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Natural Health Trends Corp (NHTC)
:NHTC

Natural Health Trends (NHTC) AI Stock Analysis

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NHNatural Health Trends
(NASDAQ:NHTC)
55Neutral
NHTC's stock score of 54.8 reflects the company's struggles with declining revenue and profitability issues, despite maintaining a stable balance sheet. Technical analysis shows neutral momentum, and while the high dividend yield is a positive, the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation. Earnings call insights indicate mixed performance with market growth in some regions but overall stagnant sales and increased operating losses.

Natural Health Trends (NHTC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Natural Health Trends Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNatural Health Trends Corp (NHTC) is a direct-selling and e-commerce company that focuses on providing premium health and wellness products. The company's core product offerings include personal care, wellness, and lifestyle products, marketed under various brand names. Operating in the global market, NHTC primarily targets consumers seeking holistic and natural health solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyNatural Health Trends generates revenue through its direct-selling business model, where independent distributors sell their health and wellness products directly to consumers. These distributors, who are part of a multi-level marketing network, earn commissions on their sales and the sales made by their recruited team members. NHTC's revenue streams are significantly influenced by the number of active distributors and the volume of product sales they achieve. The company also leverages e-commerce platforms to expand its reach and facilitate product sales. Additionally, strategic partnerships and international market expansions contribute to its financial performance, allowing NHTC to tap into new consumer bases and diversify its revenue sources.

Natural Health Trends Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NHTC faces significant challenges with declining revenues and profitability issues. The income statement reflects declining revenue and negative margins, indicating difficulties in operational efficiency. The balance sheet shows low leverage but declining equity, pointing to potential long-term concerns. Cash flow problems are evident with consistent negative free cash flow and struggles in generating cash from operations.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
NHTC's revenue has been declining over the years, with a revenue decrease from $62.07M in 2020 to $42.96M in 2024. The company has faced challenges in maintaining profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins in recent years. However, there is a slight improvement in net profit margin in 2024 compared to the previous year, indicating some cost control. The declining revenue and negative margins suggest difficulties in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
NHTC maintains a strong equity position with a healthy equity ratio, though it has decreased from 2020. The company's debt-to-equity ratio remains low, indicating conservative leverage usage. However, the declining stockholders' equity over the years reflects potential erosion of shareholder value. Despite this, the low debt level and substantial cash reserves suggest financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
NHTC's cash flow situation is concerning, with consistent negative free cash flow over the years. The operating cash flow is negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from core operations. The significant negative investing cash flow in 2024 suggests high capital investments or other cash outflows. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights inefficiencies in cash generation relative to net income.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
42.96M43.92M49.13M60.01M62.07M
Gross Profit
31.79M32.75M36.47M44.99M45.08M
EBIT
-1.30M-1.67M-270.00K1.57M669.00K
EBITDA
-1.30M-1.51M-66.00K1.87M1.08M
Net Income Common Stockholders
572.00K568.00K313.00K1.08M843.00K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
43.94M56.18M69.67M83.84M92.37M
Total Assets
55.36M69.09M82.82M98.36M105.94M
Total Debt
2.64M3.46M4.12M3.17M3.94M
Net Debt
-10.89M-52.71M-65.54M-80.68M-88.43M
Total Liabilities
22.49M27.49M32.67M38.87M38.24M
Stockholders Equity
32.87M41.60M50.15M59.49M67.70M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-3.42M-4.32M-5.00M791.00K1.67M
Operating Cash Flow
-3.37M-4.28M-4.85M1.02M1.89M
Investing Cash Flow
-30.07M-46.00K-143.00K-225.00K-211.00K
Financing Cash Flow
-9.21M-9.21M-9.14M-9.14M-9.14M

Natural Health Trends Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.17
Price Trends
50DMA
4.72
Positive
100DMA
4.97
Positive
200DMA
5.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
60.01
Neutral
STOCH
57.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NHTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.93, above the 50-day MA of 4.72, and below the 200-day MA of 5.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NHTC.

Natural Health Trends Risk Analysis

Natural Health Trends disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Natural Health Trends reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Natural Health Trends Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LRLRN
75
Outperform
$6.13B22.2722.95%13.13%56.75%
74
Outperform
$262.91M16.4311.19%1.36%114.50%
73
Outperform
$619.25M15.058.17%-7.10%-8.45%
HLHLF
66
Neutral
$892.56M3.55-31.74%-1.37%75.47%
60
Neutral
$13.01B10.450.79%3.53%1.60%-22.47%
MEMED
55
Neutral
$154.11M72.671.02%-43.80%-97.89%
55
Neutral
$58.14M101.411.54%15.47%-2.19%0.60%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NHTC
Natural Health Trends
5.17
-0.35
-6.34%
HLF
Herbalife
8.87
-0.74
-7.70%
LRN
Stride
123.22
61.97
101.18%
MED
Medifast
14.44
-23.22
-61.66%
NATR
Nature's Sunshine Products
14.57
-2.67
-15.49%
USNA
USANA Health
32.96
-16.04
-32.73%

Natural Health Trends Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 5, 2025 | % Change Since: 1.97% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with positive developments in the Greater China market and successful product launches, as well as improved cash flow and commitment to dividends. However, these were offset by stagnant overall sales, declines in key markets such as Taiwan and North America, and an increase in operating losses, leading to a decrease in net income.
Highlights
Greater China Market Growth
Net sales in Greater China increased by 7% compared to the fourth quarter of 2023 and 9% compared to the preceding third quarter of 2024, indicating positive consumer response to programs and promotions.
Product Launch and Market Expansion
Introduced two new products in Hong Kong with plans for broader market rollouts. Additionally, officially opened the Colombia market for in-country order taking, expanding the company's global reach.
Cash Flow Improvement
Generated $602,000 in cash flows from operations during 2024, a $1.8 million improvement over the previous year.
Dividend Declaration
Declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share, reinforcing the company's commitment to returning capital to stockholders.
Lowlights
Flat Overall Sales
Total fourth quarter revenue of $10.8 million was roughly unchanged from $10.9 million in the fourth quarter a year ago, indicating stagnant sales growth.
Revenue Declines in Taiwan and North America
Sales were adversely affected by decreases in Taiwan and North America due to strategic price adjustments and fewer product promotions throughout 2024.
Operating Loss
Reported an operating loss of $421,000 for the fourth quarter, compared to a loss of $242,000 in the same quarter last year.
Decline in Net Income
Net income for the fourth quarter decreased to $176,000 from $358,000 in the fourth quarter of 2023.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter of 2024, Natural Health Trends Corp reported steady performance with total revenue of $10.8 million, essentially unchanged from $10.9 million in the same period a year ago. In Greater China, net sales rose by 7% compared to Q4 of 2023, indicating positive reception to the company's programs and incentives. However, declines in Taiwan and North America, due to strategic price adjustments and fewer promotions, impacted overall results. The active member base decreased by 5% year-over-year to 30,870. Gross profit margin slightly decreased to 74.2%, while commissions expense increased to 41.9% of net sales. Despite an operating loss of $421,000, the company achieved a net income of $176,000, or $0.02 per diluted share, aided by interest income and a tax benefit. Cash and cash equivalents stood at $43.9 million, down from $46.3 million in September, primarily due to dividend payments. The board declared a $0.20 per share dividend, emphasizing commitment to returning capital to stockholders.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.