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Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT)
NASDAQ:AENT
US Market
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Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT) AI Stock Analysis

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AENT

Alliance Entertainment Holding

(NASDAQ:AENT)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$7.50
▲(14.68% Upside)
Alliance Entertainment Holding's overall stock score is driven by a positive earnings call and strong technical indicators. Financial performance is stable but challenged by revenue growth issues. Valuation is moderate, with no dividend yield to attract income investors.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships, such as with Paramount Pictures, enhance product offerings and market reach, contributing significantly to revenue and competitive positioning.
Improved Cash Flow
Improved cash flow indicates strong operational efficiency, providing resources for future investments and debt reduction, supporting long-term financial health.
New Credit Facility
The new credit facility enhances financial flexibility, supporting growth initiatives and operational needs, which is crucial for sustaining long-term business expansion.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue indicates potential challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, which could impact future earnings and market position.
High Debt Levels
High debt levels can strain financial resources and limit flexibility, posing risks if earnings do not improve, potentially affecting long-term stability.
Low Net Profit Margin
A low net profit margin suggests inefficiencies in cost management or pricing strategies, which could hinder profitability and long-term financial performance.

Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alliance Entertainment Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlliance Entertainment Holding (AENT) is a leading distributor and wholesaler of entertainment products in the United States, specializing in the distribution of music, movies, and video games. The company operates across various sectors, including retail, e-commerce, and digital media, providing a wide range of physical and digital entertainment products to consumers and businesses. AENT's core offerings include vinyl records, CDs, DVDs, and gaming merchandise, along with a robust catalog of digital downloads and streaming services.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlliance Entertainment generates revenue primarily through the distribution of entertainment products to retailers and online platforms. The company operates a multi-faceted revenue model that includes wholesale distribution to brick-and-mortar stores, direct-to-consumer sales via e-commerce channels, and licensing agreements for digital content. Key revenue streams consist of sales from physical media, digital downloads, and subscription services. Additionally, partnerships with major record labels, film studios, and gaming companies enhance AENT's product offerings and expand its market reach, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Alliance Entertainment Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 10, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was largely positive with significant increases in net income and EBITDA, improved debt and cash flow management, and strategic partnerships contributing to the company's success. However, there was a slight decline in revenue year-over-year, which poses a challenge.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Net Income
In fiscal 2025, Alliance Entertainment delivered $15.1 million in net income, a 229% increase from the prior year.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA grew 51% to $36.5 million with gross margin improving from 11.7% to 12.5% year-over-year.
Reduction in Debt and Improved Cash Flow
The company reduced revolver debt by 22% and ended the year with $26.8 million in cash flow from operating activities.
Strategic Partnership with Paramount Pictures
The exclusive U.S. and Canadian distributor agreement for Paramount's physical media catalog contributed significantly to revenue.
Expansion in Exclusive Partnerships
Exclusive partnerships accounted for more than $350 million in revenue, representing over 1/3 of total sales.
Successful Integration of Handmade by Robots
The acquired brand launched new collectibles and showed early success with partnerships like My Hero Academy and Hello Kitty.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Revenue
Net revenue for the fiscal year 2025 was $1.06 billion compared to $1.1 billion in fiscal year 2024, showing a modest decline.
Slight Decline in Q4 Revenue
For Q4 2025, net revenue was $227.8 million compared to $236.9 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024.
Company Guidance
During Alliance Entertainment's fourth-quarter and fiscal year 2025 financial results conference call, the company reported a robust financial performance marked by significant growth and strategic advancements. Key metrics highlighted included a 229% year-over-year increase in net income, reaching $15.1 million, and a 51% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $36.5 million. Gross margin improved from 11.7% to 12.5%, while earnings per share more than tripled to $0.30 from $0.09 in the previous fiscal year. The company also achieved a 22% reduction in revolver debt and generated $26.8 million in cash flow from operating activities. In Q4, net income was $5.8 million with earnings per share at $0.11, and gross margin expanded to 15.8%. Alliance's focus on exclusive partnerships, such as their agreement with Paramount Pictures, and an emphasis on automation and efficiency, contributed to these results. The company expects sustained momentum into fiscal 2026, driven by strong consumer demand and strategic initiatives in exclusive content and collectibles.

Alliance Entertainment Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alliance Entertainment Holding shows a stable but challenging financial situation. Improvements in cash flow and some balance sheet metrics are positive, but hurdles in revenue growth and profitability remain.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Alliance Entertainment Holding has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin has slightly improved over the years, indicating some efficiency in cost management. However, the net profit margin remains low, reflecting challenges in translating revenue into profit. Revenue growth has been negative, which is a concern for future earnings potential. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have fluctuated, showing inconsistency in operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, indicating better leverage management, but it remains relatively high, posing a risk if earnings do not improve. Return on equity has been volatile, with recent improvements suggesting better utilization of equity. The equity ratio is stable, providing some assurance of asset backing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend with improving free cash flow growth, which is crucial for sustaining operations and funding future growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates a healthy conversion of earnings into cash, although it has decreased recently. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2022Dec 2022Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.06B1.06B1.10B1.42B1.16B775.60M
Gross Profit132.85M132.85M128.89M182.38M103.93M119.11M
EBITDA5.33M34.62M19.98M50.36M-26.12M25.05M
Net Income15.08M15.08M4.58M28.62M-35.40M5.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets361.23M361.23M340.81M473.04M389.53M276.83M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.24M1.24M1.13M1.47M865.00K1.33M
Total Debt25.67M25.67M109.83M148.66M148.68M56.31M
Total Liabilities258.01M258.01M253.18M364.11M310.00M223.91M
Stockholders Equity103.22M103.22M87.63M108.93M79.53M52.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.75M26.75M55.59M-83.60M2.56M24.69M
Operating Cash Flow26.81M26.81M55.77M-83.55M3.39M27.39M
Investing Cash Flow-8.13M-8.13M-117.00K-50.00K-824.00K-5.26M
Financing Cash Flow-18.57M-18.57M-55.39M81.04M-3.16M-23.35M

Alliance Entertainment Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.54
Price Trends
50DMA
6.40
Positive
100DMA
5.71
Positive
200DMA
4.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
53.27
Neutral
STOCH
49.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AENT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.17, above the 50-day MA of 6.40, and above the 200-day MA of 4.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AENT.

Alliance Entertainment Holding Risk Analysis

Alliance Entertainment Holding disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alliance Entertainment Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alliance Entertainment Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$333.52M22.1215.80%-3.36%230.98%
62
Neutral
$49.53M19.339.22%77.07%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
53
Neutral
$106.71M-5.63%12.98%27.93%
47
Neutral
$314.53M-17.26%-7.38%-483.59%
41
Neutral
$180.43M-9.03-2.85%75.96%
39
Underperform
$59.67M-2.49-18.76%-21.71%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AENT
Alliance Entertainment Holding
6.55
1.76
36.78%
AMCX
AMC Networks
7.52
-1.22
-13.96%
CNVS
Cineverse
2.59
-0.52
-16.72%
GAIA
Gaia
4.22
-1.85
-30.48%
LVO
LiveOne
5.01
-4.07
-44.82%
STRZ
Starz Entertainment Corp
10.31
-0.12
-1.15%

Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Alliance Entertainment Secures $120M Credit Facility
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation entered into a new $120 million senior secured revolving credit facility with Bank of America, replacing its previous asset-based lending facility. This new five-year agreement, which aims to enhance financial flexibility and support growth initiatives, includes a $3 million sub-limit for letters of credit and allows for additional borrowings under certain conditions. The facility is secured by a first priority security interest on the company’s assets and includes customary covenants and financial reporting requirements. The initial borrowings were used to repay existing obligations, including a $10 million subordinated loan, without incurring early termination penalties. This strategic financial move is expected to strengthen Alliance’s balance sheet and support its strategy for disciplined, profitable growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (AENT) stock is a Hold with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Entertainment Holding stock, see the AENT Stock Forecast page.

Alliance Entertainment’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth
Sep 12, 2025

Alliance Entertainment Holding Corp’s recent earnings call painted a largely positive picture of the company’s financial health, despite a slight decline in revenue. The sentiment was buoyed by significant increases in net income and EBITDA, alongside improved debt and cash flow management. Strategic partnerships also played a crucial role in the company’s success, although the year-over-year revenue decline remains a challenge.

Alliance Entertainment Reports Strong FY2025 Financial Growth
Sep 11, 2025

Alliance Entertainment Holding Corp, a leading distributor and logistics provider in the entertainment and pop culture collectibles industry, reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, highlighting significant growth and strategic advancements.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alliance Entertainment Reports 229% Net Income Growth
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

Alliance Entertainment reported significant financial growth for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, with a 229% increase in net income to $15.1 million and a rise in earnings per share from $0.09 to $0.30. The company strengthened its market position through strategic partnerships, including an exclusive distribution agreement with Paramount Pictures and Master Replicas, and expanded its product offerings in premium collectibles and physical media. The launch of Alliance Home Entertainment and a focus on automation and warehouse consolidation contributed to operational efficiency and profitability. The company also emphasized its commitment to leveraging AI for future growth and operational improvements.

The most recent analyst rating on (AENT) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Alliance Entertainment Holding stock, see the AENT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025