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Adaptimmune Therapeutics (ADAPY)
OTHER OTC:ADAPY

Adaptimmune Therapeutics (ADAPY) AI Stock Analysis

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ADAPY

Adaptimmune Therapeutics

(OTC:ADAPY)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$0.03
▲(13.33% Upside)
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance, including steep revenue decline, ongoing losses, negative cash flows, and negative equity. Technicals also remain bearish with price below all key moving averages, though oversold indicators suggest potential near-term stabilization. Valuation provides limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
High gross margins
A very high gross margin indicates the company’s therapies have low variable production costs and attractive unit economics. If Adaptimmune can scale clinical success and commercialize SPEAR therapies, these margins support strong long-term profitability even as fixed R&D and SG&A scale.
Proprietary SPEAR platform
Owning a differentiated SPEAR T‑cell platform targeted at solid tumors gives Adaptimmune durable competitive advantage via specialized IP, know‑how and clinical differentiation. Platform leverage can support multiple programs, spreading R&D investments across indications.
Partnership-driven revenue model
A business model centered on collaborations delivers non-dilutive funding via upfronts, milestones and potential royalties, extending R&D runway and validating programs through partner commitments. This reduces sole reliance on product sales during commercialization ramp.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
A steep multi‑period revenue decline undermines scale economics and raises concerns about commercial traction or partner revenue continuity. Persistent top-line weakness limits reinvestment capacity, pressures margins, and heightens execution risk over the medium term.
Negative stockholders' equity
Negative equity signals liabilities exceed assets, creating solvency risk and constraining financing options. Over months, this can force dilutive capital raises or asset sales, weaken bargaining power with partners, and limit ability to sustain costly late‑stage trials.
Persistent negative operating cash flow
Ongoing negative operating cash flow means the company relies on external financing to fund operations and trials. Even with recent FCF growth, persistent cash burn reduces strategic flexibility, risks delaying programs if capital markets tighten, and may increase dilution risk.

Adaptimmune Therapeutics (ADAPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAdaptimmune Therapeutics plc, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, provides novel cell therapies primarily to cancer patients in the United States and the United Kingdom. It develops TECELRA ((famitresgene autoleucel or afami-cel), a genetically modified autologous T-cell immunotherapy for the treatment of adults with unresectable or metastatic synovial sarcoma; Lete-cel for the treatment synovial sarcoma and myxoid liposarcoma; and ADP-5701, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of head and neck cancer. The company also focuses on the development of T-cell therapies directed to PRAME (ADP-600) and CD70 (ADP-520). It has strategic collaboration with Galapagos to clinical proof-of-concept trial to evaluate the safety and efficacy of uza-cel produced on Galapagos' decentralized manufacturing platform (ADP-5701) in patients with head and neck cancer; collaboration and license agreement with Noile-Immune Biotech, Inc. and strategic alliance agreement with the MD Anderson Cancer Center. Adaptimmune Therapeutics plc was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Abingdon, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyAdaptimmune Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through collaborations and partnerships with pharmaceutical companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales of therapies developed in partnership. The company may also earn revenue from clinical trial agreements and grants that support its research and development efforts. Additionally, any successful commercialization of its SPEAR T-cell therapies could lead to significant revenue through product sales, particularly if these therapies gain regulatory approval and are adopted widely in clinical settings.

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Adaptimmune Therapeutics is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability, and a precarious balance sheet. Despite some improvement in free cash flow growth, the company's financial health remains weak, requiring strategic interventions to stabilize and improve its financial position.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Adaptimmune Therapeutics has experienced significant revenue volatility, with a sharp decline in TTM revenue growth of -63.77%. The company maintains a high gross profit margin of 98.06% in TTM, but this is overshadowed by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges and profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure with a negative stockholders' equity in TTM, leading to a negative debt-to-equity ratio. The return on equity is also negative, reflecting substantial losses relative to equity. These factors suggest financial instability and potential solvency risks.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a significant free cash flow growth of 73.93% in TTM, but the company still faces negative operating cash flow and free cash flow figures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue65.08M178.03M60.28M27.15M6.15M3.96M
Gross Profit61.70M177.96M50.42M-100.58M-104.94M-87.61M
EBITDA-149.75M-52.66M-128.20M-155.59M-155.68M-125.81M
Net Income-169.76M-70.81M-113.87M-165.46M-158.09M-130.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets130.63M245.96M282.62M328.92M469.55M451.14M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments26.06M151.60M146.94M204.60M369.58M368.22M
Total Debt48.68M74.21M25.23M23.08M25.47M23.71M
Total Liabilities201.59M234.11M243.10M247.04M263.58M109.92M
Stockholders Equity-70.96M11.85M39.51M81.88M205.96M341.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-191.71M-75.93M-145.76M-171.51M1.95M-56.50M
Operating Cash Flow-190.03M-73.21M-140.88M-141.77M10.73M-53.59M
Investing Cash Flow1.79M-58.95M176.54M89.14M75.80M-278.92M
Financing Cash Flow1.34M78.75M880.00K12.87M3.29M340.05M

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.03
Price Trends
50DMA
0.04
Positive
100DMA
0.07
Negative
200DMA
0.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
54.55
Neutral
STOCH
90.06
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADAPY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, below the 50-day MA of 0.04, and below the 200-day MA of 0.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.06 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ADAPY.

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Adaptimmune Therapeutics disclosed 82 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Adaptimmune Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Adaptimmune Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$33.01M-0.96-908.28%588.40%61.76%
48
Neutral
$28.39M-0.32-394.62%78.60%
44
Neutral
$9.28M-0.05-1341.37%-53.61%-93.14%
44
Neutral
$22.62M-0.31-100.00%32.37%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADAPY
Adaptimmune Therapeutics
0.04
-0.54
-93.96%
BCAB
BioAtla
0.35
-0.14
-27.96%
SNTI
Senti Biosciences
1.08
-3.44
-76.11%
XLO
Xilio Therapeutics
0.63
-0.09
-13.02%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 25, 2025