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USANA Health (USNA)
NYSE:USNA

USANA Health (USNA) AI Stock Analysis

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USNA

USANA Health

(NYSE:USNA)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$18.00
▼(-20.11% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/17/26
USNA scores below average primarily due to weakened cash flow and sharply lower profitability despite a strong, low-leverage balance sheet. Technicals add downside pressure with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative momentum. Guidance and retail expansion plans provide some offset, but elevated inventory, margin mix pressure, and high tax-rate guidance constrain the overall score.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
USANA’s very low leverage and large equity base provide durable financial flexibility. With debt-to-equity near 2.6%, the company can fund retail rollouts, working-capital needs, or technology investments without stressing solvency, cushioning execution risk during a multi-quarter turnaround.
Retail and distribution expansion
Major retail placements (Target, Costco, Canada/U.K.) materially diversify USANA’s go-to-market beyond direct selling. Durable omnichannel distribution can scale branded venture revenue, improve brand awareness, and provide repeatable retail demand that supports multi-quarter revenue growth and reduces single-channel concentration risk.
Experienced leadership and strategic refocus
The return of a prior CEO with a record of expansion brings operational continuity and execution credibility. A clear strategic agenda—omnichannel push, product pipeline, tech modernization—plus announced cost realignment demonstrates focused management alignment to restore growth and margins over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weak cash generation
Material FCF erosion and weaker cash conversion reduce financial optionality. With FCF covering only ~38% of net income and a 54% YoY decline, the company has less internal capital to fund inventory builds, retail execution, tech investments, or shareholder returns without increasing external financing or diluting flexibility.
Elevated inventory and working-capital risk
A 48% inventory build to support retail launches ties up capital and raises obsolescence and execution risk. Sustained elevated stock levels can depress cash conversion and returns if retail sell-through lags, increasing financing needs and pressuring margins during the multi-quarter expansion phase.
Very high effective tax-rate guidance
A 55–60% effective tax rate materially compresses net income even if sales rise. This fiscal-year structural tax burden reduces cash available for reinvestment, cuts through return-on-equity, and limits the earnings leverage from the company’s retail and venture-brand growth initiatives across the next several quarters.

USANA Health (USNA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

USANA Health Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUSANA Health Sciences, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells science-based nutritional and personal care products. The company offers USANA nutritional products that comprise essentials/CellSentials, such as vitamin and mineral supplements that provide a foundation of total body nutrition for various age groups; optimizers comprising targeted supplements that are designed to meet cardiovascular, skeletal/structural, and digestive health needs; and foods that include meal replacement shakes, snack bars, and other related products. It also provides Celavive, a skin care regimen for various skin care types and ethnicities; and other products for prenatal, infant, and young child age groups. In addition, the company offers materials and online tools to assist associates in building their businesses, as well as in marketing products. It offers its products directly in the Asia Pacific, the Americas, and Europe, as well as online. The company has a research collaboration agreement with Beijing University of Chinese Medicine for research in the field of traditional Chinese medicine; and National Sports Training Bureau. USANA Health Sciences, Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyUSANA primarily makes money by selling health and wellness products—most notably dietary supplements and personal care items—through a direct-selling network. Revenue is generated when products are purchased by end customers and/or by the company’s independent distributors/associates (who may buy for personal use and/or for resale, depending on local rules and company policies). The company also pays commissions and incentives to its distributor/associate network based on product sales volume under its compensation plan; these payouts are recorded as selling expenses, while the product sales are recorded as net sales revenue. Key revenue streams therefore include (1) product sales of nutritional supplements and (2) product sales of personal care/other wellness products, with sales occurring across various geographic markets and channels managed through its direct-selling infrastructure (e.g., recurring orders/auto-ship programs where offered). Information about any specific, material third-party partnerships that materially drive earnings is null.

USANA Health Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed but constructive outlook: clear positives include retail wins for Hiya and Rise Wellness, a 4% midpoint sales growth outlook for FY2026, experienced leadership returning to CEO, and cost savings from workforce realignment. Offsetting these positives are meaningful risks — notably a 48% inventory build, a very high effective tax rate guidance of 55–60%, core-business sales declines, and FY2026 margin pressure from venture-brand mix with Rise only expected to breakeven. Management conveyed confidence and a concrete strategic plan, but several financial and execution risks remain that balance the positive operational developments.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Fiscal 2026 Net Sales Guidance
Management provided consolidated net sales guidance for fiscal 2026 targeting growth of 4% at the midpoint (guidance range provided). The outlook reflects confidence in strategy execution and growth from venture brands (Rise Wellness and Hiya).
Retail Expansion and Distribution Wins
Notable retail gains: Hiya launching into Target in April and expanding into Canada and the U.K.; Rise Wellness secured distribution in Costco (now in all Costco stores) and Target (in-store rollout), with additional major U.S. retailers in discussions. These retail placements underpin expected revenue growth for the venture brands.
Inventory Build to Support Growth
Inventories increased $35 million, a 48% year-over-year rise to $107 million at fiscal year-end; ~80% of the increase driven by Rise Wellness (Protein Pop retailer support) and Hiya (channel expansion and raw materials buildup ahead of in-house manufacturing). Management expects elevated inventory levels throughout FY2026 to support expansion.
Leadership and Strategic Refocus
Kevin Guest returned as CEO (while remaining Chairman) with a clear strategic plan: omnichannel expansion, product innovation, technology modernization, operational efficiencies, and accountability — signaling experienced leadership and renewed strategic clarity.
Cost Realignment and Savings
Company implemented cost realignment impacting ~10% of workforce and expects approximately $10 million (plus) of net savings, primarily in SG&A, with some savings being repurposed to strategic initiatives.
Venture Brand Momentum and Product Pipeline
Management highlighted Hiya and Rise Wellness as primary growth drivers. Rise is expanding Protein Pop SKUs/flavors and retail footprint; Hiya benefits from prior brand awareness investments and early positive results in Canada and U.S. retail placements. Company also plans product innovation launches across 2026.
Negative Updates
Core Business Year-Over-Year Declines
Management acknowledged the core USANA nutritional business experienced year-over-year sales declines, and while signs of stabilization were noted, the core business remains under pressure and is a key focus for turnaround efforts.
High Effective Income Tax Rate Guidance
Fiscal 2026 effective tax rate guidance is expected between 55% and 60%, driven by geographic misalignment between revenue and costs and one-time items recognized in H2 FY2025 — a substantial tax burden that materially impacts net income.
Margin and Mix Pressure from Venture Brands
Rise Wellness is expected to operate at approximately breakeven in FY2026 and carries a thinner gross margin profile; as Rise and Hiya scale, the consolidated gross margin could be pressured by mix shift toward lower-margin venture revenue.
Elevated Inventory and Working Capital Risk
Inventories rose 48% (+$35M) to $107M to support retailer launches and channel expansion. Management expects elevated inventory throughout FY2026 — this increases working capital needs and execution risk if demand or retail placements underperform expectations.
Unquantified Technology Investment and Timing Uncertainty
Management plans to accelerate technology modernization (including potential third-party platforms and AI use) but has not finalized scope, timing, or capital needs; incremental investment was not factored into FY2026 guidance, creating uncertainty around future capital deployment and timing of benefits.
Seasonality and Operational Volatility
Business remains seasonally skewed (notably around Lunar New Year in China), creating quarter-to-quarter variability. Additionally, FY2026 is a 52-week fiscal year (one less week versus FY2025), complicating direct year-over-year comparisons.
Company Guidance
Management guided consolidated net sales for fiscal 2026 to grow about 4% at the midpoint (the outlook reflects a 52‑week fiscal year, one fewer week than FY25), noted inventories rose $35.0 million (48%) to $107.0 million at fiscal‑25 year‑end (with ~80% of that increase driven by Rise Wellness and Hiya) and said elevated inventory levels are expected through FY26 to support retail expansions (Target in April, Costco and other retailers, plus Canada and U.K. rollouts) and plans to begin in‑house manufacturing for Hiya; Rise Wellness is expected to operate at approximately breakeven in FY26 and, along with Hiya, is a primary driver of the sales outlook; the company expects an effective tax rate of 55–60% for FY26; a recent cost realignment affected roughly 10% of the workforce and yielded about $10M of net SG&A savings (some funds being repurposed to growth initiatives); management also cautioned that incremental technology investments are anticipated but not yet included in the FY26 outlook and that gross margins will be influenced by business mix (e.g., thinner margins at Rise).

USANA Health Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: a strong, low-leverage balance sheet (very low debt-to-equity) supports stability, but profitability has deteriorated sharply (net margin ~1.2% vs ~4.9% in 2024) and cash generation weakened materially in the latest period (free cash flow down ~54% YoY with low cash conversion).
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Revenue rebounded in 2026 (annual report) to $925M after several down years, but profitability has deteriorated sharply: net margin fell to ~1.2% from ~4.9% in 2024 and ~6.9% in 2022–2023. While gross margin remains very strong (~78–81%), operating margins have compressed materially versus 2020–2023 levels, indicating higher costs and weaker operating leverage.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength, with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.6% in 2026 vs ~7.4% in 2024) and a large equity base relative to assets. However, returns on equity have stepped down significantly (to ~2.0% in 2026 from ~7.9% in 2024 and much higher levels in 2020–2022), reflecting weaker earnings power rather than balance-sheet risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash generation weakened notably in 2026: operating cash flow dropped to ~$22M and free cash flow to ~$8.5M, with free cash flow down ~54% year over year. Free cash flow also covered less of net income (~38%), and operating cash flow relative to net income is low in the latest period, pointing to reduced cash conversion and higher volatility versus 2020–2024.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue925.26M854.50M921.01M998.60M1.19B
Gross Profit724.40M678.75M731.62M791.32M955.53M
EBITDA90.56M98.86M123.11M130.22M192.89M
Net Income10.76M42.03M63.79M69.35M116.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets742.91M748.19M632.76M596.55M577.74M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments158.38M181.77M330.42M288.42M239.83M
Total Debt14.00M39.20M13.21M13.78M17.30M
Total Liabilities156.64M161.86M135.56M162.08M182.62M
Stockholders Equity533.10M532.11M497.20M434.47M395.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.53M50.92M56.15M93.50M108.46M
Operating Cash Flow22.35M60.99M70.64M103.90M121.23M
Investing Cash Flow-10.13M-213.09M-11.97M-12.37M-14.19M
Financing Cash Flow-40.60M9.55M-14.24M-30.09M-181.41M

USANA Health Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price22.53
Price Trends
50DMA
20.30
Negative
100DMA
20.05
Negative
200DMA
24.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.98
Positive
RSI
31.52
Neutral
STOCH
31.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USNA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 22.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.05, above the 50-day MA of 20.30, and below the 200-day MA of 24.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for USNA.

USANA Health Risk Analysis

USANA Health disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. USANA Health reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

USANA Health Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$270.12M26.5717.25%12.14%-17.80%
63
Neutral
$1.54B5.80-36.19%-0.78%265.56%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$420.53M19.9012.18%6.62%-7.85%
56
Neutral
$60.51M70.5424.97%2.81%16.77%143.30%
55
Neutral
$123.77M50.7017.12%12.44%-20.33%
53
Neutral
$316.35M33.562.03%5.88%-68.62%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
USNA
USANA Health
17.14
-10.17
-37.24%
HLF
Herbalife
14.89
6.46
76.63%
LWAY
Lifeway Foods
17.83
-6.02
-25.24%
NATR
Nature's Sunshine Products
24.02
11.63
93.87%
LFVN
LifeVantage
4.73
-10.37
-68.67%
FTLF
FitLife Brands
13.18
-0.30
-2.23%

USANA Health Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
USANA Health Reports Mixed Q4 Results Amid Customer Declines
Negative
Feb 18, 2026

USANA Health Sciences reported that for the fourth quarter ended Jan. 3, 2026, net sales rose 6% year over year to $226 million, but the company swung to a net loss of $1.8 million, or $0.10 per diluted share, as active customers in its core nutritional segment fell to 387,000 from 454,000. Adjusted diluted EPS slipped 6% to $0.60, while adjusted EBITDA rose 7% to $27 million, with management citing early stabilization in core customer counts and modest sequential sales gains in mainland China, the U.S. and Canada.

For full-year 2025, net sales increased 8% to $925 million, driven mainly by a full-year contribution from Hiya, but net earnings dropped 74% to $10.8 million and adjusted EPS fell 25% as core nutritional sales declined 8% amid tougher customer acquisition. The company highlighted rapid growth at Rise Wellness, with sales tripling off a small 2024 base and non-core brands rising to 16% of total revenue, and guided for flat to mid-single-digit net sales growth and higher earnings in fiscal 2026 as omnichannel brands are expected to exceed 20% of consolidated sales.

The most recent analyst rating on (USNA) stock is a Hold with a $24.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on USANA Health stock, see the USNA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
USANA Health Issues Updated 2025-2026 Sales Outlook
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, USANA Health Sciences announced that it expects fiscal 2025 consolidated net sales of about $925 million, modestly above its prior guidance of roughly $920 million, and issued an initial fiscal 2026 net sales outlook of $925 million to $1.0 billion ahead of its presentation at the 28th Annual ICR Conference in Orlando. The 2026 outlook assumes softer revenue in the core USANA nutritional business, with projected sales of $720 million to $765 million versus about $777 million in 2025, partially offset by anticipated growth at Hiya, which is forecast to rise to $140 million to $155 million from around $132 million, and at Rise Wellness, which is expected to accelerate sharply to $65 million to $80 million from approximately $16 million in 2025, even as the company invests heavily in inventory, capital expenditures and working capital and accepts breakeven operating margins at Rise Wellness to support early-stage expansion; management plans to update investors further when it reports fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 17, 2026, followed by an analyst conference call on February 18.

The most recent analyst rating on (USNA) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on USANA Health stock, see the USNA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
USANA Health Sciences announces CEO leadership transition
Neutral
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, USANA Health Sciences announced a leadership transition in which Jim Brown stepped down as chief executive officer and president after three years in the top role and 19 years with the company, remaining in an advisory position at the board’s discretion. Effective the same day, Executive Chairman Kevin Guest, who previously served as CEO from 2015 to 2023 and oversaw a period of global expansion and record results, returned to the chief executive role while retaining his chairmanship, a move the board framed as a bid to accelerate strategic priorities, support long-term growth and leverage his deep relationships with USANA’s sales force and management team; terms of Brown’s separation and Guest’s new compensation package have yet to be finalized by the compensation committee.

The most recent analyst rating on (USNA) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on USANA Health stock, see the USNA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 17, 2026