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Upland Software (UPLD)
NASDAQ:UPLD

Upland Software (UPLD) AI Stock Analysis

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UPLD

Upland Software

(NASDAQ:UPLD)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-59.76% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/11/26
The score is held down primarily by weak technicals (sharp downtrend with bearish momentum) and fundamental pressure from declining revenue and a leveraged balance sheet. These are partially offset by consistently positive free cash flow and earnings-call emphasis on margin expansion and cash generation, with valuation (low P/E) providing only modest support.
Positive Factors
Consistent positive free cash flow
Sustained positive free cash flow provides durable liquidity to fund operations, pay down debt, and invest in AI product development without reliance on equity raises. Over 2–6 months this underpins financial flexibility despite accounting losses and supports execution of strategic initiatives.
Sustained margin expansion and strong adjusted EBITDA
Material margin improvement reflects durable operating leverage and cost discipline, allowing the company to retain cash from each incremental dollar of revenue. Continued margin focus can sustain profitability and free cash flow even if revenue growth is modest, supporting long-term viability.
AI-focused product strategy and market validation
Concentrating revenue in AI-enabled knowledge and content management positions Upland in a structural growth market. Recognition (G2 badges, industry guides) and new customer wins support differentiated product-market fit, enhancing long-term upsell and renewal potential across enterprise accounts.
Negative Factors
Revenue declines driven by divestitures
Divestitures materially reduce the recurring revenue base and scale, creating a smaller top-line to leverage fixed costs and invest in growth. Over the medium term this raises the burden on remaining products to deliver organic expansion and makes achieving prior growth trajectories harder.
Elevated leverage and weakened equity
High leverage limits strategic flexibility, increases interest exposure, and constrains M&A or investment capacity. With equity base reduced by cumulative losses, the balance sheet is vulnerable to revenue setbacks and raises refinancing risk over the next several quarters if cash generation weakens.
Modest organic growth and execution risk
Low organic growth targets and recent weak bookings indicate a meaningful execution challenge in converting pipeline into durable revenue. Over 2–6 months this constrains top-line momentum, increases pressure on cost cuts to drive results, and risks underutilizing product investments.

Upland Software (UPLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Upland Software Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUpland Software, Inc. provides cloud-based enterprise work management software in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and internationally. It offers a family of software applications under the Upland brand in the areas of marketing, sales, contact center, project management, information technology, business operations, and human resources and legal. The company also provides professional services, such as implementation, data extraction, integration and configuration, and training services, as well as customer support services. It serves large global corporations, various government agencies, and small and medium-sized businesses, as well as financial, consulting, technology, manufacturing, media, telecommunication, political, healthcare, life sciences, retail and hospitality, and non-profit industries through direct and indirect sales organizations. The company was formerly known as Silverback Enterprise Group, Inc. and changed its name to Upland Software, Inc. in November 2013. Upland Software, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyUpland Software primarily makes money by selling subscriptions to its cloud-based software products (SaaS), typically contracted on a recurring basis (e.g., annual or multi-year agreements) and priced based on factors such as number of users/seats, usage/volume, or the scope of features/modules purchased (exact pricing mechanics vary by product and are not uniformly disclosed). In addition to subscription revenue, the company generates revenue from related services such as implementation, onboarding/configuration, training, and customer support/professional services tied to deploying and optimizing its software. A smaller portion of revenue may come from maintenance or support associated with any on-premises or term-based licenses where applicable; if present, these arrangements generally produce recurring support/maintenance fees rather than one-time license sales. Revenue is influenced by renewals and expansions within the installed customer base (upsells/cross-sells across its product portfolio) as well as new customer acquisition. The company also sells through a mix of direct sales and partner/third-party channels (specific partner identities and contribution levels are not consistently detailed publicly), with partner ecosystems potentially supporting lead generation, implementation, and co-selling for certain products.

Upland Software Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a mixed but balanced message: strong margin expansion, solid free cash flow performance, product validation, and a strategic refocus on AI-enabled knowledge and content management are clear positives. However, meaningful revenue declines (primarily from prior divestitures), flat organic growth and disappointing Q4 bookings, and elevated leverage represent tangible near-term challenges. Management provided clear guidance and a leadership transition intended to sharpen AI/product execution, but execution risk remains as the company seeks to convert pipeline into growth.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion
Q4 2025 adjusted EBITDA was $15.3M with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 31%. This represents a material improvement versus the prior-year quarter (up from 22% in Q4 2024, ~+900 basis points) and is part of a multi-year margin expansion trend (management noted margins expanded from ~20% in 2024 to ~27% in 2025).
Robust Free Cash Flow and Outperformance Versus Target
Free cash flow for Q4 was $7.2M and full-year 2025 free cash flow was $24.4M, exceeding the $20.0M target by $4.4M. Management attributed the beat largely to successful early receivables collections.
Customer Wins, Expansions, and Product Validation
In Q4 Upland added 110 new customers (including 15 new major customers) and expanded relationships with 199 existing customers (27 major expansions). The company earned 49 G2 Winter 2026 badges and received recognition in IDC MarketScape and the Gartner Market Guide, signaling continued product validation and momentum for its AI-powered offerings.
Focused Product Strategy on AI-enabled Knowledge & Content Management (KCM)
Management confirmed a sharpened portfolio focus: roughly two-thirds to three-quarters (or more) of revenue is from growth products that are primarily AI-enabled and concentrated in the knowledge and content management market—positioning Upland to participate in enterprise AI initiatives.
Clear Guidance with Continued Margin Improvement
Despite divestiture-related revenue declines, management provided explicit guidance: full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA expected $52.6M–$58.6M with a midpoint adjusted EBITDA margin of 28% (an increase of ~100 basis points versus 27% for 2025), indicating continued margin expansion is a priority.
Leadership Transition to AI- and Product-Focused CEO
Announced appointment of Sean Nathaniel as incoming CEO (effective soon), a returnee with prior Upland experience and AI/product expertise. Management framed the transition as aligning leadership to the company’s AI-centered product strategy.
Negative Updates
Flat Core Organic Growth and Disappointing Q4 Bookings
Core organic growth rate was flat in Q4 2025 (management cited a tough comparison to Q4 2024). Management stated they were 'a little bit disappointed' in Q4 bookings and noted new customer adds were flat year-over-year while majors and expansions were down year-over-year (complicated by divestitures).
Revenue Declines Driven by Divestitures
Guidance reflects significant year-over-year revenue declines primarily due to divestitures: Q1 2026 total revenue is guided to $47.0M–$50.0M (a ~24% decline at the midpoint versus prior-year quarter) and full-year 2026 total revenue is guided to $194.2M–$206.2M (a ~8% decline at the midpoint versus 2025).
Net Debt and Leverage Remain Elevated
At year-end net debt was approximately $290M (cash ~ $29M), resulting in net leverage of ~3.6x trailing adjusted EBITDA. While management said this was better than target, leverage remains material and is a financial consideration.
Seasonal and Near-Term Margin Variability
Although margins improved year-over-year, guidance implies a step-down in quarterly margin run-rate from recent quarters: Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin is guided to ~26% at the midpoint versus the recent Q4 run-rate of 31% (management cites seasonality such as calendar-based payroll taxes as a driver).
Execution Risk: Need to Convert Pipeline to Deals
Management described the pipeline entering 2026 as 'decent' for core knowledge management products but emphasized the need to execute; prior quarter’s weaker bookings underscore execution risk in converting pipeline into revenue growth.
Modest Organic Growth Targets
Although the multi-year trend is improving, organic growth targets remain modest—management is targeting roughly +1% to +2% core organic growth for 2026 after flat Q4 and only ~+1% in 2025.
Company Guidance
For Q1 (ending 03/31/2026) management guided reported total revenue of $47.0M–$50.0M (subscription & support $44.8M–$47.3M), a 24% year-over-year decline at the midpoint driven primarily by 2025 divestitures, with adjusted EBITDA of $11.9M–$13.4M (midpoint down ~3% y/y) and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 26% at the midpoint (up 500 basis points from 21% in the year-ago quarter). For full-year 2026 they forecast reported total revenue of $194.2M–$206.2M (subscription & support guided at $103.6M–$193.7M), a midpoint decline of 8% y/y, adjusted EBITDA of $52.6M–$58.6M (midpoint down ~4% y/y) and a 28% adjusted EBITDA margin at the midpoint (up 100 bps vs. 27% in 2025); management also reiterated a 2026 core organic growth target of 1%–2%, a free cash flow target around $20M (after generating $24.4M in FCF in 2025), and noted year-end net debt of ~ $290M (cash ~$29M) with 3.6x trailing adjusted EBITDA leverage.

Upland Software Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Results are pressured by shrinking revenue and ongoing net losses, and the balance sheet is a key risk with elevated leverage and declining equity. Offsetting this, cash generation is consistently positive (TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow), supporting operations and debt reduction, and losses have narrowed versus 2024.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Revenue has been shrinking across recent periods (TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) down ~7.9% after modest declines in 2023–2024), signaling pressure on the top line. Profitability is mixed: gross margin remains strong (TTM ~73%), but the company is still loss-making (TTM net margin ~-18%). The latest TTM shows a notable improvement versus 2024 (losses narrowed materially and EBIT moved closer to breakeven), but the overall earnings profile remains weak and inconsistent.
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Leverage remains elevated with substantial debt (TTM total debt ~$235M) relative to equity (~$81M), limiting financial flexibility. While total debt has come down meaningfully from 2022–2023 levels, equity has also declined over time, reflecting cumulative losses and weakening capitalization. Returns on equity are deeply negative (TTM), highlighting that shareholders are not currently earning an adequate return and the balance sheet remains a key risk area.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is a relative bright spot: the company produced positive operating cash flow and free cash flow in every period shown, including TTM (operating cash flow ~$25.8M; free cash flow ~$24.4M). Free cash flow has been slightly down year over year in TTM, but overall cash conversion remains solid given ongoing accounting losses, helping support debt reduction and ongoing operations. The main weakness is that cash flow has not shown consistent growth recently.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue216.88M274.79M297.85M317.30M302.02M
Gross Profit135.27M193.70M201.49M213.56M202.56M
EBITDA48.76M-46.17M-91.70M15.14M18.00M
Net Income-38.90M-112.73M-179.87M-68.41M-58.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets413.18M529.52M870.02M1.11B1.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.40M56.43M236.56M248.65M189.16M
Total Debt364.27M291.96M480.62M523.13M528.65M
Total Liabilities332.47M424.60M626.09M692.30M712.72M
Stockholders Equity80.71M104.92M243.93M421.16M316.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.45M23.36M48.72M29.11M40.62M
Operating Cash Flow25.80M24.24M49.94M29.98M41.74M
Investing Cash Flow8.80M-882.00K-1.22M-63.22M-93.53M
Financing Cash Flow-63.45M-202.31M-61.38M94.15M-8.18M

Upland Software Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.24
Price Trends
50DMA
1.12
Negative
100DMA
1.44
Negative
200DMA
1.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Positive
RSI
16.24
Positive
STOCH
12.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UPLD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.77, above the 50-day MA of 1.12, and below the 200-day MA of 1.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 16.24 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for UPLD.

Upland Software Risk Analysis

Upland Software disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Upland Software reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Upland Software Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
49
Neutral
$36.11M-2.82-89.60%
44
Neutral
$32.30M-0.45132.32%-23.03%-107.34%
44
Neutral
$10.69M-0.9174.86%259.01%-61.05%
44
Neutral
$93.24M-5.19<0.01%3.42%93.90%
43
Neutral
$35.13M-5.76-11.63%
42
Neutral
$16.10M9.34-76.27%-15.54%61.46%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UPLD
Upland Software
0.55
-2.96
-84.25%
LPSN
Liveperson
2.68
-11.15
-80.62%
PHUN
Phunware
1.74
-1.21
-41.02%
NXTT
Next Technology Holding
2.19
-65.81
-96.78%
RDZN
Roadzen Inc
1.17
0.04
3.54%
YXT
YXT.COM Group Holding Limited Sponsored ADR
0.60
-0.41
-40.50%

Upland Software Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Upland Software Announces CEO Transition to Sean Nathaniel
Positive
Feb 25, 2026

Upland Software announced that founder Jack McDonald, who has served as chairman and chief executive officer since establishing the company in 2010, notified the board on February 21, 2026, of his decision to retire as CEO effective April 30, 2026, while remaining chairman. His transition agreement cancels his existing performance stock units in favor of new restricted stock units and keeps him available for up to 24 months to support leadership transition, with the company emphasizing that his departure is not due to any disagreement over operations or policies.

On February 21, 2026, the board appointed former Upland executive Sean Nathaniel, currently president and CEO of DryvIQ, as chief executive officer effective May 1, 2026, with a compensation package that includes salary, bonus eligibility, time-based restricted stock units, and performance-based stock awards. Nathaniel, who helped lead Upland through its 2014 IPO and has deep experience in AI and enterprise content, is expected to steer the company’s next phase of AI-driven growth, reinforcing its strategic focus on serving as a core intelligence layer for large enterprises’ data and content ecosystems.

The most recent analyst rating on (UPLD) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Upland Software stock, see the UPLD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 11, 2026