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Willis Lease Finance Corp. (WLFC)
NASDAQ:WLFC

Willis Lease Finance (WLFC) AI Stock Analysis

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WLFC

Willis Lease Finance

(NASDAQ:WLFC)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$189.00
â–²(56.82% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/10/26
WLFC scores as moderately attractive: valuation is supportive (low P/E) and the latest earnings-call data points to strong operating momentum and improving leverage. The score is held back mainly by weaker financial statement quality driven by volatile/negative free cash flow and leverage/data-clarity risks, plus soft near-term technical conditions.
Positive Factors
Revenue & Utilization Recovery
Sustained revenue acceleration and near-85% portfolio utilization indicate durable demand for spare engines and leases. Recurring lease rent and maintenance reserve streams improve predictability of cash flows and support operations and portfolio monetization over the next several months.
Expanded Capital & Funding Partnerships
New institutional capital relationships materially expand funding capacity and risk sharing. Access to committed pools and warehouse facilities reduces near-term refinancing pressure, enables asset acquisitions, and strengthens WLFC's ability to scale leasing without relying solely on parent-borne debt.
OEM-backed Engine Life Extension Program
An OEM-coordinated life-extension program lengthens useful asset life and lowers overhaul costs, improving time-on-wing and utilization. This structural capability enhances WLFC's asset economics, supports customer retention, and differentiates its maintenance offering versus peers over a multi-month horizon.
Negative Factors
Volatile and Often Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistently volatile or negative free cash flow constrains WLFC's ability to pay down debt, fund acquisitions organically, and sustainably support dividends. In a capital‑intensive leasing model, weak FCF reduces financial flexibility and increases reliance on external financing across the next several months.
High Leverage & Debt Reporting Ambiguity
Historically high leverage raises refinancing and downturn vulnerability for an asset-heavy lessor. Conflicting debt disclosures create reporting risk and may undermine creditor confidence, complicating covenant compliance and access to capital during credit-sensitive periods in the near term.
Asset Impairments and Spare-Parts Margin Pressure
Impairments and negative aftermarket margins reveal asset-quality and parts market volatility. Recurring write‑downs reduce book values and ROE, while weak parts profitability erodes a complementary revenue stream that supports overall margins and cash generation across cycles.

Willis Lease Finance (WLFC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Willis Lease Finance Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWillis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) is a global leader in the aviation finance industry, specializing in the leasing and financing of commercial aircraft engines and other aviation-related assets. The company operates primarily within the aerospace sector, providing a range of services that include the leasing of aircraft engines, the management of spare parts, and the offering of comprehensive maintenance and repair programs. WLFC serves a diverse clientele, including airlines, aircraft manufacturers, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) providers, ensuring a robust portfolio of aviation assets.
How the Company Makes MoneyWillis Lease Finance generates revenue primarily through the leasing of aircraft engines and other aviation assets. The company's core revenue streams include lease payments made by customers over the term of the lease agreements, which typically span multiple years. Additionally, WLFC earns income from the sale of spare parts, maintenance services, and support services provided to lessees. The company may also benefit from financial transactions related to the acquisition and disposition of its assets. Strategic partnerships with airlines and other aviation stakeholders enhance its market presence and provide stability to its revenue model, while the management of its asset portfolio allows for optimization of earnings through efficient asset deployment.

Willis Lease Finance Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Shows how much profit each business line contributes—such as aircraft leasing, engine leasing, parts sales, or services—revealing which activities generate healthy margins and which drag on earnings. Helps investors judge the sustainability of profits, where management is allocating capital, and how sensitive earnings are to lease rates, maintenance costs, or asset impairments.
Chart InsightsOperating income is now overwhelmingly driven by Leasing & Related Operations, which moved from lumpy, sometimes negative results into a sustained, higher‑volatility profit run starting mid‑2024 and continuing through 2025; that concentration creates meaningful upside when lease rates, utilization or asset sales align but also raises cyclicality and exposure to aircraft values. Spare‑parts is a noisy, small but recently negative swing risk that can erode quarterly results, while eliminations are immaterial—watch leasing portfolio health and residual‑value sensitivity.
Data provided by:The Fly

Willis Lease Finance Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth, record leasing revenues, and strategic investments, demonstrating a strong financial position and operational expansion. However, challenges were noted in the form of increased G&A expenses, equipment write-downs, and a decline in spare parts sales. Despite these challenges, the company's overall strong performance and strategic initiatives reflect a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Delivered quarterly revenue of $183.4 million, a 25.4% increase year-over-year. Record leasing revenues in the third quarter with total leasing, maintenance reserve, and interest revenue at $156 million, a 32% increase from the same quarter in 2024.
Dividend Increase
Declared the seventh consecutive quarterly dividend, increasing it to $0.40 per share, indicating confidence in the business's strength.
Strong Financial Performance Metrics
Produced record core quarterly lease rent revenues of $76.6 million and record maintenance reserve revenue of $76.1 million. Earnings before tax for the quarter were $43.2 million, up 25% from the comparable period in 2024, with a net income of $22.9 million attributable to common shareholders.
Strategic Expansion and Investment
Purchased 16 engines and 6 aircraft totaling approximately $136.4 million, expanding the lease portfolio. Opened a new aircraft maintenance hangar in Teesside, which is fully booked through the winter season.
Negative Updates
Increased G&A Expenses
G&A expenses were $49.2 million in the third quarter, up $9.2 million compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to increased consultant fees and personnel costs.
Write-Down of Equipment
Equipment write-down of $10.2 million for the quarter, representing impairment on 8 engines, highlighting ongoing challenges with older and unserviceable engines.
Decline in Spare Parts and Equipment Sales
Spare parts and equipment sales through the WASI business were $5.4 million in the third quarter compared to $10.9 million in the prior comparable period, reflecting fluctuations in sales and larger scrap expenses.
Negative Gross Margins in Spare Parts Segment
Q3 margins in spare parts and equipment sales were negative $1.3 million due to larger scrap expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Willis Lease Finance Corporation's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company announced a strong performance, with quarterly revenue reaching $183.4 million, marking a 25.4% increase year-over-year. The company highlighted record core quarterly lease rent revenues of $76.6 million and maintenance reserve revenue of $76.1 million, reflecting a solid 32% increase in leasing, maintenance reserve, and interest revenue from the same quarter in 2024. Additionally, Willis Lease reported a 43.2% rise in earnings before tax, totaling $43.2 million for the quarter, and a net income attributable to common shareholders of $22.9 million. The company declared its seventh consecutive quarterly dividend, increasing it to $0.40 per share. Management emphasized the robust demand for their leasing and maintenance services, with an average third-quarter utilization of approximately 86% and a lease rental factor exceeding 1%. As part of its growth strategy, Willis Lease expanded its portfolio by purchasing 16 engines and 6 aircraft, totaling approximately $136.4 million, and continued to develop its services platform. The company's leverage ratio improved, ticking lower to 2.90x from 3.48x at the end of 2024, supported by a $1 billion credit facility and $500 million warehouse facility.

Willis Lease Finance Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and revenue trends are strong (income statement score 78) with improved margins and ROE, but the overall quality of earnings is tempered by historically high leverage and unclear/latest debt reporting (balance sheet score 56) plus volatile, often negative free cash flow and low confidence in some TTM cash-flow details (cash flow score 38).
Income Statement
78
Positive
WLFC shows a strong multi-year recovery and solid profitability. Revenue accelerated meaningfully from 2022–2024, and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue grew another ~6%. Profitability improved sharply versus 2021–2022, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net margin around ~18% and healthy operating profitability. The main caution is that operating earnings and margins appear to have softened versus 2024 while revenue rose, suggesting cost pressure or mix effects.
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
The balance sheet is mixed: returns on equity are strong (~20% in 2024 and TTM), but leverage has historically been high with debt-to-equity above ~4x in 2021–2024, which increases refinancing and downturn risk for an asset-heavy leasing business. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows an improved leverage profile (lower debt-to-equity), but the reported total debt of zero conflicts with the leverage ratio, so the latest debt position is unclear and adds reporting risk.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Cash generation is the weak spot. While operating cash flow has been solid in several years (2022–2024) and generally exceeded net income, free cash flow has been volatile and often negative, including a large outflow in 2024 and still negative in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). This pattern suggests heavy reinvestment/capex needs and/or working-capital swings that limit cash available for deleveraging and shareholder returns; additionally, TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is shown as zero despite other coverage metrics being positive, which reduces confidence in the latest period’s cash flow detail.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue675.84M569.22M418.56M311.93M274.20M
Gross Profit444.10M429.44M291.26M202.83M168.77M
EBITDA329.53M352.62M236.85M164.80M167.63M
Net Income113.76M108.61M43.78M5.44M3.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.03B3.30B2.65B2.58B2.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.44M9.11M7.07M12.15M14.33M
Total Debt2.71B2.26B1.80B1.85B1.79B
Total Liabilities3.31B2.75B2.21B2.17B2.09B
Stockholders Equity725.54M549.34M438.96M404.69M375.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-241.34M-546.07M60.96M-148.60M-117.29M
Operating Cash Flow283.24M284.41M229.74M144.42M90.66M
Investing Cash Flow-256.40M-764.91M-92.78M-194.38M-148.00M
Financing Cash Flow387.60M444.98M-57.94M43.33M74.05M

Willis Lease Finance Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price120.52
Price Trends
50DMA
183.42
Negative
100DMA
155.76
Positive
200DMA
148.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.62
Positive
RSI
36.86
Neutral
STOCH
22.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WLFC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 120.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 186.84, below the 50-day MA of 183.42, and below the 200-day MA of 148.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WLFC.

Willis Lease Finance Risk Analysis

Willis Lease Finance disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Willis Lease Finance reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Willis Lease Finance Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$22.66B6.6020.95%0.74%2.90%67.73%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$1.14B8.0516.94%0.82%27.90%19.25%
63
Neutral
$7.24B9.9213.23%1.37%9.67%96.43%
61
Neutral
$7.63B16.0316.36%1.75%1.68%9.91%
47
Neutral
$1.31B-2.13193.77%―-7.36%62.27%
43
Neutral
$3.58B-5.0832.05%―-1.22%-639.34%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WLFC
Willis Lease Finance
167.51
-17.81
-9.61%
AER
Aercap Holdings
135.79
32.42
31.37%
AL
Air Lease
64.61
17.80
38.01%
CAR
Avis Budget
101.52
40.62
66.70%
R
Ryder System
193.48
56.42
41.17%
HTZ
Hertz Global
4.18
0.53
14.52%

Willis Lease Finance Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Willis Lease Finance Announces Record 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Mar 10, 2026

On March 10, 2026, Willis Lease Finance Corporation reported record results for the year ended December 31, 2025, with total revenue rising 28.3% to $730.2 million and pre-tax income increasing 5.2% to $160.6 million. The company also posted record net income attributable to common shareholders of $108.1 million, adjusted EBITDA of $459.1 million, and higher average portfolio utilization of 84.9%.

Growth in 2025 was driven by strong lease rent and maintenance reserve revenues totaling $523.6 million, a 252.3% surge in spare parts and equipment sales to $95.5 million, and a higher gain on sale of leased equipment at $54.0 million as the company sold more engines and airframes from its portfolio. Management highlighted that these operating gains, along with strategic initiatives and capital markets activities, are reinforcing long-term growth prospects and strengthening Willis Lease Finance’s position in a recovering aviation market.

The most recent analyst rating on (WLFC) stock is a Buy with a $196.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Willis Lease Finance stock, see the WLFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Willis Lease Finance Amends Credit Agreement to Adjust Leverage
Positive
Feb 24, 2026

On February 19, 2026, Willis Lease Finance Corporation and its guarantors executed a second amendment to their existing credit agreement with Bank of America, N.A., acting as administrative agent. The amendment modifies the way “Total Debt” is calculated for determining the “Maximum Leverage Ratio,” specifically excluding certain amounts from the debt calculation.

By altering the leverage ratio mechanics without changing the agreement’s broader structure, the company gains additional flexibility in managing its balance sheet under its revolving credit facility. This change may ease potential covenant constraints, supporting ongoing financing capacity and operational resilience for Willis Lease Finance in the capital‑intensive aircraft engine leasing market.

The most recent analyst rating on (WLFC) stock is a Buy with a $196.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Willis Lease Finance stock, see the WLFC Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Willis Lease Finance Schedules Q4 and 2025 Results Call
Neutral
Feb 10, 2026

Willis Lease Finance Corporation, a global lessor of spare commercial aircraft engines and aircraft with complementary trading, asset management, maintenance and end-of-life services, supports airlines, engine manufacturers and MRO providers across the aviation lifecycle. Through subsidiaries focused on engine repair, aircraft maintenance, disassembly, storage and FBO and ground handling operations, the company delivers an integrated suite of aviation services to customers worldwide.

On February 10, 2026, WLFC announced it would release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on March 10, 2026, and hold a management-led conference call that same day at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Standard Time to discuss the performance. The planned release and call will provide investors and other stakeholders with an update on the company’s recent financial and operating trends, with related materials and a replay to be made available in the investor relations section of its website.

The most recent analyst rating on (WLFC) stock is a Buy with a $196.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Willis Lease Finance stock, see the WLFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Willis Lease Finance Launches CFM56 Engine Life Extension Program
Positive
Feb 9, 2026

On February 9, 2026, Willis Lease Finance Corporation announced an industry‑first program developed with CFM International to extend the operational life of CFM56‑5B and CFM56‑7B engines, key powerplants for many single‑aisle commercial aircraft. The initiative allows WLFC to keep these engines in service longer by restoring core components instead of fully disassembling the engines, with an initial group of engines already inducted and plans to expand participation over time.

As the first commercial aircraft engine lessor to partner with the original equipment manufacturer on this type of program for CFM56‑5B and CFM56‑7B models, WLFC aims to offer customers high‑quality, cost‑effective shop visits performed both in its own facilities and selected external shops. Access to OEM material through the agreement is expected to reinforce CFM56 reliability and time on wing for WLFC’s customer base, strengthening the company’s position in engine lifecycle management and potentially enhancing asset utilization and maintenance economics for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (WLFC) stock is a Buy with a $196.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Willis Lease Finance stock, see the WLFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Willis Lease Finance Declares Quarterly Dividend, Signals Confidence
Positive
Jan 20, 2026

On January 16, 2026, Willis Lease Finance Corporation’s board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.40 per share on its common stock, to be paid on February 20, 2026 to shareholders of record as of February 11, 2026. The announcement, reaffirmed in a January 20, 2026 release, underscores management’s message that the company’s current financial performance and balance sheet support ongoing capital returns and signal continued commitment to delivering long-term value to investors in the aviation leasing sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (WLFC) stock is a Buy with a $206.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Willis Lease Finance stock, see the WLFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Willis Lease Finance Explores Strategic Options for UK Unit
Negative
Jan 9, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Willis Lease Finance Corporation decided to cease further investment in its Willis Sustainable Fuels (UK) Limited initiative and to pursue strategic alternatives for the unit, including a potential sale. The move signals a retreat from this specific sustainable fuels venture and suggests a refocusing of capital and management attention away from the UK sustainable fuels arm, with potential implications for the company’s longer-term approach to diversification into alternative aviation-related businesses.

The most recent analyst rating on (WLFC) stock is a Buy with a $157.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Willis Lease Finance stock, see the WLFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Willis Lease Finance Forms Major Engine Leasing Partnership
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Willis Lease Finance Corporation announced a strategic aircraft engine leasing partnership with Blackstone Credit & Insurance to create a new fund targeting current and next-generation aircraft engines and select aircraft, with plans to deploy over $1 billion in assets over the next two years. The tie-up combines Willis’s established engine leasing and asset management platform, including a pre-identified seed portfolio and near-term pipeline of high-quality engine assets, with Blackstone’s large private credit franchise to provide immediate scale, broader capital diversification for Willis and expanded access to essential engine solutions for airline customers globally, reinforcing both firms’ positioning in asset-based aviation finance.

The most recent analyst rating on (WLFC) stock is a Buy with a $157.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Willis Lease Finance stock, see the WLFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Willis Lease Finance Secures $600 Million Aviation Partnership
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Willis Lease Finance Corporation announced it had closed an inaugural investment partnership with Liberty Mutual Investments that will provide up to $600 million to support the company’s expanding credit strategy in aviation engine finance. Backed by a warehouse debt facility from Bank of America, the capital will be deployed into loan and loan-like engine financings, a segment Willis Lease pioneered with its first revolving credit lease in 2021, strengthening its asset management and credit platform and underscoring investor confidence in its leadership position within aviation finance.

The most recent analyst rating on (WLFC) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Willis Lease Finance stock, see the WLFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Willis Lease Finance closes $392.9 million notes offering
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 23, 2025, Willis Lease Finance Corporation announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, Willis Engine Structured Trust IX, closed a $392.9 million private offering of fixed-rate asset-backed notes, comprising $337.4 million of Series A Notes and $55.5 million of Series B Notes, secured primarily by WEST’s interests in a portfolio of 47 aircraft engines and two airframes to be acquired from Willis. The notes, issued just below par with coupons of 5.159% for Series A and 5.696% for Series B and an expected six-year maturity, are supported by a suite of customary structured-finance agreements that ring‑fence WEST’s assets from the parent, establish pledged cash and maintenance reserve accounts, and formalize Willis’s roles as servicer and administrative agent, collectively enhancing funding for Willis’s engine portfolio while providing institutional investors with exposure to aviation asset cash flows under Rule 144A and Regulation S placements.

The most recent analyst rating on (WLFC) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Willis Lease Finance stock, see the WLFC Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Willis Lease Finance Prices $392.9M Fixed-Rate Notes
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Willis Lease Finance Corporation announced the pricing of $392.9 million in fixed-rate notes through its subsidiary, Willis Engine Structured Trust IX. The notes, secured by a portfolio of 47 aircraft engines and two airframes, are part of an offering expected to close on December 23, 2025, subject to customary conditions. The issuance aims to bolster the company’s financial operations, but the notes will not be registered under the Securities Act of 1933, limiting their sale to qualified institutional buyers and non-U.S. persons.

The most recent analyst rating on (WLFC) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Willis Lease Finance stock, see the WLFC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Willis Lease Finance Announces $392.9M Note Offering
Neutral
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Willis Lease Finance Corporation announced the offering of $392.9 million in fixed rate notes through its subsidiary, WEST. The proceeds from this offering will be used to cover fees, establish reserve accounts, and facilitate the acquisition of aircraft engines and airframes from WLFC, aiding in debt repayment and general corporate purposes. This strategic move is expected to impact the company’s financial operations and its positioning within the aviation leasing industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (WLFC) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Willis Lease Finance stock, see the WLFC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026