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Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. (TV)
NYSE:TV

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. (TV) AI Stock Analysis

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TV

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.

(NYSE:TV)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(1.69% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/16/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (ongoing net losses and declining revenue) and bearish technical momentum (below key moving averages with weak RSI/MACD). Partially offsetting this are positive earnings-call signals around margin improvement, free cash flow and deleveraging, plus a moderate dividend yield, though guidance implies sustained elevated CapEx and the dividend suspension is a notable negative.
Positive Factors
Operational efficiency and margin expansion
Sustained OpEx cuts and integration gains that lifted operating segment margin by 100 bps improve structural cost competitiveness and margin resilience. This enhances cash generation potential, funds reinvestment, and gives flexibility to compete on content and distribution over the medium term.
Free cash flow generation and deleveraging
Meaningful free cash flow that enabled debt prepayment and a measurable leverage decline strengthens balance sheet flexibility. Lower leverage reduces refinancing risk and interest burden, supporting investment and strategic choices across the next several quarters without relying on volatile capital markets.
Subscriber growth in internet and mobile
Net additions in mobile (and reported internet subscriber growth) indicate durable traction in recurring revenue channels. Growing core subscriptions supports steady cash inflows, cross-sell opportunities, and ARPU stability, helping offset declines in legacy video segments over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Significant Sky subscriber losses
Large, concentrated losses in Sky's RGUs and revenue signal structural erosion in a traditionally high-value segment. Persistent subscriber attrition reduces scale, weakens ad and affiliate leverage, and pressures long-term revenue mix and profitability unless competitive dynamics or product offerings materially improve.
Declining revenues and negative profitability margins
Sustained revenue declines and negative net and EBIT margins undermine the firm's ability to self-fund growth and returns. Even with EBITDA positivity, conversion to net profit is weak, limiting reinvestment capacity and making performance vulnerable to cyclical ad markets and content cost pressures over the medium term.
Credit rating downgrade and elevated leverage risk
A recent downgrade increases funding costs and reduces debt market access, amplifying refinancing and liquidity risks. For a capital-intensive media and telecom business, higher borrowing costs and constrained credit capacity can limit strategic investments and slow deleveraging progress over subsequent quarters.

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. (TV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGrupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates cable companies and provides direct-to-home satellite pay television system in Mexico and internationally. It operates through Cable and Sky segments. The company offers basic and premium television subscription, pay-per-view, installation, internet subscription, and telephone and mobile services subscription, as well as local and national advertising services; and data and long-distance services solutions to carriers and other telecommunications service providers through its fiber-optic network. It also provides direct-to-home broadcast satellite pay television services comprising program, installation, and equipment rental services to subscribers; and national advertising sales. Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
How the Company Makes MoneyTelevisa’s core monetization model combines (1) advertising sales tied to audience reach and (2) subscription-related revenue tied to pay-television distribution, supplemented by (3) content licensing and syndication. 1) Advertising revenue (broadcast and other ad inventory): Televisa sells advertising time and sponsorship packages around its programming. Revenue is driven by viewership levels, pricing (CPM/rates), and demand from national and local advertisers. Sports and prime-time entertainment generally command higher rates, and special events can lift ad yields. Televisa may also generate advertising-related fees through integrated marketing, product placement, and branded content sold alongside traditional spots. 2) Subscription and distribution revenue (pay-TV): Televisa has historically earned recurring revenue from pay-television services (e.g., cable/satellite and related telecommunications offerings where applicable) through monthly subscriber fees. These revenues typically include basic video subscriptions and may include add-ons such as premium channels, advanced services (e.g., DVR/HD packages), and bundled offerings. Economics are influenced by subscriber counts, churn, average revenue per user (ARPU), and network/service costs. 3) Content licensing and syndication: Televisa monetizes its library and new productions by licensing content to third-party networks and platforms (domestically and internationally). This can include selling finished programming, format rights, and distribution rights for series and telenovelas, as well as licensing sports-related content where it holds rights. Revenue depends on the breadth of the library, demand from distributors/streaming platforms, exclusivity terms, and international sales. 4) Other ancillary monetization: Televisa can generate additional income from activities adjacent to media distribution and content, such as channel carriage/affiliate fees where applicable, live events and experiences tied to programming, and merchandising/consumer products linked to popular intellectual property. Specific contribution details are null.

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balances meaningful operational and financial progress—margin expansion, disciplined CapEx, free cash flow generation, deleveraging, strong DTC (ViX) performance and a clear fiber buildout plan—against continued top‑line pressures, notably declines in consolidated revenue, Sky RGU losses and Q4 EBITDA pressure at TelevisaUnivision. Management emphasized execution (cost savings, AI adoption, FTTH rollout) and deleveraging, suggesting confidence in value creation despite near‑term revenue headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Margin Expansion and OpEx Efficiency
Consolidated operating segment income margin expanded to 39.1% for 2025 (up 200 basis points year‑on‑year). In Q4, operating segment income margin was 40.9%, up 410 basis points year‑on‑year, driven by OpEx reductions of 8.3% and synergies from the Izzi–Sky integration.
Free Cash Flow Generation and Debt Reduction
Grupo Televisa generated approximately MXN 5.9 billion in free cash flow in 2025 and used proceeds to prepay ~MXN 2.7 billion of bank debt (in addition to $220 million of senior notes paid March 18), contributing to a lower leverage ratio of 2.0x EBITDA at year‑end versus 2.5x the prior year.
TelevisaUnivision DTC Breakthrough and Profitability
ViX delivered record revenue in 2025 and achieved profitability every quarter. The DTC business represented nearly 25% of TelevisaUnivision revenue for the year and contributed ~20% of adjusted EBITDA, demonstrating scalable, industry‑leading margins.
Debt Refinancing and Leverage Improvement at TelevisaUnivision
TelevisaUnivision refinanced $2.3 billion of debt in 2025, eliminating near‑term maturities and improving leverage to 5.6x EBITDA from 5.9x at year‑end 2024.
FTTH Network Buildout and CapEx Discipline
Grupo Televisa invested ~MXN 12.2 billion in CapEx in 2025 (~20.7% of sales) and upgraded 4.5 million homes to FTTH during the year. Ended 2025 with ~9 million FTTH homes (~45% of footprint passed) and plans to upgrade ~6 million homes in 2026 to reach ~75% passed.
Internet Subscriber Turnaround and Broadband Net Adds
Internet subscriber base grew by ~47,000 in 2025 (a turning point after losses in 2023–2024). Broadband net adds were 25,000 in Q4 (improving sequentially from earlier quarters). Monthly churn remained below 2% for the third consecutive quarter.
Q4 Operating Income Improvement
Q4 consolidated operating segment income reached MXN 5.9 billion, up 6.1% year‑on‑year, marking the best quarter of the year driven by efficiency measures and integration synergies.
Advertising Strength in Mexico and Subscription Wins
In Q4, advertising revenue in Mexico rose 15% year‑on‑year (6% in local currency). TelevisaUnivision also saw continued ViX subscription growth and higher U.S. linear subscription/licensing revenue including benefits from new Hulu agreement.
Negative Updates
Consolidated Revenue Decline
Grupo Televisa consolidated revenue for 2025 was MXN 58.9 billion, down 5.5% year‑on‑year. Q4 consolidated revenue was MXN 14.5 billion, down 4.5% year‑on‑year.
Sky: Significant RGU Losses and Revenue Decline
Sky lost 304,000 revenue‑generating units in Q4 (mostly prepaid churn) and Q4 revenue for Sky declined 16.8% year‑on‑year to MXN 2.8 billion. Satellite pay‑TV gross adds slowed after an installation fee was introduced.
TelevisaUnivision Q4 Adjusted EBITDA Pressure
TelevisaUnivision Q4 adjusted EBITDA declined 12% year‑on‑year to $396 million. Excluding political advertising, adjusted EBITDA decreased 5% year‑on‑year despite DTC profitability and cost management.
Full Year Revenue Decline at TelevisaUnivision
TelevisaUnivision full year revenue declined ~5% year‑on‑year to $4.8 billion despite adjusted EBITDA rising 2% (7% ex‑political & FX adjustments).
Subscription and Licensing Headwinds
Consolidated subscription and licensing revenue decreased ~4% year‑on‑year in the quarter. Growth at ViX and higher U.S. licensing were offset by losses such as Fubo, a temporary YouTube TV carriage dispute, and lower linear subscription revenue in Mexico tied to renewals/cancellations.
High Quarter‑Level CapEx Intensity
Q4 CapEx was MXN 4.6 billion, representing 31.8% of sales in the quarter (higher than the full‑year rate), driven in part by FX strength and the mix of local currency spending. Management expects CapEx/sales to be ~25% in 2026, implying sustained heavy investment.
Dividend Suspension
The Board approved suspending the regular dividend payment in 2026 while exploring telecom sector opportunities — a negative for income‑seeking shareholders.
Sky Structural Decline Risk and Competitive Pressure
Management highlighted structural challenges for DTH/Sky given improved broadband and streaming competition; Sky is expected to shrink as a revenue product even as costs are streamlined, creating pressure on consolidated revenue if declines persist.
Company Guidance
The company guided that Grupo Televisa will target a higher CapEx cadence in 2026—about 25% of sales—to upgrade roughly 6 million homes to FTTH and reach ~15–16 million homes passed (≈75% of footprint) by year‑end (up from ~9 million homes/≈45% passed and 4.5 million FTTH upgrades in 2025); 2025 CapEx was MXN 12.2 billion (≈20.7% of sales) with Q4 CapEx MXN 4.6 billion (31.8% of sales). Grupo Televisa expects continued focus on value customers and cash generation (MXN 5.9 billion free cash flow in 2025 used to prepay ~MXN 2.7 billion of 2026 bank debt and a $220 million senior note), leaving leverage at ~2.0x EBITDA. For TelevisaUnivision, management expects similar 2026 CapEx to 2025’s $119 million, noted DTC now represents ~25% of revenue and ~20% of adjusted EBITDA, finished 2025 with $440 million cash, refinanced $2.3 billion of debt (leverage improved to 5.6x from 5.9x), and suspended the regular 2026 dividend while preparing for ViX to be the exclusive streaming home of all 104 World Cup matches.

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Underlying operating margins are healthy, but the company has persistent net losses (negative net margins across 2023–2025) and declining revenue through 2025. The balance sheet is mid-leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.8x–1.1x) but negative ROE reflects weak earnings quality. Cash flow is a relative positive with positive operating cash flow and positive 2025 free cash flow, though free cash flow has been volatile and weakened materially vs. 2024.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Profitability is the key weak spot: net income is negative across 2023–2025 (roughly -13% to -15% net margin), despite generally healthy gross profit and EBITDA margins (about 34%–38% gross margin and ~30%–37% EBITDA margin in 2023–2025). Revenue trajectory is also soft, with declining sales in 2022–2025, including a notable drop in 2025. Offsetting positives include the clear improvement in operating profit from a loss in 2024 to a positive EBIT margin in 2025, indicating some operational recovery even though bottom-line losses persist.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Leverage appears manageable-to-moderate for the period with consistent reporting (2022–2025): debt-to-equity sits around ~0.8x–1.1x, suggesting the company is not overly debt-funded relative to equity. However, returns to shareholders are negative in 2023–2025 (negative return on equity), reflecting ongoing losses and limiting balance-sheet quality from an investor-return standpoint. Total assets and equity remain sizable, but the inability to translate that capital base into profits is a meaningful concern.
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
Cash generation is mixed but generally more resilient than earnings: operating cash flow is positive each year shown, including 2025. That said, cash-flow strength has been volatile—free cash flow swung from negative (2022 and 2023) to very strong (2024) and then fell sharply in 2025. In 2025, free cash flow remains positive, but it is materially lower than 2024, and operating cash flow covers only about half of near-term obligations implied by the provided coverage ratio, which reduces flexibility if volatility persists.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.22B62.26B66.22B68.62B73.92B
Gross Profit21.09B21.14B22.93B25.26B27.26B
EBITDA20.61B18.37B22.14B17.87B32.97B
Net Income-8.27B-8.25B-8.42B44.71B6.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets229.26B251.48B262.67B299.11B14.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.43B47.49B32.84B51.14B1.26B
Total Debt91.58B108.34B95.83B113.61B6.62B
Total Liabilities126.21B139.82B128.00B154.98B9.64B
Stockholders Equity93.54B102.42B119.28B128.31B3.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.93B21.95B-1.38B-6.65B4.23B
Operating Cash Flow15.36B32.42B15.20B12.47B29.40B
Investing Cash Flow-15.59B-9.68B-15.76B42.70B-19.04B
Financing Cash Flow-8.92B-9.28B-17.75B-29.77B-13.84B

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.95
Price Trends
50DMA
3.11
Negative
100DMA
2.96
Negative
200DMA
2.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Positive
RSI
45.69
Neutral
STOCH
73.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.03, below the 50-day MA of 3.11, and above the 200-day MA of 2.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TV.

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. Risk Analysis

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We are subject to a variety of global laws, regulations, and rules related to privacy and personal data protection, which are evolving, and increased public scrutiny of privacy and security issues could result in increased government regulation, industry standards, and other legal obligations that could adversely affect our business. Q4, 2022

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$108.22B5.1420.98%4.42%0.20%61.54%
70
Outperform
$25.37B17.329.03%5.03%-3.16%4.70%
62
Neutral
$72.87B14.4817.05%2.69%1.14%83.48%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
57
Neutral
$31.63B5.6631.24%0.42%13.46%
47
Neutral
$1.41B-2.78-10.73%3.03%-18.28%-42.53%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TV
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
2.95
1.32
80.98%
AMX
America Movil
23.78
10.04
73.07%
CHTR
Charter Communications
222.52
-130.50
-36.97%
CMCSA
Comcast
30.08
-2.39
-7.37%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
15.72
7.08
81.97%

Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. Corporate Events

Grupo Televisa Reports 2025 Results and Consolidates Cable and Sky Into Single Telecom Segment
Mar 4, 2026

On February 26, 2026, Grupo Televisa reported its full-year and fourth-quarter 2025 results, highlighting a 5.4% year-on-year revenue decline to Ps.58.88 billion, mainly from weaker satellite services, and a slight 0.6% drop in operating segment income, although margins improved to 39.1%. The company also completed the operational integration of its Cable and Sky units into a single Telecom segment, while its net loss attributable to stockholders widened to Ps.8.82 billion due largely to non-cash tax-related write-offs and higher losses from associates, partly offset by stronger operating income and lower other and finance expenses.

Televisa’s change in segment reporting reflects a strategic consolidation of its telecom operations, with a unified management team and a consolidated cost structure aimed at capturing efficiencies and synergies across residential, satellite and enterprise services. Despite the larger bottom-line loss driven by tax effects and equity-accounted investments, the improved operating performance and cost efficiencies indicate a business that is strengthening its core operations even as it navigates structural challenges in its satellite business and the legacy impact of expiring tax assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TV) stock is a Hold with a $3.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. stock, see the TV Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Televisa Posts 2025 Loss as Satellite Revenue Falls, Telecom Integration Advances
Feb 27, 2026

On February 26, 2026, Televisa reported that 2025 consolidated revenues fell 5.4% to Ps.58.9 billion, mainly on a 17.5% drop in satellite revenues, while operating segment income slipped 0.6% but margin expanded to 39.1% as efficiency measures took hold. The company posted a wider net loss attributable to shareholders of Ps.8.8 billion, largely due to non‑cash write‑offs of deferred tax assets as certain capital loss carryforwards expired, even as operating income and net finance costs improved.

Operationally, Televisa continued to expand its network, passing 117,600 additional homes with fiber‑to‑the‑home to exceed 20 million homes passed, and grew broadband subscribers to 5.7 million and mobile users to 652,900, helped by a relaunched MVNO service in late 2024. The group also completed the integration of its Cable and Sky units into a unified Telecom segment by late 2025, simplifying its cost structure and reporting, but its satellite base shrank 25.9% to 3.8 million RGUs with 1.3 million disconnections, underscoring a strategic shift toward higher‑growth broadband and mobile services despite near‑term revenue pressure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TV) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. stock, see the TV Stock Forecast page.

Grupo Televisa Discloses Share Sale Agreement Among Top Executives
Jan 6, 2026

On January 5, 2026, Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. reported that controlling shareholders Emilio Azcárraga Jean, Bernardo Gómez Martínez and Alfonso de Angoitia Noriega had entered into an agreement under which Gómez and de Angoitia will each acquire, in equal parts, a minority stake totaling 26,332,332,804 Series A shares from Azcárraga. The transaction, which remains subject to customary closing conditions including approval by Mexico’s competition authority, Comisión Nacional Antimonopolio, signals an internal rebalancing of ownership among Televisa’s top leaders that could subtly reshape governance dynamics while maintaining continuity in strategic direction for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TV) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. stock, see the TV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 16, 2026