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UTZ Brands (UTZ)
NYSE:UTZ
US Market

UTZ Brands (UTZ) AI Stock Analysis

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UTZ

UTZ Brands

(NYSE:UTZ)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▼(-4.40% Downside)
UTZ Brands' overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and strategic market expansion, particularly in California. However, the stock faces challenges with profitability, cash flow management, and technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum. The high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation, but the company's strategic initiatives and market expansion efforts provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
The acquisition of distribution assets in California enhances market share, aligning with strategic growth initiatives and expanding market reach.
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates robust sales expansion and successful market penetration, supporting long-term business stability.
Debt Reduction
Significant reduction in leverage enhances financial stability, providing more flexibility for strategic investments and growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Low profit margins indicate operational challenges, which may hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth and innovation.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative free cash flow highlights cash management issues, potentially affecting the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Margin Pressure
Increased costs from crop issues pressure gross margins, potentially affecting profitability and pricing strategy in the long term.

UTZ Brands (UTZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

UTZ Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUtz Brands, Inc. operates as a snack food manufacturing company. It offers a range of salty snacks, including potato chips, kettle chips, tortilla chips, pretzels, cheese snacks, veggie snacks, pork skins, pub/party mixes, salsa and queso, ready-to-eat popcorn, and other snacks under the Utz, Zapp's, ON THE BORDER, Golden Flake, Good Health, Boulder Canyon, Hawaiian, TGIF, TORTIYAHS!, and other brand names. The company distributes its products to grocery, mass, club, convenience, drug, and other retailers though direct shipments, distributors, and direct store delivery routes. Utz Brands, Inc. was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Hanover, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyUTZ Brands generates revenue through the sale of its snack products across multiple distribution channels, including grocery stores, convenience stores, and foodservice operators. The company employs a revenue model based on direct sales and distribution agreements, leveraging both its owned brands and private label offerings. Key revenue streams include the sale of packaged snacks and bulk products, with a significant portion of sales coming from their well-known brands in the salty snack category. Additionally, UTZ Brands has established strategic partnerships and alliances with major retailers to enhance distribution, which contributes to increased market penetration and brand visibility. The company's focus on innovation, new product launches, and effective marketing strategies further drives sales and profitability.

UTZ Brands Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and profitability, and where there may be challenges or opportunities for expansion.
Chart InsightsUtz Brands' Branded Salty Snacks segment shows steady growth, reflecting strong brand performance and distribution gains. However, the Non-branded and Non-salty Snacks segment is struggling, with declining revenue. Despite this, the company remains optimistic, projecting high-teens EBITDA growth in the second half of 2025, driven by productivity savings and strategic expansion. The earnings call highlights robust top-line momentum and infrastructure investments, though revised EPS guidance and increased expenses pose challenges. Investors should watch for the impact of these strategic moves on future profitability.
Data provided by:The Fly

UTZ Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Utz Brands, Inc. demonstrated strong growth and market expansion, particularly with its Boulder Canyon brand and regional market penetration. However, challenges with the On The Border brand and adverse weather impacting potato crops posed some operational hurdles. The company remains optimistic about resolving these issues and sustaining growth, though margin expansion might be moderated due to strategic investments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Market Expansion
Utz Brands, Inc. has made significant progress in expanding market share in Florida, Illinois, Colorado, and Missouri, achieving over 4% market share in these regions. The company is confident about further scaling in California following recent route acquisitions.
Positive Volume Growth
The company experienced strong volume gains with slight negative pricing, driven by expansion markets and strategic promotions. This reflects Utz's successful execution in gaining market penetration and consumer trial.
Boulder Canyon Brand Success
Boulder Canyon continues to show strong performance, becoming the #1 potato chip brand in the natural channel. The brand achieved significant velocity and distribution gains, with plans for further expansion in 2026.
Negative Updates
On The Border Brand Challenges
The On The Border brand faced softness and regional competition, impacting its performance. Utz identified and is addressing specific short-term issues to stabilize the brand.
Potato Crop Impact on Gross Margin
Adverse weather conditions impacted the potato crop used by Utz, leading to higher costs and pressure on gross margins. This was an isolated issue expected to be resolved in the upcoming quarters.
Slight Backing Off on 2026 Margin Expectations
While maintaining a target of 16% EBITDA margins by 2026, there are considerations of potential incremental investments in California that might affect the degree of margin expansion.
Company Guidance
During the Utz Brands, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided insights into its financial projections and strategic initiatives. Utz reiterated its expectation of achieving EBITDA margins of approximately 16% by 2026, with a planned expansion of about 100 basis points each year, despite making incremental investments to support the California expansion. The company remains confident in its ability to outperform the category, projecting to grow 200 to 300 basis points ahead of it. The strategic acquisition for California expansion is anticipated to enhance market penetration, with Utz aiming to replicate its successful Florida model. The company reported strong performance in its Boulder Canyon brand, which is now the #1 potato chip brand in the natural channel, and highlighted continued market share gains in core markets. Furthermore, Utz discussed the challenges faced with its On The Border brand, which are being actively addressed, and emphasized the importance of innovation and retail media investments to drive future growth. The company also addressed challenges with potato crop quality, noting these were resolved by the end of the quarter.

UTZ Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
UTZ Brands shows strong revenue growth but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The significant reduction in leverage enhances financial stability, but low profit margins and negative free cash flow highlight areas needing improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
UTZ Brands has shown a strong revenue growth rate of 33.61% in the TTM period, indicating robust sales expansion. However, the net profit margin is quite low at 0.32%, suggesting limited profitability. The gross profit margin is healthy at 34.06%, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased significantly compared to the previous year, reflecting increased operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved drastically to 0.067 in the TTM period from 1.34 the previous year, indicating a significant reduction in leverage. This enhances financial stability. However, the return on equity remains low at 0.81%, suggesting limited returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated but appears stable given the equity and asset figures.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The operating cash flow has decreased, and the free cash flow is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, but this is due to a previous negative base. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.44B1.41B1.44B1.41B1.18B964.31M
Gross Profit491.36M494.78M456.49M449.06M383.91M338.53M
EBITDA138.96M182.12M99.25M91.33M127.67M85.76M
Net Income5.62M15.97M-24.94M-392.00K20.55M-96.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.78B2.73B2.75B2.84B2.72B2.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.70M56.14M52.02M72.93M41.90M46.83M
Total Debt1.03B940.82M985.34M992.46M909.01M812.05M
Total Liabilities1.41B1.34B1.36B1.39B1.28B1.21B
Stockholders Equity725.30M702.45M669.50M703.15M679.71M552.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-25.45M7.53M20.92M-39.77M14.89M7.97M
Operating Cash Flow101.51M106.17M76.64M48.19M48.39M29.70M
Investing Cash Flow-136.32M74.96M-48.49M-76.07M-136.10M-703.40M
Financing Cash Flow27.66M-177.01M-49.05M58.91M82.78M231.52M

UTZ Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.46
Price Trends
50DMA
10.44
Positive
100DMA
11.55
Negative
200DMA
12.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
56.05
Neutral
STOCH
42.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UTZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.99, above the 50-day MA of 10.44, and below the 200-day MA of 12.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UTZ.

UTZ Brands Risk Analysis

UTZ Brands disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UTZ Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

UTZ Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$1.74B26.786.82%3.53%0.54%-24.42%
69
Neutral
$2.30B11.9013.73%9.15%0.26%-19.45%
67
Neutral
$1.91B8.597.39%5.40%1.44%8.29%
63
Neutral
$1.90B19.635.86%8.98%-26.29%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
56
Neutral
$1.49B165.770.80%2.51%1.22%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UTZ
UTZ Brands
10.46
-4.68
-30.91%
FLO
Flowers Foods
10.89
-8.31
-43.28%
JJSF
J & J Snack Foods
89.86
-61.00
-40.43%
SMPL
Simply Good Foods
19.98
-18.74
-48.40%
NOMD
Nomad Foods
12.45
-3.49
-21.89%

UTZ Brands Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Utz Brands Reports Q3 Sales Growth and Expansion
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Utz Brands reported its third-quarter financial results, showing a 3.4% increase in net sales to $377.8 million compared to the previous year. Despite a decline in gross profit margin, the company achieved a 5.8% growth in branded salty snacks organic net sales and adjusted EBITDA increased by 11.7% to $60.3 million. Utz also announced an expansion into California by acquiring Insignia International’s distribution assets, aiming to boost its market share in the largest U.S. salty snack market. The company raised its 2025 organic net sales growth guidance to 3% and reaffirmed its adjusted EBITDA and earnings per share growth expectations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025