Alliance Creative Group (ACGX) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $23.32K
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 35.82K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 1.6
• Beta (1Y): -0.92
• Revenue Growth: -73.31%
• EPS Growth: -66.99%
• Country: US
• Employees: 3
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Packaging & Containers
• EPS (TTM): N/A
• Shares Outstanding: 601,044
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 5,686
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 35,818
• PEG Ratio: -0.19
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.07
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.59
• P/FCF Ratio: 2.79
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.48
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.17
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.33
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -0.77
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 53 Neutral
• Price Target: $0.04 ▼(-26.00% Downside)
• Action: Upgraded Date: 01/29/26
• Date: Action: Upgraded 01/29/26

The score is held back primarily by mixed financial quality (shrinking revenue and historically volatile cash generation) and a weak technical trend below major moving averages. A very low P/E provides the main offset, but it depends on earnings sustainability.

Positive Factors

Improved Leverage Profile

Debt-to-equity falling to ~0.76x from prior multi-year readings above ~3.5x materially lowers financial risk. This durable improvement increases flexibility to fund operations or invest in growth without immediate external financing, reducing bankruptcy and refinancing risk.

Rebound to Positive Cash Flow

Achieving positive operating and free cash flow provides a structural lift to self-funding capacity. Consistent cash generation supports working-capital needs, debt paydown, and reinvestment in client services, making the business less dependent on external capital over the medium term.

Higher Reported Margins in 2024

A material improvement in gross and net margins increases profitability durability per dollar of revenue. Higher margins provide a buffer against revenue volatility and support reinvestment in capabilities, pricing power or customer-service differentiation over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Shrinking Revenue Base

Declining revenue and scale erosion undermine the firm’s ability to spread fixed costs and sustain client programs. Revenue materially below 2021–2022 levels raises structural concerns about market share, client retention and long-term scalability of fee-for-service revenue streams.

Historically Inconsistent Cash Generation

Repeated years of negative operating and free cash flow indicate volatile working-capital dynamics and earnings quality issues. This persistent inconsistency elevates financing risk, constrains reinvestment and could force dilutive funding or costly borrowing if the positive 2024 cash result does not persist.

Residual Absolute Debt Burden

A ~$3.6M debt load is material for a very small revenue base and three employees. Even with improved ratios, the absolute debt level can constrain strategic flexibility, increase interest and covenant risk, and limit the firm's ability to invest in client acquisition or scale operations sustainably.

Alliance Creative Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alliance Creative Group, Inc. operates as a creative packaging and digital engagement company in the United States. The company provides creative and design services, including advertising campaigns, art direction, brand identity, graphic design, strategy and planning, logo design, Website design, collateral design, video production, conversion copywriting, blog and keyword planning, package design, and photography; and club packs, corrugate, flexible, folding carton, pallet display, pre-print, custom, stock, and thermo-forming packaging services. It also offers supply chain management services, such as third-party logistics, trucking and distribution, vendor managed inventory, and warehousing; commercial, digital, direct mail, grand format, large format, offset, catalog, design support, outdoor signage, and Web printing services; and brand audit and research, brand strategy, communication planning, content planning, event planning, event advisory, and PR advisory services. In addition, the company provides content creation, online marketing, customer engagement, business consulting and strategic marketing, software development, digital engagement, and logistics/VMI services. It offers its services under the St. Louis Packaging, STL Graphics, Snap Graphics, Print4aCause, CoporateGifts4aCause, and PeopleVine brand names to automotive, beauty and wellness, confectionery, food and beverage, gaming and electronics, home enhancement, music and entertainment, pet care, restaurant, sports, technology, and wine and spirits industries. The company was formerly known as Invicta Group, Inc. and changed its name to Alliance Creative Group, Inc. in November 2010. Alliance Creative Group, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in East Dundee, Illinois.

How the Company Makes Money

Alliance Creative Group makes money through several revenue streams, primarily by offering packaging and printing services to its clients. The company generates income by designing and producing custom packaging solutions tailored to meet the specific needs of its clients. Additionally, ACGX earns revenue through its supply chain management services, which include logistics support and inventory management. These services help clients streamline their operations and reduce costs. Significant partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers also contribute to its earnings by enabling the company to offer competitive pricing and comprehensive service packages.

Alliance Creative Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Recent profitability and leverage improved in 2024, but revenue has been shrinking and cash-flow quality has been historically weak with multiple years of negative operating/free cash flow. The durability of the improvement is still uncertain given past volatility.

Income Statement

Profitability improved sharply in the last two annual periods, with very high reported gross margin (100%) and net margin rising to ~21% in 2024 vs ~18% in 2023. However, the top line has been shrinking (revenue down ~13% in 2024 after a slight decline in 2023), and revenue is dramatically lower than 2021–2022 levels—raising questions around business scale/consistency. Earlier years show much thinner profitability (generally low-single-digit to ~2% net margin from 2019–2022), indicating results have been volatile over time.

Balance Sheet

Leverage is a key swing factor. Debt-to-equity was very elevated in 2022–2023 (above ~3.5x and peaking above ~4x), which is a meaningful balance-sheet risk for a small revenue base. The 2024 balance sheet shows a notable improvement (debt-to-equity ~0.76x) and much higher equity, but total debt remains sizable (~$3.6M). Returns on equity have also moderated to low levels in 2024 (~2.6%) versus stronger readings in prior years, suggesting the improved capitalization has not yet translated into strong shareholder returns.

Cash Flow

Cash generation has been inconsistent. Operating and free cash flow were materially negative in multiple years (notably 2020, 2022, and 2023), indicating earnings quality and working-capital dynamics have been a recurring issue. 2024 shows a rebound to positive operating and free cash flow (~$124k) and free cash flow matching net income (1.0x), but the prior-year deficit and the large swings year to year keep overall cash-flow quality below average.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Mar 2024	Dec 2022	Mar 2022	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	205.98K	583.51K	652.55K	12.24M	11.07M	9.34M
Gross Profit	102.99K	583.51K	652.55K	2.81M	2.43M	2.39M
EBITDA	-44.91K	123.60K	24.46K	0.00	0.00	1.38K
Net Income	127.38K	123.60K	116.12K	93.17K	161.31K	205.27K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.07M	4.49M	4.30M	3.83M	4.08M	3.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	238.88K	36.55K	89.42K	13.46K	31.29K	17.70K
Total Debt	250.00K	3.61M	3.51M	2.99M	923.25K	908.28K
Total Liabilities	250.00K	3.61M	3.51M	2.99M	2.55M	2.44M
Stockholders Equity	823.06K	4.75M	785.83K	837.25K	1.53M	544.01K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-3.58M	123.60K	-567.46K	-1.20M	3.62K	-245.51K
Operating Cash Flow	46.02K	123.60K	-449.19K	-1.20M	3.62K	-245.51K
Investing Cash Flow	2.15K	0.00	-118.27K	25.40K	-5.00K	9.01K
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	0.00	75.00K	434.28K	14.97K	167.01K

Alliance Creative Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 0.05
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACGX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.04, above the 50-day MA of 0.04, and below the 200-day MA of 0.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ACGX.

Alliance Creative Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
KRT	69 Neutral	$492.54M	16.44	19.43%	7.94%	8.93%	6.82%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
ACGX	53 Neutral	$23.32K	1.60	14.55%	―	-73.31%	-66.99%
PACK	53 Neutral	$429.47M	-11.61	-6.68%	―	9.54%	-81.46%
YHGJ	43 Neutral	$7.77M	-8.46	-7.12%	―	4.41%	55.72%