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Exicure Inc (XCUR)
NASDAQ:XCUR

Exicure (XCUR) AI Stock Analysis

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XCUR

Exicure

(NASDAQ:XCUR)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-32.55% Downside)
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (minimal revenue, large losses, and still-negative cash flow) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting these risks are signs of stabilization in 2024, including reduced cash burn and improved leverage.
Positive Factors
Differentiated clinical profile (burixafor)
Burixafor’s rapid, same-day CD34+ mobilization and ~90% Phase 2 primary endpoint success create a durable clinical differentiation vs existing CXCR4 inhibitors that require overnight dosing. This structural advantage can lower logistics and cost barriers, aiding adoption in transplant settings and supporting expansion to new indications and registrational strategies.
Meaningfully improved balance sheet leverage
The reduction in debt and near-doubling of equity materially improved debt/equity from ~2.2x to ~0.88x, strengthening solvency and financial flexibility. This durable improvement lowers refinancing pressure and gives management more optionality to fund clinical programs or seek partnerships without immediate liquidity stress.
Strengthened internal R&D and integration of GPCR assets
Bringing GPCR assets in-house and hiring senior drug development leaders with proven regulatory and translational track records builds durable internal capability. This raises the likelihood of efficient Phase 3 planning, regulatory interactions, and potential indication expansion, reducing dependence on external partners for core development functions.
Negative Factors
Minimal revenue and persistent operating losses
The company remains a clinical-stage operation with negligible commercial revenue and sustained multi-year losses, limiting self-funding capacity. Persistently negative margins reduce financial resilience, increase dilution risk from future financings, and constrain long-term investment unless clinical programs translate to clear commercial prospects.
Ongoing negative operating cash flow and funding reliance
Although burn has moderated, the company still consumes cash from operations and has historically volatile outflows. Continued negative OCF means structural reliance on external financing or asset monetization; this limits strategic freedom, can dilute shareholders, and makes multi-site pivotal trials harder to support without partners.
Program concentration and contractual obligations
Exicure’s value and near-term prospects are concentrated in burixafor. The $1M milestone payment and adjusted sublicensing economics create recurring cash obligations and reduce upside from future deals. This concentration means clinical setbacks, regulatory delays, or commercialization issues with burixafor would have outsized negative impacts on the company’s financial trajectory.

Exicure (XCUR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Exicure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExicure, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops therapies for neurological disorders and hair loss based on its proprietary spherical nucleic acid (SNA) technology. Its lead program candidate includes SCN9A that is in preclinical studies for neuropathic and chronic pain. The company has a collaboration, option, and license agreement with AbbVie Inc. to develop SNA-based treatments for hair loss disorders; and collaboration agreement with Ipsen S.A. to research, develop, and commercialize novel spherical nucleic acids for Huntington's disease and Angelman syndrome. Exicure, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyExicure makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary therapies derived from its spherical nucleic acid (SNA) platform. Revenue streams include research and development collaborations with pharmaceutical companies, licensing agreements, and potential milestone payments and royalties from partnered programs. Significant partnerships play a crucial role in Exicure's earnings, as they provide funding and resources to advance clinical trials and bring therapies to market. Additionally, Exicure may generate revenue from the successful commercialization of its own pipeline products, pending regulatory approvals.

Exicure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile remains high-risk: 2024 revenue was minimal ($0.5M) with a large net loss (~$9.7M). Cash burn improved materially (operating/free cash flow about -$2.9M vs. -$10.4M in 2023) and leverage improved (debt/equity down to ~0.88x), but profitability and sustainable cash generation are still major weaknesses.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Operating performance remains weak and volatile. In 2024 revenue was minimal ($0.5M) and profitability was deeply negative (net loss of ~$9.7M with a sharply negative net margin). Results improved versus 2023’s larger loss (~$16.9M) and 2022 showed far better scale ($28.8M revenue) with a smaller loss, but the multi-year pattern is inconsistent revenues and persistent losses, which limits visibility and reduces quality of earnings.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Balance sheet leverage has improved meaningfully. Total debt declined to ~$5.9M in 2024 from ~$6.7M in 2023, while equity increased to ~$6.8M from ~$3.0M, bringing debt relative to equity down to ~0.88x from ~2.20x. That said, equity is still modest versus the ongoing loss profile (return on equity remains very negative), so the balance sheet is better positioned than last year but still exposed if losses persist.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash generation is still pressured, but burn has moderated. 2024 operating and free cash flow were both about -$2.9M, a substantial improvement from 2023’s roughly -$10.4M. However, the business is still consuming cash from operations and remains dependent on funding or balance sheet capacity; historically cash flows have been volatile (including very large operating outflows in 2020–2022).
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.00500.00K0.0028.83M-483.00K16.61M
Gross Profit0.00500.00K-1.42M26.97M-483.00K-15.48M
EBITDA-14.57M-8.85M-15.54M78.00K-60.63M-22.65M
Net Income-9.23M-9.70M-16.91M-2.58M-64.10M-24.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.27M15.06M11.58M23.33M64.87M100.44M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.44M12.51M816.00K8.58M39.14M82.08M
Total Debt0.005.93M6.67M7.31M14.74M24.77M
Total Liabilities8.34M8.28M8.55M8.41M53.64M38.94M
Stockholders Equity6.93M6.77M3.03M14.92M11.23M61.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.04M-2.91M-10.36M-35.67M-35.79M-42.44M
Operating Cash Flow-4.72M-2.91M-10.36M-35.66M-34.82M-39.27M
Investing Cash Flow-2.37M0.00-1.08M4.70M43.09M10.14M
Financing Cash Flow14.00M13.40M3.67M-3.10M1.12M15.13M

Exicure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.93
Price Trends
50DMA
5.45
Negative
100DMA
4.87
Negative
200DMA
6.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Positive
RSI
32.07
Neutral
STOCH
6.81
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XCUR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.36, above the 50-day MA of 5.45, and below the 200-day MA of 6.49, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XCUR.

Exicure Risk Analysis

Exicure disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Exicure reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Exicure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$151.42M-0.95-74.28%-19.00%-2.72%
44
Neutral
$26.01M-2.71-217.87%-100.00%33.44%
44
Neutral
$139.91M-2.00-102.47%66.05%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XCUR
Exicure
4.08
-6.14
-60.08%
UNCY
Unicycive Therapeutics
6.51
0.26
4.16%
CRBU
Caribou Biosciences
1.62
0.16
10.96%

Exicure Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Exicure Achieves Milestone in Burixafor Phase 2 Program
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

On January 16, 2026, Exicure completed the first contractual milestone under its collaboration with GPCR Therapeutics by finishing a Phase 2 clinical trial of its novel stem cell mobilizer, Burixafor (GPC‑100), and submitting the clinical study report to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration. The milestone triggers a $1 million payment to GPCR Therapeutics within 30 days and adjusts the future sublicensing income-sharing ratio, deepening Exicure’s economic participation in and long-term commitment to the program and signaling continued progress in its CXCR4 inhibitor development strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (XCUR) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exicure stock, see the XCUR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Exicure Redeems Convertible Bonds for Liquidity
Neutral
Nov 17, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Exicure, Inc. redeemed in full the 4.5 billion KRW, approximately $3.125 million USD, of 2.90% Convertible Bonds due 2028, originally issued by its subsidiary KC Creation Co., Ltd. This early redemption, funded through internal cash transfers, is part of Exicure’s strategy to simplify intercompany financing and secure liquidity for its biotechnology operations. The transaction is not expected to materially impact the company’s consolidated financial statements.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Exicure Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Nov 10, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Exicure, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders where three proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected two Class II directors to serve until the 2028 Annual Meeting, ratified the selection of CBIZ CPAs P.C. as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, and approved the executive compensation on a non-binding advisory basis.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026