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Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT)
NASDAQ:AENT
US Market

Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT) AI Stock Analysis

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Alliance Entertainment Holding

(NASDAQ:AENT)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-1.32%Downside)
Alliance Entertainment Holding's overall stock score of 66 reflects the company's strong cash flow and profitability improvements, tempered by flat revenue growth and recent strategic uncertainties. The positive outlook from the latest earnings call and sound technical indicators provide support, yet caution is advised due to corporate event impacts and overbought technical signals.

Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Alliance Entertainment Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlliance Entertainment Holding (AENT) is a leading distributor and wholesaler in the entertainment industry, specializing in the distribution of music, movies, and consumer electronics. The company operates across multiple sectors, providing a wide array of products that cater to retailers, e-commerce platforms, and other institutional clients. Alliance Entertainment's core services include the procurement, warehousing, and distribution of physical and digital media products, ensuring efficient supply chain management and delivery to its extensive network of partners.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlliance Entertainment Holding makes money primarily through the distribution and wholesale of entertainment products. Its revenue model is built on sourcing a diverse range of media and consumer electronics from manufacturers and labels, which it then sells to retailers and online platforms. Key revenue streams include the sale of physical media such as CDs, DVDs, and vinyl records, as well as digital media distribution. The company benefits from significant partnerships with major entertainment providers and retailers, enhancing its product offerings and market reach. Additionally, Alliance Entertainment generates income from providing logistics and supply chain services, leveraging its infrastructure to add value beyond mere product distribution.

Alliance Entertainment Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 76.74%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with significant improvements in profitability, operational efficiency, and strategic partnerships. However, flat revenue growth and challenges in the gaming sector are notable concerns. Overall, the positive developments and strong financial management suggest a promising future for the company.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Profitability and Margins
Adjusted EBITDA rose to $26.4 million with an increase in margins to 2.5% from 2.2% in fiscal 2024. Earnings per share increased to $0.24, nearly tripling from $0.09 last year.
Successful Paramount Partnership
The exclusive license agreement with Paramount Pictures, effective January 1, 2025, has already shown meaningful contributions to revenue and is expected to have a significant impact in fiscal 2026.
Operational Efficiency Gains
Automation and warehouse optimization have led to a 10.2% reduction in distribution and fulfillment costs year-over-year, with new systems delivering significant annualized savings.
Reduction in Debt and Improved Liquidity
Over the past year, the company reduced revolver debt and improved liquidity, while maintaining strong supplier relationships and inventory efficiency.
Growth in Direct-to-Consumer Fulfillment
Direct-to-consumer fulfillment accounted for 40% of gross revenue, up from 33% last year, reflecting increased adoption by retail partners.
Negative Updates
Flat Revenue Growth
Net revenue for the third quarter was $213 million, a slight increase from $211.2 million in the prior year, indicating flat topline growth.
Decline in Gaming Revenue
Gaming revenue faced challenges due to limited hardware allocation from Microsoft and delayed software releases, impacting overall category performance.
Year-over-Year Revenue Decline
For the nine-month period ended March 31, 2025, net revenue declined to $835.7 million from $863.5 million, primarily due to timing of shipments and product mix.
Company Guidance
During the Alliance Entertainment Fiscal 2025 Third Quarter Financial Results Conference Call, key financial metrics highlighted included a net revenue of $213 million for the quarter, a slight increase from $211.2 million in the same quarter of fiscal 2024. The company reported a 3.7% rise in gross profit year-over-year to $29.1 million, with a gross margin improvement to 13.6% from 13.2% in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA experienced a significant 66% increase year-over-year to $4.9 million, up from $2.9 million. For the nine-month period ending March 31, 2025, net revenue was $835.7 million compared to $863.5 million the previous year, with adjusted EBITDA rising nearly 10% to $24.4 million from $22.2 million. The company also achieved a marked improvement in net income, which rose to $9.3 million or $0.18 per share, representing a 349% increase. Additionally, inventory balance declined to $93.2 million, and accounts payable increased to $139.6 million, indicating improved working capital management.

Alliance Entertainment Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alliance Entertainment Holding shows a mixed financial outlook with strong cash flow and improved profitability. Despite negative revenue growth, margin enhancements and debt reduction efforts are promising. The company demonstrates effective resource management but faces challenges in revenue optimization.
Income Statement
68
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance for Alliance Entertainment Holding. The gross profit margin improved to 11.54% TTM, indicating efficiency in managing production costs. However, net profit margin is relatively low at 1.10% TTM despite a positive swing from prior periods. Revenue growth has been negative recently, which is concerning, but the company has improved its EBIT and EBITDA margins significantly over the TTM period.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a stable but cautious picture. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.28 TTM, reflecting better leverage management. Return on equity is modest at 12.14% TTM, indicating decent profitability from equity. The equity ratio is 27.88% TTM, emphasizing a moderate reliance on equity financing. Overall, the company is reducing debt levels effectively.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong operational cash flow with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.24 TTM. The company has achieved significant free cash flow growth, strengthening its financial flexibility. The free cash flow to net income ratio is very robust at 2.24 TTM, indicating efficient cash management and potential for reinvestment or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.07B1.10B1.16B1.42B1.32B775.60M
Gross Profit123.81M128.89M103.93M182.38M182.68M119.11M
EBITDA25.28M19.98M-26.12M50.36M59.56M25.05M
Net Income11.82M4.58M-35.40M28.62M34.18M5.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets349.40M340.81M389.53M473.04M388.96M276.83M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.03M1.13M865.00K1.47M4.03M1.33M
Total Debt27.13M109.83M148.68M148.66M72.04M56.31M
Total Liabilities251.99M253.18M310.00M364.11M308.66M223.91M
Stockholders Equity97.40M87.63M79.53M108.93M80.30M52.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.48M55.59M2.56M-83.60M74.07M24.69M
Operating Cash Flow26.54M55.77M3.39M-83.55M74.72M27.39M
Investing Cash Flow-15.11M-117.00K-824.00K-50.00K-66.06M-5.26M
Financing Cash Flow-24.21M-55.39M-3.16M81.04M-5.98M-23.35M

Alliance Entertainment Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.56
Price Trends
50DMA
3.11
Positive
100DMA
3.43
Positive
200DMA
4.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Negative
RSI
82.05
Negative
STOCH
91.53
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AENT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.60, above the 50-day MA of 3.11, and above the 200-day MA of 4.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 82.05 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AENT.

Alliance Entertainment Holding Risk Analysis

Alliance Entertainment Holding disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alliance Entertainment Holding reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Alliance Entertainment Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$232.37M19.6612.96%-3.43%
LVLVO
58
Neutral
$86.96M154.70%11.43%26.78%
56
Neutral
$97.52M38.6710.01%39.86%3.86%
55
Neutral
HK$64.46B-1.91-1.90%7.21%-4.17%-13.99%
RDRDI
42
Neutral
$43.16M-540.12%-7.36%18.52%
42
Neutral
$70.67M-21.52%18.60%-334.41%
41
Neutral
$33.42M-270.84%88.72%-85.53%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AENT
Alliance Entertainment Holding
5.34
2.38
80.41%
CNVS
Cineverse
6.04
5.20
619.05%
AGAE
Allied Gaming & Entertainment
1.81
0.43
31.16%
RDI
Reading International
1.26
-0.10
-7.35%
LVO
LiveOne
0.88
-0.46
-34.33%
ANGH
Anghami Inc.
0.50
-0.48
-48.98%

Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alliance Entertainment Ends Asset Purchase Agreement
Negative
Apr 25, 2025

On April 25, 2025, Thomas Finke announced his resignation from the Board of Directors of Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation, effective May 1, 2025. Additionally, on April 24, 2025, the company terminated its Asset Purchase Agreement with Diamond Comic Distributors, Inc., ending plans to acquire Diamond’s assets through a bankruptcy process, which may impact the company’s strategic direction and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025