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Vontier (VNT)
NYSE:VNT

Vontier (VNT) AI Stock Analysis

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Vontier

(NYSE:VNT)

63Neutral
Vontier's stock score reflects a company with strong operational efficiencies and a solid earnings outlook, but facing challenges due to high leverage and recent revenue declines. Technical indicators suggest a downward trend, while the valuation appears attractive. The earnings call provided positive guidance but also highlighted ongoing challenges in certain segments.
Positive Factors
Market Leadership
VNT enjoys market leadership positions and has a rich mix of higher multiple software and services, screening well on classic quality metrics.
Orders Growth
Vontier had a 6% year-over-year orders growth and is seeing a multi-year replacement cycle start for underground tank equipment.
Valuation
VNT shares trade at just 12x 2025 estimated adjusted EPS, well below the 22x peer average, despite similar margins and adjusted EPS growth.
Negative Factors
Car Wash Segment Performance
Car wash equipment and software (DRB Systems) saw a 20% year-over-year revenue decline.
Revenue Decline
In 2024, Vontier faced a revenue decline in car wash equipment and software and a revenue and margin decline in the Repair Solutions segment.

Vontier (VNT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Vontier Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVontier Corporation engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and distribution of technical equipment, components, software, and services for manufacturing, repairing, and servicing in the mobility infrastructure industry worldwide. The company offers a range of solutions, including environmental sensors, fueling equipment, field payment hardware, point-of sale, workflow and monitoring software, vehicle tracking and fleet management, software solutions for traffic light control, and vehicle mechanics', and technicians' equipment. Its mobility technologies products include solutions and services in the areas of fuel dispensing, remote fuel management, point-of-sale and payment systems, environmental compliance, vehicle tracking and fleet management, and traffic management; and diagnostics and repair technologies products comprise vehicle repair tools, toolboxes, automotive diagnostic equipment, and software, as well as wheel-service equipment for automotive tire installation and repair shops, including brake lathes, tire changers, wheel balancers, and wheel weights under the Ammco and Coats brands. The company markets its products and services to retail and commercial fueling operators, convenience store and in-bay car wash operators, tunnel car wash and commercial vehicle repair businesses, municipal governments, and public safety entities and fleet owners/operators through a network of franchised mobile distributors, as well as direct sales personnel and independent distributors. It serves customers in North America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and Latin America. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyVontier makes money through the sale of its broad range of products and solutions designed for the transportation and mobility industries. Key revenue streams include the manufacturing and distribution of fueling systems and equipment, which are used by fuel retailers and service stations globally. Additionally, Vontier generates income from its vehicle and fleet management technologies, which help businesses optimize fleet operations, enhance safety, and reduce costs. The company also earns revenue from environmental and emissions control technologies, offering solutions that help clients comply with regulations and improve sustainability. Significant partnerships with automotive manufacturers, fuel retailers, and logistics companies also contribute to Vontier's earnings, as these collaborations expand the reach and application of its technologies across various markets.

Vontier Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vontier demonstrates strong operational efficiencies and consistent cash generation, but faces challenges due to high leverage and recent revenue declines. While profitability indicators remain solid, the negative revenue and free cash flow growth signal potential risks that need addressing to sustain financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows a stable revenue generation with a slight decline in the most recent year. Gross profit margins are strong at 100% for 2024 due to accounting treatment, but EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate consistent operational efficiency. However, net profit margins have slightly decreased, and revenue growth has been negative recently, impacting overall performance.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high level of debt relative to equity, with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio exceeding 2. This indicates potential leverage risk. However, Return on Equity shows improvement due to increased net income, and the Equity Ratio has improved, suggesting better asset support by equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company has maintained a consistent free cash flow, although growth has been negative. The operating cash flow remains robust relative to net income, indicating strong cash generation from operations. However, free cash flow relative to net income shows fluctuation, which poses a potential risk.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.98B3.10B3.18B2.99B2.70B
Gross Profit
1.42B1.43B1.43B1.33B1.19B
EBIT
537.00M543.40M577.90M582.20M638.80M
EBITDA
699.40M702.20M698.70M683.60M636.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
422.20M376.90M401.30M413.00M342.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
356.40M340.90M225.80M572.60M380.50M
Total Assets
4.31B4.29B4.34B4.35B3.07B
Total Debt
2.20B2.35B2.64B2.64B1.81B
Net Debt
1.84B2.01B2.43B2.06B1.43B
Total Liabilities
3.25B3.40B3.76B3.78B2.88B
Stockholders Equity
1.05B890.40M576.50M569.90M187.40M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
344.80M394.90M261.20M433.30M655.60M
Operating Cash Flow
427.50M455.00M321.20M481.10M691.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-11.40M69.30M-329.90M-1.01B-41.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-392.30M-387.80M-347.90M725.50M-283.90M

Vontier Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.04
Price Trends
50DMA
34.11
Negative
100DMA
36.00
Negative
200DMA
35.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.26
Negative
RSI
36.84
Neutral
STOCH
58.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.27, below the 50-day MA of 34.11, and below the 200-day MA of 35.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VNT.

Vontier Risk Analysis

Vontier disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vontier reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vontier Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.71B19.9317.70%12.29%147.67%
72
Outperform
$4.30B22.677.93%1.38%-0.99%
67
Neutral
$4.12B64.599.03%7.67%-12.33%
VNVNT
63
Neutral
$4.46B10.9443.49%0.33%-3.75%13.76%
61
Neutral
$4.03B38.647.03%1.30%9.19%-5.77%
58
Neutral
$10.03B10.00-6.85%3.09%7.49%-11.58%
56
Neutral
$3.80B38.464.62%1.79%-7.28%-56.46%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNT
Vontier
29.32
-10.75
-26.83%
CGNX
Cognex
23.49
-15.37
-39.55%
NOVT
Novanta
110.54
-42.57
-27.80%
ITRI
Itron
101.48
10.02
10.96%
LFUS
Littelfuse
156.13
-70.26
-31.03%
MKSI
MKS Instruments
60.33
-48.56
-44.60%

Vontier Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: -20.30% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a solid performance in key segments like Environmental & Fueling Solutions and Mobility Technologies, supported by strong demand and successful cost optimization initiatives. However, challenges remain in the car wash and repair segments, with mixed headwinds impacting margins.
Highlights
Strong Fourth Quarter Performance
Vontier delivered top- and bottom-line results above the midpoint of guidance with 3.5% core growth in Q4 and bookings up 9% organically.
Growth in Environmental & Fueling Solutions
The Environmental & Fueling Solutions segment achieved nearly 11% core growth in Q4, with global dispenser equipment sales growing high-single-digits.
Mobility Technologies Advancement
Mobility Technologies saw a 3% core sales increase, with Invenco leading the way, showcasing strong demand for FlexPay6 and Unified Payment Solutions.
Operational and Margin Improvements
Operating margin in the Environmental & Fueling Solutions segment increased 110 basis points for the full year 2024.
Successful Cost Optimization
The company achieved cost optimization benefits that offset margin headwinds from mix, with significant progress on product line simplification.
Lowlights
Challenges in Car Wash Business
DRB's revenues declined by over 20% for the full year, with the car wash industry experiencing a pullback on planned greenfield activity.
Decline in Repair Solutions
Repair Solutions segment saw a core sales decline of just over 2% in Q4, with large-ticket items under pressure due to discretionary spending slowdowns.
Mix and Geographic Headwinds
Operating margins were impacted by geographic and product mix, particularly in the Environmental & Fueling Solutions segment, leading to a slight decline in Q4.
Company Guidance
During the Vontier Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for fiscal year 2025, indicating expected revenue of approximately $3 billion, with core growth projected between 1% and 3.5%. Operating margins are anticipated to expand by 35 to 50 basis points, driven by cost optimization initiatives. Vontier forecasts earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $3.00 to $3.15, reflecting mid- to high-single-digit growth year-over-year. The company plans to manage the timing shift of the Matco Expo, which moves from Q1 to Q2, impacting first-quarter results. Despite this, Vontier sees sequential revenue acceleration throughout the year, with first-half EPS comprising a little over 46% of the annual total. The guidance incorporates a $30 million to $40 million foreign exchange headwind and includes a placeholder for $75 million in share repurchases.

Vontier Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Vontier Amends Executive Incentive Compensation Plan
Neutral
Feb 26, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Vontier Corporation’s Board of Directors approved an amendment to the Executive Incentive Compensation Plan. The amended plan outlines performance-based incentive awards for executive officers, determined by specific performance goals such as earnings per share, stock price targets, and other financial and strategic criteria. The plan includes stipulations for eligibility based on employment status, with specific conditions for voluntary and involuntary terminations, retirements, disabilities, and other employment changes.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.