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Wallbox N.V. (WBX)
NYSE:WBX

Wallbox (WBX) AI Stock Analysis

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WBX

Wallbox

(NYSE:WBX)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-16.94% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/07/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance (continued losses, negative free cash flow, and high leverage with declining equity). Technicals also remain broadly bearish (below key longer-term moving averages with negative MACD). Earnings-call execution showed some improvement in margins and cost control, but revenue weakness and debt-related risk keep the outlook pressured, while valuation is also limited by unprofitability and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
DC fast-charging growth
Sustained double-digit growth in DC (fast) charging reflects structural demand for faster public and commercial charging. Higher-margin DC products and Supernova traction diversify revenue mix, improve average selling prices and support longer-term margin expansion if scale continues.
Improved gross margin
A nearly 40% gross margin, driven by BOM improvements, pricing and credits, indicates structural progress in unit economics. If sustained through product mix shifts (more DC sales) and procurement efficiencies, this margin improvement materially aids the path to operating profitability.
Capital structure relief from lenders and investors
Refinancing, extended maturities and a €22.5m liquidity plan materially reduce near-term refinancing pressure and give management runway to execute commercial expansion and margin initiatives. Structural stabilization of liabilities lowers immediate solvency risk.
Negative Factors
High leverage and shrinking equity
Substantial leverage and a shrinking equity base constrain financial flexibility, increase refinancing and covenant risk, and raise the likelihood of future dilution or costly financing. This structural capital weakness limits the firm's ability to invest organically or weather cyclical downturns.
Negative free cash flow trajectory
Persistently negative free cash flow and high capex needs mean the business relies on external financing to fund growth and service debt. Over months this reduces optionality, elevates refinancing and covenant risk, and can force trade-offs between growth investment and balance-sheet repair.
Persistent unprofitability and negative margins
Revenue growth is undermined by negative EBIT/EBITDA and shrinking margins, indicating structural cost or mix issues. Ongoing quarterly EBITDA losses reduce retained earnings and require continual financing; sustained unprofitability questions the durability of the business model absent scalable margin recovery.

Wallbox (WBX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wallbox Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWallbox N.V., a technology company, designs, manufactures, and distributes charging solutions for residential, business, and public use. The company operates in three segments: Europe-Middle East Asia, North America, and Asia-Pacific. It offers EV charging hardware products, such as Pulsar Plus, an AC smart charger for home or multi-family residence; Commander 2, an AC smart charger for fleets and businesses with a 7-inch touchscreen display that provides a personalized and secure user interface for multiple users; Copper SB, an AC smart charger for fleets and businesses with an integrated socket that makes it compatible with both type 1 and type 2 charging cables; Quasar, a DC bi-directional charger for home-use that allows to charge and discharge electric vehicle, and enables to use car battery to power home or sell energy back to the grid; Supernova, a DC fast charger equipment designed for public use; and Hypernova that allows to optimize available power and adapt to the number of EVs connected for public charging along highways and transcontinental road networks. The company also provides EV charging software solutions, including the myWallbox platform, a cloud based software designed to provide smart management of its chargers in residential and business parking lots, such as workplaces, fleets, and semi-public parking lots; Electromaps, a hardware-agnostic e-mobility service provider and charger management software that enables users to find publicly available charging ports; and Sirius, an energy management solution that is designed to seamlessly integrates the electric grid with solar, on-site batteries, and other renewable energy sources. In addition, it offers upgrades and accessories, which includes energy meters, EV charging cables, pedestals, and RFID cards; and installation, maintenance, and charging network management services. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Barcelona, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyWallbox generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company sells its EV charging hardware, including residential and commercial charging stations, which constitute a significant portion of its income. In addition to hardware sales, Wallbox offers software solutions that provide smart charging management and energy optimization, contributing to its revenue. The company benefits from partnerships with automotive manufacturers, enabling them to integrate Wallbox charging solutions with new electric vehicles, thus expanding their market reach. Furthermore, Wallbox engages in service contracts and maintenance agreements, ensuring ongoing revenue from installed systems. Their focus on innovation and sustainability attracts investments and grants, enhancing their financial position and supporting growth initiatives.

Wallbox Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call communicated meaningful operational and financial progress—improved gross margins, sizable cost reductions, inventory release, strong software growth, product launches, and substantial progress on a comprehensive refinancing plan—while also acknowledging material top-line weaknesses (full-year and Q4 revenue declines), pronounced North American softness, constrained DC sales due in part to refinancing-related limitations, and a modest cash balance with significant outstanding debt. Management presented concrete remediation steps (sales/service reinvestment, new sales leadership, product rollouts) and near-term guidance. The positive momentum on margins, cost structure and refinancing progress is offset by the continued revenue pressure and liquidity/leverage sensitivity, resulting in a balanced view.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Revenue and Unit Shipments
Full-year 2025 revenue totaled €145,100,000 with approximately 144,000 units delivered (536 DC units).
Gross Margin Improvement
Full-year gross margin improved to 38.3%, a 410 basis point increase year-over-year; Q4 gross margin was 37.3% (in guided 37%–39% range).
Improved Profitability Metrics (Adjusted EBITDA)
Adjusted EBITDA showed significant improvement versus prior year: management cited a 51% improvement for the full year and a 46% improvement year-over-year for the quarter; Q4 adjusted EBITDA loss was €7,300,000 (narrowed ~46% YoY).
Material Cost and OpEx Reductions
Labor and operating expenses were down 25% year-over-year (management) and Q4 labor + OpEx were €22,100,000 (down 23% YoY and 3% QoQ). Cash cost definition improved ~25% YoY. BOM cost improvements and positive price effects were noted.
Working Capital & Inventory Improvements
Inventory reduced to €47,500,000, down 32% year-over-year and 6% sequentially, achieving management's inventory reduction target and freeing cash.
Refinancing Progress and New Liquidity Commitments
Reached an indicative commercial agreement with core banking partners; refinancing package components disclosed: €55,000,000 syndicated term loan (maturing 2030), €63,200,000 bullet instrument (maturing Dec 2030), €52,300,000 working capital line (maturing Dec 2028), and a proposed €22,500,000 liquidity injection (incl. €10,000,000 equity). Participation from lenders now >86% of existing debt; Institut Català de Finances committed €5,000,000 toward the equity injection.
Product and Commercial Progress
Launch and commercialization momentum: Supernova Power Ring introduced (DC Link shared-power technology), commercial rollout of Quasar 2 (bidirectional charger), CTEP certification for Supernova DC fast charger in the U.S., and strong QoQ growth in Quasar 2 (>200% QoQ).
Software & Services Growth
Software, services and other generated €7,200,000 in Q4 (21% of revenue); software grew 112% year-over-year, and installation/service activities improved sequentially (+6% QoQ).
Regional Strength in Europe
Europe contributed €24,600,000 (73% of Q4 revenue) and grew 4% QoQ, with strong country-level performance (Spain, France, UK, Portugal) and continued expectations of European market momentum.
Q1 2026 Guidance Provided
Management provided Q1 2026 guidance: revenue €33,000,000–€36,000,000, gross margin 38%–40%, and adjusted EBITDA between -€5,000,000 and -€3,000,000.
Negative Updates
Full-Year and Quarterly Revenue Declines
Full-year revenue declined 11% year-over-year. Q4 revenue was €33,700,000, down 10% YoY and down 5% QoQ, missing guidance.
North America Weakness
North America revenue was €8,500,000 (25% of Q4), described as down 90% versus the same period last year; U.S. EV market softness driven by removal of incentives and tax credits materially impacted results.
DC Sales Softness and Tender Restrictions
Q4 DC sales were €3,400,000 (10% of sales), down 41% QoQ (despite being +29% YoY). Management cited restrictions to participate in selected RFQs/tenders and financing uncertainty tied to the pending refinancing as causes.
Cash and Leverage Considerations
Quarter-end cash, cash equivalents and financial instruments were approximately $9,600,000. Loans and borrowings totaled €165,000,000 (an 8% sequential decline), indicating continued leverage and liquidity sensitivity until refinancing is finalized.
Operational Impact from Rightsizing
Rightsizing and resource optimization improved costs but also impacted sales and service capability—management acknowledged weakened sales/service coverage contributed to softer top-line performance and requires reinvestment in sales and service.
Missed Adjusted EBITDA Guidance in Q4
Q4 adjusted EBITDA loss of €7,300,000 missed guided range; management attributed the miss primarily to softer-than-expected sales (top-line shortfall).
Geographic Concentration and Small APAC/LATAM Contribution
APAC and LATAM remained very small contributors in Q4 (€87,000 and €538,000 respectively), reflecting limited near-term diversification while resources focus on core markets.
Near-Term Revenue Drag from Refinancing Uncertainty
Management stated that pending finalization of the capital restructuring constrained participation in some DC tenders and order financing, creating a direct headwind to revenue until completion.
Company Guidance
For Q1 2026 Wallbox guided revenue of €33.0–€36.0 million, a gross margin of 38–40%, and a negative adjusted EBITDA of €(5.0)–€(3.0) million. This guidance follows Q4 revenue of €33.7 million (below guidance), Q4 gross margin of 37.3% (in the 37–39% guided range) and a Q4 adjusted EBITDA loss of €7.3 million; for full-year 2025 the company reported €145.1 million of revenue on ~144,000 units (536 DC), a FY gross margin of 38.3% (up 410 bps YoY), cash of ~$9.6 million at year-end, loans and borrowings of €165 million, inventory €47.5 million, and a 25% YoY improvement in cash cost—with completion of the refinancing expected to support the Q1 targets.

Wallbox Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth is offset by persistent losses, declining margins, high leverage with shrinking equity, and worsening negative free cash flow that pressures liquidity and sustainability.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Wallbox has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $19.68 million in 2020 to $169.84 million in 2024. However, profitability remains a significant concern, as evidenced by the negative net income and declining margins. The gross profit margin has decreased, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating operational challenges. While revenue growth is a positive indicator, the company needs to address its cost structure to improve profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Wallbox's balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating substantial leverage. Stockholders' equity has been declining, and the equity ratio has decreased over the years, reflecting increased financial risk. The company's assets are primarily funded by liabilities, and the shrinking equity base is a concern. Improvement in equity and reduction in debt are necessary for financial stability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow, which has worsened over the years, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to persistent losses, and capital expenditures remain high, putting pressure on cash reserves. Improving operational efficiency and cash generation is crucial for sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue148.00M164.01M144.23M143.47M71.85M19.62M
Gross Profit47.74M53.80M47.05M57.78M27.20M9.04M
EBITDA-71.48M-93.99M-98.00M-119.35M-45.26M-8.58M
Net Income-125.67M-149.04M-112.43M-62.49M-224.63M-11.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets316.49M353.07M483.54M421.98M342.61M81.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.22M45.94M106.89M88.70M171.06M22.58M
Total Debt216.39M234.88M246.33M160.93M80.87M52.64M
Total Liabilities280.35M290.49M333.73M252.83M211.54M69.61M
Stockholders Equity35.27M64.80M149.79M169.15M131.07M12.23M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-38.61M-87.02M-108.51M-201.47M-99.97M-30.41M
Operating Cash Flow-36.47M-51.53M-89.74M-136.29M-69.63M-11.63M
Investing Cash Flow-7.15M-39.46M-58.54M-13.96M-88.30M-19.32M
Financing Cash Flow0.002.96M172.48M111.75M246.92M46.74M

Wallbox Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.01
Price Trends
50DMA
2.94
Negative
100DMA
3.24
Negative
200DMA
4.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
34.29
Neutral
STOCH
11.81
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WBX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.00, above the 50-day MA of 2.94, and below the 200-day MA of 4.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.81 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WBX.

Wallbox Risk Analysis

Wallbox disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wallbox reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Failure of banks or other financial institutions could adversely affect our cash, cash equivalents and investments and our business and financial condition may suffer as a result. Q4, 2023
2.
We are susceptible to risks associated with an increased focus by stakeholders and regulators on environmental and social matters, including climate change, which may adversely affect our business and results of operations. Q4, 2023
3.
Political and economic uncertainty and macroeconomic factors could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. Q4, 2023

Wallbox Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$977.07M93.639.64%-6.13%-76.92%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
52
Neutral
$938.93M-193.07-77.78%-5.13%-37.34%
49
Neutral
$85.45M-29.74-391.12%69.76%43.82%
43
Neutral
$46.25M-0.29-181.83%-11.22%6.15%
41
Neutral
$49.14M-62.24-14.57%-1.70%17.13%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WBX
Wallbox
2.58
-4.25
-62.23%
DAKT
Daktronics
20.23
7.44
58.17%
GNSS
Genasys
1.89
-0.57
-23.17%
LINK
Interlink Electronics
3.12
-1.21
-27.94%
BKSY
BlackSky Technology
25.38
16.41
182.94%

Wallbox Corporate Events

Wallbox Secures Non-Binding €5 Million Equity Commitment from Catalan Public Lender
Jan 14, 2026

On January 14, 2026, Wallbox N.V. announced that Institut Català de Finances, through its vehicle IFEM, has agreed on a non-binding basis to make a €5 million equity investment in the company, subject to certain conditions precedent. This proposed funding would join €12.5 million in new trade commitments from lenders and €5 million in equity from long-term strategic shareholders as part of a renewed capital structure first outlined in December 2025. The combined measures, which remain contingent on definitive agreements and completion of the company’s ongoing restructuring, are intended to bolster Wallbox’s liquidity and support its capital needs, potentially stabilizing its financial position amid a history of operating losses and reinforcing confidence among creditors and strategic investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (WBX) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wallbox stock, see the WBX Stock Forecast page.

Wallbox Extends Standstill Agreement with Lenders to January 31, 2026
Dec 23, 2025

On October 9, 2025, Wallbox N.V. entered into a standstill agreement with a majority of its banking pool, later joined on November 7, 2025 by additional syndicated lenders, to support ongoing negotiations over a long-term capital structure. Originally set to expire on the earlier of implementation of a long-term capital structure or December 9, 2025, the agreement has now been extended by the participating lenders to January 31, 2026, keeping substantially all existing terms in place and providing Wallbox with additional breathing room to finalize a comprehensive financing solution and stabilize its balance sheet, a move that is likely to be closely watched by creditors and equity investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (WBX) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wallbox stock, see the WBX Stock Forecast page.

Wallbox Announces New CFO to Drive Sustainable Growth
Dec 17, 2025

Wallbox announced the appointment of Isabel López Trujillo as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective January 7, 2026. She brings over 20 years of international financial leadership experience and previously served as Wallbox’s Vice President of Finance, contributing to its public listing and global expansion. This change signifies a focus on disciplined execution and sustainable growth as the company advances its strategic goals. Outgoing CFO Luis Boada will assist during the transition period and was acknowledged for his contributions to enhancing the company’s financial fundamentals and capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (WBX) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wallbox stock, see the WBX Stock Forecast page.

Wallbox Secures New Capital Structure with Major Shareholders and Banks
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Wallbox announced a significant step in its capital restructuring plan by reaching a commercial agreement with core banking partners and major shareholders. This agreement includes an extension of debt maturities and a proposed liquidity injection of €22.5 million, aimed at enhancing Wallbox’s financial stability and supporting its operations in the growing electric mobility and smart energy market. The restructuring involves refinancing existing debt into a new syndicated structure and raising €10 million in new equity, which is expected to reinforce Wallbox’s capital structure and provide a more sustainable financial framework. This move is anticipated to improve Wallbox’s liquidity, enabling it to continue executing its business plan effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (WBX) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wallbox stock, see the WBX Stock Forecast page.

Wallbox Secures Additional Lender Support in Standstill Agreement
Nov 12, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Wallbox N.V. announced that additional lenders, including Instituto de Crédito Oficial E.P.E. and Compañía Española de Financiación del Desarrollo, COFIDES, S.A., have joined a standstill agreement with the company and its majority lenders. This agreement, initially reached on October 9, 2025, aims to stabilize Wallbox’s financial arrangements, although some minority lenders have yet to accede. The accession of these lenders is crucial for Wallbox’s financial stability and ongoing operations, as it seeks to maintain favorable terms with its banking partners.

The most recent analyst rating on (WBX) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wallbox stock, see the WBX Stock Forecast page.

Wallbox Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Partnerships
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Wallbox N.V. announced its financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025. The company reported a revenue of €35.5 million, marking a 2% year-over-year growth, with a gross margin improvement to 39.8%. Despite an operating loss of €17.0 million, Wallbox showed an 8% improvement in adjusted EBITDA quarter-over-quarter. The company also highlighted a 30% revenue growth in DC fast charging and announced new partnerships with SureCharge Corp. and Hera Group to expand its charging network in Canada and Italy. Wallbox’s strategic focus remains on accelerating profitability through cost management, enhancing its sales organization, and strengthening its financial position with a standstill agreement with its banking partners.

The most recent analyst rating on (WBX) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wallbox stock, see the WBX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026