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ABN AMRO Bank (AAVMY)
OTHER OTC:AAVMY
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ABN AMRO Bank (AAVMY) AI Stock Analysis

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AAVMY

ABN AMRO Bank

(OTC:AAVMY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$41.00
â–²(21.09% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality—solid recent profitability but high leverage and historically volatile cash flow—partly offset by strong technical momentum and an attractive valuation (low P/E and solid yield). Earnings call commentary was supportive (cost guidance lowered, strong CET1, potential NII upside) but included meaningful near-term uncertainties (competition for deposits, provisioning/model volatility, and distribution timing).
Positive Factors
Strong capital position
A pro‑forma CET1 of 15.5% provides durable loss-absorption and regulatory headroom, enabling the bank to sustain lending, pursue RWA optimization and return capital. This strengthens strategic flexibility across economic cycles and supports steady investor distributions over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Sustained high leverage amplifies earnings and capital volatility in downturns and constrains strategic flexibility. Even with equity growth, elevated debt ratios increase sensitivity to credit losses and regulatory buffers, requiring conservative capital management and potentially limiting risk‑taking or distributions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong capital position
A pro‑forma CET1 of 15.5% provides durable loss-absorption and regulatory headroom, enabling the bank to sustain lending, pursue RWA optimization and return capital. This strengthens strategic flexibility across economic cycles and supports steady investor distributions over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

ABN AMRO Bank (AAVMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ABN AMRO Bank Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ABN AMRO Bank N.V. provides various banking products and services to retail, private, and business clients in the Netherlands and internationally. It operates through three segments: Personal & Business Banking, Wealth Management, and Corporate Ba...
How the Company Makes Money
ABN AMRO primarily makes money through (1) net interest income and (2) fee and commission income, supplemented by other income items. 1) Net interest income (core earnings driver) - Lending vs. funding spread: The bank earns interest on loans (no...

ABN AMRO Bank Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial performance: net profit rose 12% YoY, fee income hit record levels, mortgage and deposit growth are progressing toward 2028 targets, costs are being reduced and the CET1 ratio remains strong at 15.5%. Management also lowered full-year cost guidance and identified further RWA reductions. Key risks noted include market volatility depressing client assets and other income, higher modelled impairments driven by updated macro scenarios, deposit competition that could temper NII upside, and some timing uncertainty around capital distributability and restructuring costs. Overall, positive delivery and strong capital/risk metrics outweigh the highlighted near-term uncertainties.
Positive Updates
Net Profit and Profitability
Net profit of EUR 693 million, up 12% year-over-year, delivering a return on equity (ROE) of 10.7% for Q1 2026.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility Impacting Client Assets
March market volatility and seasonal effects reduced asset values in Q1; client assets were negatively impacted and Wealth Management fees were affected by negative market performance.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Net Profit and Profitability
Net profit of EUR 693 million, up 12% year-over-year, delivering a return on equity (ROE) of 10.7% for Q1 2026.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
ABN AMRO kept its full‑year outlook broadly unchanged while tightening costs and flagging upside: it cut 2026 cost guidance by ~EUR 100m to around EUR 5.5bn, kept commercial NII guidance for 2026 at EUR 6.4bn (with a 2028 NII ambition of ~EUR 7.2bn including NIBC) but noted current forward rates could add roughly EUR 100m to 2026 NII, and said it will narrow NII guidance at Q2; it reaffirmed its commitment to return at least EUR 7.5bn of capital by paying up to 100% of net profit over 2026–28, reported a pro‑forma CET1 of 15.5% (the NIBC deal may reduce CET1 by ~70–80bp in Q3), and reiterated a EUR 10bn Corporate Banking RWA reduction target (about 50% achieved, EUR 1bn realized in Q1, EUR 8bn identified for active management with ~20% securitized). Execution metrics supporting the guidance include a 5,200 FTE reduction target to 2028 (≈40% achieved since end‑2024), Q1 cost savings of EUR 60m (cumulative ~EUR 220m of a EUR 900m program), Q1 mortgage growth of EUR 2bn, client deposit ambition 46% achieved (63% including NIBC), a Q1 cost of risk of 9bp, Stage‑3 ratio 2.1% and coverage 15.8%, and a management overlay of ~EUR 75m.

ABN AMRO Bank Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid recently (low‑teens net margins and positive ROE), but the balance sheet runs with consistently high leverage (elevated debt-to-equity) and cash generation has been highly volatile, including multiple years of negative operating/free cash flow before improving in 2025.
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
43
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.72B16.88B19.50B8.78B10.15B7.64B
Gross Profit8.79B8.76B8.94B8.59B7.64B7.64B
EBITDA3.35B3.27B3.58B0.002.55B2.03B
Net Income2.31B2.16B2.40B2.70B1.87B1.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets413.92B413.21B385.05B377.91B379.58B399.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.39B51.53B45.80B55.05B62.84B68.25B
Total Debt83.60B79.02B81.54B54.44B63.96B67.72B
Total Liabilities386.44B386.17B358.94B353.74B356.77B377.11B
Stockholders Equity27.48B27.04B26.11B24.17B22.81B21.99B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.004.17B-11.25B-9.32B-8.33B9.40B
Operating Cash Flow0.004.45B-10.79B-7.82B-8.14B9.60B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-16.40B-4.81B-1.72B-239.00M3.86B
Financing Cash Flow0.0016.78B6.16B2.01B2.95B-7.38B

ABN AMRO Bank Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.86
Price Trends
50DMA
33.36
Positive
100DMA
33.76
Positive
200DMA
32.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.21
Negative
RSI
66.26
Neutral
STOCH
82.87
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AAVMY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.49, above the 50-day MA of 33.36, and above the 200-day MA of 32.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.87 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AAVMY.

ABN AMRO Bank Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$2.25B8.3621.63%3.70%-2.40%20.47%
72
Outperform
$127.22B8.8718.94%3.27%-10.12%13.24%
71
Outperform
$85.58B10.4612.71%4.14%10.57%19.15%
69
Neutral
$31.36B8.059.12%4.27%-2.65%9.63%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
64
Neutral
$62.39B3.7414.55%3.67%7.21%26.24%
62
Neutral
$80.33B6.179.46%1.71%12.95%21.64%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AAVMY
ABN AMRO Bank
38.08
13.50
54.94%
BBVA
Banco Bilbao
22.73
8.00
54.26%
BCS
Barclays
23.87
6.64
38.55%
ING
ING Groep
30.36
9.89
48.30%
NWG
NatWest Group
15.76
2.60
19.73%
NTB
Bank of NT Butterfield & Son
56.43
15.99
39.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026