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Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK) AI Stock Analysis

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BK

Bank of New York Mellon Corporation

(NYSE:BK)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$108.00
â–²(9.27%Upside)
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation demonstrates solid financial performance and positive technical indicators, supported by favorable earnings call outcomes and recent corporate events. The primary strengths lie in its robust financial health and strategic growth initiatives, while valuation and potential technical overbought signals moderately temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The company experienced a significant EPS beat driven by fees and net interest income, showing positive operating leverage for the sixth consecutive quarter.
Management Confidence
Management indicated that medium-term targets could be raised in the future, suggesting confidence in the company's growth potential.
Negative Factors
Organic Growth Challenges
Organic revenue growth seems far from an easy short-term fix and still waits to be seen.
Revenue Growth Uncertainty
The ability to generate sustainably higher revenue growth still seems to be determined.

Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK), commonly known as BNY Mellon, is a leading global financial services company headquartered in New York City. It operates in the investment services and investment management sectors, offering a wide range of products and services to its clients worldwide. Core offerings include asset servicing, wealth management, issuer services, clearing services, and treasury services. As one of the oldest banking institutions in the United States, BNY Mellon serves a diverse clientele, including corporations, financial institutions, governments, and high-net-worth individuals.
How the Company Makes MoneyBNY Mellon generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily categorized under investment services and investment management. In investment services, the company earns fees from asset servicing, which includes custody and fund services, as well as clearing services. Additionally, BNY Mellon provides issuer services and treasury services, both of which contribute to its revenue. In investment management, the firm collects fees based on the assets under management (AUM), offering investment solutions and wealth management services to institutional and individual clients. Key revenue drivers include transaction fees, management fees, and performance fees. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with other financial institutions further enhance its revenue-generating capabilities.

Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 15, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.77%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a robust performance with strong revenue growth, positive operating leverage, and significant advancements in digital assets, which were somewhat offset by challenges in the investment management segment and expected moderation in deposit growth. The outlook remains positive with continued focus on innovation and client engagement.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Earnings Growth
Earnings per share of $1.93 were up 27% year over year on a reported basis and up 28% excluding notable items. Total revenue was up 9% year over year, exceeding $5 billion for the first time in a quarter.
Positive Operating Leverage
The company generated approximately 500 basis points of positive operating leverage on both reported and operating bases, with a pretax margin of 37% and return on tangible common equity of 28%.
Record Sales and Client Engagement
Achieved a second consecutive quarter of record sales. The number of multiproduct relationships continues to grow, exemplified by the expanded relationship with UK asset manager LionTrust.
Advancements in Digital Assets
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation was selected as reserve custodian for Societe Generale's first USD stablecoin in Europe and as primary custodian of Ripple's US stablecoin reserves.
Robust Fee Revenue Growth
Fee revenue was up 7%, with significant growth in investment services fees driven by net new business, client activity, and higher market values.
Stable Capital and Liquidity Position
Tier 1 leverage ratio was 6.1%, and CET1 ratio was 11.5%. The company returned $1.2 billion of capital to shareholders, with a total payout ratio of 92% year to date.
Negative Updates
Investment Management Challenges
Investment management fees were down 1% year over year, and the segment reported a pretax margin of 19%, down 1% year over year. The segment also experienced $17 billion of net outflows.
Moderation in Deposit Growth
Average deposit balances grew by 6% sequentially, but are expected to moderate in the third quarter due to seasonal slowdown and strong prior year comparisons.
Company Guidance
During The Bank of New York Mellon's 2025 second-quarter earnings call, key metrics highlighted a strong financial performance. The company reported earnings per share of $1.93, a 27% increase year over year, with total revenue exceeding $5 billion for the first time, marking a 9% increase. The bank achieved significant positive operating leverage, approximately 500 basis points, with pretax margins improving to 37% and return on tangible common equity reaching 28%. Fee revenue rose by 7%, while net interest income increased by 17%, driven by higher yields and balance sheet growth. The firm's assets under custody and administration climbed 13% to $55.8 trillion, while assets under management grew by 3% to $2.1 trillion. The bank's capital ratios remained strong, with a CET1 ratio of 11.5%. The company also announced a 13% increase in its quarterly dividend and plans to continue repurchasing shares. Overall, BNY Mellon continues to demonstrate resilience and growth potential amidst evolving market conditions.

Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation shows robust financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, a solid balance sheet, and improving cash flows. However, slight fluctuations in some areas require attention, leading to a score of 80.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase from the previous year. Gross profit margins are nearly at the total revenue level, indicating strong cost control. Net profit margin shows a healthy increase, reflecting improved profitability. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT margin, suggesting rising operational expenses. Overall, the income statement reflects robust revenue growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet indicates a solid equity base with a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, highlighting low financial leverage. The equity ratio has remained stable, showcasing a strong asset base. There is a consistent increase in total assets, which is a positive indicator of growth. However, the reduced cash and equivalents over the year may require monitoring. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with low leverage and strong equity support.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow has demonstrated growth, reflecting strong cash generation from operations. The free cash flow this year shows a rebound, indicating effective capital expenditure management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting effective earnings conversion into cash. However, fluctuations in free cash flow in previous periods highlight potential volatility in cash management. Overall, cash flows are improving, but require careful management to maintain stability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue39.55B33.79B16.49B15.86B15.47B
Gross Profit18.26B17.29B16.03B15.86B15.47B
EBITDA7.65B5.84B5.26B6.51B6.10B
Net Income4.53B3.29B2.57B3.76B3.62B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets416.06B409.88B405.78B444.44B469.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments200.61B238.93B225.56B266.75B313.01B
Total Debt45.44B46.24B43.19B38.25B37.64B
Total Liabilities374.30B368.97B364.93B401.05B423.51B
Stockholders Equity41.32B40.77B40.73B43.03B45.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-782.00M4.69B13.72B1.62B3.82B
Operating Cash Flow687.00M5.91B15.07B2.84B5.04B
Investing Cash Flow-9.48B-5.81B19.87B19.67B-78.45B
Financing Cash Flow6.34B-3.52B-33.65B-21.96B75.51B

Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price98.84
Price Trends
50DMA
90.53
Positive
100DMA
85.80
Positive
200DMA
82.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.09
Negative
RSI
78.80
Negative
STOCH
90.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 98.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.95, above the 50-day MA of 90.53, and above the 200-day MA of 82.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.80 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BK.

Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Risk Analysis

Bank of New York Mellon Corporation disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bank of New York Mellon Corporation reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$23.30B12.0019.47%4.80%6.51%4.52%
AMAMP
80
Outperform
$51.85B18.5058.11%1.18%9.14%0.05%
BKBK
78
Outperform
$69.71B15.1011.75%1.90%7.41%51.70%
71
Outperform
$24.89B11.9417.54%2.35%21.00%137.62%
KKKKR
71
Outperform
$130.02B63.299.03%0.51%-27.45%-46.67%
STSTT
68
Neutral
$30.95B12.1610.94%2.80%13.08%67.88%
67
Neutral
$16.88B11.729.78%3.73%11.83%-7.72%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BK
Bank of New York Mellon Corporation
98.84
36.70
59.06%
AMP
Ameriprise Financial
544.55
129.83
31.31%
KKR
KKR & Co
145.98
28.77
24.55%
STT
State Street
108.51
27.16
33.39%
TROW
T Rowe Price
105.77
-4.59
-4.16%
NTRS
Northern
127.93
43.38
51.31%

Bank of New York Mellon Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BNY Mellon Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 15, 2025

On July 15, 2025, BNY Mellon reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, achieving a 9% year-over-year revenue increase, surpassing $5 billion for the first time in a quarter. The company demonstrated significant positive operating leverage, resulting in a pre-tax margin of 37% and a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 28%. This performance underscores BNY’s ongoing transformation and momentum, with record sales and enhanced operational efficiency following the launch of its new commercial model last year.

The most recent analyst rating on (BK) stock is a Buy with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BNY stock, see the BK Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividends
Bank of New York Mellon Increases Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Jul 1, 2025

On July 1, 2025, The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation announced its intention to increase its quarterly common stock cash dividend by 13%, from $0.47 to $0.53 per share, starting in the third quarter of 2025, pending Board approval. Additionally, the Federal Reserve confirmed that the company’s Stress Capital Buffer requirement will remain at 2.5%, effective from October 1, 2025, to September 30, 2026. The company is also authorized to continue its share repurchase program, with repurchases subject to factors like capital position and market conditions. The Federal Reserve’s proposed revisions to the capital plan rule are not expected to impact the company’s SCB requirement.

The most recent analyst rating on (BK) stock is a Hold with a $85.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of New York Mellon Corporation stock, see the BK Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
BNY Mellon CEO Robin Vince Elected Chairman
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation announced that Robin Vince, the current CEO, was elected as Chairman of the Board of Directors, effective September 1, 2025, succeeding Joseph J. Echevarria. Echevarria will transition to the role of lead independent director. This leadership change is expected to leverage Vince’s strategic approach and deep understanding of BNY’s business to continue the firm’s transformation and drive strategy, while Echevarria will facilitate communication between independent directors and the Chairman.

The most recent analyst rating on (BK) stock is a Buy with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of New York Mellon Corporation stock, see the BK Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Bank of New York Mellon Issues $2 Billion Notes
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

On June 10, 2025, The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation issued $2 billion in callable senior medium-term notes due in 2028 and 2036. This issuance, registered under the Securities Act of 1933, reflects the company’s strategic financial management and may impact its capital structure and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (BK) stock is a Buy with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of New York Mellon Corporation stock, see the BK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 16, 2025