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Cactus Inc (WHD)
NYSE:WHD

Cactus (WHD) AI Stock Analysis

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WHD

Cactus

(NYSE:WHD)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$49.00
▲(7.69% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/17/26
The score is anchored by strong financial quality—low leverage and durable cash generation—partly offset by weaker technical momentum and lower confidence in the latest income statement presentation. Guidance and commentary point to longer-term acquisition upside, but near-term margin dilution, backlog softening, and tariff-related uncertainty temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage and a strengthening capital base provide durable financial flexibility. This conservatism supports funding of acquisitions, capex, dividends and integration costs without stress during cyclical downturns, preserving strategic optionality over the next 2–6 months and beyond.
Reliable cash generation
Consistent operating and free cash flow with strong cash conversion underpins the company's ability to self-fund growth, service transaction-related outflows and maintain dividends. This cash profile reduces refinancing risk and supports investment in integration and product development over time.
Acquisition expands scale & synergies
The Baker Hughes surface pressure control JV materially increases geographic scale and installed base, enabling market access in the Middle East and supply‑chain savings into 2027. If realized, $10M of synergies and procurement gains should strengthen long‑term margins and competitive position.
Negative Factors
Cooling revenue trend
A decelerating revenue trend reduces visibility on sustainable top‑line growth and risks compressing operating leverage. If demand weakness persists into 2026, margin recovery and return metrics could be constrained, making performance reliant on successful international recovery and integration execution.
Tariff and input‑cost exposure
High tariffs on China imports and only partial relief from Vietnam create persistent input‑cost pressure until manufacturing shifts and certifications complete. This structural headwind can erode margins and requires operational changes (retooling, logistics), delaying margin recovery across cycles.
Integration, backlog and margin dilution
The acquired international business shows an order slowdown and backlog contraction, while purchase accounting raises D&A and inventory amortization. These factors create credible near‑term margin dilution risk and increase dependence on seamless integration to deliver the projected synergies.

Cactus (WHD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cactus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCactus, Inc. designs, manufactures, sells, and rents a range of wellheads and pressure control equipment in the United States, Australia, China, and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company's principal products include Cactus SafeDrill wellhead systems, Cactus SafeLink monobore, SafeClamp, and SafeInject systems, as well as frac stacks, zipper manifolds, and production trees. It also provides field services, such as 24-hour service crews to assist with the installation, maintenance, repair, and safe handling of the wellhead and pressure control equipment; and repair and refurbishment services. The company sells or rents its products for onshore unconventional oil and gas wells for drilling, completion, and production phases of the wells. In addition, it operates 15 service centers in the United States, as well as 3 service centers in Eastern Australia. Cactus, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCactus makes money primarily by selling and renting specialized oilfield equipment and providing associated services. A major revenue stream is the sale of wellhead systems and related pressure control components used during drilling and completion; these are typically ordered per well or per project and generate product revenue when delivered. The company also generates revenue from rentals of equipment used during drilling/completion activities, which produces recurring rental income for the time the equipment is deployed. In addition, Cactus earns service revenue through installation, field service, maintenance, and other support activities tied to its equipment in the field. Overall earnings are driven by customer activity levels in land drilling and well completions (e.g., rig counts, well completion intensity), pricing and utilization of rental fleets, and the company’s ability to win equipment specifications and repeat business with operators and drilling contractors. Specific material partnership details: null.

Cactus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call communicated a mix of solid core profitability, strong cash position, and a transformative acquisition that management believes will drive material supply‑chain synergies and international growth over the medium term. Near‑term headwinds include seasonal softness in Spoolable Technologies, modest sequential declines in total revenue and EBITDA, integration and transaction costs, tariff uncertainty, and an observed order slowdown at the recently acquired Cactus International that may pressure margins and results through 2026. Management's tone was optimistic about long‑term upside (synergies, market share gains in the Middle East, Vietnam ramp), but realistic about short‑term dilution and timing of benefits.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Total Company Results — Strong Profitability
Q4 revenue of $261 million; adjusted EBITDA of $85 million and adjusted EBITDA margin of 32.7% (only a 20 bps decline from Q3's 32.9%). GAAP net income of $48 million and adjusted net income of $52 million ($0.65 per share).
Pressure Control Segment Outperformance
Pressure Control Q4 revenue of $178 million, up 5.8% sequentially; operating income increased $4.1 million (9.3% sequential increase) and operating margins expanded by 90 basis points; adjusted segment EBITDA rose 7.2% sequentially with margins improving ~50 basis points. Management states U.S. Pressure Control is performing at its highest level since company inception.
Successful Close of Transformational Acquisition (Cactus International)
Closed majority interest in Baker Hughes Surface Pressure Control (Cactus International) on Jan 1. Acquisition described as transformational with large installed base, geographic scale in Mid‑East, and expected supply‑chain synergies; management reiterated a target of $10 million annualized synergies and noted visibility into meaningful supply chain savings into 2027.
Cash and Capital Allocation Strength
Ended the quarter with $495 million in cash (including $371 million held in escrow for the acquisition) — a sequential increase of $49 million despite a $23 million cash TRA payment and acquisition-related disbursements. Board approved and paid a quarterly dividend of $0.14 per share.
Spoolable Technologies — International Momentum and Product Innovation
Although seasonally down in Q4, Spoolable reported a record level of international products sold in 2025. Management is introducing several new SKUs and expects pilots with a large Mid‑East customer in 2026 that should benefit 2027 revenues and competitive moat.
Controlled CapEx and 2026 Guidance
Q4 net CapEx of ~$4 million and FY2025 net CapEx of $39 million (in line with prior guidance). FY2026 net CapEx guidance of $40–$50 million, including investments in Cactus International, FlexSteel manufacturing efficiencies, U.S. branch upgrades, and Saudi Wellhead facility enhancements.
Operational Outlook — Pressure Control Revenue Guidance
Q1 Pressure Control revenue guidance of ~$295–305 million with expected international contribution of ~$130–140 million; management expects modestly softer U.S. product sales per rig but stable drilling/completion activity.
API/Vietnam Ramp and Tariff Mitigation Progress
Vietnam facility ramping with API certification expected early in Q2, enabling displacement of China shipments and materially lower tariff exposure (Vietnam tariffs ~50% vs China 75% on many goods), which should improve margins as production shifts.
Negative Updates
Sequential Revenue and EBITDA Slight Declines
Total company revenues declined 1% sequentially; adjusted EBITDA declined 1.7% sequentially (from $87M to $85M), and adjusted EBITDA margin slipped from 32.9% to 32.7%.
Spoolable Technologies Seasonal Weakness and Margin Compression
Spoolable revenues fell 11.6% sequentially to $84 million as expected due to seasonality; operating income decreased $4.9 million (down 18.9% sequentially) and operating margins compressed by 220 basis points. Adjusted segment EBITDA decreased $4.9 million (13.6% sequential decline) with margins down ~90 basis points.
Near-Term Dilution to Pressure Control Margins from Acquisition
Management expects Pressure Control adjusted EBITDA margins to decline to ~23–25% in Q1, largely due to the inclusion of Cactus International and purchase price accounting (inventory write-up amortization and higher D&A).
Cactus International — Order Slowdown and Backlog Contraction
Cactus International recorded $627 million revenue in 2025 (including unbilled revenue), but backlog declined from over $600 million at 2024 year‑end to ~ $550 million at the end of 2025, reflecting an order slowdown; company expects 2026 to more closely resemble 2024 and anticipates order recovery in H2 2026 into 2027.
Integration and Transaction Costs
Q4 adjustments included $3.3 million of transaction professional fees, $164k of additional restructuring charges, and $6 million of noncash stock‑based compensation; corporate & other expenses rose $0.7 million sequentially to $9.7 million, pressuring adjusted corporate EBITDA to a ~$4.7 million expense in Q4.
Tariff Uncertainty and Near-Term Cost Headwinds
Significant tariff exposure remains (reported tariffs up to 75% on many China imports and 50% for Vietnam on certain sections), creating uncertainty on future input costs and margins until Vietnam/API ramp fully displaces China volumes.
Tax, D&A and Purchase Accounting Headwinds
Q4 depreciation & amortization was $16 million (including $4M amortization from FlexSteel acquisition). Q1 D&A expected to rise to ~$21 million ($12M Pressure Control incl. Cactus International). Purchase price allocation and tax effects (estimated effective tax rate ~20% and adjusted EPS tax rate ~24%) will influence near‑term reported results.
Near-Term Market Softness
Management noted domestic and international markets remain soft in the near term; Spoolable expects Q1 revenue down mid‑single digits sequentially from Q4 and margins to step down (33–35%) due to lower operating leverage and somewhat higher input costs.
One-Time Cash Outflows
Q4 cash outflows included a $23 million TRA payment and ~$11 million for the quarterly dividend (including related distributions), which—while manageable given cash balances—are notable near‑term cash uses ahead of integration investments.
Company Guidance
Guidance highlights: for Q1 the company expects Pressure Control revenue of $295–$305 million (with international contributing ~$130–$140 million) and Pressure Control adjusted EBITDA margins of 23%–25% (excludes ~ $4M of stock‑based comp and amortization of Cactus inventory); Spoolable Technologies revenue is expected to be down mid‑single digits sequentially with adjusted EBITDA margins of ~33%–35% (excludes ~ $1M SBC); adjusted corporate EBITDA is expected to be a charge of ~$(5)M (excludes ~ $2M SBC). Additional metrics: Q1 total D&A is expected to be ~$21M ($12M Pressure Control including Cactus International, $9M Spoolable); Q1 effective tax rate ~20% (adjusted EPS tax ~24%); FY2026 net CapEx guide is $40–50M (FY2025 net CapEx was $39M; Q4 net CapEx ~$4M). On Cactus International: it closed Jan 1, generated $627M revenue in 2025, ended 2025 backlog at ~ $550M (was >$600M at 2024 close), the company targets $10M of annualized synergies within 1 year and expects meaningful supply‑chain savings into 2027, and sees 2026 more in line with 2024 with order pick‑up in H2 2026 into 2027. Tariff notes: Sections 301/232 remain ~75% on most China imports, Vietnam Section 232 ~50% (API monogram expected early Q2 to enable U.S. displacement).

Cactus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are strong, led by a conservatively financed balance sheet (very low leverage) and consistently positive operating/free cash flow with good cash conversion. Offsetting this, revenue growth cooled into 2024 and appears to decline in 2025, and the latest-year income statement shows implausible margin structure that reduces confidence in the most recent profitability trend.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue expanded strongly from 2021–2024 (with a step-up in 2022–2023), but growth cooled in 2024 and appears to decline in 2025. Profitability is generally solid for the period (net margin mostly in the mid-teens and EBIT/EBITDA margins healthy in 2021–2024), supporting consistent earnings power. A key weakness is the 2025 annual set showing implausible margin structure (e.g., gross margin at 0% and EBIT/EBITDA margins at 100%), which raises data-quality/one-time classification risk and reduces confidence in the latest-year trend.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively financed: total debt remains low and leverage is minimal (debt-to-equity consistently well below 0.10, improving to ~0.03 in the latest year). Equity and assets have grown meaningfully over time, indicating a strengthening capital base. Returns on equity were strong in 2022–2024 (roughly high-teens), though the lack of a 2025 return metric limits visibility into the most recent profitability on capital.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: operating cash flow and free cash flow are consistently positive, and free cash flow has generally tracked net income well (free cash flow to net income ~0.76–0.88 across years). Cash conversion improved materially after 2021 (when operating cash flow was below net income), with operating cash flow covering net income comfortably in 2022–2025. The main weakness is volatility in free cash flow growth (declines in 2021 and 2024, sharp rebound in 2023 and again in 2025), suggesting sensitivity to working capital and/or cycle effects.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.08B1.13B1.10B688.37M438.59M
Gross Profit589.30M436.39M406.29M242.45M121.45M
EBITDA353.45M363.54M332.35M211.57M111.73M
Net Income166.01M185.41M169.17M110.17M49.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.87B1.74B1.52B1.12B982.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments494.58M342.84M133.79M344.53M301.67M
Total Debt37.75M41.72M39.97M35.52M33.21M
Total Liabilities438.57M475.15M457.79M408.45M387.05M
Stockholders Equity1.23B1.07B865.52M571.92M468.64M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow217.21M276.94M296.30M89.59M49.82M
Operating Cash Flow256.02M316.11M340.28M117.88M63.76M
Investing Cash Flow-39.06M-35.39M-654.79M-25.54M-11.63M
Financing Cash Flow-66.66M-70.14M103.28M-47.38M-39.39M

Cactus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price45.50
Price Trends
50DMA
53.50
Negative
100DMA
48.40
Negative
200DMA
44.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.28
Positive
RSI
35.41
Neutral
STOCH
13.81
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WHD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 45.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 51.97, below the 50-day MA of 53.50, and above the 200-day MA of 44.93, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WHD.

Cactus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.43B6.8839.31%8.71%72.09%
75
Outperform
$6.73B3.6238.72%6.81%-61.94%
69
Neutral
$6.20B13.1128.18%1.25%-10.19%-23.74%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
$3.71B18.8714.21%1.16%-3.76%-11.00%
62
Neutral
$6.73B40.102.26%3.24%-1.43%-63.13%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WHD
Cactus
46.48
0.82
1.80%
NOV
NOV
18.66
4.53
32.09%
OII
Oceaneering International
34.55
13.55
64.52%
WFRD
Weatherford International
86.40
33.60
63.63%
VAL
Valaris
97.28
57.77
146.22%

Cactus Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Cactus Highlights Growth Strategy Following Recent Acquisitions Integration
Positive
Mar 16, 2026

Cactus, Inc. has released an investor presentation for upcoming meetings with certain investors in March 2026, highlighting its role as a through-cycle outperformer in onshore equipment solutions. The materials emphasize strong margins and free cash flow generation, an experienced management team with significant equity ownership, and the integration of its Spoolable Technologies segment from the 2023 FlexSteel acquisition and the January 1, 2026 purchase of a majority stake in Baker Hughes’ former surface pressure control business, now operated as Cactus International.

The presentation also underscores the company’s use of non-GAAP metrics such as EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA to illustrate performance across segments, while noting that some financial information for Cactus International is based on Baker Hughes data that has not yet been audited or fully reconciled. This disclosure signals ongoing evolution of Cactus’s financial profile as it absorbs recent acquisitions, with potential implications for margin resilience and its competitive positioning in pressure control and spoolable technologies once full audited data and synergies are realized.

The most recent analyst rating on (WHD) stock is a Hold with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cactus stock, see the WHD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Cactus Announces Board Transition Amid Strong 2025 Results
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

On February 22, 2026, Cactus director Melissa Law informed the company she would not stand for re-election at the 2026 annual meeting, with the board now evaluating succession candidates and emphasizing that her decision reflects no disagreements over operations or policies. This board transition comes as Cactus reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $261.2 million, net income of $48.3 million and strong margins, supported by outperformance in its Pressure Control segment and offset by seasonal softness in Spoolable Technologies.

For full year 2025, Cactus generated $1.08 billion of revenue, $201.6 million of net income and healthy cash flow from operations, ending December 31, 2025 with $494.6 million in cash and no bank debt, while incurring acquisition-related costs tied to its FlexSteel and Baker Hughes surface pressure control deals. The January 1, 2026 closing of the majority stake in Baker Hughes’ Surface Pressure Control business, now Cactus International, marks a transformational acquisition that management says will diversify earnings geographically, bolster the Pressure Control segment and position the company for long-term growth despite a flat near-term U.S. land activity outlook and macro headwinds.

The most recent analyst rating on (WHD) stock is a Buy with a $73.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cactus stock, see the WHD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Cactus Grants RSUs, Names CEO for New Joint Venture
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On December 30, 2025, in connection with the closing of its joint venture with Baker Hughes known as Cactus International, Cactus, Inc. approved a one-time grant of restricted stock units effective January 1, 2026 for key executives Stephen Tadlock, Jay A. Nutt, and Steven Bender, with awards structured to vest ratably over two- and three-year periods and sized between $300,000 and $500,000. The grants, aimed at retaining these identified key leaders, accompanied the appointment of Tadlock—previously Executive Vice President and head of the Spoolable Technologies segment—as Chief Executive Officer of Cactus International, a move that underscores the company’s focus on leadership continuity and management stability as it integrates and scales the new joint venture within its broader operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (WHD) stock is a Buy with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cactus stock, see the WHD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Cactus Completes Transformational Surface Pressure Control Acquisition
Positive
Jan 2, 2026

On January 2, 2025, Cactus, Inc. completed its previously announced acquisition of a 65% controlling interest in Baker Hughes Company’s Surface Pressure Control business, a move the company described as transformational because it broadens its geographic footprint and opens access to new growth markets while reinforcing its focus on safety, customer execution, margins and returns. In connection with the transaction, the parties entered into an amended and restated LLC Agreement for their joint venture that sets out an exit option for Baker Hughes and Cactus based on a capped valuation tied to the venture’s Adjusted EBITDA, governance provisions requiring supermajority board approval for major actions, restrictions on transfers of membership interests, and mutual non-compete obligations in specified surface pressure control markets, collectively shaping control, valuation and competitive boundaries for the combined business.

The most recent analyst rating on (WHD) stock is a Buy with a $56.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cactus stock, see the WHD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 17, 2026