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Warby Parker (WRBY)
NYSE:WRBY
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Warby Parker (WRBY) AI Stock Analysis

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WRBY

Warby Parker

(NYSE:WRBY)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▼(-5.12% Downside)
Warby Parker's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance and technical analysis. The company faces profitability challenges and weak market momentum, reflected in its low valuation score. Despite strong revenue growth and strategic partnerships highlighted in the earnings call, these factors are overshadowed by the financial and technical weaknesses.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Warby Parker's consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and stability.
Partnership with Google
The partnership with Google positions Warby Parker at the forefront of innovation in eyewear, potentially expanding its market reach and enhancing competitive advantage.
Customer Growth
Sustained customer growth reflects successful customer acquisition and retention strategies, crucial for long-term revenue and market share expansion.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues could hinder Warby Parker's ability to reinvest in growth and innovation, impacting its long-term financial health.
CFO Transition
The departure of the CFO may lead to strategic and operational uncertainties, affecting financial planning and execution in the near term.
Tariff-Related Headwinds
Tariff impacts on margins could pressure profitability, necessitating cost management and pricing strategies to maintain financial performance.

Warby Parker (WRBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Warby Parker Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWarby Parker Inc. provides eyewear products. It offers eyeglasses, sunglasses, light-responsive lenses, blue-light-filtering lenses, and contact lenses, as well as accessories, including cases, lenses kit with anti-fog spray, pouches, and anti-fog lens spray. The company also offers eye exams and vision tests directly to consumers through its retail stores, website, and mobile apps. As of May 16, 2022, it had 160 retail stores in the United States and Canada. The company was formerly known as JAND, Inc. and changed its name to Warby Parker Inc. in June 2021. Warby Parker Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyWarby Parker primarily generates revenue through the sale of prescription eyeglasses, sunglasses, and contact lenses. Its direct-to-consumer model allows the company to sell products at competitive prices, often significantly lower than traditional optical retailers. Key revenue streams include the sale of frames, lenses, and accessories, as well as the provision of eye exams in its retail locations. Additionally, the company has developed partnerships with various organizations and initiatives that enhance its brand visibility and customer reach. Warby Parker's innovative Home Try-On program, which allows customers to test frames at home before purchasing, also contributes to higher conversion rates and customer satisfaction, ultimately boosting sales.

Warby Parker Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Store Count
Store Count
Indicates the number of physical locations, reflecting the company's retail footprint and potential market reach. A growing store count can signal expansion efforts and increased brand presence.
Chart InsightsWarby Parker's aggressive store expansion strategy is evident, with a consistent increase in store count, reaching 300 locations by mid-2025. This growth aligns with their 19% retail revenue increase and strategic initiatives, including shop-in-shops in Target. The earnings call highlights a transformative partnership with Google for AI-powered eyewear, potentially broadening their market. However, challenges like tariff impacts and the phasing out of the home try-on program could affect margins and customer acquisition. The CFO's departure adds uncertainty to their financial leadership.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Warby Parker Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, adjusted EBITDA performance, and strategic partnerships in AI innovation. However, there were concerns over deceleration in contact lens growth and macroeconomic challenges impacting consumer sentiment, particularly among younger demographics.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Net revenue grew 15.2% year-over-year, driven by 20% growth in retail revenue.
Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Adjusted EBITDA grew approximately 50% to $25.7 million, representing an 11.6% adjusted EBITDA margin and 260 basis points of year-over-year expansion.
Retail Expansion and Productivity
Achieved record retail productivity and the largest ever quarter for new store openings, including the first 5 Target shop-in-shops.
AI and Innovation Partnership
Partnerships with Google and Samsung to develop AI glasses, leveraging AI to enhance customer experience and drive productivity.
Active Customer Growth
Ninth consecutive quarter of accelerating active customer growth, ending Q3 with 2.7 million active customers, an increase of 9.3% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Deceleration in Contact Lens Growth
Contacts growth decelerated due to broader consumer sentiment softening, with a mix shift towards lower-priced frames impacting average selling price.
Macro Economic Concerns
Cited uncertainty in the macro environment affecting consumer sentiment, particularly among younger and lower-income consumers.
Sunsetting of Programs
Decision to retire the Scout contacts brand and sunset the Home Try-on program, reflecting adjustments to align with customer preferences.
Company Guidance
During Warby Parker's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 15.2% year-over-year increase in net revenue, with retail revenue rising by 20%. The adjusted gross margin was 54.2%, and adjusted EBITDA grew by approximately 50% to $25.7 million, resulting in an 11.6% adjusted EBITDA margin and 260 basis points of year-over-year expansion. The company highlighted shifting consumer trends, with resilience in the progressives customer base despite a mix shift in glasses that impacted average selling price. Warby Parker reaffirmed its 2025 adjusted EBITDA outlook and increased its adjusted EBITDA margin expectations, emphasizing AI-driven productivity gains. The company also announced partnerships with Google and Samsung to develop AI glasses, aiming to drive future growth and innovation.

Warby Parker Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Warby Parker is experiencing moderate revenue growth but continues to face challenges in achieving profitability. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but the negative return on equity is concerning. Cash flow generation is under pressure, with a significant decline in free cash flow. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and cash flow generation to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Warby Parker has shown a modest revenue growth rate of 3.56% in the TTM, indicating a positive trend. However, the company is struggling with profitability as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 54.49%, but the net profit margin is negative, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.63, indicating a moderate level of leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient returns on its equity base. The equity ratio stands at 52.28%, showing a reasonable proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Warby Parker's free cash flow has decreased by 27.83% in the TTM, which is a concern. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.86, indicating that operating cash flows are relatively strong compared to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.45, suggesting limited free cash flow generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue850.58M771.32M669.76M598.11M540.80M393.72M
Gross Profit462.66M426.83M365.22M341.06M317.75M231.94M
EBITDA19.10M15.75M-33.44M-78.03M-121.70M-37.26M
Net Income717.00K-20.39M-63.20M-110.39M-144.27M-55.92M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets706.92M676.49M580.31M568.71M440.65M444.75M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments280.36M254.16M216.89M208.59M256.42M314.08M
Total Debt232.53M225.35M174.46M173.38M0.000.00
Total Liabilities337.30M336.42M278.52M282.06M154.65M136.34M
Stockholders Equity369.63M340.07M301.79M286.65M286.00M308.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.79M34.71M7.32M-49.81M-80.51M12.69M
Operating Cash Flow107.44M98.74M60.99M10.37M-31.99M32.76M
Investing Cash Flow-69.65M-66.03M-54.67M-60.18M-48.51M-20.07M
Financing Cash Flow-8.48M4.96M2.87M3.29M23.00M245.94M

Warby Parker Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.39
Price Trends
50DMA
24.01
Negative
100DMA
24.00
Negative
200DMA
22.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.81
Positive
RSI
21.75
Positive
STOCH
34.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WRBY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.39 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.40, below the 50-day MA of 24.01, and below the 200-day MA of 22.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 21.75 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WRBY.

Warby Parker Risk Analysis

Warby Parker disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Warby Parker reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Warby Parker Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
$5.51B-4.69%6.23%17.53%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
$2.10B4,531.580.20%14.55%
35
Underperform
$7.18M-0.48-83.04%29.30%70.61%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WRBY
Warby Parker
17.39
-3.84
-18.09%
BLCO
Bausch + Lomb Corporation
15.97
-3.57
-18.27%
LUCY
Innovative Eyewear, Inc.
1.54
-5.40
-77.81%

Warby Parker Corporate Events

Warby Parker Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Warby Parker, Inc. is a direct-to-consumer lifestyle brand specializing in vision products, including prescription glasses and contact lenses, with a unique commitment to social impact through their Buy a Pair, Give a Pair program. In its third quarter of 2025, Warby Parker reported a robust financial performance with a 15% increase in net revenue year-over-year, reaching $221.7 million, and a 9% growth in active customers. The company also saw an improvement in net income to $5.9 million, reflecting a significant enhancement in profitability. Key financial metrics for the quarter include a 4.8% rise in average revenue per customer and an adjusted EBITDA increase to $25.7 million, indicating strong operational discipline. The company opened 15 new stores, bringing the total to 313 locations, and ended the quarter with $280.4 million in cash and cash equivalents. Looking ahead, Warby Parker remains optimistic about its growth trajectory, with plans to continue expanding its store footprint and leveraging AI innovations to enhance customer experiences and product offerings.

Warby Parker’s Earnings Call: Growth and Strategic Moves
Aug 13, 2025

Warby Parker’s recent earnings call showcased a positive sentiment, driven by strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company highlighted its partnership with Google and expansion in retail presence as key growth drivers. However, challenges such as tariff impacts and the phasing out of the home try-on program were noted, alongside the uncertainty brought by the departure of their CFO.

Warby Parker Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Warby Parker, Inc. is a direct-to-consumer lifestyle brand specializing in vision care, offering designer-quality prescription glasses, contact lenses, and eye exams through its retail stores and online platform. The company is known for its innovative approach and commitment to social impact, providing a pair of glasses to someone in need for every pair sold.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Warby Parker CFO Steve Miller Resigns
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Warby Parker announced that Steve Miller, the Chief Financial Officer, will resign effective October 1, 2025, to pursue opportunities outside the industry. Co-CEO Dave Gilboa will temporarily assume Miller’s roles until a successor is appointed, ensuring a smooth transition. In its second quarter of 2025, Warby Parker reported a 14% increase in net revenue to $214 million and a 9% rise in active customers. The company is expanding its innovative offerings, including a partnership with Google to develop intelligent eyewear, and has raised its financial outlook for the year, reflecting its strong market positioning and growth potential.

The most recent analyst rating on (WRBY) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Warby Parker stock, see the WRBY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025