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UWM Holding (UWMC)
NYSE:UWMC
US Market

UWM Holding (UWMC) AI Stock Analysis

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UW

UWM Holding

(NYSE:UWMC)

58Neutral
UWM Holding's overall stock score reflects a balance of operational strengths and financial challenges. While profitability and strategic investments offer positive momentum, concerns about liquidity, flat revenue growth, and high valuation present risks. The positive earnings call and dividend announcement further support the stock's potential, but caution is advised given market conditions.
Positive Factors
Market Position
UWMC appears poised to be one of the main beneficiaries of a normalizing mortgage market given its dominant position in the purchase market and increasing share in the refi market.
Market Share Growth
Analysts are encouraged by UWMC's recent market share gains in the refi channel.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
The 2025 EPS estimate is moving lower after incorporating the 1Q guide, lower investment income, and slightly higher run-rate expenses.

UWM Holding (UWMC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

UWM Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC) is a prominent wholesale mortgage lender in the United States, focusing primarily on the origination and servicing of residential mortgage loans. The company, operating through its subsidiary United Wholesale Mortgage, is dedicated to providing independent mortgage advisors, brokers, and financial institutions with a comprehensive suite of lending products and services. UWM's offerings include a variety of residential mortgage options, such as conventional, government, and jumbo loans, with a strong emphasis on leveraging technology to streamline the mortgage process and enhance client services.
How the Company Makes MoneyUWM Holdings generates revenue primarily by originating and servicing residential mortgage loans. The company's business model is centered around the wholesale lending channel, where it partners with independent brokers and financial institutions to reach borrowers. UWM earns money through the fees associated with the origination of loans, which include closing costs, application fees, and underwriting fees. Additionally, the company generates income by selling mortgages into the secondary market, often bundling them into mortgage-backed securities. Furthermore, UWM derives revenue from servicing loans, earning fees for managing the collection of payments and other administrative tasks on behalf of investors. The company's focus on technological innovation and efficient processes allows it to maintain competitive pricing and attract significant business volume in the mortgage industry.

UWM Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
UWM Holding's financial performance shows mixed results. The income statement indicates operational efficiency with improved profitability, but flat revenue growth and cash flow challenges raise concerns. The balance sheet shows improved leverage but low equity levels, and the cash flow statement highlights liquidity issues.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
UWM Holding's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin is strong due to high gross profit relative to revenue. However, net profit margin is volatile, with a significant improvement from a loss in the previous year to a positive net income in the current year. The revenue growth rate is flat, indicating no significant change in total revenue over the past year. EBIT margin is robust, reflecting efficient core operations. EBITDA margin has decreased, suggesting higher depreciation or interest expenses.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet presents stability concerns for UWM Holding. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly due to reduced total debt and increased equity, indicating better leverage management. However, the equity ratio remains low, reflecting a high proportion of liabilities relative to total assets. Return on equity has improved dramatically, driven by the transition from a net loss to positive earnings, but the absolute level of equity remains low, posing potential risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges. The operating cash flow is negative, signaling potential liquidity concerns. Free cash flow has declined sharply, showing a significant drop in cash available after capital expenditures. The ratio of operating cash flow to net income is negative, indicating cash flow issues despite reported net income. There is no growth in free cash flow, which suggests challenges in generating cash from operations.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.16B2.17B1.81B1.81B2.53B
Gross Profit
2.16B1.88B1.51B1.72B2.53B
EBIT
1.86B1.09B1.24B354.68M108.29M
EBITDA
872.19M1.14B1.03B1.04B0.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
14.40M-13.23M41.72M931.86M1.57B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
610.35M497.47M818.19M818.19M731.09M
Total Assets
15.67B11.87B13.60B13.60B22.53B
Total Debt
3.50B8.73B9.43B9.43B18.11B
Net Debt
2.99B8.23B8.73B8.73B17.38B
Total Liabilities
13.62B9.40B10.43B10.43B19.36B
Stockholders Equity
2.05B112.55M143.56M143.56M142.40M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-6.24B138.81M8.24B8.24B-10.02B
Operating Cash Flow
-6.24B165.24M8.27B8.27B-9.96B
Investing Cash Flow
2.68B1.83B1.29B1.29B199.75M
Financing Cash Flow
3.58B-2.20B-9.58B-9.58B9.26B

UWM Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.96
Price Trends
50DMA
6.12
Negative
100DMA
6.18
Negative
200DMA
6.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
42.49
Neutral
STOCH
34.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UWMC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.34, below the 50-day MA of 6.12, and below the 200-day MA of 6.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UWMC.

UWM Holding Risk Analysis

UWM Holding disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UWM Holding reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

UWM Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$6.31B9.7414.71%22.89%39.00%
64
Neutral
$13.79B10.529.20%4.24%17.25%-7.60%
RKRKT
60
Neutral
$26.31B78.314.43%30.23%
58
Neutral
$9.53B46.4010.51%6.67%12.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UWMC
UWM Holding
5.84
-0.68
-10.43%
COOP
Mr Cooper Group
100.67
27.51
37.60%
RKT
Rocket Companies
14.25
1.76
14.09%

UWM Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 26, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.42% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in production and profitability, with strong performance in the broker channel and major investments in technology. However, challenges such as higher operating expenses and a tough interest rate environment were also noted. Overall, the positive aspects slightly outweigh the negatives.
Highlights
Significant Year-over-Year Growth
UWM Holdings Corporation reported a 29% year-over-year growth, reaching $139.4 billion in overall production for 2024.
Record Purchase Year
2024 was the best purchase year for UWM, with over $96 billion in production, which might be the highest of all time for any direct lender in history.
Increased Gain on Sale Margin
The gain on sale margin increased to 110 basis points from 92 basis points last year.
Strong Broker Channel Growth
Broker channel share increased to 27.4% in Q3 2024, up from 20.4% in 2022. Over 16,000 loan officers joined the broker channel.
Operational Profitability
UWM remained profitable with $460 million in adjusted EBITDA for 2024 and $118.2 million for Q4.
Investment in Technology and AI
UWM invested significantly in technology and AI, with expected positive impacts on efficiency and growth in the coming years.
Lowlights
Higher Operating Expenses
Operating expenses were higher than expected, attributed to significant investments in business expansion and technology.
Lowest Home Sales Year Since 1995
2024 saw the lowest home sales year since 1995, affecting the broader mortgage market.
Interest Rate Environment
The challenging interest rate environment persists, with rates over 6%, impacting refinancing activities.
Company Guidance
During the UWM Holdings Corporation Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call, Mathew Ishbia, Chairman and CEO, highlighted several key metrics and provided guidance for the upcoming year. The company saw a significant 29% year-over-year growth, achieving $139 billion in production with a gain on sale up 20% to 110 basis points. For the fourth quarter specifically, UWM reported $38.7 billion in production and a gain margin of 105 basis points. Looking ahead to Q1 2025, UWM expects production to be between $28 billion and $35 billion, with a gain margin ranging from 90 to 115 basis points. Ishbia emphasized the company's strategic investments in technology, AI, and personnel, positioning them for continued dominance in both the purchase and refinance markets. UWM's adjusted EBITDA for 2024 was $460 million, with $118.2 million for Q4, reflecting the company's strong operational performance amidst challenging market conditions.

UWM Holding Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
UWM Holding Announces Cash Dividend and Strong 2024 Results
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

On February 26, 2025, UWM Holdings Corporation announced a cash dividend of $0.10 per share for Class A common stock, payable on April 10, 2025. The company also reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, highlighting a total loan origination volume of $139.4 billion and a net income of $329.4 million for the year. Despite a challenging market environment, UWM achieved a record year in purchase production and significantly increased its refinance volume, showcasing its strong industry positioning and operational resilience.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.