance to $93.2 million and increased its accounts payable to $139.6 million, supporting liquidity and maintaining strong supplier relationships.

Alliance Entertainment Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alliance Entertainment Holding demonstrates a mixed financial outlook with strengths in cash flow and profitability improvements. While revenue growth has been a challenge, margin enhancements and debt reduction efforts are promising. The company is managing its resources effectively, though growth strategies and further revenue optimization could enhance future performance.
Income Statement
68
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance for Alliance Entertainment Holding. The gross profit margin improved to 11.54% TTM, indicating efficiency in managing production costs. However, net profit margin is relatively low at 1.10% TTM despite a positive swing from prior periods. Revenue growth has been negative recently, which is concerning, but the company has improved its EBIT and EBITDA margins significantly over the TTM period.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a stable but cautious picture. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.28 TTM, reflecting better leverage management. Return on equity is modest at 12.14% TTM, indicating decent profitability from equity. The equity ratio is 27.88% TTM, emphasizing a moderate reliance on equity financing. Overall, the company is reducing debt levels effectively.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong operational cash flow with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.24 TTM. The company has achieved significant free cash flow growth, strengthening its financial flexibility. The free cash flow to net income ratio is very robust at 2.24 TTM, indicating efficient cash management and potential for reinvestment or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2022Dec 2020Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.07B1.10B1.42B1.16B775.60M1.32B
Gross Profit123.81M128.89M182.38M103.93M119.11M182.68M
EBITDA25.28M19.98M50.36M-26.12M25.05M59.56M
Net Income11.82M4.58M28.62M-35.40M5.36M34.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets349.40M340.81M473.04M389.53M276.83M388.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.03M1.13M1.47M865.00K1.33M4.03M
Total Debt27.13M109.83M148.66M148.68M56.31M72.04M
Total Liabilities251.99M253.18M364.11M310.00M223.91M308.66M
Stockholders Equity97.40M87.63M108.93M79.53M52.92M80.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.30M55.59M-83.60M2.56M24.69M74.07M
Operating Cash Flow24.35M55.77M-83.55M3.39M27.39M74.72M
Investing Cash Flow-7.56M-117.00K-50.00K-824.00K-5.26M-66.06M
Financing Cash Flow-16.40M-55.39M81.04M-3.16M-23.35M-5.98M

Alliance Entertainment Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.92
Price Trends
50DMA
5.28
Positive
100DMA
4.11
Positive
200DMA
4.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
58.49
Neutral
STOCH
81.09
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AENT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.38, above the 50-day MA of 5.28, and above the 200-day MA of 4.66, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.09 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AENT.

Alliance Entertainment Holding Risk Analysis

Alliance Entertainment Holding disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alliance Entertainment Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alliance Entertainment Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$317.97M26.9012.96%-3.43%
65
Neutral
$72.10M27.699.22%77.07%
60
Neutral
$46.29B4.07-13.11%4.12%1.85%-42.71%
53
Neutral
$51.95M-540.12%7.59%61.22%
47
Neutral
$51.64M154.70%-18.76%-21.72%
44
Neutral
$38.78M-30.92%0.52%-225.42%
41
Neutral
$21.93M-270.84%88.72%-85.54%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AENT
Alliance Entertainment Holding
5.92
4.10
225.27%
CNVS
Cineverse
3.71
2.97
401.35%
AGAE
Allied Gaming & Entertainment
0.93
-0.47
-33.57%
RDI
Reading International
1.49
-0.30
-16.76%
LVO
LiveOne
0.44
-1.09
-71.24%
ANGH
Anghami Inc.
3.30
-5.35
-61.85%

Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Alliance Entertainment Appoints New Chief Financial Officer
Neutral
Jul 24, 2025

On July 21, 2025, Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation announced the appointment of Amanda Gnecco as the new Chief Financial Officer, while she continues to serve as Chief Accounting Officer. This change follows her previous roles, including Senior Vice President, Accounting and Finance. The appointment is part of the company’s strategic leadership adjustments, with Jeffrey Walker remaining as CEO. Ms. Gnecco’s new role comes with a salary increase and potential bonus, reflecting the company’s confidence in her capabilities to oversee financial operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (AENT) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Entertainment Holding stock, see the AENT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025