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West Fraser Timber Co (TSE:WFG)
TSX:WFG
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West Fraser Timber Co
(TSX:WFG)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$106.00
▲(2.45% Upside)
West Fraser Timber Co (WFG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
$8.16B
Dividend Yield1.73%
Average Volume (3M)245.73K
Price to Earnings (P/E)3150.3
Beta (1Y)0.89
Revenue Growth-8.31%
EPS Growth-191.58%
CountryCA
Employees9,700
SectorBasic Materials
Sector Strength66
IndustryPaper, Lumber & Forest Products
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.52
Shares Outstanding76,562,780
10 Day Avg. Volume251,431
30 Day Avg. Volume245,733
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio14.53
Price to Book (P/B)1.01
Price to Sales (P/S)1.13
P/FCF Ratio40.22
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.92
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.28
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.63
Enterprise Value/Ebitda17.31
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$116.54Price Target Upside12.63% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering6
West Fraser Timber Co Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionWest Fraser Timber Co. Ltd., a diversified wood products company, engages in manufacturing, selling, marketing, and distributing lumber, engineered wood products, pulp, newsprint, wood chips, and other residuals and renewable energy. It offers spruce-pine-fir and southern yellow pine lumber, treated wood products, medium density fiberboard panels and plywood, oriented strand board, and laminated veneer lumber wood products. The company also provides northern bleached softwood Kraft pulp and bleached chemical thermo-mechanical pulp used to produce various paper products, including printing and writing papers, specialty grades, and various tissue products. It sells its products to major retail chains, contractor supply yards, and wholesalers, as well as industrial customers for further processing or as components for other products in Canada, the United States, China, Europe, Asia, and other countries. West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. was founded in 1955 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyWest Fraser Timber Co. generates revenue primarily through the sale of wood products, with key revenue streams including lumber sales, engineered wood products, and by-products such as wood chips and sawdust. The company benefits from its diversified product offerings, allowing it to serve a wide range of customers in the construction and manufacturing industries. Additionally, West Fraser engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its supply chain and market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include fluctuations in lumber prices, demand in the housing market, and the company's ability to efficiently manage its production processes while maintaining sustainable forestry practices.
West Fraser Timber Co Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
| % Change Since: 0.75%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a challenging quarter for West Fraser, with decreased EBITDA in key segments and pressures from macroeconomic factors, such as housing market challenges and tariffs. However, the company maintains a strong balance sheet and has made strategic financial maneuvers to preserve liquidity and flexibility.Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
West Fraser exited Q2 with nearly $1.7 billion of available liquidity and a strong cash position net of debt, demonstrating financial stability despite market challenges.
Successful Financial Initiatives
Successfully amended and extended a $1 billion credit facility and a $300 million term loan, up from the prior $200 million, reinforcing financial flexibility.
European Business Improvement
The European business posted $2 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q2, an improvement from negative $2 million in the first quarter, linked to higher OSB pricing and shipments.
Negative Updates
Decline in Lumber and OSB Segments
The Lumber segment posted adjusted EBITDA of $15 million in Q2, down from $66 million in Q1, and the North America EWP segment's adjusted EBITDA decreased to $68 million from $125 million due to lower pricing and inventory valuation adjustments.
Pulp and Paper Segment Loss
The Pulp and Paper segment generated a negative $1 million of adjusted EBITDA in Q2 compared to a positive $7 million in Q1, attributed to an inventory write-down.
Challenges in Housing and Tariffs
New home construction in the U.S. slowed with housing starts averaging 1.32 million units due to elevated mortgage rates, impacting demand. The shifting landscape of tariffs also poses potential risks to future demand.
Lower Product Prices and Inventory Adjustments
Lower product prices for lumber and North American OSB products and inventory valuation adjustments were significant detractors compared to Q1.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, West Fraser reported $84 million in adjusted EBITDA, reflecting a 6% margin amidst a cyclical downturn. The Lumber segment faced a significant drop in adjusted EBITDA from $66 million in Q1 to $15 million in Q2, mainly due to lower pricing, higher fiber costs, and inventory valuation adjustments. The North America EWP segment also saw a decrease, with adjusted EBITDA falling from $125 million to $68 million, influenced by lower OSB pricing. Meanwhile, the Pulp and Paper segment posted a negative $1 million adjusted EBITDA, down from $7 million. Conversely, the European business improved, with adjusted EBITDA increasing from negative $2 million to $2 million, benefiting from higher OSB pricing and shipments. Despite these challenges, West Fraser maintained a robust balance sheet with $1.7 billion in available liquidity and a net cash balance of $310 million. The company adjusted its 2025 shipment guidance for SPF, SYP, and North American OSB due to softer-than-expected demand, largely attributed to challenges in housing affordability and the repair and remodeling markets. Additionally, West Fraser continues to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties, including evolving tariffs and trade policies, which could further impact their operations.West Fraser Timber Co Financial Statement Overview
Summary
West Fraser Timber Co demonstrates a solid financial position with low leverage and strong equity. Despite a decline in revenue and profit margins, the company maintains positive cash flows and profitability, providing a buffer against market volatility.Income Statement
West Fraser Timber Co has shown a decline in total revenue from $10.5B in 2021 to $6.0B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. The gross profit margin for the TTM period stands at 30.1%, with a slight improvement in EBIT margin from -4.4% in 2023 to 0.4% in TTM 2025. Net profit margin remains low at 0.03% for TTM 2025. Despite the decline in revenue, the company has managed to maintain profitability, although at a reduced level.65
Positive
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03 in TTM 2025, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio is high at 79.1%, suggesting a stable financial structure. Stockholders' equity remains strong, providing a solid foundation for potential growth.78
Positive
Cash Flow
The company's operating cash flow was $626M in TTM 2025, ensuring sufficient liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 78.5, but free cash flow has decreased compared to previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is exceptionally high, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 5.83B | 6.17B | 6.45B | 9.70B | 10.52B | 4.59B |
| Gross Profit | 1.62B | 1.84B | 1.77B | 4.56B | 5.87B | 1.89B |
| EBITDA | 433.00M | 614.00M | 337.00M | 4.17B | 5.68B | 1.36B |
| Net Income | -127.00M | -5.00M | -167.00M | 1.98B | 2.95B | 588.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 8.77B | 8.76B | 9.41B | 9.97B | 10.43B | 4.17B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 646.00M | 641.00M | 900.00M | 1.16B | 1.57B | 460.33M |
| Total Debt | 329.00M | 229.00M | 538.00M | 536.00M | 510.00M | 507.39M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.87B | 1.81B | 2.19B | 2.35B | 2.78B | 1.70B |
| Stockholders Equity | 6.90B | 6.95B | 7.22B | 7.62B | 7.66B | 2.47B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 88.00M | 174.00M | 48.00M | 1.73B | 2.92B | 826.56M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 533.00M | 661.00M | 525.00M | 2.21B | 3.55B | 1.02B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -408.00M | -318.00M | -530.00M | -459.00M | -286.00M | ― |
| Financing Cash Flow | -483.00M | -582.00M | -268.00M | -2.13B | -2.16B | ― |
West Fraser Timber Co Technical Analysis
Positive
103.47
Price Trends
101.14
Positive
102.34
Positive
112.49
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.01
Negative
57.85
Neutral
90.72
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:WFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 103.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 99.40, above the 50-day MA of 101.14, and below the 200-day MA of 112.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.72 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:WFG.
West Fraser Timber Co Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (44)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | C$323.50M | 22.40 | 4.24% | 8.29% | -26.79% | -57.05% | |
53 Neutral | $8.16B | 3,150.31 | -1.80% | 1.73% | -8.31% | -191.58% | |
53 Neutral | C$131.45M | ― | -3.84% | ― | 3.89% | 49.05% | |
44 Neutral | C$925.20M | -8.84 | -0.23% | 2.69% | 24.65% | -41.54% | |
| ― | $3.10B | 13.21 | 17.05% | 1.53% | ― | ― | |
| ― | $484.37M | ― | -11.53% | ― | ― | ― | |
| ― | $1.12B | ― | -19.38% | ― | ― | ― |
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
TSE:WFG
West Fraser Timber Co
103.47
-11.22
-9.79%
TSE:ADN
Acadian Timber
17.85
1.42
8.64%
TSE:WEF
Western Forest Prod
12.45
-1.20
-8.79%
STLJF
Stella-Jones
56.16
-9.57
-14.56%
IFSPF
Interfor
9.31
-2.75
-22.80%
CFPZF
Canfor
9.54
-1.19
-11.09%
West Fraser Timber Co Corporate Events
Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
West Fraser Enhances Liquidity with Credit Facility Renewal
Positive
Jun 2, 2025
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. has announced the renewal and extension of its $1 billion credit facility to May 2030 and an increase in its term loan to $300 million, maturing in May 2028. This strategic financial move enhances the company’s liquidity and financial flexibility, positioning it strongly for future operations and stability in the wood products industry.
The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WFG) stock is a Buy with a C$125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on West Fraser Timber Co stock, see the TSE:WFG Stock Forecast page.
Business Operations and Strategy
West Fraser Releases 2024 Sustainability Report Highlighting Key Achievements
Positive
May 22, 2025
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. has released its 2024 Sustainability Report, highlighting significant achievements in environmental, social, and governance goals. Key accomplishments include enhanced safety training, a substantial reduction in carbon emissions, sustainable forest management, partnerships with Indigenous Nations, and community investments. These initiatives underscore West Fraser’s commitment to sustainability and responsible resource management, potentially strengthening its industry position and stakeholder relationships.
The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WFG) stock is a Buy with a C$125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on West Fraser Timber Co stock, see the TSE:WFG Stock Forecast page.
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.